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Nationals WSN

202165–97 (0.401)
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GM: Michael Rizzo

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2021, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$156M
Surplus $M
-63
Win %
0.401
TAB
-8.2
WAB
-19.6
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
28.5
Dead money %
56%
Depth Players
5.0
Dead WAR
-5.5

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2021 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RYan Gomes⇄63
RRiley Adams⇄34
RTres Barrera29
LAlex Avila27
BKeibert Ruiz⇄23
RJonathan Lucroy⇄5
RRené Rivera⇄4
RJakson Reetz1

1B

BJosh Bell119
RRyan Zimmerman54
RJordy Mercer2
RHernán Pérez2

2B

LLuis García Jr.59
RJordy Mercer21
RAlcides Escobar17
RAdrián Sanchez9
RHernán Pérez3
RLane Thomas⇄2
LAlex Avila1

3B

RStarlin Castro85
RCarter Kieboom60
RJordy Mercer14
RAdrián Sanchez2

SS

RTrea Turner⇄96
RAlcides Escobar61
LLuis García Jr.8
RJordy Mercer6
RHumberto Arteaga1
RStarlin Castro1

LF

LYadiel Hernandez48
LAndrew Stevenson24
LGerardo Parra19
RLane Thomas⇄12
BJosh Bell9
RHernán Pérez1
RJordy Mercer1

CF

RVictor Robles104
RLane Thomas⇄42
LAndrew Stevenson31
LGerardo Parra8
RJosh Harrison⇄2

RF

LJuan Soto144
LYadiel Hernandez13
LAndrew Stevenson11
LGerardo Parra3
RHernán Pérez1
RAdrián Sanchez1
RJosh Harrison⇄1
BJosh Bell1

DH

LKyle Schwarber⇄72
BJosh Bell5
RRyan Zimmerman3
LJuan Soto2
RJordy Mercer1

Starters

RMax Scherzer⇄2.1 WAR
RJoe Ross1.7 WAR
RPaolo Espino1.2 WAR
RErick Fedde0.8 WAR
LPatrick Corbin0.2 WAR
LJon Lester⇄0.2 WAR
RJosiah Gray⇄0.1 WAR
RStephen Strasburg0.1 WAR
LSean Nolin0.0 WAR
RJoan Adon0.0 WAR
RAustin Voth0.0 WAR
LJosh Rogers-0.1 WAR
RJefry Rodriguez-0.3 WAR

Bullpen

★ RKyle Finnegan11 sv
LSam Clay13 h
RAndres Machado11 h
RTanner Rainey10 h
RWander Suero7 h
RAustin Voth7 h
RRyne Harper3 h
LBrad Hand⇄0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2020)

PlayerfWAR
Josh Bell2.2
Joe Ross1.7
Kyle Schwarber1.6
Lane Thomas1.4
Alcides Escobar1.4
Tres Barrera0.8

Key subtractions (gone from 2020)

Player2020 fWAR
Asdrúbal Cabrera0.4
Aníbal Sánchez0.2
Kurt Suzuki0.1
Sam Freeman0.0
Aaron Barrett-0.0
Jake Noll-0.0

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Nationals. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2021; everyone else is shown as a 2021 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Juan Soto 2021 +6.8 +111.2 8.5 +102.7 $1.3M 2.05× Free Agent · 2026–2039 · $51.0M AAV
Trea Turner↔ 2021 +4.4 +46.3 8.4 +37.9 $1.9M 1.32× Free Agent · 2023–2033 · $27.3M AAV
Josh Harrison↔ 2021 +2.1 +20.1 0.7 +19.4 $0.3M 1.22× –
Joe Ross 2021 +1.7 +20.1 1.5 +18.6 $0.9M 1.49× –
Lane Thomas↔ 2021 +1.4 +9.4 0.2 +9.2 $0.2M 0.83× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $5.2M AAV
Paolo Espino 2021 +1.2 +9.4 0.5 +8.9 $0.4M 1.02× –
Yan Gomes↔ 2021 +2.0 +12.0 3.7 +8.3 $1.9M 0.76× –
Kyle Schwarber↔ 2021 +1.6 +12.7 4.5 +8.2 $2.9M 1.01× Free Agent · 2026–2030 · $30.0M AAV
Josh Bell 2021 +2.2 +14.1 6.3 +7.7 $2.9M 0.81× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $7.0M AAV
Alcides Escobar 2021 +1.4 +6.8 0.3 +6.5 $0.2M 0.61× –
Erick Fedde 2021 +0.8 +6.2 0.6 +5.6 $0.8M 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.5M AAV
Tres Barrera 2021 +0.8 +3.2 0.2 +3.1 $0.2M 0.52× –
Max Scherzer↔ 2021 +2.1 +24.6 21.9 +2.8 $10.5M 1.49× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $3.0M AAV
Keibert Ruiz↔ 2021 +0.5 +2.1 0.1 +2.0 $0.2M 0.52× Pre-arb extension · 2023–2032 · $6.2M AAV
Daniel Hudson↔ 2021 +1.0 +5.3 3.4 +1.9 $3.5M 0.67× –
Riley Adams↔ 2021 +0.5 +2.0 0.2 +1.8 $0.4M 0.52× –
Patrick Murphy↔ 2021 +0.3 +1.5 0.2 +1.3 $0.8M 0.67× –
Adrián Sanchez 2021 +0.3 +1.1 0.1 +1.0 $0.6M 0.56× –
Josiah Gray↔ 2021 +0.1 +1.0 0.2 +0.9 $1.3M 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.4M AAV
Jon Lester↔ 2021 +0.2 +1.6 0.8 +0.8 $4.1M 1.02× –
Ryan Zimmerman 2021 +0.4 +1.8 1.0 +0.8 $2.5M 0.56× –
Yadiel Hernandez 2021 +0.2 +1.5 0.7 +0.8 $3.1M 0.83× –
Gabe Klobosits 2021 +0.2 +0.8 0.1 +0.7 $0.5M 0.67× –
Jhon Romero 2021 +0.1 +0.8 0.0 +0.7 $0.2M 0.67× –
Kyle Finnegan 2021 +0.1 +1.3 0.6 +0.7 $4.7M 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2028 · $9.5M AAV
Joan Adon 2021 +0.0 +0.3 0.0 +0.3 $0.1M 1.02× –
Jakson Reetz 2021 +0.1 +0.2 0.0 +0.2 $0.3M 0.52× –
René Rivera↔ 2021 +0.0 +0.1 0.1 +0.1 $1.8M 0.52× –
Cody Wilson 2021 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 – 0.65× –
Kyle McGowin 2021 +0.1 +0.4 0.5 -0.1 $6.0M 0.67× –
Andrés Machado 2021 +0.0 +0.1 0.3 -0.2 $15.1M 0.67× –
Austin Voth 2021 +0.0 +0.2 0.6 -0.4 $28.4M 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Humberto Arteaga 2021 -0.1 -0.4 0.0 -0.4 – 0.61× –
Kyle Lobstein 2021 -0.1 -0.5 0.0 -0.5 – 0.67× –
Jordy Mercer 2021 +0.1 +0.3 1.0 -0.7 $13.9M 0.56× –
Josh Rogers 2021 -0.1 -0.7 0.1 -0.8 – 1.02× –
Ryne Harper 2021 -0.1 -0.4 0.3 -0.8 – 0.67× –
Alberto Baldonado 2021 -0.2 -0.8 0.1 -0.9 – 0.67× –
Sam Clay 2021 -0.1 -0.4 0.5 -0.9 – 0.67× –
Hernán Pérez 2021 -0.3 -1.2 0.1 -1.3 – 0.56× –
Luis Avilán 2021 -0.1 -0.3 0.9 -1.3 – 0.67× –
Mason Thompson↔ 2021 -0.2 -1.2 0.2 -1.4 – 0.67× –
Javy Guerra 2021 -0.3 -1.7 0.1 -1.8 – 0.67× –
Jefry Rodriguez 2021 -0.3 -1.6 0.2 -1.8 – 0.67× –
Justin Miller↔ 2021 -0.3 -1.7 0.1 -1.8 – 0.67× –
Andrew Stevenson 2021 -0.2 -1.5 0.5 -2.0 – 0.83× –
Victor Robles 2021 -0.3 -2.1 0.5 -2.6 – 0.83× Extension · 2025–2027 · $4.9M AAV
Wander Suero 2021 -0.5 -2.4 0.5 -2.9 – 0.67× –
Gerardo Parra 2021 -0.3 -2.0 1.0 -3.0 – 0.83× –
Luis García Jr. 2021 -0.7 -3.1 0.3 -3.3 – 0.56× –
Starlin Castro 2021 +0.8 +3.5 7.0 -3.5 $9.2M 0.58× –
Tanner Rainey 2021 -0.3 -3.7 0.4 -4.1 – 1.34× –
Carter Kieboom 2021 -1.1 -4.9 0.2 -5.1 – 0.58× –
Brad Hand↔ 2021 +0.1 +0.8 6.3 -5.5 $42.9M 0.67× –
Will Harris 2021 +0.0 +0.2 8.0 -7.8 $184.7M 0.67× –
Patrick Corbin 2021 +0.2 +1.8 24.4 -22.6 $111.4M 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Stephen Strasburg 2021 +0.1 +0.6 35.0 -34.4 $451.9M 1.02× –
Alex Avila 2021 +0.4 +1.5 1.5 +0.0 $4.1M 0.52× –
Jonathan Lucroy↔ 2021 +0.0 +0.0 0.0 -0.0 $218.4M 0.52× –
Sean Nolin 2021 +0.0 +0.2 0.2 +0.0 $7.8M 1.02× –
Total—+28.7+296.4155.6+140.9—

Trades

Every graded 2021 deal involving the Nationals — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 6 total.

2021 · WSN / SDP
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$1.6M
Mason Thompson, Jordy Barley
SDP · AJ Preller −$1.6M
Daniel Hudson
WSN came out ahead by $1.6M
2021 · WSN / OAK
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$4.0M
Drew Millas, Richard Guasch, Seth Shuman
OAK · Billy Beane −$4.0M
Josh Harrison, Yan Gomes
WSN came out ahead by $4.0M
2021 · WSN / STL
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$58.4M
Lane Thomas
STL · John Mozeliak −$58.4M
Jon Lester
WSN came out ahead by $58.4M
2021 · TOR / WSN
TOR · Mark Shapiro +$0.8M
Brad Hand
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$0.8M
Riley Adams
TOR came out ahead by $0.8M
2021 · BOS / WSN
BOS · Chaim Bloom +$4.0M
Kyle Schwarber
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$4.0M
Aldo Ramirez
BOS came out ahead by $4.0M
2021 · LAD / WSN
LAD · Andrew Friedman +$100.0M
Trea Turner, Max Scherzer
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$100.0M
Josiah Gray, Gerardo Carrillo, Donovan Casey, Keibert Ruiz
LAD came out ahead by $100.0M

Current & Historical Payroll

2021 payroll
$155.5M
2022 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2021, 2021–2027. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2021; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (21)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Stephen Strasburg3210.118$35.0MFREE AGENT
Patrick Corbin318.105$24.4MFREE AGENT
Max Scherzer3612.079$21.9MFREE AGENT
Will Harris367.102$8.0MFREE AGENT
Starlin Castro3111.000$7.0MFREE AGENT
Brad Hand317.092$6.3MFREE AGENT
Kyle Schwarber286.000$4.5MFREE AGENT
Yan Gomes338.083$3.7MFREE AGENT
Daniel Hudson3410.106$3.4MFREE AGENT
Alex Avila3411.061$1.5MFREE AGENT
Ryan Zimmerman3614.032$1.0MFREE AGENT
Jordy Mercer347.156$1.0MFREE AGENT
Gerardo Parra3410.145$1.0MFREE AGENT
Luis Avilán317.077$950kFREE AGENT
Jon Lester3714.075$781kFREE AGENT
Josh Harrison338.168$652kFREE AGENT
Alcides Escobar349.082$282kFREE AGENT
Javy Guerra3510.000$100kFREE AGENT
Hernán Pérez309.000$100kFREE AGENT
René Rivera378.107$51kFREE AGENT
Jonathan Lucroy3511.000$31kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (4)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Trea Turner284.135$8.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Bell284.053$6.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Ross284.018$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Miller343.083$61kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (35)

PlayerAgeSvc2021202220232024202520262027
Juan Soto222.134$8.5MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yadiel Hernandez330.047$686kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Voth291.127$588kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Finnegan291.000$582kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erick Fedde282.099$575kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Stevenson271.127$526kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paolo Espino340.078$506kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor Robles242.052$505kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Clay280.000$501kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wander Suero292.123$465kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle McGowin290.141$460kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Rainey281.158$443kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryne Harper322.020$340kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrés Machado280.032$261kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis García Jr.211.000$256kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carter Kieboom231.001$227kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jefry Rodriguez271.089$227kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lane Thomas251.068$215kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Patrick Murphy260.028$212kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Riley Adams250.000$209kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tres Barrera260.022$191kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mason Thompson230.000$175kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josiah Gray230.000$167kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Nolin311.100$163kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adrián Sanchez301.083$141kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keibert Ruiz220.022$102kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alberto Baldonado28–$98k
Josh Rogers260.143$92kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gabe Klobosits26–$80k
Jhon Romero260.000$31kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Lobstein311.088$25kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jakson Reetz250.000$18kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Wilson24–$9k
Humberto Arteaga270.102$3kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joan Adon220.000$3kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2021 acquisition stacked onto Nationals's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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