RRosternomics
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Phillies PHI

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GM: Ruben Amaro

Overview

CONTEND → steady
expensive & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.68× league · TAB +0.4
+0.4TAB — talent above budget16th/30
-7.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)22nd/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars11th/30
-3.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag8th/30
23%dead money %5th/30
0.500win %16th/30
41.1roster fWAR10th/30
-60surplus $M (value vs cost)28th/30
$168Mpayroll $M2nd/30

Roster

CFJohn Mayberry Jr. 58GNate Schierholtz 7GMichael Martinez 3G
LFJuan Pierre 107GJohn Mayberry Jr. 70GDomonic Brown 29G
RFNate Schierholtz 80GDomonic Brown 38GLaynce Nix 10G
SSJimmy Rollins 156GMichael Martinez 8GFreddy Galvis 5G
2BChase Utley 81GFreddy Galvis 55GMike Fontenot 17G
3BPlacido Polanco 80GKevin Frandsen 52GTy Wigginton 22G
1BTy Wigginton 71GRyan Howard 67GJohn Mayberry Jr. 27G
STARTERSCole Hamels 5.2WARCliff Lee 5.0WARRoy Halladay 2.5WARVance Worley 1.6WARKyle Kendrick 1.4WAR
CCarlos Ruiz 106GErik Kratz 41GBrian Schneider 29G
DHMike Fontenot 1GJohn Mayberry Jr. 1G
BULLPEN★ Jonathan Papelbon 38svAntonio Bastardo 26hJosh Lindblom 22hJeremy Horst 6hJake Diekman 4hRaul Valdes 2hB.J. Rosenberg 2hMichael Schwimer 1h
CCarlos Ruiz 106 · Erik Kratz 41 · Brian Schneider 29
1BTy Wigginton 71 · Ryan Howard 67 · John Mayberry Jr. 27
2BChase Utley 81 · Freddy Galvis 55 · Mike Fontenot 17
3BPlacido Polanco 80 · Kevin Frandsen 52 · Ty Wigginton 22
SSJimmy Rollins 156 · Michael Martinez 8 · Freddy Galvis 5
LFJuan Pierre 107 · John Mayberry Jr. 70 · Domonic Brown 29
CFJohn Mayberry Jr. 58 · Nate Schierholtz 7 · Michael Martinez 3
RFNate Schierholtz 80 · Domonic Brown 38 · Laynce Nix 10
DHMike Fontenot 1 · John Mayberry Jr. 1
SPCole Hamels 5.2 · Cliff Lee 5.0 · Roy Halladay 2.5 · Vance Worley 1.6 · Kyle Kendrick 1.4
BP★ Jonathan Papelbon 38 · Antonio Bastardo 26 · Josh Lindblom 22 · Jeremy Horst 6 · Jake Diekman 4 · Raul Valdes 2 · B.J. Rosenberg 2 · Michael Schwimer 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2012 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Cole Hamels 28 FA-elig 315.2 15.0 -1.5
Cliff Lee 33 FA-elig 335.0 21.5 -8.6
Jimmy Rollins 33 FA-elig 1564.7 11.0 +1.0
Carlos Ruiz 33 FA-elig 1144.5 3.7 +7.8
Chase Utley 33 FA-elig 832.6 15.0 -8.3
Roy Halladay 35 FA-elig 252.5 20.0 -13.5
Erik Kratz 32 pre-arb 502.1 0.5 +4.8
Shane Victorino↔ LAD 31 FA-elig 1012.0 6.2 -1.0
Vance Worley 24 pre-arb 231.6 0.5 +3.8
Hunter Pence↔ SFG 29 arb 1011.6 6.6 -2.4
Juan Pierre 34 FA-elig 1301.6 0.8 +3.3
Joe Blanton↔ LAD 31 FA-elig 211.6 7.1 -3.0
Jonathan Papelbon 31 FA-elig 701.4 11.0 -7.4
Kyle Kendrick 27 arb 371.4 3.0 +0.6
Kevin Frandsen 30 arb 551.3 0.2 +3.1
Antonio Bastardo 26 arb 650.8 0.5 +1.6
Placido Polanco 36 FA-elig 900.7 6.2 -4.4
Raul Valdes 34 pre-arb 270.7 0.5 +1.3
Jeremy Horst 26 pre-arb 320.6 0.5 +1.2
Freddy Galvis 22 pre-arb 580.4 0.5 +0.7
Darin Ruf 25 – 120.4 0.1 +0.9
Jim Thome↔ BAL 41 FA-elig 300.3 0.6 +0.2
Jose Contreras 40 FA-elig 170.3 2.5 -1.7
Laynce Nix 31 FA-elig 700.3 1.1 -0.5
Michael Schwimer 26 pre-arb 350.2 0.5 +0.0
Jake Diekman 25 – 320.2 0.3 +0.2
Phillippe Aumont 23 – 180.1 0.5 -0.1
Justin De Fratus 24 pre-arb 130.1 0.5 -0.1
Domonic Brown 24 pre-arb 560.1 0.5 -0.1
Pete Orr 33 FA-elig 350.1 0.6 -0.3
Jason Pridie 28 – 90.1 – –
David Herndon 26 pre-arb 50.1 0.5 -0.4
Nate Schierholtz↔ SFG 28 arb 370.0 0.4 -0.3
Brian Schneider 35 FA-elig 340.0 0.8 -0.7
Michael Stutes 25 pre-arb 60.0 0.5 -0.4
Tyson Brummett 27 – 10.0 0.5 -0.4
John Mayberry Jr. 28 arb 1490.0 0.5 -0.5
Tyler Cloyd 25 – 60.0 0.5 -0.4
Mike Fontenot 32 – 470.0 0.3 -0.2
Hector Luna 32 – 28-0.0 – –
Steven Lerud 27 – 3-0.1 – –
Joe Savery 26 pre-arb 19-0.2 0.5 -1.0
B.J. Rosenberg 26 pre-arb 22-0.2 0.5 -1.1
Josh Lindblom↔ LAD 25 pre-arb 26-0.3 0.2 -0.9
Brian Sanches 33 – 6-0.4 – –
Ty Wigginton 34 FA-elig 125-0.5 4.0 -5.3
Chad Qualls↔ NYY 33 FA-elig 35-0.6 0.7 -2.2
Michael Martinez 29 pre-arb 45-0.7 0.5 -2.2
Ryan Howard 32 FA-elig 71-0.9 20.0 -22.2

Key additions (new vs 2011)

PlayerfWAR
Juan Pierre1.6
Jonathan Papelbon1.4
Kevin Frandsen1.3
Raul Valdes0.7
Jeremy Horst0.6
Freddy Galvis0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2011)

Player2011 fWAR
Ryan Madson1.8
Dane Sardinha0.1
Juan Pablo Perez0.1
J.C. Romero0.0
Scott Mathieson-0.0
Brandon Moss-0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2012 payroll
$167.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 2012, 2012–2018. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (17)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Cliff Lee338.100$21.5M$25.0M$25.0MFREE AGENT
Ryan Howard3210.145$20.0M$20.0M$25.0M$25.0M$25.0MFREE AGENT
Roy Halladay3512.047$20.0M$20.0MFREE AGENT
Chase Utley338.027$15.0M$15.0M$15.0M$10.2MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Papelbon316.064$11.0M$13.0M$13.0M$8.2MFREE AGENT
Jimmy Rollins3311.015$11.0M$11.0M$11.0MFREE AGENT
Joe Blanton317.016$7.1MFREE AGENT
Placido Polanco3613.064$6.2MFREE AGENT
Shane Victorino316.092$6.2MFREE AGENT
Ty Wigginton348.169$4.0MFREE AGENT
Jose Contreras408.134$2.5MFREE AGENT
Laynce Nix316.070$1.1M$1.4MFREE AGENT
Brian Schneider3510.125$800kFREE AGENT
Juan Pierre3411.056$800kFREE AGENT
Chad Qualls337.058$671kFREE AGENT
Jim Thome4119.042$647kFREE AGENT
Hector Luna328.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Cole Hamels285.143$15.0MFREE AGENT
Hunter Pence294.156$6.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Ruiz335.069$3.7MFREE AGENT
Kyle Kendrick273.159$3.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pete Orr334.016$600kARB 3FREE AGENT
John Mayberry Jr.283.000$495kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nate Schierholtz283.078$422kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Fontenot324.139$260kARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Frandsen303.082$217kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Sanches333.105—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Antonio Bastardo262.054$505kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vance Worley240.152$495kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Herndon262.158$495kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Martinez291.000$486kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Stutes252.114$485kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyson Brummett27–$480k
Raul Valdes342.085$480kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Schwimer260.043$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin De Fratus241.000$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Freddy Galvis220.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Savery260.104$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erik Kratz320.035$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Horst261.160$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Domonic Brown241.013$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phillippe Aumont230.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
B.J. Rosenberg260.166$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Cloyd250.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Diekman250.000$299kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Lindblom250.077$170kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darin Ruf250.000$63kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Pridie280.047—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steven Lerud27–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Phillies 2012; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.