RRosternomics
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Pirates PIT

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GM: Neal Huntington

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 8 in this regime · payroll 0.56× league · TAB -11.3
-11.3TAB — talent above budget26th/30
-2.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)20th/30
2.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars30th/30
-8.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag28th/30
58%dead money %27th/30
0.444win %22nd/30
15.8roster fWAR29th/30
-15surplus $M (value vs cost)16th/30
$54Mpayroll $M27th/30

Roster

CFAndrew McCutchen 155GXavier Paul 9GAlex Presley 5G
LFRyan Ludwick 117GJose Tabata 76GAlex Presley 48G
RFGarrett Jones 90GXavier Paul 72GJose Tabata 15G
SSRonny Cedeno 125GChase d'Arnaud 29GBrandon Wood 24G
2BNeil Walker 159GJosh Harrison 6GBrandon Wood 3G
3BPedro Álvarez 66GBrandon Wood 61GJosh Harrison 50G
1BDerrek Lee 113GGarrett Jones 34GSteve Pearce 16G
STARTERSPaul Maholm 1.9WARCharlie Morton 1.7WARJeff Karstens 1.0WARJames McDonald 0.5WARBrad Lincoln 0.5WAR
CRyan Doumit 60GMichael McKenry 58GChris Snyder 33G
DHMatt Diaz 2GGarrett Jones 2GAndrew McCutchen 1G
BULLPEN★ Joel Hanrahan 40svJose Veras 27hChris Resop 15hDaniel McCutchen 10hTony Watson 10hJason Grilli 9hJoe Beimel 7hDaniel Moskos 1h
CRyan Doumit 60 · Michael McKenry 58 · Chris Snyder 33
1BDerrek Lee 113 · Garrett Jones 34 · Steve Pearce 16
2BNeil Walker 159 · Josh Harrison 6 · Brandon Wood 3
3BPedro Álvarez 66 · Brandon Wood 61 · Josh Harrison 50
SSRonny Cedeno 125 · Chase d'Arnaud 29 · Brandon Wood 24
LFRyan Ludwick 117 · Jose Tabata 76 · Alex Presley 48
CFAndrew McCutchen 155 · Xavier Paul 9 · Alex Presley 5
RFGarrett Jones 90 · Xavier Paul 72 · Jose Tabata 15
DHMatt Diaz 2 · Garrett Jones 2 · Andrew McCutchen 1
SPPaul Maholm 1.9 · Charlie Morton 1.7 · Jeff Karstens 1.0 · James McDonald 0.5 · Brad Lincoln 0.5
BP★ Joel Hanrahan 40 · Jose Veras 27 · Chris Resop 15 · Daniel McCutchen 10 · Tony Watson 10 · Jason Grilli 9 · Joe Beimel 7 · Daniel Moskos 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2011 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Andrew McCutchen 24 pre-arb 1585.4 0.5 +12.8
Neil Walker 25 pre-arb 1592.5 0.4 +5.8
Joel Hanrahan 29 arb 701.9 1.4 +3.3
Paul Maholm 29 FA-elig 261.9 6.2 -1.6
Charlie Morton 27 arb 291.7 0.4 +3.7
Alex Presley 25 pre-arb 521.1 0.4 +2.3
Jeff Karstens 28 arb 301.0 1.1 +1.3
Garrett Jones 30 arb 1481.0 0.5 +1.9
Chris Snyder 30 FA-elig 340.9 6.2 -3.9
Derrek Lee↔ BAL 35 FA-elig 280.9 1.8 +0.4
Ronny Cedeno 28 FA-elig 1280.9 1.9 +0.3
Josh Harrison 23 – 650.8 0.2 +1.7
Jose Veras 30 arb 790.7 0.4 +1.3
Chris Leroux 27 – 230.7 – –
Jason Grilli 34 – 280.5 – –
Chris Resop 28 FA-elig 760.5 0.4 +0.9
Jose Tabata 22 pre-arb 910.5 0.4 +0.8
Brad Lincoln 26 pre-arb 130.5 0.4 +0.8
James McDonald 26 arb 310.5 0.4 +0.7
Daniel Moskos 25 pre-arb 310.2 0.4 +0.2
Eric Fryer 25 – 100.2 – –
Pedro Ciriaco 25 pre-arb 230.2 0.4 -0.0
Garrett Olson 27 arb 40.1 0.4 -0.2
Jared Hughes 25 – 120.1 0.4 -0.3
Evan Meek 28 arb 240.0 0.5 -0.4
Kevin Correia 30 FA-elig 270.0 4.0 -4.0
Brandon Wood↔ ANA 26 arb 99-0.1 0.4 -0.5
John Bowker↔ PHI 27 arb 19-0.1 0.3 -0.4
Aaron Thompson 24 – 4-0.1 – –
Wyatt Toregas 28 – 3-0.1 – –
Ryan Doumit 30 FA-elig 77-0.1 5.2 -5.5
Jose Ascanio 26 arb 8-0.1 0.4 -0.8
Joshua Rodriguez 26 pre-arb 7-0.1 0.4 -0.8
Jason Jaramillo 28 pre-arb 23-0.2 0.4 -0.8
Matt Pagnozzi↔ COL 28 – 5-0.2 – –
Xavier Paul↔ LAD 26 pre-arb 121-0.2 0.4 -0.9
Brian Burres 30 – 5-0.2 – –
Michael Crotta 26 pre-arb 15-0.2 0.4 -0.9
Ross Ohlendorf 28 arb 9-0.3 2.0 -2.8
Tim Wood 28 – 13-0.3 – –
Tony Watson 26 – 43-0.3 0.4 -1.2
Jeff Locke 23 – 4-0.3 0.4 -1.2
Ryan Ludwick↔ SDP 32 FA-elig 38-0.3 1.9 -2.7
Matt Diaz↔ ATL 33 FA-elig 100-0.4 1.8 -2.7
Daniel McCutchen 28 pre-arb 73-0.4 0.4 -1.3
Dusty Brown 29 – 11-0.4 – –
Chase d'Arnaud 24 pre-arb 48-0.5 0.4 -1.6
Joe Beimel 34 FA-elig 35-0.5 1.8 -3.1
Michael McKenry 26 pre-arb 58-0.7 0.4 -2.0
Steve Pearce 28 arb 50-0.8 0.4 -2.4
Pedro Álvarez 24 pre-arb 74-1.0 2.0 -4.5
Lyle Overbay↔ ARI 34 FA-elig 103-1.0 4.3 -6.7

Key additions (new vs 2010)

PlayerfWAR
Derrek Lee0.9
Josh Harrison0.8
Jose Veras0.7
Jason Grilli0.5
Daniel Moskos0.2
Eric Fryer0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2010)

Player2010 fWAR
Lastings Milledge0.5
Octavio Dotel0.4
Wilfredo Ledezma0.3
D.J. Carrasco0.2
Chan Ho Park0.2
Joe Martinez0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2011 payroll
$53.5M

What the front office was committed to as of 2011, 2011–2017. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Chris Snyder306.047$6.2MFREE AGENT
Lyle Overbay348.026$4.3MFREE AGENT
Kevin Correia306.027$4.0M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Derrek Lee3512.125$1.8MFREE AGENT
Joe Beimel348.053$1.8MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Paul Maholm295.037$6.2MFREE AGENT
Ryan Doumit305.120$5.2MFREE AGENT
Ryan Ludwick325.109$1.9MFREE AGENT
Ronny Cedeno285.029$1.9MFREE AGENT
Matt Diaz335.157$1.8MFREE AGENT
Joel Hanrahan293.065$1.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Karstens283.132$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Evan Meek283.143$462kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Olson274.000$430kARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Pearce284.000$428kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Veras303.128$414kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Grilli344.016—ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Burres305.000—FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (34)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Pedro Álvarez240.110$2.0MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ross Ohlendorf282.139$2.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Jones301.158$456kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew McCutchen241.123$452kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James McDonald261.080$443kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charlie Morton272.009$441kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Neil Walker250.166$437kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Resop282.038$432kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Tabata220.117$428kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Jaramillo282.000$422kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Ascanio262.081$416kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Lincoln260.075$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Locke230.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Moskos250.094$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Crotta260.890$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joshua Rodriguez260.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel McCutchen282.026$414kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jared Hughes250.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Watson260.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael McKenry260.028$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Presley250.027$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Ciriaco250.027$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chase d'Arnaud242.045$414kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Xavier Paul262.119$397kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Wood262.015$396kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Bowker271.133$271kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Harrison230.000$215kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Pagnozzi28–—
Wyatt Toregas282.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Wood282.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dusty Brown292.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Thompson240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Leroux272.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Fryer250.108—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Pirates 2011; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.