Rosternomics

Padres SDP

202382–80 (0.506)
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GM: AJ Preller

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2023, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$238M
Win %
0.506
TAB
+4.3
WAB
-5.5
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
43.8
Dead money %
19%
Depth Players
10.0
Dead WAR
-5.5

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2023 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RGary Sánchez66
RAustin Nola52
RLuis Campusano42
LBrett Sullivan31

1B

LJake Cronenworth106
RGarrett Cooper28
RBrandon Dixon16
LMatt Carpenter13
LJi Man Choi8
LAlfonso Rivas III8
RMatthew Batten6
BJurickson Profar1
RNelson Cruz1
LRougned Odor1

2B

RHa-Seong Kim106
LJake Cronenworth35
LRougned Odor30
RMatthew Batten17
REguy Rosario1
RFernando Tatis Jr.1
BJurickson Profar1

3B

RManny Machado105
RHa-Seong Kim32
RMatthew Batten17
REguy Rosario11
LMatt Carpenter10
LRougned Odor9
LBrett Sullivan1

SS

RXander Bogaerts146
RHa-Seong Kim20
RMatthew Batten2

LF

LJuan Soto154
BJurickson Profar11
RJosé Azócar9
LBen Gamel3
LTaylor Kohlwey3
RBrandon Dixon2
RAdam Engel1

CF

LTrent Grisham153
RJosé Azócar17
RFernando Tatis Jr.5
RAdam Engel3

RF

RFernando Tatis Jr.137
RJosé Azócar21
LRougned Odor9
RBrandon Dixon9
LDavid Dahl3
LBen Gamel1
BJurickson Profar1
LTaylor Kohlwey1

DH

LMatt Carpenter53
RNelson Cruz42
RManny Machado33
RGarrett Cooper13
RXander Bogaerts9
LJi Man Choi8
RGary Sánchez7
LRougned Odor7
LJuan Soto6
RBrandon Dixon6
RLuis Campusano5
RFernando Tatis Jr.3
BJurickson Profar2
RMatthew Batten2
RJosé Azócar2
RChandler Seagle1
LBen Gamel1
RHa-Seong Kim1
LTaylor Kohlwey1

Starters

LBlake Snell4.1 WAR
RSeth Lugo2.9 WAR
RMichael Wacha2.6 WAR
RYu Darvish2.4 WAR
RJoe Musgrove2.1 WAR
RNick Martinez1.4 WAR
RPedro Avila0.7 WAR
LJackson Wolf0.1 WAR
RMatt Waldron0.1 WAR
LAdrian Morejon0.0 WAR
LRyan Weathers-0.0 WAR
RReiss Knehr-0.3 WAR
LRich Hill-0.4 WAR

Bullpen

LJosh Hader33 sv
RSteven Wilson22 h
RLuis Garcia10 h
LTim Hill9 h
RRobert Suarez8 h
LTom Cosgrove7 h
RScott Barlow7 h
RBrent Honeywell0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2022)

PlayerfWAR
Xander Bogaerts4.6
Fernando Tatis Jr.4.0
Seth Lugo2.9
Michael Wacha2.6
Gary Sánchez1.8
Tom Cosgrove0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 2022)

Player2022 fWAR
Taylor Rogers1.3
Sean Manaea1.1
Wil Myers1.0
MacKenzie Gore0.8
Luke Voit0.5
Mike Clevinger0.4

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Padres. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2023; everyone else is shown as a 2023 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Juan Soto 2023 +6.2 +101.2 23.0 +78.2 $3.7M 2.05× Free Agent · 2026–2039 · $51.0M AAV
Blake Snell 2023 +4.1 +72.6 16.6 +56.0 $4.0M 2.19× Free Agent · 2030–2030 · $36.4M AAV
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2023 +4.0 +57.9 7.7 +50.1 $1.9M 1.79×
Seth Lugo 2023 +2.9 +44.9 7.5 +37.4 $2.6M 1.96× Extension · 2026–2028 · $23.0M AAV
Michael Wacha 2023 +2.6 +41.4 7.5 +33.9 $2.8M 1.96× Extension · 2026–2027 · $17.0M AAV
Ha-Seong Kim 2023 +4.2 +40.6 7.0 +33.6 $1.7M 1.20× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $20.0M AAV
Xander Bogaerts 2023 +4.6 +48.6 25.5 +23.1 $5.5M 1.32× Free Agent · 2023–2033 · $25.5M AAV
Trent Grisham 2023 +1.7 +16.4 3.2 +13.2 $1.9M 1.22× Qualifying Offer · 2026–2026 · $22.0M AAV
Manny Machado 2023 +3.4 +30.2 17.1 +13.1 $5.0M 1.12× Extension · 2023–2033 · $31.8M AAV
Josh Hader 2023 +1.7 +27.0 14.1 +12.9 $8.2M 1.95× Free Agent · 2024–2028 · $19.0M AAV
Gary Sánchez 2023 +1.8 +10.6 1.4 +9.2 $0.8M 0.76× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $1.8M AAV
Joe Musgrove 2023 +2.1 +25.4 20.0 +5.4 $9.4M 1.49× Extension · 2023–2027 · $20.0M AAV
Nick Martinez 2023 +1.4 +14.8 10.0 +4.8 $7.2M 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $13.0M AAV
Yu Darvish 2023 +2.4 +29.0 25.0 +4.0 $10.2M 1.49× Extension · 2023–2028 · $18.0M AAV
Luis Campusano 2023 +1.0 +4.3 0.7 +3.6 $0.7M 0.52× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.9M AAV
Scott Barlow 2023 +0.5 +5.6 2.1 +3.5 $4.0M 1.34× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $2.0M AAV
Pedro Avila 2023 +0.7 +3.5 0.3 +3.3 $0.4M 0.67×
Tom Cosgrove 2023 +0.6 +3.3 0.6 +2.7 $1.0M 0.67×
Matthew Batten 2023 +0.4 +1.8 0.3 +1.6 $0.7M 0.56×
Steven Wilson 2023 +0.4 +2.3 0.7 +1.6 $1.7M 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.5M AAV
Jackson Wolf 2023 +0.1 +0.9 0.0 +0.9 $0.0M 1.02×
Drew Carlton 2023 +0.2 +1.3 0.5 +0.8 $2.1M 0.67×
Rougned Odor 2023 +0.3 +1.5 0.8 +0.7 $2.4M 0.56×
Eguy Rosario 2023 +0.2 +1.1 0.6 +0.5 $2.4M 0.58×
Matt Waldron 2023 +0.1 +0.7 0.2 +0.5 $2.2M 1.02× Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Ray Kerr 2023 +0.1 +0.6 0.3 +0.3 $2.3M 0.67×
Alek Jacob 2023 +0.1 +0.4 0.3 +0.1 $4.1M 0.67×
Jose Espada 2023 -0.0 -0.0 0.0 -0.1 0.67×
Jurickson Profar 2023 +0.1 +0.7 0.9 -0.1 $7.9M 0.83× Free Agent · 2027–2027 · $14.0M AAV
Chandler Seagle 2023 -0.0 -0.2 0.0 -0.2 0.69×
Alfonso Rivas III 2023 -0.1 -0.3 0.0 -0.3 0.56×
Garrett Cooper 2023 +0.2 +0.8 1.3 -0.5 $6.9M 0.56×
Nick Hernandez 2023 -0.1 -0.5 0.0 -0.6 0.67×
Adrian Morejon 2023 +0.0 +0.1 0.8 -0.7 $44.8M 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.9M AAV
Ryan Weathers 2023 -0.0 -0.2 0.6 -0.8 1.02× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $1.4M AAV
Ben Gamel 2023 -0.1 -0.8 0.1 -0.9 0.83×
Jake Cronenworth 2023 +0.8 +3.4 4.2 -0.9 $5.6M 0.56× Arb extension · 2024–2030 · $11.4M AAV
José Castillo 2023 -0.0 -0.2 0.7 -1.0 0.67×
Brandon Dixon 2023 -0.2 -0.8 0.3 -1.1 0.56×
Domingo Tapia 2023 -0.1 -0.3 0.7 -1.1 0.67×
Taylor Kohlwey 2023 -0.2 -1.1 0.1 -1.2 0.83×
José Azocar 2023 -0.1 -0.9 0.7 -1.6 0.83×
Brent Honeywell 2023 -0.2 -1.3 0.7 -1.9 0.67×
Reiss Knehr 2023 -0.3 -1.5 0.4 -1.9 0.67×
Brett Sullivan 2023 -0.5 -1.9 0.3 -2.2 0.52× Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV
Nabil Crismatt 2023 -0.3 -1.7 0.7 -2.4 0.67×
Nelson Cruz 2023 -0.3 -1.5 1.0 -2.5 0.69×
David Dahl 2023 -0.2 -1.3 1.2 -2.6 0.83×
Adam Engel 2023 -0.2 -1.7 1.0 -2.7 0.83×
Luis García 2023 +0.1 +0.5 3.8 -3.2 $36.5M 0.67× Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $6.9M AAV
Ji Man Choi 2023 -0.4 -1.7 1.9 -3.6 0.56×
Tim Hill 2023 -0.4 -2.3 1.9 -4.1 0.67× Free Agent · 2025–2026 · $2.9M AAV
Rich Hill 2023 -0.4 -3.0 2.5 -5.5 1.02×
Austin Nola 2023 -0.9 -3.8 2.4 -6.1 0.52×
Matt Carpenter 2023 -0.4 -2.3 6.5 -8.8 0.69×
Robert Suarez 2023 +0.0 +0.0 10.0 -10.0 $4272.9M 0.67× Free Agent · 2026–2028 · $15.0M AAV
Total+43.6+564.1237.7+326.4

Trades

Every graded 2023 deal involving the Padres — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 9 total.

Current & Historical Payroll

2023 payroll
$237.7M
2024 guaranteed
$78.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 2023, 2023–2029. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2023; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Xander Bogaerts309.042$25.5M$25.5M$25.5M$25.5M$25.5M$25.5M$25.5M
Yu Darvish3611.000$25.0M$16.0M$21.0M$16.0M$15.0M$15.0MFREE AGENT
Joe Musgrove306.063$20.0M$20.0M$20.0M$20.0M$20.0MFREE AGENT
Manny Machado3010.056$17.1M$17.1M$17.1M$25.1M$39.1M$39.1M$39.1M
Blake Snell306.072$16.6MFREE AGENT
Seth Lugo336.082$7.5MFREE AGENT
Michael Wacha319.062$7.5MFREE AGENT
Matt Carpenter3711.012$6.5MFREE AGENT
Rich Hill4313.127$2.5MFREE AGENT
Gary Sánchez306.086$1.4MFREE AGENT
David Dahl297.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Adam Engel316.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Nelson Cruz4218.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Jurickson Profar308.165$868kFREE AGENT
Rougned Odor299.000$800kFREE AGENT
Ben Gamel316.029$93kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Juan Soto244.134$23.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Hader295.115$14.1MFREE AGENT
Nick Martinez324.002$10.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Tatis Jr.244.000$7.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Cronenworth293.000$4.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trent Grisham263.060$3.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Nola333.106$2.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Barlow304.030$2.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ji Man Choi325.076$1.9MFREE AGENT
Tim Hill334.112$1.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Cooper325.053$1.3MFREE AGENT
Adrian Morejon243.013$800kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Castillo273.125$730kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (27)

PlayerAgeSvc2023202420252026202720282029
Robert Suarez321.000$10.0MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ha-Seong Kim272.000$7.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis García361.164$3.8MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Domingo Tapia310.168$735kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steven Wilson281.000$726kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Azocar270.049$724kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Campusano240.144$723kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nabil Crismatt282.033$656kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brent Honeywell280.166$652kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Cosgrove270.000$612kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eguy Rosario230.041$585kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Weathers231.001$582kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Carlton270.046$515kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reiss Knehr260.037$399kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alek Jacob250.000$333kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Dixon311.151$314kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Sullivan290.000$306kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1FREE AGENT
Pedro Avila260.025$279kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matthew Batten280.058$275kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ray Kerr280.037$263kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Waldron260.000$194kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Kohlwey28$81k
Nick Hernandez280.000$43kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alfonso Rivas III261.009$39kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Espada260.000$39kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chandler Seagle27$8k
Jackson Wolf24$4k

Graphs

How each 2023 acquisition stacked onto Padres's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.