RRosternomics

Pirates PIT

GM: Dave Littlefield

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.5× league · TAB -5.2
-5.2TAB — talent above budget23rd/30
-6.0WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)22nd/30
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars27th/30
-5.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag20th/30
47%dead money %28th/30
0.414win %27th/30
20.6roster fWAR28th/30
-2surplus $M (value vs cost)14th/30
$36Mpayroll $M28th/30

Roster

CFTike Redman 75GRob Mackowiak 41GChris Duffy 33G
LFJason Bay 146GCraig Wilson 19GMichael Restovich 15G
RFCraig Wilson 30GMichael Restovich 27GJody Gerut 26G
SSJack Wilson 157GFreddy Sanchez 11GJ.J. Furmaniak 2G
2BJose Castillo 100GFreddy Sanchez 58GRob Mackowiak 20G
3BFreddy Sanchez 65GRob Mackowiak 65GTy Wigginton 40G
1BDaryle Ward 109GBrad Eldred 50GCraig Wilson 15G
STARTERSZach Duke 2.2WARMark Redman 1.9WARPaul Maholm 0.6WARJosh Fogg 0.4WARKip Wells 0.4WAR
CHumberto Cota 87GRyan Doumit 50GBenito Santiago 6G
DHRyan Doumit 6G
BULLPEN Jose Mesa 27svMichael Gonzalez 15hJohn Grabow 14hRick White 12hSalomon Torres 8hBrian Meadows 7hRyan Vogelsong 1hMatt Capps 0h
CHumberto Cota 87 · Ryan Doumit 50 · Benito Santiago 6
1BDaryle Ward 109 · Brad Eldred 50 · Craig Wilson 15
2BJose Castillo 100 · Freddy Sanchez 58 · Rob Mackowiak 20
3BFreddy Sanchez 65 · Rob Mackowiak 65 · Ty Wigginton 40
SSJack Wilson 157 · Freddy Sanchez 11 · J.J. Furmaniak 2
LFJason Bay 146 · Craig Wilson 19 · Michael Restovich 15
CFTike Redman 75 · Rob Mackowiak 41 · Chris Duffy 33
RFCraig Wilson 30 · Michael Restovich 27 · Jody Gerut 26
DHRyan Doumit 6
SPZach Duke 2.2 · Mark Redman 1.9 · Paul Maholm 0.6 · Josh Fogg 0.4 · Kip Wells 0.4
BP Jose Mesa 27 · Michael Gonzalez 15 · John Grabow 14 · Rick White 12 · Salomon Torres 8 · Brian Meadows 7 · Ryan Vogelsong 1 · Matt Capps 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2005 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jason Bay 26 pre-arb 1625.7 0.4 +10.4
Freddy Sanchez 27 arb 1322.9 0.3 +5.1
Zach Duke 22 142.2
Rob Mackowiak 29 arb 1422.0 1.5 +2.3
Mark Redman 31 FA-elig 301.9 4.5 -0.9
Jack Wilson 27 arb 1581.9 3.2 +0.3
Chris Duffy 25 391.4
Craig Wilson 28 arb 591.0 3.0 -1.1
Matt Lawton III↔ CHC 33 FA-elig 1010.9 5.6 -3.8
Michael Gonzalez 27 pre-arb 510.9 0.3 +1.4
Ryan Doumit 24 750.6 0.3 +0.8
Paul Maholm 23 60.6
Rick White 36 FA-elig 710.5 0.5 +0.4
Kip Wells 28 FA-elig 340.4 3.2 -2.3
Nate McLouth 23 410.4 0.3 +0.5
Salomon Torres 33 FA-elig 780.4 1.1 -0.3
Humberto Cota 26 arb 930.4 0.3 +0.4
Josh Fogg 28 arb 340.4 2.1 -1.5
David Ross↔ SDP 28 arb 400.3 0.3 +0.4
Brian Meadows 29 FA-elig 650.3 1.1 -0.5
Dave Williams 26 arb 250.2 0.3 +0.1
Ronny Paulino 24 20.1 0.3 -0.1
J.J. Furmaniak 25 130.1
Ray Sadler 24 30.1
Matt Capps 21 40.1
Jose Castillo 24 pre-arb 1010.1 0.3 -0.2
Ian Snell 23 150.0
Ryan Vogelsong 27 arb 440.0 0.3 -0.3
Alfredo Amezaga↔ COL 27 arb 3-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Tom Gorzelanny 22 3-0.0
Bobby Hill 27 arb 58-0.0 0.3 -0.4
John Grabow 26 pre-arb 63-0.0 0.3 -0.4
Bryan Bullington 24 1-0.1
Mike Johnston 26 1-0.1
Benito Santiago 40 FA-elig 6-0.1 2.1 -2.4
Jody Gerut↔ CHC 27 pre-arb 4-0.1 0.0 -0.3
José Bautista 24 11-0.2
Jose Mesa 39 FA-elig 55-0.3 2.0 -2.6
Daryle Ward 30 FA-elig 133-0.5 0.9 -1.9
Tike Redman 28 arb 135-0.7 0.3 -1.6
Ty Wigginton 27 arb 57-0.7 0.3 -1.7
Oliver Pérez 23 arb 20-0.7 0.4 -1.8
Brad Eldred 24 55-0.7
Michael Restovich↔ COL 26 52-0.7

Key additions (new vs 2004)

PlayerfWAR
Zach Duke2.2
Mark Redman1.9
Chris Duffy1.4
Matt Lawton III0.9
Ryan Doumit0.6
Paul Maholm0.6

Key subtractions (gone from 2004)

Player2004 fWAR
Jason Kendall4.5
Kris Benson2.9
Raul Mondesi0.2
John Van Benschoten0.1
Mark Corey0.0
Sean Burnett0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2005 payroll
$36.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 2005, 2005–2011. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Matt Lawton III3310.000$5.6MFREE AGENT
Mark Redman316.000$4.5MFREE AGENT
Kip Wells286.000$3.2M$3.2MFREE AGENT
Benito Santiago4019.000$2.1MFREE AGENT
Jose Mesa3918.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Brian Meadows297.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Salomon Torres3312.000$1.1M$1.5M$2.7MFREE AGENT
Daryle Ward307.000$950kFREE AGENT
Rick White3611.000$475kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Jack Wilson274.000$3.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Wilson284.000$3.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Fogg284.000$2.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Mackowiak294.000$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Oliver Pérez233.000$381kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ty Wigginton273.000$342kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tike Redman285.000$336kFREE AGENT
Ryan Vogelsong275.000$332kFREE AGENT
Dave Williams264.000$330kARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Hill273.000$326kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Humberto Cota264.000$324kARB 3FREE AGENT
Freddy Sanchez273.000$322kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Ross283.000$265kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alfredo Amezaga273.000$160kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc2005200620072008200920102011
Jason Bay262.000$355kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Gonzalez272.000$330kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Grabow262.000$327kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Castillo241.000$327kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nate McLouth230.000$316kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Doumit240.000$316kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ronny Paulino240.000$316kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jody Gerut272.000$24kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Restovich26
Bryan Bullington24
Ray Sadler24
Mike Johnston261.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ian Snell231.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Bautista241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Maholm230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.J. Furmaniak25
Chris Duffy250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Eldred240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Duke220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Capps210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Gorzelanny220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Pirates 2005; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3