Rosternomics

Cardinals STL

201686–76 (0.531)
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GM: John Mozeliak

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2016, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$136M
Win %
0.531
TAB
+6.9
WAB
+3.0
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
42.1
Dead money %
14%
Depth Players
9.0
Dead WAR
-1.8

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2016 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RYadier Molina146
REric Fryer24
RAlberto Rosario17
RCarson Kelly10
BBrayan Peña3
RMichael McKenry3

1B

LMatt Adams86
LBrandon Moss64
LMatt Carpenter45
RJedd Gyorko11
RMatt Holliday10
RYadier Molina2
BBrayan Peña1
RJosé A. Martínez1
RStephen Piscotty1

2B

LKolten Wong88
RJedd Gyorko46
LMatt Carpenter40
LGreg Garcia26
RAledmys Díaz1

3B

RJhonny Peralta67
LMatt Carpenter54
RJedd Gyorko39
LGreg Garcia31
RAlberto Rosario1

SS

RAledmys Díaz106
LGreg Garcia30
RJedd Gyorko26
RJhonny Peralta7
RRubén Tejada7

LF

RMatt Holliday85
LBrandon Moss58
LJeremy Hazelbaker52
RTommy Pham30
LKolten Wong6
RJosé A. Martínez4
RRandal Grichuk4

CF

RRandal Grichuk115
RTommy Pham34
LJeremy Hazelbaker21
RStephen Piscotty10
LKolten Wong8

RF

RStephen Piscotty146
LBrandon Moss21
LJeremy Hazelbaker6
RTommy Pham5
LKolten Wong4
RRandal Grichuk3

DH

RMatt Holliday8
RJhonny Peralta1
LMatt Carpenter1

Starters

RAdam Wainwright3.7 WAR
RCarlos Martinez3.6 WAR
RMike Leake2.5 WAR
RMichael Wacha1.5 WAR
RAlex Reyes1.2 WAR
LJaime Garcia1.2 WAR
RLuke Weaver0.6 WAR
RMike Mayers-0.4 WAR

Bullpen

RSeunghwan Oh19 sv
LZach Duke26 h
LKevin Siegrist17 h
RMatt Bowman13 h
RJonathan Broxton12 h
LTyler Lyons4 h
RSeth Maness1 h
RTrevor Rosenthal0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2015)

PlayerfWAR
Aledmys Díaz3.1
Jedd Gyorko2.6
Seunghwan Oh2.5
Mike Leake2.5
Alex Reyes1.2
Matt Bowman0.7

Key subtractions (gone from 2015)

Player2015 fWAR
Jason Heyward5.6
John Lackey3.5
Tim Cooney0.6
Randy Choate0.1
Cody Stanley0.1
Matt Belisle0.1

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Cardinals. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2016; everyone else is shown as a 2016 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Carlos Martinez 2016 +3.6 +62.5 0.5 +61.9 $0.2M 2.19×
Seunghwan Oh 2016 +2.5 +52.3 2.5 +49.8 $1.0M 2.57×
Adam Wainwright 2016 +3.7 +64.2 19.5 +44.7 $5.3M 2.19×
Stephen Piscotty 2016 +2.7 +35.1 0.5 +34.6 $0.2M 1.60×
Matt Carpenter 2016 +4.0 +40.0 6.5 +33.5 $1.6M 1.25×
Mike Leake 2016 +2.5 +39.8 12.0 +27.8 $4.7M 1.96×
Aledmys Díaz 2016 +3.1 +29.2 2.5 +26.7 $0.8M 1.18×
Yadier Molina 2016 +4.5 +40.7 14.0 +26.7 $3.1M 1.12×
Jedd Gyorko 2016 +2.6 +22.7 4.0 +18.7 $1.5M 1.07×
Michael Wacha 2016 +1.5 +18.2 0.5 +17.7 $0.4M 1.49× Extension · 2026–2027 · $17.0M AAV
Randal Grichuk 2016 +1.7 +16.3 0.5 +15.7 $0.3M 1.22× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Alex Reyes 2016 +1.2 +6.4 0.2 +6.3 $0.1M 0.67×
Luke Weaver 2016 +0.6 +5.2 0.1 +5.1 $0.2M 1.02× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $11.0M AAV
Greg Garcia 2016 +1.1 +5.1 0.5 +4.6 $0.5M 0.58×
Kolten Wong 2016 +1.0 +4.6 1.2 +3.4 $1.2M 0.56×
Jeremy Hazelbaker 2016 +0.6 +3.8 0.5 +3.3 $0.9M 0.83×
Matt Bowman 2016 +0.7 +3.5 0.5 +3.0 $0.8M 0.67×
Zach Duke 2016 +0.4 +4.8 1.7 +3.0 $3.9M 1.34×
Matt Adams 2016 +0.8 +3.6 1.6 +1.9 $2.1M 0.56×
Tommy Pham 2016 +0.3 +2.1 0.5 +1.6 $1.6M 0.83×
Eric Fryer 2016 +0.3 +1.3 0.2 +1.1 $0.7M 0.52×
Miguel Socolovich 2016 +0.1 +0.5 0.1 +0.4 $1.3M 0.67×
Michael McKenry 2016 -0.0 -0.2 0.0 -0.2 0.52×
Sam Tuivailala 2016 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.2 0.67×
Dean Kiekhefer 2016 -0.0 -0.1 0.2 -0.3 0.67×
Carson Kelly 2016 -0.1 -0.3 0.1 -0.4 0.52× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $5.8M AAV
Alberto Rosario 2016 -0.2 -0.7 0.2 -0.9 0.52×
Seth Maness 2016 +0.1 +0.5 1.4 -0.9 $15.7M 0.67×
Tyler Lyons 2016 -0.1 -0.5 0.5 -1.1 0.67×
Jerome Williams 2016 -0.3 -1.4 0.2 -1.6 0.67×
Mike Mayers 2016 -0.4 -1.9 0.1 -2.0 0.67×
Jaime García 2016 +1.2 +9.4 11.5 -2.1 $10.0M 1.02×
Brandon Moss 2016 +1.2 +5.4 8.2 -2.9 $6.9M 0.56×
Brayan Peña 2016 -0.2 -0.7 2.5 -3.2 0.52×
Jonathan Broxton 2016 +0.1 +0.4 3.8 -3.3 $47.2M 0.67×
Rubén Tejada 2016 -0.5 -2.7 1.0 -3.6 0.61×
Trevor Rosenthal 2016 +0.2 +2.0 5.6 -3.6 $29.8M 1.34×
Jhonny Peralta 2016 +0.5 +2.4 12.5 -10.1 $23.9M 0.58×
Matt Holliday 2016 +0.5 +3.5 17.0 -13.5 $32.1M 0.83×
Kevin Siegrist 2016 +0.1 +0.6 0.5 +0.0 $9.8M 1.34×
José A. Martínez 2016 +0.2 +1.7 0.83×
Total+41.8+479.2135.5+341.6

Trades

Every graded 2016 deal involving the Cardinals — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 2 total.

Current & Historical Payroll

2016 payroll
$135.9M
2017 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2016, 2016–2022. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2016; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Adam Wainwright3410.027$19.5MFREE AGENT
Matt Holliday3612.000$17.0MFREE AGENT
Yadier Molina3311.123$14.0MFREE AGENT
Jhonny Peralta3411.118$12.5MFREE AGENT
Mike Leake286.000$12.0MFREE AGENT
Jaime García297.047$11.5MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Broxton3210.020$3.8MFREE AGENT
Brayan Peña348.081$2.5MFREE AGENT
Zach Duke339.054$1.7MFREE AGENT
Jerome Williams347.043$194kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Brandon Moss325.160$8.2MFREE AGENT
Matt Carpenter304.012$6.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Rosenthal263.058$5.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seunghwan Oh333.000$2.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Adams273.033$1.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rubén Tejada264.171$958kARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael McKenry314.097$31kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (24)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Jedd Gyorko272.164$4.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aledmys Díaz250.000$2.5MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seth Maness272.154$1.4MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kolten Wong252.045$1.2MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Wacha242.062$539kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Siegrist262.116$539kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Martinez242.073$539kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Randal Grichuk241.060$520kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Lyons281.070$512kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stephen Piscotty250.076$512kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Pham280.149$510kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Hazelbaker281.052$507kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Bowman250.000$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Garcia260.110$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alberto Rosario290.000$247kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Fryer302.108$230kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dean Kiekhefer27$227k
Alex Reyes210.000$153kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Weaver220.000$144kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Tuivailala230.075$144kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Socolovich290.156$125kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carson Kelly210.000$80kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Mayers240.000$78kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José A. Martínez270.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2016 acquisition stacked onto Cardinals's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.