RRosternomics
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Mariners SEA

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GM: Bill Bavasi

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↗ rising
expensive & losing · year 4 in this regime · payroll 1.29× league · TAB -7.9
-7.9TAB — talent above budget26th/30
+2.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)12th/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars6th/30
-4.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag20th/30
26%dead money %12th/30
0.543win %9th/30
29.5roster fWAR17th/30
-48surplus $M (value vs cost)28th/30
$106Mpayroll $M7th/30

Roster

CFIchiro Suzuki 155GWillie Bloomquist 7GAdam Jones 7G
LFRaul Ibanez 131GAdam Jones 26GWillie Bloomquist 13G
RFJose Guillen 150GBen Broussard 12GAdam Jones 6G
SSYuniesky Betancourt 152GWillie Bloomquist 20GNick Green 3G
2BJose Lopez 146GWillie Bloomquist 20GJose Vidro 10G
3BAdrian Beltré 147GWillie Bloomquist 20GMichael Morse 3G
1BRichie Sexson 116GBen Broussard 52GJose Vidro 11G
STARTERSFélix Hernández 3.5WARMiguel Batista 2.1WARJarrod Washburn 2.1WARCha Seung Baek 1.5WARJeff Weaver 1.0WAR
CKenji Johjima 133GJamie Burke 48GRob Johnson 4G
DHJose Vidro 122GRaul Ibanez 13GIchiro Suzuki 6G
BULLPEN★ J.J. Putz 40svGeorge Sherrill 22hBrandon Morrow 18hSean Green 13hJohn Parrish 10hEric O'Flaherty 4hRick White 4hRyan Rowland-Smith 3h
CKenji Johjima 133 · Jamie Burke 48 · Rob Johnson 4
1BRichie Sexson 116 · Ben Broussard 52 · Jose Vidro 11
2BJose Lopez 146 · Willie Bloomquist 20 · Jose Vidro 10
3BAdrian Beltré 147 · Willie Bloomquist 20 · Michael Morse 3
SSYuniesky Betancourt 152 · Willie Bloomquist 20 · Nick Green 3
LFRaul Ibanez 131 · Adam Jones 26 · Willie Bloomquist 13
CFIchiro Suzuki 155 · Willie Bloomquist 7 · Adam Jones 7
RFJose Guillen 150 · Ben Broussard 12 · Adam Jones 6
DHJose Vidro 122 · Raul Ibanez 13 · Ichiro Suzuki 6
SPFélix Hernández 3.5 · Miguel Batista 2.1 · Jarrod Washburn 2.1 · Cha Seung Baek 1.5 · Jeff Weaver 1.0
BP★ J.J. Putz 40 · George Sherrill 22 · Brandon Morrow 18 · Sean Green 13 · John Parrish 10 · Eric O'Flaherty 4 · Rick White 4 · Ryan Rowland-Smith 3

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2007 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Ichiro Suzuki 33 FA-elig 1616.1 12.5 +0.7
Félix Hernández 21 pre-arb 303.5 0.4 +7.1
Adrian Beltré 28 FA-elig 1492.9 12.9 -6.6
Kenji Johjima 31 pre-arb 1352.5 5.9 -0.7
Jose Guillen 31 FA-elig 1532.2 5.0 -0.3
Jarrod Washburn 32 FA-elig 322.1 9.8 -5.2
Miguel Batista 36 FA-elig 332.1 6.0 -1.5
J.J. Putz 30 arb 682.1 2.7 +1.8
Cha Seung Baek 27 – 141.5 – –
Yuniesky Betancourt 25 pre-arb 1551.5 0.7 +2.5
George Sherrill 30 arb 731.1 0.4 +2.0
Jose Vidro 32 FA-elig 1471.0 7.5 -5.3
Jeff Weaver 30 FA-elig 271.0 8.3 -6.2
Raul Ibanez 35 FA-elig 1490.9 5.5 -3.6
Sean Green 28 – 640.7 – –
Eric O'Flaherty 22 – 560.6 0.4 +0.9
Jamie Burke 35 FA-elig 500.4 0.4 +0.4
Brandon Morrow 22 pre-arb 600.3 0.4 +0.3
Michael Morse 25 – 90.3 – –
Jeff Clement 23 – 90.3 – –
Ryan Rowland-Smith 24 – 260.3 – –
Charlton Jimerson 27 – 110.2 – –
Adam Jones 21 – 410.2 0.4 +0.0
Julio Mateo 29 arb 90.2 1.1 -0.7
Wladimir Balentien 22 – 30.1 – –
Jon Huber 25 – 90.1 – –
John Parrish↔ BAL 29 FA-elig 80.1 0.1 +0.1
Rob Johnson 24 – 60.0 – –
Rick White↔ HOU 38 FA-elig 60.0 0.1 -0.1
Horacio Ramirez 27 arb 20-0.0 2.6 -2.7
Chris Reitsma 29 FA-elig 26-0.1 1.4 -1.5
Jorge Campillo 28 – 5-0.1 – –
Nick Green 28 – 6-0.1 – –
Jake Woods 25 – 4-0.1 – –
Mark Lowe 24 pre-arb 4-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Sean White 26 pre-arb 15-0.2 0.4 -0.9
Jason Ellison↔ CIN 29 arb 63-0.2 0.2 -0.8
Willie Bloomquist 29 arb 91-0.3 0.9 -1.5
Ben Broussard 30 arb 99-0.3 3.5 -4.2
Jeremy Reed 26 – 13-0.4 – –
Jason Davis↔ CLE 27 arb 16-0.4 0.4 -1.2
Ryan Feierabend 21 – 13-0.5 – –
Jose Lopez 23 arb 149-0.6 0.4 -1.6
Richie Sexson 32 FA-elig 121-1.5 15.5 -18.8

Key additions (new vs 2006)

PlayerfWAR
Jose Guillen2.2
Miguel Batista2.1
Jose Vidro1.0
Jeff Weaver1.0
Jamie Burke0.4
Brandon Morrow0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2006)

Player2006 fWAR
Gil Meche1.8
Jamie Moyer1.2
Rafael Soriano1.1
Chris Snelling0.5
Joel Pineiro0.3
Greg Dobbs0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2007 payroll
$106.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 2007, 2007–2013. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Richie Sexson3210.000$15.5M$11.9MFREE AGENT
Adrian Beltré289.000$12.9M$13.4M$13.4MFREE AGENT
Ichiro Suzuki336.000$12.5M$17.1M$18.0M$18.0M$18.0M$10.0MFREE AGENT
Jarrod Washburn329.000$9.8M$9.8M$7.0MFREE AGENT
Jeff Weaver308.000$8.3MFREE AGENT
Jose Vidro3210.000$7.5M$8.5MFREE AGENT
Miguel Batista3615.000$6.0M$9.5M$9.5MFREE AGENT
Raul Ibanez3511.000$5.5M$5.5MFREE AGENT$2.8M
Jose Guillen3110.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Chris Reitsma296.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Jamie Burke356.000$380k$435kFREE AGENT
Rick White3813.000$124kFREE AGENT
John Parrish297.000$87kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Ben Broussard305.000$3.5MFREE AGENT
J.J. Putz304.000$2.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Horacio Ramirez274.000$2.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Julio Mateo295.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Willie Bloomquist295.000$875kFREE AGENT
Jason Davis275.000$447kFREE AGENT
Jose Lopez233.000$420kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
George Sherrill303.000$395kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Ellison294.000$246kARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Green283.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Reed263.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cha Seung Baek273.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Kenji Johjima311.000$5.9MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yuniesky Betancourt252.000$728kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Félix Hernández212.000$420kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Jones211.000$390kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Morrow220.000$380kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Lowe241.000$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric O'Flaherty221.000$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean White260.000$380kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charlton Jimerson272.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Woods252.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Morse252.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wladimir Balentien220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Rowland-Smith240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Green281.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Campillo282.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jon Huber25–—
Rob Johnson240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Feierabend21–—
Jeff Clement230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mariners 2007; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.