RRosternomics

Rangers TEX

President of baseball ops: Jon Daniels

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.84× league · TAB -0.4
-0.4TAB — talent above budget18th/30
+0.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)16th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars16th/30
-3.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag9th/30
46%dead money %25th/30
0.494win %15th/30
31.7roster fWAR19th/30
-6surplus $M (value vs cost)16th/30
$64Mpayroll $M19th/30

Roster

CFGary Matthews Jr. 142GJerry Hairston Jr. 12GAdrian Brown 10G
LFCarlos Lee 149GBrad Wilkerson 80GJerry Hairston Jr. 38G
RFMark DeRosa 60GKevin Mench 57GNelson Cruz 38G
SSMichael Young 155GMark DeRosa 7GJoaquin Arias 5G
2BIan Kinsler 119GMark DeRosa 26GJerry Hairston Jr. 25G
3BHank Blalock 122GMark DeRosa 40GJerry Hairston Jr. 1G
1BMark Teixeira 159GMatt Stairs 12GRod Barajas 5G
STARTERSKevin Millwood 4.2WARVicente Padilla 3.2WARJohn Rheinecker 1.0WARKameron Loe 0.7WARJohn Koronka 0.7WAR
CRod Barajas 94GGerald Laird 71GMiguel Ojeda 29G
DHHank Blalock 29GKevin Mench 14GJason Botts 13G
BULLPEN Akinori Otsuka 32svRon Mahay 9hAntonio Alfonseca 8hRick Bauer 7hJoaquín Benoit 7hC.J. Wilson 7hScott Feldman 7hWes Littleton 7h
CRod Barajas 94 · Gerald Laird 71 · Miguel Ojeda 29
1BMark Teixeira 159 · Matt Stairs 12 · Rod Barajas 5
2BIan Kinsler 119 · Mark DeRosa 26 · Jerry Hairston Jr. 25
3BHank Blalock 122 · Mark DeRosa 40 · Jerry Hairston Jr. 1
SSMichael Young 155 · Mark DeRosa 7 · Joaquin Arias 5
LFCarlos Lee 149 · Brad Wilkerson 80 · Jerry Hairston Jr. 38
CFGary Matthews Jr. 142 · Jerry Hairston Jr. 12 · Adrian Brown 10
RFMark DeRosa 60 · Kevin Mench 57 · Nelson Cruz 38
DHHank Blalock 29 · Kevin Mench 14 · Jason Botts 13
SPKevin Millwood 4.2 · Vicente Padilla 3.2 · John Rheinecker 1.0 · Kameron Loe 0.7 · John Koronka 0.7
BP Akinori Otsuka 32 · Ron Mahay 9 · Antonio Alfonseca 8 · Rick Bauer 7 · Joaquín Benoit 7 · C.J. Wilson 7 · Scott Feldman 7 · Wes Littleton 7

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2006 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Kevin Millwood 31 FA-elig 344.2 7.9 +0.5
Gary Matthews Jr. 31 FA-elig 1473.9 2.4 +5.4
Mark Teixeira 26 arb 1623.5 6.4 +0.7
Michael Young 29 FA-elig 1623.4 3.1 +3.6
Vicente Padilla 28 FA-elig 333.2 4.4 +1.9
Mark DeRosa 31 FA-elig 1362.9 0.7 +5.1
Akinori Otsuka 34 pre-arb 631.8 1.8 +1.9
Gerald Laird 26 arb 781.6 0.3 +2.8
Joaquín Benoit 28 arb 561.2 0.8 +1.7
Rod Barajas 30 FA-elig 971.1 3.2 -0.9
Ian Kinsler 24 pre-arb 1201.1 0.3 +1.9
John Rheinecker 27 211.0
Francisco Cordero↔ MIL 31 FA-elig 490.8 2.6 -0.9
Kameron Loe 24 pre-arb 150.7 0.3 +1.1
John Koronka 25 pre-arb 230.7 0.3 +1.1
Rick Bauer 29 580.7
Robinson Tejeda 24 140.5
Carlos Lee↔ MIL 30 FA-elig 590.4 3.1 -2.3
Adam Eaton 28 FA-elig 130.4 4.7 -3.9
Kevin Mench↔ MIL 28 arb 870.3 1.9 -1.2
Ron Mahay 35 620.3
Scott Feldman 23 pre-arb 360.3 0.3 +0.2
Joaquin Arias 21 60.3
Bryan Corey↔ BOS 32 160.3
Wes Littleton 23 330.2
Kip Wells↔ PIT 29 FA-elig 20.2 0.9 -0.5
Josh Rupe 23 pre-arb 160.1 0.3 -0.0
Freddy Guzman 25 90.1
Jerry Hairston Jr.↔ CHC 30 FA-elig 630.1 1.4 -1.2
Nick Masset 24 80.1 0.3 -0.2
Fabio Castro↔ PHI 21 pre-arb 40.0 0.1 -0.0
C.J. Wilson 25 pre-arb 440.0 0.3 -0.3
Adam Hyzdu 34 2-0.0
Eric Young Sr.↔ SDP 39 FA-elig 4-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Brian Shouse↔ MIL 37 FA-elig 6-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Frank Francisco 26 pre-arb 8-0.1 0.3 -0.5
Miguel Ojeda↔ COL 31 arb 5-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Nelson Cruz 25 41-0.1 0.3 -0.5
John Wasdin 33 9-0.1
Jason Botts 25 20-0.1
D'Angelo Jimenez↔ OAK 28 FA-elig 20-0.1 0.5 -0.8
Drew Meyer 24 5-0.2
Edinson Volquez 22 8-0.2
Brad Wilkerson 29 arb 95-0.2 3.9 -4.3
Laynce Nix↔ MIL 25 arb 9-0.3 0.2 -0.7
Antonio Alfonseca 34 FA-elig 19-0.3 2.8 -3.3
Phil Nevin↔ CHC 35 FA-elig 46-0.3 3.7 -4.4
Adrian Brown 32 FA-elig 25-0.3 0.4 -1.1
Hank Blalock 25 arb 152-0.4 3.0 -3.9
R.A. Dickey 31 arb 1-0.5 0.4 -1.3
Matt Stairs↔ DET 38 FA-elig 26-0.5 0.3 -1.2

Key additions (new vs 2005)

PlayerfWAR
Kevin Millwood4.2
Vicente Padilla3.2
Akinori Otsuka1.8
Ian Kinsler1.1
John Rheinecker1.0
John Koronka0.7

Key subtractions (gone from 2005)

Player2005 fWAR
Chris Young3.3
Kenny Rogers3.2
Alfonso Soriano2.4
David Dellucci2.2
Chan Ho Park1.6
Doug Brocail1.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2006 payroll
$64.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2006, 2006–2012. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Kevin Millwood319.000$7.9M$9.8M$10.4M$12.9MFREE AGENT
Adam Eaton286.000$4.7MFREE AGENT
Vicente Padilla287.000$4.4M$9.0M$11.0M$8.3MFREE AGENT
Phil Nevin3511.000$3.7MFREE AGENT
Rod Barajas307.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Carlos Lee307.000$3.1MFREE AGENT
Michael Young296.000$3.1M$3.6M$6.2M$13.1M$13.2M$16.2M$16.0M
Antonio Alfonseca349.000$2.8MFREE AGENT
Francisco Cordero317.000$2.6MFREE AGENT
Gary Matthews Jr.317.000$2.4MFREE AGENT
Jerry Hairston Jr.308.000$1.4M$750kFREE AGENT
Kip Wells297.000$922kFREE AGENT
Mark DeRosa318.000$675kFREE AGENT
D'Angelo Jimenez287.000$536kFREE AGENT
Adrian Brown329.000$425kFREE AGENT
Matt Stairs3814.000$300kFREE AGENT
Brian Shouse3713.000$67kFREE AGENT
Eric Young Sr.3914.000$47kFREE AGENT
Ron Mahay3511.000$647kFREE AGENT
John Wasdin3311.000FREE AGENT
Bryan Corey328.000FREE AGENT
Adam Hyzdu346.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Mark Teixeira263.000$6.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Wilkerson295.000$3.9MFREE AGENT
Hank Blalock254.000$3.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Mench284.000$1.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Joaquín Benoit285.000$775kFREE AGENT
R.A. Dickey315.000$380kFREE AGENT
Gerald Laird263.000$332kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Laynce Nix253.000$164kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Ojeda313.000$58kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rick Bauer295.000FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Akinori Otsuka342.000$1.8MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kameron Loe242.000$349kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Frank Francisco262.000$332kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
C.J. Wilson251.000$331kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Feldman231.000$329kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Koronka251.000$329kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Rupe231.000$328kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nelson Cruz251.000$327kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ian Kinsler240.000$327kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Masset240.000$327kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fabio Castro210.000$65kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Rheinecker270.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Freddy Guzman25
Robinson Tejeda241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Botts251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joaquin Arias210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Meyer24
Edinson Volquez221.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wes Littleton23

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rangers 2006; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3