GM: AJ Preller
Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2023, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).
Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.
| Player | fWAR |
|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts | 4.6 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 4.0 |
| Seth Lugo | 2.9 |
| Michael Wacha | 2.6 |
| Gary Sánchez | 1.8 |
| Tom Cosgrove | 0.6 |
| Player | 2022 fWAR |
|---|---|
| Taylor Rogers | 1.3 |
| Sean Manaea | 1.1 |
| Wil Myers | 1.0 |
| MacKenzie Gore | 0.8 |
| Luke Voit | 0.5 |
| Mike Clevinger | 0.4 |
WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Padres. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2023; everyone else is shown as a 2023 season snapshot.
| Player | Period | fWAR | Tier Market $M | Paid $M | Surplus $M | $ / WAR | Tier | Contract |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | 2023 | +6.2 | +101.2 | 23.0 | +78.2 | $3.7M | 2.05× | Free Agent · 2026–2039 · $51.0M AAV |
| Blake Snell | 2023 | +4.1 | +72.6 | 16.6 | +56.0 | $4.0M | 2.19× | Free Agent · 2030–2030 · $36.4M AAV |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 2023 | +4.0 | +57.9 | 7.7 | +50.1 | $1.9M | 1.79× | – |
| Seth Lugo | 2023 | +2.9 | +44.9 | 7.5 | +37.4 | $2.6M | 1.96× | Extension · 2026–2028 · $23.0M AAV |
| Michael Wacha | 2023 | +2.6 | +41.4 | 7.5 | +33.9 | $2.8M | 1.96× | Extension · 2026–2027 · $17.0M AAV |
| Ha-Seong Kim | 2023 | +4.2 | +40.6 | 7.0 | +33.6 | $1.7M | 1.20× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $20.0M AAV |
| Xander Bogaerts | 2023 | +4.6 | +48.6 | 25.5 | +23.1 | $5.5M | 1.32× | Free Agent · 2023–2033 · $25.5M AAV |
| Trent Grisham | 2023 | +1.7 | +16.4 | 3.2 | +13.2 | $1.9M | 1.22× | Qualifying Offer · 2026–2026 · $22.0M AAV |
| Manny Machado | 2023 | +3.4 | +30.2 | 17.1 | +13.1 | $5.0M | 1.12× | Extension · 2023–2033 · $31.8M AAV |
| Josh Hader | 2023 | +1.7 | +27.0 | 14.1 | +12.9 | $8.2M | 1.95× | Free Agent · 2024–2028 · $19.0M AAV |
| Gary Sánchez↔ | 2023 | +1.8 | +10.6 | 1.4 | +9.2 | $0.8M | 0.76× | Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $1.8M AAV |
| Joe Musgrove | 2023 | +2.1 | +25.4 | 20.0 | +5.4 | $9.4M | 1.49× | Extension · 2023–2027 · $20.0M AAV |
| Nick Martinez | 2023 | +1.4 | +14.8 | 10.0 | +4.8 | $7.2M | 1.34× | Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $13.0M AAV |
| Yu Darvish | 2023 | +2.4 | +29.0 | 25.0 | +4.0 | $10.2M | 1.49× | Extension · 2023–2028 · $18.0M AAV |
| Luis Campusano | 2023 | +1.0 | +4.3 | 0.7 | +3.6 | $0.7M | 0.52× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.9M AAV |
| Scott Barlow↔ | 2023 | +0.5 | +5.6 | 2.1 | +3.5 | $4.0M | 1.34× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $2.0M AAV |
| Pedro Avila | 2023 | +0.7 | +3.5 | 0.3 | +3.3 | $0.4M | 0.67× | – |
| Tom Cosgrove | 2023 | +0.6 | +3.3 | 0.6 | +2.7 | $1.0M | 0.67× | – |
| Matthew Batten | 2023 | +0.4 | +1.8 | 0.3 | +1.6 | $0.7M | 0.56× | – |
| Steven Wilson | 2023 | +0.4 | +2.3 | 0.7 | +1.6 | $1.7M | 0.67× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.5M AAV |
| Jackson Wolf | 2023 | +0.1 | +0.9 | 0.0 | +0.9 | $0.0M | 1.02× | – |
| Drew Carlton | 2023 | +0.2 | +1.3 | 0.5 | +0.8 | $2.1M | 0.67× | – |
| Rougned Odor | 2023 | +0.3 | +1.5 | 0.8 | +0.7 | $2.4M | 0.56× | – |
| Eguy Rosario | 2023 | +0.2 | +1.1 | 0.6 | +0.5 | $2.4M | 0.58× | – |
| Matt Waldron | 2023 | +0.1 | +0.7 | 0.2 | +0.5 | $2.2M | 1.02× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Ray Kerr | 2023 | +0.1 | +0.6 | 0.3 | +0.3 | $2.3M | 0.67× | – |
| Alek Jacob | 2023 | +0.1 | +0.4 | 0.3 | +0.1 | $4.1M | 0.67× | – |
| Jose Espada | 2023 | -0.0 | -0.0 | 0.0 | -0.1 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Jurickson Profar↔ | 2023 | +0.1 | +0.7 | 0.9 | -0.1 | $7.9M | 0.83× | Free Agent · 2027–2027 · $14.0M AAV |
| Chandler Seagle | 2023 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 0.0 | -0.2 | – | 0.69× | – |
| Alfonso Rivas III↔ | 2023 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.0 | -0.3 | – | 0.56× | – |
| Garrett Cooper↔ | 2023 | +0.2 | +0.8 | 1.3 | -0.5 | $6.9M | 0.56× | – |
| Nick Hernandez | 2023 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0.0 | -0.6 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Adrian Morejon | 2023 | +0.0 | +0.1 | 0.8 | -0.7 | $44.8M | 0.67× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.9M AAV |
| Ryan Weathers↔ | 2023 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 0.6 | -0.8 | – | 1.02× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.4M AAV |
| Ben Gamel | 2023 | -0.1 | -0.8 | 0.1 | -0.9 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Jake Cronenworth | 2023 | +0.8 | +3.4 | 4.2 | -0.9 | $5.6M | 0.56× | Arb extension · 2024–2030 · $11.4M AAV |
| José Castillo | 2023 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 0.7 | -1.0 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Brandon Dixon | 2023 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 0.3 | -1.1 | – | 0.56× | – |
| Domingo Tapia | 2023 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.7 | -1.1 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Taylor Kohlwey | 2023 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 0.1 | -1.2 | – | 0.83× | – |
| José Azocar | 2023 | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0.7 | -1.6 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Brent Honeywell↔ | 2023 | -0.2 | -1.3 | 0.7 | -1.9 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Reiss Knehr | 2023 | -0.3 | -1.5 | 0.4 | -1.9 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Brett Sullivan | 2023 | -0.5 | -1.9 | 0.3 | -2.2 | – | 0.52× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Nabil Crismatt↔ | 2023 | -0.3 | -1.7 | 0.7 | -2.4 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Nelson Cruz | 2023 | -0.3 | -1.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | – | 0.69× | – |
| David Dahl | 2023 | -0.2 | -1.3 | 1.2 | -2.6 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Adam Engel | 2023 | -0.2 | -1.7 | 1.0 | -2.7 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Luis García | 2023 | +0.1 | +0.5 | 3.8 | -3.2 | $36.5M | 0.67× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $6.9M AAV |
| Ji Man Choi↔ | 2023 | -0.4 | -1.7 | 1.9 | -3.6 | – | 0.56× | – |
| Tim Hill | 2023 | -0.4 | -2.3 | 1.9 | -4.1 | – | 0.67× | Free Agent · 2025–2026 · $2.9M AAV |
| Rich Hill↔ | 2023 | -0.4 | -3.0 | 2.5 | -5.5 | – | 1.02× | – |
| Austin Nola | 2023 | -0.9 | -3.8 | 2.4 | -6.1 | – | 0.52× | – |
| Matt Carpenter | 2023 | -0.4 | -2.3 | 6.5 | -8.8 | – | 0.69× | – |
| Robert Suarez | 2023 | +0.0 | +0.0 | 10.0 | -10.0 | $4272.9M | 0.67× | Free Agent · 2026–2028 · $15.0M AAV |
| Total | — | +43.6 | +564.1 | 237.7 | +326.4 | — | ||
Every graded 2023 deal involving the Padres — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 9 total.
What the front office was committed to as of 2023, 2023–2029. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2023; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.
| Player | Age | Svc | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts | 30 | 9.042 | $25.5M | $25.5M | $25.5M | $25.5M | $25.5M | $25.5M | $25.5M |
| Yu Darvish | 36 | 11.000 | $25.0M | $16.0M | $21.0M | $16.0M | $15.0M | $15.0M | FREE AGENT |
| Joe Musgrove | 30 | 6.063 | $20.0M | $20.0M | $20.0M | $20.0M | $20.0M | FREE AGENT | |
| Manny Machado | 30 | 10.056 | $17.1M | $17.1M | $17.1M | $25.1M | $39.1M | $39.1M | $39.1M |
| Blake Snell | 30 | 6.072 | $16.6M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Seth Lugo | 33 | 6.082 | $7.5M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Michael Wacha | 31 | 9.062 | $7.5M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Matt Carpenter | 37 | 11.012 | $6.5M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Rich Hill | 43 | 13.127 | $2.5M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Gary Sánchez | 30 | 6.086 | $1.4M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| David Dahl | 29 | 7.000 | $1.2M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Adam Engel | 31 | 6.000 | $1.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Nelson Cruz | 42 | 18.000 | $1.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Jurickson Profar | 30 | 8.165 | $868k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Rougned Odor | 29 | 9.000 | $800k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Ben Gamel | 31 | 6.029 | $93k | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | 24 | 4.134 | $23.0M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Josh Hader | 29 | 5.115 | $14.1M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Nick Martinez | 32 | 4.002 | $10.0M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 24 | 4.000 | $7.7M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Jake Cronenworth | 29 | 3.000 | $4.2M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Trent Grisham | 26 | 3.060 | $3.2M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Austin Nola | 33 | 3.106 | $2.4M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Scott Barlow | 30 | 4.030 | $2.1M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Ji Man Choi | 32 | 5.076 | $1.9M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Tim Hill | 33 | 4.112 | $1.9M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Garrett Cooper | 32 | 5.053 | $1.3M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Adrian Morejon | 24 | 3.013 | $800k | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| José Castillo | 27 | 3.125 | $730k | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Suarez | 32 | 1.000 | $10.0M | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Ha-Seong Kim | 27 | 2.000 | $7.0M | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Luis García | 36 | 1.164 | $3.8M | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Domingo Tapia | 31 | 0.168 | $735k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Steven Wilson | 28 | 1.000 | $726k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| José Azocar | 27 | 0.049 | $724k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Luis Campusano | 24 | 0.144 | $723k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Nabil Crismatt | 28 | 2.033 | $656k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Brent Honeywell | 28 | 0.166 | $652k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Tom Cosgrove | 27 | 0.000 | $612k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Eguy Rosario | 23 | 0.041 | $585k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Ryan Weathers | 23 | 1.001 | $582k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Drew Carlton | 27 | 0.046 | $515k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Reiss Knehr | 26 | 0.037 | $399k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Alek Jacob | 25 | 0.000 | $333k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Brandon Dixon | 31 | 1.151 | $314k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Brett Sullivan | 29 | 0.000 | $306k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Pedro Avila | 26 | 0.025 | $279k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Matthew Batten | 28 | 0.058 | $275k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Ray Kerr | 28 | 0.037 | $263k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Matt Waldron | 26 | 0.000 | $194k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Taylor Kohlwey | 28 | – | $81k | ||||||
| Nick Hernandez | 28 | 0.000 | $43k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Alfonso Rivas III | 26 | 1.009 | $39k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Jose Espada | 26 | 0.000 | $39k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Chandler Seagle | 27 | – | $8k | ||||||
| Jackson Wolf | 24 | – | $4k |
How each 2023 acquisition stacked onto Padres's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.