RRosternomics
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Pirates PIT

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GM: Neal Huntington

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 7 in this regime · payroll 0.39× league · TAB -14.8
-14.8TAB — talent above budget30th/30
-12.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)28th/30
1.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars30th/30
-10.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag29th/30
75%dead money %30th/30
0.352win %30th/30
8.0roster fWAR30th/30
-23surplus $M (value vs cost)19th/30
$36Mpayroll $M30th/30

Roster

CFAndrew McCutchen 152GJose Tabata 13GAlex Presley 4G
LFJose Tabata 93GLastings Milledge 63GJohn Bowker 17G
RFGarrett Jones 48GLastings Milledge 45GRyan Church 33G
SSRonny Cedeno 136GBobby Crosby 22GArgenis Diaz 15G
2BNeil Walker 105GAkinori Iwamura 40GDelwyn Young 10G
3BPedro Álvarez 94GAndy LaRoche 54GDelwyn Young 8G
1BGarrett Jones 112GJeff Clement 38GSteve Pearce 11G
STARTERSPaul Maholm 1.5WARJames McDonald 1.4WARRoss Ohlendorf 0.9WARBrian Burres 0.3WARJeff Karstens 0.1WAR
CChris Snyder 101GRyan Doumit 100GJason Jaramillo 31G
DHDelwyn Young 4GRyan Church 3GRyan Doumit 1G
BULLPEN★ Evan Meek 4svJoel Hanrahan 18hBrendan Donnelly 9hChris Resop 5hWilfredo Ledezma 3hSean Gallagher 3hChris Leroux 3hChan Ho Park 1h
CChris Snyder 101 · Ryan Doumit 100 · Jason Jaramillo 31
1BGarrett Jones 112 · Jeff Clement 38 · Steve Pearce 11
2BNeil Walker 105 · Akinori Iwamura 40 · Delwyn Young 10
3BPedro Álvarez 94 · Andy LaRoche 54 · Delwyn Young 8
SSRonny Cedeno 136 · Bobby Crosby 22 · Argenis Diaz 15
LFJose Tabata 93 · Lastings Milledge 63 · John Bowker 17
CFAndrew McCutchen 152 · Jose Tabata 13 · Alex Presley 4
RFGarrett Jones 48 · Lastings Milledge 45 · Ryan Church 33
DHDelwyn Young 4 · Ryan Church 3 · Ryan Doumit 1
SPPaul Maholm 1.5 · James McDonald 1.4 · Ross Ohlendorf 0.9 · Brian Burres 0.3 · Jeff Karstens 0.1
BP★ Evan Meek 4 · Joel Hanrahan 18 · Brendan Donnelly 9 · Chris Resop 5 · Wilfredo Ledezma 3 · Sean Gallagher 3 · Chris Leroux 3 · Chan Ho Park 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2010 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Andrew McCutchen 23 pre-arb 1543.4 0.4 +7.7
Neil Walker 24 – 1101.9 – –
Jose Tabata 21 – 1021.7 0.4 +3.5
Paul Maholm 28 arb 321.5 5.0 -1.4
Pedro Álvarez 23 pre-arb 951.5 0.5 +3.1
James McDonald↔ LAD 25 – 111.4 0.3 +3.1
Joel Hanrahan 28 arb 721.3 0.5 +2.7
Evan Meek 27 pre-arb 701.0 0.4 +1.8
Ross Ohlendorf 27 arb 210.9 0.4 +1.8
Ronny Cedeno 27 arb 1390.8 1.1 +0.8
Lastings Milledge 25 arb 1130.5 0.5 +0.7
Octavio Dotel↔ COL 36 FA-elig 410.4 2.1 -1.2
Brian Burres 29 – 200.3 – –
Chris Snyder↔ ARI 29 FA-elig 400.3 2.0 -1.3
Steve Pearce 27 – 150.3 – –
Chris Resop↔ ATL 27 – 220.3 – –
Wilfredo Ledezma 29 – 270.3 – –
D.J. Carrasco↔ ARI 33 FA-elig 450.2 0.7 -0.2
Pedro Ciriaco 24 – 80.2 – –
Chan Ho Park↔ NYY 37 FA-elig 260.2 0.6 -0.2
Jeff Karstens 27 – 260.1 – –
Joe Martinez↔ SFG 27 – 50.1 – –
Brad Lincoln 25 – 110.0 – –
Jack Taschner↔ LAD 32 arb 170.0 0.7 -0.6
Chris Leroux↔ MIA 26 – 60.0 – –
Delwyn Young 28 arb 1100.0 0.4 -0.4
Erik Kratz 30 – 90.0 – –
Chris Jakubauskas 31 – 10.0 – –
Zach Duke 27 arb 32-0.0 4.3 -4.3
Javier López↔ SFG 32 FA-elig 50-0.0 0.5 -0.5
Dana Eveland↔ TOR 26 arb 3-0.0 0.1 -0.1
John Raynor 26 pre-arb 11-0.0 0.4 -0.4
Hayden Penn 25 arb 3-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Brian Bass 28 – 4-0.1 – –
Alex Presley 24 – 19-0.1 – –
Sean Gallagher↔ SDP 24 arb 31-0.2 0.3 -0.6
Garrett Jones 29 arb 158-0.2 0.4 -0.9
John Bowker↔ SFG 26 pre-arb 26-0.2 0.2 -0.7
Justin Thomas 26 – 12-0.2 – –
Brandon Moss 26 – 17-0.3 0.4 -1.1
Argenis Diaz 23 – 22-0.3 – –
Jeff Clement 26 arb 54-0.3 0.4 -1.1
Steven Jackson 28 – 11-0.3 – –
Bobby Crosby↔ ARI 30 FA-elig 61-0.4 0.9 -1.9
Charlie Morton 26 pre-arb 17-0.5 0.4 -1.6
Brendan Donnelly 38 FA-elig 38-0.7 1.4 -3.0
Daniel McCutchen 27 pre-arb 28-0.7 0.4 -2.1
Andy LaRoche 26 arb 102-0.7 0.5 -2.2
Ryan Church↔ ARI 31 FA-elig 69-0.8 1.0 -2.9
Jason Jaramillo 27 pre-arb 33-0.9 0.4 -2.5
Akinori Iwamura↔ OAK 31 arb 54-1.4 4.1 -7.4
Ryan Doumit 29 arb 124-2.2 3.6 -8.7

Key additions (new vs 2009)

PlayerfWAR
Jose Tabata1.7
Pedro Álvarez1.5
James McDonald1.4
Octavio Dotel0.4
Brian Burres0.3
Chris Snyder0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2009)

Player2009 fWAR
Nyjer Morgan1.9
Nate McLouth1.7
Jack Wilson1.6
Freddy Sanchez1.5
Ian Snell0.7
Eric Hinske0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2010 payroll
$36.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 2010, 2010–2016. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Octavio Dotel3611.000$2.1MFREE AGENT
Chris Snyder296.000$2.0M$6.2MFREE AGENT
Brendan Donnelly388.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Ryan Church316.000$976kFREE AGENT
Bobby Crosby307.000$871kFREE AGENT
D.J. Carrasco337.000$679kFREE AGENT
Chan Ho Park3716.000$589kFREE AGENT
Javier López327.000$503kFREE AGENT
Wilfredo Ledezma297.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (20)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Paul Maholm285.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Zach Duke275.000$4.3MFREE AGENT
Akinori Iwamura313.000$4.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Doumit295.000$3.6MFREE AGENT
Ronny Cedeno275.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Jack Taschner325.000$710kFREE AGENT
Joel Hanrahan283.000$453kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lastings Milledge254.000$452kARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy LaRoche263.000$451kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Delwyn Young284.000$444kARB 3FREE AGENT
Ross Ohlendorf273.000$439kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Jones293.000$425kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Moss263.000$414kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Clement263.000$405kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hayden Penn255.000$402kFREE AGENT
Sean Gallagher243.000$279kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dana Eveland265.000$105kFREE AGENT
Brian Burres294.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Karstens274.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Pearce273.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (23)

PlayerAgeSvc2010201120122013201420152016
Pedro Álvarez230.000$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charlie Morton262.000$422kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew McCutchen231.000$422kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Jaramillo271.000$416kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Evan Meek272.000$414kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel McCutchen271.000$402kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Raynor260.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Tabata210.000$400kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James McDonald252.000$293kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Bowker262.000$159kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Bass282.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Resop271.038—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Neil Walker240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steven Jackson281.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Lincoln250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erik Kratz300.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Martinez271.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Leroux261.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Ciriaco240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Argenis Diaz23–—
Justin Thomas262.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Jakubauskas311.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Presley240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Pirates 2010; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.