Rosternomics
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Cardinals STL

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GM: John Mozeliak (since 2008)

2013 roster — every player, value & surplus

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+16.3
WAB — wins above budget
+9.8
TAB — roster Talent above budget
97–65 (0.599)
record · won pennant
+21M
surplus $M (value/$)
42.8
roster fWAR
$93.9M
payroll
PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Matt Carpenter 27 pre-arb 157 7.2 0.5 +18.7
Yadier Molina 30 FA-elig 136 7.2 14.0 +5.2
Adam Wainwright 31 FA-elig 35 6.6 12.0 +5.6
Matt Holliday 33 FA-elig 141 4.0 17.0 -6.4
Lance Lynn 26 pre-arb 33 3.1 0.5 +7.7
Carlos Beltrán 36 FA-elig 145 2.7 13.0 -5.8
Allen Craig 28 arb 134 2.5 1.8 +5.0
Trevor Rosenthal 23 pre-arb 74 2.1 0.5 +5.2
Shelby Miller 22 pre-arb 31 1.9 0.5 +4.7
Jon Jay 28 arb 157 1.8 0.5 +4.2
Matt Adams 24 pre-arb 108 1.6 0.5 +3.8
Michael Wacha 21 – 15 1.1 0.2 +2.8
Shane Robinson 28 arb 99 0.8 0.5 +1.6
Kevin Siegrist 23 – 45 0.7 0.3 +1.5
Joe Kelly 25 pre-arb 40 0.6 0.5 +1.0
Randy Choate 37 FA-elig 64 0.5 1.5 -0.0
David Freese 30 arb 138 0.5 3.1 -1.9
Tyler Lyons 25 – 12 0.4 0.2 +0.9
Pete Kozma 25 pre-arb 143 0.3 0.5 +0.3
Carlos Martinez 21 – 21 0.3 0.2 +0.5
Jaime García 26 arb 9 0.3 5.8 -5.1
John Axford↔ MIL 30 arb 13 0.2 0.9 -0.3
Seth Maness 24 – 66 0.2 0.4 +0.1
Jake Westbrook 35 FA-elig 21 0.2 8.8 -8.3
Sam Freeman 26 pre-arb 13 0.1 0.1 +0.2
Keith Butler 24 – 16 0.1 0.1 +0.1
Daniel Descalso 26 arb 123 0.1 0.5 -0.3
John Gast 24 – 3 0.0 0.4 -0.3
Edward Mujica 29 FA-elig 65 0.0 3.2 -3.1
Jermaine Curtis 25 pre-arb 5 0.0 0.0 -0.0
Fernando Salas 28 arb 27 0.0 0.5 -0.5
Audry Pérez 24 – 2 -0.0 0.1 -0.1
Marc Rzepczynski↔ CLE 27 arb 11 -0.1 0.3 -0.5
Victor Marte 32 pre-arb 4 -0.1 0.0 -0.3
Maikel Cleto 24 – 1 -0.1 – –
Ryan Jackson 25 pre-arb 7 -0.2 0.5 -1.1
Michael Blazek↔ MIL 24 – 11 -0.3 0.1 -0.8
Kolten Wong 22 – 32 -0.3 0.1 -1.0
Rob Johnson 30 arb 20 -0.4 0.1 -1.1
Adron Chambers 26 pre-arb 25 -0.4 0.1 -1.2
Tony Cruz 26 pre-arb 51 -0.5 0.5 -1.7
Brock Peterson 29 – 23 -0.5 0.1 -1.4
Ty Wigginton 35 FA-elig 47 -0.6 2.5 -4.0
Mitchell Boggs↔ COL 29 arb 18 -0.7 1.0 -3.0

44 players appeared (WAR is complete); salary & surplus are on record for 43 of them (98%). Players without a salary show "–" — no single historical salary source is fully complete (especially 2020–2022).

WAR = FanGraphs (fWAR). Green = produced more value than paid (bargain); red = paid more than produced. Service: pre-arb (<3 yr) / arb (3–6) / FA-eligible (6+). Click headers to sort.

History: front-office performance & develop-vs-buy (1985–2024)

Trade ledger (realized WAR, all-time)

Best acquisitions
PlayerYearWAR for STL
Adam Wainwright200352.6
Ozzie Smith198148.0
Paul Goldschmidt201821.3
Mark McGwire199719.7
Nolan Arenado202118.3
Édgar Rentería199817.4
Carlos Martínez201316.0
José Oquendo198515.3
Ones that got away
PlayerYear tradedWAR elsewhere
Andy Van Slyke198731.1
Lance Johnson198817.3
Keith Hernandez198316.5
David Peralta201414.5
Mike LaValliere198712.9
Jack Wilson200011.0
Marco Gonzales201710.1
Coco Crisp20029.9
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.