RRosternomics

Giants SFG

GM: Brian Sabean

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.28× league · TAB -12.6
-12.6TAB — talent above budget27th/30
-10.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)27th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars15th/30
-7.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag28th/30
34%dead money %21st/30
0.463win %21st/30
24.7roster fWAR25th/30
-46surplus $M (value vs cost)28th/30
$92Mpayroll $M5th/30

Roster

CFJason Ellison 78GRandy Winn 61GMarquis Grissom 34G
LFPedro Feliz 75GMoises Alou 74GTodd Linden 18G
RFMichael Tucker 64GMoises Alou 53GTodd Linden 40G
SSOmar Vizquel 150GAngel Chavez 4GBrian Dallimore 1G
2BRay Durham 133GAngel Chavez 5GEdgardo Alfonzo 2G
3BEdgardo Alfonzo 97GPedro Feliz 79GDeivi Cruz 5G
1BJ.T. Snow 108GLance Niekro 74GPedro Feliz 15G
STARTERSNoah Lowry 4.3WARJason Schmidt 2.7WARBrett Tomko 2.3WARJeff Fassero 0.7WARMatt Cain 0.6WAR
CMike Matheny 132GYamid Haad 16GJustin Knoedler 4G
DHAlex Sanchez 8GMichael Tucker 4GMoises Alou 3G
BULLPEN Tyler Walker 23svScott Eyre 32hLaTroy Hawkins 15hScott Munter 12hJeremy Accardo 4hJack Taschner 3hArmando Benítez 0hAl Levine 0h
CMike Matheny 132 · Yamid Haad 16 · Justin Knoedler 4
1BJ.T. Snow 108 · Lance Niekro 74 · Pedro Feliz 15
2BRay Durham 133 · Angel Chavez 5 · Edgardo Alfonzo 2
3BEdgardo Alfonzo 97 · Pedro Feliz 79 · Deivi Cruz 5
SSOmar Vizquel 150 · Angel Chavez 4 · Brian Dallimore 1
LFPedro Feliz 75 · Moises Alou 74 · Todd Linden 18
CFJason Ellison 78 · Randy Winn 61 · Marquis Grissom 34
RFMichael Tucker 64 · Moises Alou 53 · Todd Linden 40
DHAlex Sanchez 8 · Michael Tucker 4 · Moises Alou 3
SPNoah Lowry 4.3 · Jason Schmidt 2.7 · Brett Tomko 2.3 · Jeff Fassero 0.7 · Matt Cain 0.6
BP Tyler Walker 23 · Scott Eyre 32 · LaTroy Hawkins 15 · Scott Munter 12 · Jeremy Accardo 4 · Jack Taschner 3 · Armando Benítez 0 · Al Levine 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2005 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Noah Lowry 24 pre-arb 344.3 0.3 +7.8
Randy Winn↔ SEA 31 FA-elig 583.6 1.4 +5.5
Moises Alou 38 FA-elig 1233.3 7.2 -1.0
Ray Durham 33 FA-elig 1422.8 7.2 -1.9
Jason Schmidt 32 FA-elig 292.7 8.2 -3.0
Brett Tomko 32 FA-elig 332.3 2.6 +1.7
Omar Vizquel 38 FA-elig 1522.3 3.2 +1.1
Pedro Feliz 30 arb 1561.9 2.3 +1.2
Scott Eyre 33 FA-elig 861.5 1.5 +1.3
Mike Matheny 34 FA-elig 1341.0 2.0 -0.1
Jeff Fassero 42 FA-elig 480.7 0.5 +0.9
J.T. Snow 37 FA-elig 1170.7 2.0 -0.6
Barry Bonds 40 FA-elig 140.7 22.0 -20.8
Brad Hennessey 25 210.6
Matt Cain 20 70.6
Jason Ellison 27 pre-arb 1310.4 0.3 +0.5
Jack Taschner 27 240.4
LaTroy Hawkins↔ CHC 32 FA-elig 450.4 3.1 -2.3
Brian Cooper 30 80.3
Scott Munter 25 450.3
Deivi Cruz↔ WSN 32 FA-elig 810.2 0.6 -0.2
Jeremy Accardo 23 280.2
Lance Niekro 26 1130.2
Yorvit Torrealba↔ SEA 26 arb 340.2 0.3 +0.1
Jerome Williams↔ CHC 23 pre-arb 40.2 0.1 +0.3
Todd Linden 25 600.1
Kirk Rueter 34 FA-elig 210.0 7.1 -7.1
Brian Dallimore 31 7-0.1
Doug Clark 29 8-0.1
Tony Torcato 25 arb 11-0.1 0.3 -0.5
Julio Ramirez 27 12-0.1
Jason Christiansen↔ ANA 35 FA-elig 56-0.1 0.9 -1.0
Daniel Ortmeier 24 15-0.1
Matt Herges↔ ARI 35 FA-elig 21-0.1 1.2 -1.4
Justin Knoedler 24 8-0.1
Brandon Puffer 29 3-0.1
Al Levine 37 9-0.2
Matt Kinney 28 5-0.2
Tyler Walker 29 arb 67-0.2 0.3 -0.7
Angel Chavez 23 10-0.2
Adam Shabala 27 6-0.2
Armando Benitez 32 FA-elig 30-0.2 5.0 -5.4
Michael Tucker↔ PHI 34 FA-elig 104-0.3 1.7 -2.2
Jesse Foppert 24 3-0.3
Yamid Haad 27 17-0.3
Jim Brower↔ ATL 32 FA-elig 32-0.4 0.5 -1.3
Kevin Correia 24 16-0.4
Alex Sanchez↔ TBR 28 arb 19-0.6 0.1 -1.2
Edgardo Alfonzo 31 FA-elig 109-0.8 7.5 -8.9
Marquis Grissom 38 FA-elig 44-2.3 2.8 -7.0

Key additions (new vs 2004)

PlayerfWAR
Randy Winn3.6
Moises Alou3.3
Omar Vizquel2.3
Mike Matheny1.0
Jeff Fassero0.7
Matt Cain0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 2004)

Player2004 fWAR
Dustin Hermanson1.6
Dustan Mohr1.4
A.J. Pierzynski0.5
Jeffrey Hammonds0.2
Damon Minor0.1
Leo Estrella0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2005 payroll
$92.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 2005, 2005–2011. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (23)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Barry Bonds4019.000$22.0M$19.3M$15.5MFREE AGENT
Jason Schmidt3210.000$8.2M$10.5MFREE AGENT
Edgardo Alfonzo3110.000$7.5MFREE AGENT
Moises Alou3815.000$7.2M$5.8MFREE AGENT
Ray Durham3310.000$7.2M$7.0M$7.0M$5.1MFREE AGENT
Kirk Rueter3412.000$7.1MFREE AGENT
Armando Benitez3211.000$5.0M$6.3M$6.5MFREE AGENT
Omar Vizquel3816.000$3.2M$3.6M$5.1M$5.0MFREE AGENT
LaTroy Hawkins3210.000$3.1MFREE AGENT
Marquis Grissom3816.000$2.8MFREE AGENT
Brett Tomko328.000$2.6MFREE AGENT
Mike Matheny3411.000$2.0M$3.4MFREE AGENT
J.T. Snow3713.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Michael Tucker3410.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
Scott Eyre338.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Randy Winn317.000$1.4M$5.8M$4.8M$8.9M$9.6MFREE AGENT
Matt Herges356.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Jason Christiansen3510.000$865kFREE AGENT
Deivi Cruz328.000$642kFREE AGENT
Jim Brower326.000$539kFREE AGENT
Jeff Fassero4214.000$500k$750kFREE AGENT
Al Levine379.000FREE AGENT
Julio Ramirez276.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (6)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Pedro Feliz305.000$2.3MFREE AGENT
Tyler Walker293.000$326kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yorvit Torrealba264.000$320kARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Torcato253.000$318kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Sanchez284.000$97kARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Kinney285.000FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Noah Lowry242.000$322kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Ellison272.000$316kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jerome Williams232.000$61kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Cooper30
Yamid Haad27
Doug Clark29
Brandon Puffer29
Lance Niekro262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesse Foppert242.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Linden252.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Shabala27
Angel Chavez23
Kevin Correia242.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Knoedler24
Brian Dallimore31
Matt Cain200.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Hennessey251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Ortmeier240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Munter250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Accardo230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Taschner270.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Giants 2005; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3