RRosternomics

Mariners SEA

GM: Woody Woodward

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.9× league · TAB +3.5
+3.5TAB — talent above budget9th/28
-6.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)24th/28
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars13th/28
-5.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag19th/28
21%dead money %5th/28
0.438win %25th/28
25.2roster fWAR9th/28
+1surplus $M (value vs cost)7th/28
$29Mpayroll $M20th/28

Roster

CFKen Griffey Jr. 103GBrian Turang 12GEric Anthony 5G
LFEric Anthony 62GKeith Mitchell 26GBrian Turang 20G
RFJay Buhner 95GKeith Mitchell 11GEric Anthony 10G
SSFelix Fermin 77GLuis Sojo 24GAlex Rodriguez 17G
2BRich Amaral 42GLuis Sojo 40GFelix Fermin 25G
3BEdgar Martinez 64GMike Blowers 48GTorey Lovullo 5G
1BTino Martinez 82GMike Blowers 20GReggie Jefferson 13G
STARTERSRandy Johnson 5.2WARChris Bosio 1.7WARGreg Hibbard 0.6WARDave Fleming 0.5WARRoger Salkeld 0.3WAR
CDan Wilson 91GBill Haselman 33GChris Howard 9G
DHReggie Jefferson 30GEdgar Martinez 23GKen Griffey Jr. 9G
BULLPEN Bobby Ayala 18svTim Davis 0hBill Risley 0hRich Gossage 0hJeff Nelson 0hMilt Hill 0hKevin King 0hBob Wells 0h
CDan Wilson 91 · Bill Haselman 33 · Chris Howard 9
1BTino Martinez 82 · Mike Blowers 20 · Reggie Jefferson 13
2BRich Amaral 42 · Luis Sojo 40 · Felix Fermin 25
3BEdgar Martinez 64 · Mike Blowers 48 · Torey Lovullo 5
SSFelix Fermin 77 · Luis Sojo 24 · Alex Rodriguez 17
LFEric Anthony 62 · Keith Mitchell 26 · Brian Turang 20
CFKen Griffey Jr. 103 · Brian Turang 12 · Eric Anthony 5
RFJay Buhner 95 · Keith Mitchell 11 · Eric Anthony 10
DHReggie Jefferson 30 · Edgar Martinez 23 · Ken Griffey Jr. 9
SPRandy Johnson 5.2 · Chris Bosio 1.7 · Greg Hibbard 0.6 · Dave Fleming 0.5 · Roger Salkeld 0.3
BP Bobby Ayala 18 · Tim Davis 0 · Bill Risley 0 · Rich Gossage 0 · Jeff Nelson 0 · Milt Hill 0 · Kevin King 0 · Bob Wells 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1994 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Ken Griffey Jr. 24 arb 1116.8 5.1 +2.8
Randy Johnson 30 FA-elig 235.2 3.3 +2.7
Edgar Martinez 31 FA-elig 893.0 3.3 +0.2
Jay Buhner 29 FA-elig 1012.5 4.3 -1.5
Bobby Ayala 24 pre-arb 462.2 0.2 +2.3
Chris Bosio 31 FA-elig 191.7 4.0 -2.0
Tino Martinez 26 arb 971.3 0.5 +1.0
Reggie Jefferson 25 arb 631.2 0.2 +1.2
Luis Sojo 29 arb 630.9 0.2 +0.8
Bill Risley 27 pre-arb 370.9 0.1 +1.0
Mike Blowers 29 arb 850.8 0.3 +0.7
Greg Hibbard 29 arb 150.6 1.2 -0.5
Dave Fleming 24 arb 230.5 0.5 +0.0
Jeff Nelson 27 pre-arb 280.4 0.2 +0.2
Greg Pirkl 23 pre-arb 190.3 0.1 +0.3
Roger Salkeld 23 130.3
Tim Davis 23 pre-arb 420.3 0.1 +0.2
John Cummings 25 pre-arb 170.3 0.1 +0.2
Jim Converse 22 pre-arb 130.2 0.1 +0.2
Bob Wells↔ PHI 27 pre-arb 10.2 0.0 +0.2
Rich Gossage 42 360.1
Keith Mitchell 24 arb 460.1 0.1 +0.0
Torey Lovullo 28 FA-elig 360.1 0.2 -0.0
Jerry Willard 34 60.1
Chris Howard 28 9-0.0
Dale Sveum 30 10-0.1
Erik Plantenberg 25 6-0.1
Milt Hill↔ ATL 28 arb 13-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Shawn Boskie↔ CHC 27 arb 2-0.1 0.0 -0.1
Jeff Darwin 24 pre-arb 2-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Mackey Sasser 31 FA-elig 3-0.1 0.6 -0.7
Quinn Mack 28 5-0.1
Felix Fermin 30 FA-elig 101-0.2 1.0 -1.2
Kevin King 25 pre-arb 19-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Darren Bragg 24 8-0.2
George Glinatsis 25 2-0.2
Alex Rodriguez 18 pre-arb 17-0.3 0.4 -0.8
Bobby Thigpen 30 FA-elig 7-0.3 0.2 -0.5
Bill Haselman 28 arb 38-0.4 0.2 -0.6
Rich Amaral 32 arb 77-0.4 0.2 -0.7
Marc Newfield 21 pre-arb 12-0.4 0.1 -0.6
Brian Turang 27 pre-arb 38-0.5 0.1 -0.7
Dan Wilson 25 pre-arb 91-0.5 0.1 -0.8
Eric Anthony 26 arb 79-0.7 1.1 -1.9

Key additions (new vs 1993)

PlayerfWAR
Bobby Ayala2.2
Reggie Jefferson1.2
Luis Sojo0.9
Bill Risley0.9
Greg Hibbard0.6
Tim Davis0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 1993)

Player1993 fWAR
Erik Hanson4.9
Dave Valle3.3
Omar Vizquel1.7
Greg Litton1.2
Tim Leary0.8
Norm Charlton0.8

Current & Historical Payroll

1994 payroll
$28.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 1994, 1994–2000. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (11)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Jay Buhner297.000$4.3M$4.1M$5.6M$4.8M$5.4M$4.8M$1.4M
Chris Bosio318.000$4.0M$4.2M$4.2MFREE AGENT
Randy Johnson306.000$3.3M$4.7M$6.0M$6.3M$4.1MFREE AGENT
Edgar Martinez317.000$3.3M$3.6M$3.5M$3.0M$3.5M$3.5M$5.4M
Felix Fermin307.000$1.0M$900kFREE AGENT
Mackey Sasser317.000$585kFREE AGENT
Bobby Thigpen308.000$200kFREE AGENT
Torey Lovullo286.000$165kFREE AGENT
Rich Gossage4222.000FREE AGENT
Dale Sveum308.000FREE AGENT
Jerry Willard3410.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Ken Griffey Jr.245.000$5.1MFREE AGENT
Greg Hibbard295.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Eric Anthony265.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Dave Fleming243.000$505kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tino Martinez264.000$500kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Blowers295.000$300kFREE AGENT
Luis Sojo294.000$250kARB 3FREE AGENT
Reggie Jefferson253.000$240kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rich Amaral323.000$232kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bill Haselman284.000$175kARB 3FREE AGENT
Keith Mitchell243.000$125kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Milt Hill283.000$89kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shawn Boskie274.000$26kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (20)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Alex Rodriguez180.000$442kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Nelson272.000$250kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Ayala242.000$180kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Wilson252.000$140kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Turang271.000$116kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Cummings251.000$114kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marc Newfield211.000$112kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bill Risley272.000$110kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Darwin240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin King251.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Davis230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jim Converse221.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Pirkl231.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bob Wells270.000$16kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darren Bragg240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
George Glinatsis25
Chris Howard28
Quinn Mack28
Erik Plantenberg251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roger Salkeld231.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mariners 1994; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3