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Nationals WSN

202371–91 (0.438)
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GM: Michael Rizzo

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2023, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$66M
Surplus $M
-4
Win %
0.438
TAB
-8.7
WAB
-0.3
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
15.5
Dead money %
46%
Depth Players
3.0
Dead WAR
-5.6

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2023 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

BKeibert Ruiz117
RRiley Adams40
BDrew Millas10

1B

LDominic Smith151
RJoey Meneses19
RMichael Chavis9

2B

LLuis García Jr.121
LJake Alu24
RMichael Chavis22
BIldemaro Vargas18
RJeter Downs2

3B

BJeimer Candelario⇄99
BIldemaro Vargas45
RCarter Kieboom26
RMichael Chavis7
LJake Alu5

SS

LCJ Abrams151
BIldemaro Vargas15
RJeter Downs4

LF

RStone Garrett77
LCorey Dickerson43
RAlex Call34
LJake Alu27
LBlake Rutherford15
BIldemaro Vargas11
LTravis Blankenhorn8
RMichael Chavis1

CF

RAlex Call81
RVictor Robles36
RJacob Young32
RDerek Hill13
RLane Thomas11

RF

RLane Thomas151
RStone Garrett12
RAlex Call9
LTravis Blankenhorn3
RJoey Meneses1
BIldemaro Vargas1
LCorey Dickerson1
RMichael Chavis1

DH

RJoey Meneses131
BKeibert Ruiz16
LCorey Dickerson5
RStone Garrett4
RMichael Chavis4
RCarter Kieboom1
LDominic Smith1
RJacob Young1
RLane Thomas1
RRiley Adams1

Starters

RJosiah Gray1.6 WAR
LMacKenzie Gore1.2 WAR
LPatrick Corbin0.8 WAR
RJake Irvin0.7 WAR
RJoan Adon0.4 WAR
RJackson Rutledge0.0 WAR
RTrevor Williams-0.2 WAR
RChad Kuhl-0.6 WAR

Bullpen

★ RKyle Finnegan28 sv
RHunter Harvey19 h
RCarl Edwards Jr.13 h
RMason Thompson10 h
RJordan Weems7 h
LJose A. Ferrer5 h
RAndres Machado4 h
RThad Ward0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2022)

PlayerfWAR
Jeimer Candelario3.0
Stone Garrett1.3
MacKenzie Gore1.2
Jacob Young0.9
Jake Irvin0.7
Robert Garcia0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 2022)

Player2022 fWAR
Josh Bell2.8
Juan Soto2.5
César Hernández0.5
Erick Fedde0.3
Sean Doolittle0.3
Yadiel Hernandez0.2

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Nationals. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2023; everyone else is shown as a 2023 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Lane Thomas 2023 +2.9 +37.0 2.2 +34.8 $0.8M 1.60× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $5.2M AAV
Jeimer Candelario↔ 2023 +3.0 +26.8 3.5 +23.3 $1.2M 1.12× –
Josiah Gray 2023 +1.6 +18.6 0.7 +17.9 $0.5M 1.49× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.4M AAV
CJ Abrams 2023 +2.3 +16.1 0.7 +15.4 $0.3M 0.89× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $4.2M AAV
Hunter Harvey 2023 +1.3 +14.0 0.9 +13.1 $0.7M 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $6.0M AAV
MacKenzie Gore 2023 +1.2 +9.7 0.7 +9.0 $0.6M 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $5.6M AAV
Stone Garrett 2023 +1.3 +8.4 0.7 +7.7 $0.6M 0.83× –
Jacob Young 2023 +0.9 +6.0 0.1 +5.9 $0.2M 0.83× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Jake Irvin 2023 +0.7 +5.8 0.6 +5.2 $0.8M 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $2.8M AAV
Joan Adon 2023 +0.4 +3.5 0.3 +3.2 $0.6M 1.02× –
Alex Call 2023 +0.6 +3.8 0.7 +3.1 $1.3M 0.83× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.6M AAV
Robert Garcia↔ 2023 +0.6 +3.1 0.2 +2.8 $0.4M 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Mason Thompson 2023 +0.5 +2.4 0.7 +1.7 $1.6M 0.67× –
Luis García Jr. 2023 +0.5 +2.2 0.7 +1.5 $1.5M 0.56× –
Ildemaro Vargas 2023 +0.5 +2.3 1.0 +1.3 $2.0M 0.58× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.2M AAV
Drew Millas 2023 +0.3 +1.2 0.1 +1.0 $0.5M 0.52× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Riley Adams 2023 +0.4 +1.7 0.7 +1.0 $1.8M 0.52× –
Joe La Sorsa↔ 2023 +0.2 +0.9 0.2 +0.7 $1.3M 0.67× –
Kyle Finnegan 2023 +0.3 +2.9 2.3 +0.6 $8.5M 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2028 · $9.5M AAV
Jeter Downs 2023 +0.1 +0.3 0.2 +0.2 $2.3M 0.61× –
Jackson Rutledge 2023 +0.0 +0.1 0.1 +0.1 $4.7M 1.02× –
Carl Edwards Jr. 2023 +0.4 +2.2 2.2 -0.1 $5.5M 0.67× –
Rico Garcia↔ 2023 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.2 – 0.67× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.9M AAV
Paolo Espino 2023 -0.1 -0.3 0.1 -0.4 – 0.67× –
Travis Blankenhorn 2023 -0.0 -0.3 0.1 -0.4 – 0.83× –
Victor Robles 2023 +0.3 +1.9 2.3 -0.4 $8.1M 0.83× Extension · 2025–2027 · $4.9M AAV
Michael Chavis 2023 +0.1 +0.5 1.0 -0.5 $8.5M 0.56× –
Carter Kieboom 2023 -0.1 -0.3 0.3 -0.6 – 0.58× –
Jordan Weems 2023 -0.0 -0.1 0.5 -0.6 – 0.67× –
Hobie Harris 2023 -0.1 -0.8 0.2 -1.0 – 0.67× –
Anthony Banda 2023 -0.1 -0.4 0.8 -1.2 – 0.67× –
Derek Hill 2023 -0.2 -1.2 0.1 -1.2 – 0.83× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.9M AAV
Erasmo Ramírez↔ 2023 -0.2 -0.8 0.6 -1.4 – 0.67× –
Tanner Rainey 2023 +0.0 +0.1 1.5 -1.4 $96.8M 0.67× –
Dominic Smith 2023 -0.1 -0.3 2.0 -2.3 – 0.56× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.2M AAV
Joey Meneses 2023 -0.3 -1.5 0.7 -2.3 – 0.69× –
Blake Rutherford 2023 -0.3 -2.2 0.1 -2.4 – 0.83× –
Cory Abbott 2023 -0.4 -2.1 0.4 -2.5 – 0.67× –
Amos Willingham 2023 -0.5 -2.7 0.2 -2.9 – 0.67× –
Andrés Machado 2023 -0.5 -2.5 0.4 -2.9 – 0.67× –
Jake Alu 2023 -0.4 -2.7 0.3 -3.0 – 0.83× –
Keibert Ruiz 2023 -0.5 -2.3 1.4 -3.6 – 0.52× Pre-arb extension · 2023–2032 · $6.2M AAV
Chad Kuhl 2023 -0.6 -3.1 0.9 -4.1 – 0.67× –
Corey Dickerson 2023 -0.6 -4.1 2.2 -6.4 – 0.83× –
Trevor Williams 2023 -0.2 -1.3 6.0 -7.3 – 1.02× Free Agent · 2025–2026 · $7.0M AAV
Patrick Corbin 2023 +0.8 +6.8 24.4 -17.7 $29.4M 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $1.0M AAV
Jose A. Ferrer 2023 +0.1 +0.3 – – – 0.67× –
Thaddeus Ward 2023 -0.5 -2.4 – – – 0.67× –
Total—+15.6+147.166.1+82.7—

Trades

Every graded 2023 deal involving the Nationals — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 2 total.

2023 · WSN / MIN Jan 10, 2023
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$0.0M
Cristian Jimenez
MIN · Derek Falvey +$0.0M
A. J. Alexy
Too soon to call unsettled
2023 · WSN / CHC Jul 31, 2023
WSN · Michael Rizzo +$22.4M
DJ Herz, Kevin Made
CHC · Jed Hoyer −$22.4M
Jeimer Candelario
Too soon to call unsettled

Current & Historical Payroll

2023 payroll
$66.5M
2024 guaranteed
$6.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 2023, 2023–2029. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2023; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Patrick Corbin3310.105$24.4MFREE AGENT
Trevor Williams316.027$6.0MFREE AGENT
Corey Dickerson3410.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Carl Edwards Jr.318.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Keibert Ruiz241.064$1.4M$6.4M$5.4M$5.4M$5.4M$7.4M$9.4M
Chad Kuhl307.000$936kFREE AGENT
Erasmo Ramírez3311.000$605kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Jeimer Candelario295.038$3.5MFREE AGENT
Kyle Finnegan313.000$2.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor Robles264.033$2.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Lane Thomas273.014$2.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dominic Smith284.081$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Rainey303.127$1.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Chavis273.089$1.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ildemaro Vargas313.007$975kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hunter Harvey283.047$870kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis García Jr.233.000$739kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blake Rutherford263.037$139kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (30)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Anthony Banda292.137$850kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josiah Gray251.075$730kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Riley Adams271.050$729kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mason Thompson251.046$724kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
CJ Abrams220.130$724kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Meneses310.065$723kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
MacKenzie Gore241.000$723kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Call280.075$722kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stone Garrett270.050$705kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Irvin260.000$585kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Weems301.108$461kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrés Machado301.089$403kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cory Abbott270.084$352kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carter Kieboom252.086$323kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Alu260.000$275kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joan Adon240.068$259kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe La Sorsa25–$228k
Robert Garcia270.000$223kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hobie Harris30–$213k
Amos Willingham240.000$209kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeter Downs240.024$163kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Young230.000$142kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Millas250.000$135kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Blankenhorn260.058$116kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paolo Espino362.075$97kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rico Garcia291.123$86kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jackson Rutledge240.000$73kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Derek Hill271.078$54kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Thaddeus Ward26–—
Jose A. Ferrer230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2023 acquisition stacked onto Nationals's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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