RRosternomics

Pirates PIT

GM: Roy Smith

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.74× league · TAB -14.9
-14.9TAB — talent above budget30th/30
-16.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)29th/30
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars24th/30
-9.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag29th/30
72%dead money %30th/30
0.383win %29th/30
15.7roster fWAR28th/30
-21surplus $M (value vs cost)21st/30
$46Mpayroll $M20th/30

Roster

CFGary Matthews Jr. 132GBrian Giles 61GTike Redman 28G
LFBrian Giles 124GJason Kendall 18GRob Mackowiak 10G
RFArmando Rios 78GDerek Bell 43GRob Mackowiak 39G
SSJack Wilson 107GAbraham O. Nunez 48GMendy López 6G
2BPat Meares 85GAbraham O. Nunez 48GWarren Morris 29G
3BAramis Ramirez 157GJohn Wehner 6GMendy López 6G
1BKevin Young 137GCraig Wilson 26GJohn Wehner 11G
STARTERSTodd Ritchie 3.1WARJimmy Anderson 2.1WARJoe Beimel 0.6WARDave Williams 0.3WAROmar Olivares 0.1WAR
CJason Kendall 133GKeith Osik 39GCraig Wilson 10G
DHJohn Vander Wal 7GCraig Wilson 2G
BULLPEN Mike Fetters 9svScott Sauerbeck 18hJosias Manzanillo 9hMike Lincoln 7hJose Silva 2hRich Loiselle 1hRyan Vogelsong 1hDamaso Marte 0h
CJason Kendall 133 · Keith Osik 39 · Craig Wilson 10
1BKevin Young 137 · Craig Wilson 26 · John Wehner 11
2BPat Meares 85 · Abraham O. Nunez 48 · Warren Morris 29
3BAramis Ramirez 157 · John Wehner 6 · Mendy López 6
SSJack Wilson 107 · Abraham O. Nunez 48 · Mendy López 6
LFBrian Giles 124 · Jason Kendall 18 · Rob Mackowiak 10
CFGary Matthews Jr. 132 · Brian Giles 61 · Tike Redman 28
RFArmando Rios 78 · Derek Bell 43 · Rob Mackowiak 39
DHJohn Vander Wal 7 · Craig Wilson 2
SPTodd Ritchie 3.1 · Jimmy Anderson 2.1 · Joe Beimel 0.6 · Dave Williams 0.3 · Omar Olivares 0.1
BP Mike Fetters 9 · Scott Sauerbeck 18 · Josias Manzanillo 9 · Mike Lincoln 7 · Jose Silva 2 · Rich Loiselle 1 · Ryan Vogelsong 1 · Damaso Marte 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2001 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Brian Giles 30 FA-elig 1605.5 7.3 +1.6
Aramis Ramirez 23 arb 1584.7 0.3 +7.3
Todd Ritchie 29 arb 343.1 1.9 +3.1
Jimmy Anderson 25 pre-arb 342.1 0.3 +3.2
Josias Manzanillo 33 FA-elig 711.6 0.6 +2.0
Craig Wilson 24 881.5
Jason Schmidt↔ SFG 28 FA-elig 141.3 1.8 +0.3
Scott Sauerbeck 29 pre-arb 700.9 0.4 +1.0
Abraham O. Nunez 25 arb 1150.7 0.3 +0.9
Joe Beimel 24 pre-arb 420.6 0.2 +0.8
Gary Matthews Jr.↔ CHC 26 pre-arb 460.5 0.1 +0.7
Rob Mackowiak 25 830.3
Mike Lincoln 26 310.3
Jason Kendall 27 arb 1570.3 5.1 -4.6
Dave Williams 22 220.3
Andy Barkett 26 170.2
John Vander Wal↔ SFG 35 FA-elig 970.2 1.2 -0.9
Damaso Marte 26 230.2
Mike Williams↔ HOU 32 FA-elig 400.1 0.7 -0.5
Mendy López↔ HOU 27 220.1
Omar Olivares 33 FA-elig 470.1 4.0 -3.8
Emil Brown↔ SDP 26 arb 610.1 0.2 -0.1
Don Wengert 31 40.0
Adrian Brown 27 arb 8-0.0 0.4 -0.4
Billy Taylor 39 1-0.0
Marc Wilkins 30 arb 14-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Luis Figueroa 27 4-0.0
Ryan Vogelsong↔ SFG 23 2-0.0
Armando Rios↔ SFG 29 arb 2-0.1 0.0 -0.1
Humberto Cota 22 7-0.1
Terry Mulholland↔ LAD 38 FA-elig 22-0.1 1.5 -1.6
Bronson Arroyo 24 pre-arb 24-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Adam Hyzdu 29 51-0.1
Kevin Young 32 FA-elig 142-0.1 6.1 -6.3
Jose Silva 27 arb 26-0.1 0.8 -1.0
Mike Fetters↔ LAD 36 FA-elig 20-0.2 0.6 -0.9
Keith Osik 32 arb 56-0.2 0.9 -1.1
Alex Hernandez 24 pre-arb 7-0.2 0.2 -0.5
Tike Redman 24 37-0.4
Tony McKnight↔ HOU 24 12-0.4
John Wehner 34 FA-elig 43-0.4 0.4 -1.0
Warren Morris 27 48-0.4
Rich Loiselle 29 arb 18-0.5 0.8 -1.5
Ramon Martinez 33 4-0.5
Chad Hermansen 23 22-0.6
Jack Wilson 23 pre-arb 108-0.7 0.2 -1.4
Derek Bell 32 FA-elig 46-0.9 5.0 -6.5
Enrique Wilson↔ NYY 27 arb 46-1.3 0.3 -2.4
Pat Meares 32 FA-elig 86-1.7 3.8 -6.6

Key additions (new vs 2000)

PlayerfWAR
Craig Wilson1.5
Joe Beimel0.6
Gary Matthews Jr.0.5
Rob Mackowiak0.3
Mike Lincoln0.3
Dave Williams0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2000)

Player2000 fWAR
Kris Benson3.6
Francisco Cordova1.1
Mike Benjamin1.0
Jason Christiansen0.7
Luis Sojo0.4
Chris Peters0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2001 payroll
$46.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 2001, 2001–2007. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Brian Giles306.000$7.3M$8.1M$6.9MFREE AGENT
Kevin Young329.000$6.1M$5.6M$6.6MFREE AGENT
Derek Bell3210.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Omar Olivares3311.000$4.0MFREE AGENT
Pat Meares328.000$3.8MFREE AGENT
Jason Schmidt286.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Terry Mulholland3815.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
John Vander Wal3510.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Mike Williams329.000$738k$2.0M$2.1MFREE AGENT
Mike Fetters3612.000$639k$1.2MFREE AGENT
Josias Manzanillo3310.000$550kFREE AGENT
John Wehner3410.000$375kFREE AGENT
Ramon Martinez3313.000FREE AGENT
Billy Taylor397.000FREE AGENT
Don Wengert316.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Jason Kendall275.000$5.1MFREE AGENT
Todd Ritchie294.000$1.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Keith Osik325.000$888kFREE AGENT
Jose Silva275.000$795kFREE AGENT
Rich Loiselle295.000$775kFREE AGENT
Marc Wilkins305.000$500kFREE AGENT
Adrian Brown274.000$380kARB 3FREE AGENT
Enrique Wilson274.000$311kARB 3FREE AGENT
Aramis Ramirez233.000$285kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Abraham O. Nunez254.000$275kARB 3FREE AGENT
Emil Brown264.000$218kARB 3FREE AGENT
Armando Rios293.000$7kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mendy López273.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc2001200220032004200520062007
Scott Sauerbeck292.000$417kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Anderson252.000$285kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bronson Arroyo241.000$225kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Hernandez241.000$205kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Beimel240.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Wilson230.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gary Matthews Jr.262.000$68kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony McKnight24
Damaso Marte262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Lincoln262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Hermansen232.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Warren Morris272.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Humberto Cota220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tike Redman241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Hyzdu291.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Vogelsong231.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Figueroa27
Craig Wilson240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Williams220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Mackowiak250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Barkett26

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Pirates 2001; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3