RRosternomics

Rays TBR

GM: Chuck Lamar

Overview

WINDOW → steady
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.43× league · TAB +1.7
+1.7TAB — talent above budget14th/30
-3.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)20th/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars26th/30
-4.6dead WAR — sub-replacement drag17th/30
61%dead money %30th/30
0.414win %27th/30
25.5roster fWAR23rd/30
+14surplus $M (value vs cost)6th/30
$31Mpayroll $M30th/30

Roster

CFDamon Hollins 80GJoey Gathright 70GReggie Taylor 9G
LFCarl Crawford 147GJonny Gomes 14GDamon Hollins 8G
RFAubrey Huff 97GDamon Hollins 48GJonny Gomes 36G
SSJulio Lugo 156GAlex Gonzalez 12GFernando Cortez 2G
2BNick Green 91GJorge Cantu 80GFernando Cortez 3G
3BAlex Gonzalez 98GJorge Cantu 62GNick Green 13G
1BTravis Lee 124GEduardo Perez 49GAubrey Huff 25G
STARTERSScott Kazmir 3.6WARMark Hendrickson 1.6WARCasey Fossum 1.5WARDoug Waechter 0.5WARHideo Nomo 0.0WAR
CToby Hall 135GPete Laforest 21GCharles Johnson 19G
DHJonny Gomes 49GJosh Phelps 42GAubrey Huff 33G
BULLPEN Danys Baez 41svJoe Borowski 20hChad Orvella 14hTrever Miller 11hTravis Harper 11hLance Carter 5hJesus Colome 2hTim Corcoran 0h
CToby Hall 135 · Pete Laforest 21 · Charles Johnson 19
1BTravis Lee 124 · Eduardo Perez 49 · Aubrey Huff 25
2BNick Green 91 · Jorge Cantu 80 · Fernando Cortez 3
3BAlex Gonzalez 98 · Jorge Cantu 62 · Nick Green 13
SSJulio Lugo 156 · Alex Gonzalez 12 · Fernando Cortez 2
LFCarl Crawford 147 · Jonny Gomes 14 · Damon Hollins 8
CFDamon Hollins 80 · Joey Gathright 70 · Reggie Taylor 9
RFAubrey Huff 97 · Damon Hollins 48 · Jonny Gomes 36
DHJonny Gomes 49 · Josh Phelps 42 · Aubrey Huff 33
SPScott Kazmir 3.6 · Mark Hendrickson 1.6 · Casey Fossum 1.5 · Doug Waechter 0.5 · Hideo Nomo 0.0
BP Danys Baez 41 · Joe Borowski 20 · Chad Orvella 14 · Trever Miller 11 · Travis Harper 11 · Lance Carter 5 · Jesus Colome 2 · Tim Corcoran 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2005 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Carl Crawford 23 arb 1564.8 0.4 +8.7
Julio Lugo 29 arb 1584.6 3.2 +5.4
Scott Kazmir 21 pre-arb 323.6 0.3 +6.5
Jonny Gomes 24 1012.7 0.3 +4.8
Alex Gonzalez 32 FA-elig 1092.1 1.8 +2.3
Mark Hendrickson 31 arb 311.6 0.4 +2.6
Casey Fossum 27 arb 361.5 0.9 +1.8
Toby Hall 29 arb 1351.5 1.9 +0.8
Joey Gathright 24 761.4
Nick Green 26 pre-arb 1111.2 0.3 +1.9
Jorge Cantu 23 pre-arb 1501.1 0.3 +1.7
Travis Lee 30 FA-elig 1291.0 1.3 +0.6
Doug Waechter 24 290.5
Eduardo Perez 35 FA-elig 770.5 0.9 +0.0
Chad Orvella 24 370.5
Danys Baez 27 arb 670.4 3.8 -3.1
Chris Singleton 32 FA-elig 280.3 0.6 -0.1
Joe Borowski↔ CHC 34 FA-elig 320.2 1.7 -1.3
Aubrey Huff 28 arb 1540.2 4.9 -4.6
Damon Hollins 31 1200.2
Josh Phelps 27 arb 470.1 0.8 -0.5
Alex Sanchez↔ SFG 28 arb 430.1 0.2 -0.0
Tim Corcoran 27 100.1
Kevin Cash 27 arb 130.1 0.3 -0.2
Hideo Nomo 36 FA-elig 190.0 0.8 -0.8
Charles Johnson 33 19-0.0
Tim Laker 35 1-0.0
Joe Beimel 28 7-0.0 0.3 -0.4
Franklin Nunez 28 pre-arb 5-0.0 0.3 -0.4
Jon Switzer 25 2-0.0
Reggie Taylor 28 11-0.1
Lee Gardner 30 5-0.1
Seth McClung 24 pre-arb 34-0.1 0.3 -0.5
John Webb 26 1-0.1
Lance Carter 30 FA-elig 39-0.2 0.4 -0.7
Eric Munson 27 11-0.2
Fernando Cortez 23 8-0.2
Jesus Colome 27 arb 36-0.3 0.6 -1.1
Trever Miller 32 FA-elig 61-0.3 1.1 -1.7
Pete Laforest 27 25-0.4
Rob Bell 28 arb 8-0.5 0.8 -1.7
Travis Harper 29 arb 52-0.9 0.7 -2.5
Dewon Brazelton 25 arb 20-1.1 1.1 -3.2

Key additions (new vs 2004)

PlayerfWAR
Alex Gonzalez2.1
Casey Fossum1.5
Nick Green1.2
Travis Lee1.0
Chad Orvella0.5
Chris Singleton0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2004)

Player2004 fWAR
Rocco Baldelli2.2
José Cruz Jr.2.0
Tino Martinez1.7
Rey Sanchez1.0
Victor Zambrano0.5
John Halama0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2005 payroll
$30.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 2005, 2005–2011. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Alex Gonzalez3211.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Joe Borowski3410.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
Travis Lee307.000$1.3M$2.5MFREE AGENT
Trever Miller329.000$1.1MFREE AGENT$1.6M
Eduardo Perez3512.000$950kFREE AGENT
Hideo Nomo3610.000$800kFREE AGENT
Chris Singleton326.000$550kFREE AGENT
Lance Carter306.000$361kFREE AGENT
Charles Johnson3311.000FREE AGENT
Tim Laker3513.000FREE AGENT
Damon Hollins317.000$346kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Aubrey Huff285.000$4.9MFREE AGENT
Danys Baez274.000$3.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Julio Lugo295.000$3.2MFREE AGENT
Toby Hall295.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Dewon Brazelton253.000$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Casey Fossum274.000$950kARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Bell285.000$800kFREE AGENT
Josh Phelps275.000$800kFREE AGENT
Travis Harper295.000$745kFREE AGENT
Jesus Colome274.000$600kARB 3FREE AGENT
Carl Crawford233.000$370kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Hendrickson313.000$362kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Cash273.000$328kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Beimel284.000$316kARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Sanchez284.000$219kARB 3FREE AGENT
Reggie Taylor285.000FREE AGENT
Eric Munson275.000FREE AGENT
Lee Gardner303.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Nick Green261.000$325kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seth McClung242.000$320kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Cantu231.000$317kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonny Gomes242.000$316kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Franklin Nunez281.000$316kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Kazmir211.000$316kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jon Switzer252.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Webb26
Pete Laforest27
Doug Waechter242.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Gathright241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Corcoran27
Chad Orvella24
Fernando Cortez23

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rays 2005; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3