RRosternomics
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Giants SFG

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GM: Brian Sabean

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.36× league · TAB -2.7
-2.7TAB — talent above budget20th/30
+0.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)15th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars11th/30
-4.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag13th/30
47%dead money %24th/30
0.531win %11th/30
35.3roster fWAR13th/30
-44surplus $M (value vs cost)24th/30
$130Mpayroll $M5th/30

Roster

CFAndres Torres 106GAaron Rowand 60GCody Ross 22G
LFCody Ross 83GPat Burrell 54GAaron Rowand 46G
RFCarlos Beltrán 134GNate Schierholtz 96GCody Ross 35G
SSBrandon Crawford 65GMiguel Tejada 42GOrlando Cabrera 39G
2BJeff Keppinger 93GOrlando Cabrera 85GFreddy Sanchez 58G
3BPablo Sandoval 106GMiguel Tejada 44GMark DeRosa 16G
1BAubrey Huff 120GBrandon Belt 31GBrett Pill 14G
STARTERSMatt Cain 4.6WARMadison Bumgarner 4.5WARTim Lincecum 3.2WARRyan Vogelsong 2.1WARJonathan Sánchez 0.6WAR
CEli Whiteside 81GChris Stewart 63GBuster Posey 41G
DHAubrey Huff 2GAaron Rowand 2GBill Hall 1G
BULLPEN★ Brian Wilson 36svSergio Romo 23hJavier López 20hJeremy Affeldt 13hRamon E Ramirez 11hSantiago Casilla 6hGuillermo Mota 4hDan Runzler 3h
CEli Whiteside 81 · Chris Stewart 63 · Buster Posey 41
1BAubrey Huff 120 · Brandon Belt 31 · Brett Pill 14
2BJeff Keppinger 93 · Orlando Cabrera 85 · Freddy Sanchez 58
3BPablo Sandoval 106 · Miguel Tejada 44 · Mark DeRosa 16
SSBrandon Crawford 65 · Miguel Tejada 42 · Orlando Cabrera 39
LFCody Ross 83 · Pat Burrell 54 · Aaron Rowand 46
CFAndres Torres 106 · Aaron Rowand 60 · Cody Ross 22
RFCarlos Beltrán 134 · Nate Schierholtz 96 · Cody Ross 35
DHAubrey Huff 2 · Aaron Rowand 2 · Bill Hall 1
SPMatt Cain 4.6 · Madison Bumgarner 4.5 · Tim Lincecum 3.2 · Ryan Vogelsong 2.1 · Jonathan Sánchez 0.6
BP★ Brian Wilson 36 · Sergio Romo 23 · Javier López 20 · Jeremy Affeldt 13 · Ramon E Ramirez 11 · Santiago Casilla 6 · Guillermo Mota 4 · Dan Runzler 3

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2011 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Pablo Sandoval 24 arb 1175.3 0.5 +12.4
Matt Cain 26 FA-elig 354.6 7.3 +4.0
Madison Bumgarner 21 pre-arb 354.5 0.5 +10.5
Tim Lincecum 27 arb 333.2 14.0 -6.2
Chris Stewart 29 pre-arb 672.6 0.4 +6.0
Andres Torres 33 FA-elig 1122.1 2.2 +3.0
Ryan Vogelsong 33 arb 312.1 0.4 +4.8
Sergio Romo 28 arb 652.0 0.5 +4.4
Buster Posey 24 pre-arb 451.7 0.6 +3.7
Nate Schierholtz 27 arb 1151.3 0.4 +2.7
Eli Whiteside 31 FA-elig 821.2 0.4 +2.4
Freddy Sanchez 33 FA-elig 601.1 6.0 -3.3
Carlos Beltrán↔ NYM 34 FA-elig 441.0 6.0 -3.4
Mike Fontenot 31 FA-elig 851.0 1.1 +1.4
Cody Ross 30 FA-elig 1210.7 6.3 -4.6
Ramon E Ramirez 29 arb 660.7 1.6 +0.0
Brandon Belt 23 pre-arb 630.6 0.4 +1.1
Brett Pill 26 pre-arb 150.6 0.4 +1.1
Aaron Rowand 33 FA-elig 1080.6 13.6 -12.1
Jonathan Sánchez 28 arb 190.6 4.8 -3.4
Pat Burrell 34 FA-elig 920.5 1.0 +0.3
Brandon Crawford 24 – 660.4 0.2 +0.8
Santiago Casilla 30 FA-elig 490.4 1.3 -0.3
Javier López 33 FA-elig 700.4 2.4 -1.4
Dan Runzler 26 pre-arb 310.3 0.4 +0.3
Brian Wilson 29 arb 570.3 6.5 -5.9
Darren Ford 25 – 260.2 – –
Conor Gillaspie 23 pre-arb 150.1 0.4 -0.1
Eric Surkamp 23 – 60.0 0.1 +0.0
Justin Christian 31 – 180.0 – –
Waldis Joaquin 24 – 50.0 – –
Jeremy Affeldt 32 FA-elig 67-0.0 4.5 -4.5
Ryan Rohlinger 27 – 1-0.0 – –
Guillermo Mota 37 FA-elig 52-0.1 0.9 -1.1
Mark DeRosa 36 FA-elig 47-0.1 6.0 -6.3
Miguel Tejada 37 FA-elig 91-0.2 6.5 -6.9
Héctor Sánchez 21 – 13-0.2 0.4 -0.9
Steve Edlefsen 26 pre-arb 13-0.4 0.4 -1.4
Jeff Keppinger↔ HOU 31 FA-elig 56-0.5 1.3 -2.4
Emmanuel Burriss 26 arb 59-0.6 0.4 -1.8
Orlando Cabrera↔ CLE 36 FA-elig 39-0.6 0.3 -1.7
Bill Hall↔ HOU 31 FA-elig 16-0.6 0.8 -2.3
Barry Zito 33 FA-elig 13-0.7 18.5 -20.3
Aubrey Huff 34 FA-elig 150-0.9 10.0 -12.3

Key additions (new vs 2010)

PlayerfWAR
Chris Stewart2.6
Ryan Vogelsong2.1
Carlos Beltrán1.0
Brandon Belt0.6
Brett Pill0.6
Brandon Crawford0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2010)

Player2010 fWAR
Juan Uribe2.8
Edgar Renteria1.2
Matt Downs0.4
Chris Ray0.2
Eugenio Velez0.1
Travis Ishikawa-0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2011 payroll
$129.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 2011, 2011–2017. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Barry Zito3310.072$18.5M$19.0M$20.0MFREE AGENT
Aaron Rowand3310.000$13.6MFREE AGENT
Aubrey Huff3410.003$10.0M$10.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Cain2611.038$7.3M$15.0M$20.0M$20.0M$21.0M$21.0M$21.0M
Miguel Tejada3713.033$6.5MFREE AGENT
Freddy Sanchez337.052$6.0MFREE AGENT
Mark DeRosa3610.061$6.0MFREE AGENT
Carlos Beltrán3412.014$6.0MFREE AGENT
Jeremy Affeldt329.000$4.5M$5.0M$6.0M$6.0M$6.0MFREE AGENT
Javier López3310.167$2.4M$4.2M$4.2M$4.0M$4.0M$5.0MFREE AGENT
Pat Burrell3411.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Guillermo Mota3710.159$925k$1.0MFREE AGENT
Bill Hall317.099$774kFREE AGENT
Orlando Cabrera3612.123$300kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Tim Lincecum273.148$14.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Wilson293.169$6.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cody Ross305.058$6.3MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Sánchez284.071$4.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Andres Torres333.115$2.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramon E Ramirez295.000$1.6MFREE AGENT
Jeff Keppinger314.052$1.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Santiago Casilla303.148$1.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Fontenot313.139$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Vogelsong334.027$414kARB 3FREE AGENT
Emmanuel Burriss264.100$414kARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Rohlinger273.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (18)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Buster Posey240.161$575kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pablo Sandoval242.047$500kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Madison Bumgarner210.127$450kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sergio Romo282.097$450kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nate Schierholtz272.078$432kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eli Whiteside312.012$425kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Runzler261.033$418kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Stewart290.137$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Conor Gillaspie230.023$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Belt230.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Edlefsen260.039$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Pill260.142$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Héctor Sánchez210.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Crawford240.000$213kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Surkamp230.000$75kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Christian31–—
Darren Ford25–—
Waldis Joaquin242.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Giants 2011; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.