RRosternomics

Phillies PHI

GM: Ed Wade

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.64× league · TAB +2.3
+2.3TAB — talent above budget14th/30
+0.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)15th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars17th/30
-4.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag12th/30
35%dead money %21st/30
0.475win %16th/30
31.2roster fWAR16th/30
+9surplus $M (value vs cost)7th/30
$31Mpayroll $M23rd/30

Roster

CFDoug Glanville 148GKevin Sefcik 19GRob Ducey 9G
LFRon Gant 133GRob Ducey 39GKevin Sefcik 31G
RFBobby Abreu 146GKevin Sefcik 17GRob Ducey 11G
SSAlex Arias 95GDesi Relaford 63GDomingo Cedeño 39G
2BMarlon Anderson 121GDavid Doster 77GKevin Jordan 33G
3BScott Rolen 112GKevin Jordan 62GDavid Doster 6G
1BRico Brogna 157GKevin Jordan 13GTorey Lovullo 6G
STARTERSCurt Schilling 3.3WARCarlton Loewer 1.6WARRandy Wolf 1.0WARRobert Person 0.7WARPaul Byrd 0.4WAR
CMike Lieberthal 143GGary Bennett 32GBobby Estalella 7G
DHBobby Abreu 5GRob Ducey 2GRon Gant 2G
BULLPEN Wayne Gomes 19svSteve Montgomery 11hYorkis Perez 6hScott Aldred 5hAmaury Telemaco 3hSteve Schrenk 1hBilly Brewer 1hKen Ryan 1h
CMike Lieberthal 143 · Gary Bennett 32 · Bobby Estalella 7
1BRico Brogna 157 · Kevin Jordan 13 · Torey Lovullo 6
2BMarlon Anderson 121 · David Doster 77 · Kevin Jordan 33
3BScott Rolen 112 · Kevin Jordan 62 · David Doster 6
SSAlex Arias 95 · Desi Relaford 63 · Domingo Cedeño 39
LFRon Gant 133 · Rob Ducey 39 · Kevin Sefcik 31
CFDoug Glanville 148 · Kevin Sefcik 19 · Rob Ducey 9
RFBobby Abreu 146 · Kevin Sefcik 17 · Rob Ducey 11
DHBobby Abreu 5 · Rob Ducey 2 · Ron Gant 2
SPCurt Schilling 3.3 · Carlton Loewer 1.6 · Randy Wolf 1.0 · Robert Person 0.7 · Paul Byrd 0.4
BP Wayne Gomes 19 · Steve Montgomery 11 · Yorkis Perez 6 · Scott Aldred 5 · Amaury Telemaco 3 · Steve Schrenk 1 · Billy Brewer 1 · Ken Ryan 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1999 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Bobby Abreu 25 arb 1526.3 0.4 +7.6
Scott Rolen 24 arb 1124.8 1.0 +5.0
Doug Glanville 28 arb 1504.5 0.5 +5.1
Mike Lieberthal 27 arb 1454.2 2.2 +3.1
Curt Schilling 32 FA-elig 243.3 5.2 -1.1
Ron Gant 34 FA-elig 1382.5 6.0 -2.8
Carlton Loewer 25 pre-arb 201.6 0.2 +1.8
Rob Ducey 34 FA-elig 1041.5 0.4 +1.5
Rico Brogna 29 FA-elig 1571.1 3.2 -1.8
Randy Wolf 22 pre-arb 221.0 0.2 +1.1
Kevin Jordan 29 arb 1200.9 0.6 +0.6
Robert Person↔ TOR 29 arb 310.7 0.3 +0.5
Scott Aldred↔ TBR 31 FA-elig 290.4 0.2 +0.3
Alex Arias 31 FA-elig 1180.4 0.6 -0.1
Joe Grahe 31 FA-elig 130.4 0.2 +0.3
Paul Byrd 28 arb 320.4 0.3 +0.2
Wendell Magee 26 arb 120.3 0.2 +0.2
Steve Schrenk 30 pre-arb 320.2 0.2 +0.0
Jeff Brantley 35 FA-elig 100.2 2.8 -2.6
Anthony Shumaker 26 80.1
Jim Poole↔ CLE 33 FA-elig 510.1 0.5 -0.4
Yorkis Perez 31 FA-elig 350.1 0.5 -0.4
Billy Brewer 31 FA-elig 250.1 0.3 -0.3
Wayne Gomes 26 pre-arb 730.0 0.3 -0.2
Steve Montgomery 28 arb 530.0 0.2 -0.2
Paul Spoljaric↔ TOR 28 arb 50.0 0.1 -0.0
Kevin Sefcik 28 arb 111-0.0 0.4 -0.4
Tom Prince 34 FA-elig 4-0.0 0.3 -0.3
Amaury Telemaco↔ ARI 25 arb 44-0.1 0.3 -0.4
Cliff Politte 25 13-0.1
Mike Grace 29 arb 27-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Torey Lovullo 33 17-0.1
David Doster 28 arb 99-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Ken Ryan 30 FA-elig 15-0.1 0.6 -0.8
Bobby Estalella 24 arb 9-0.2 0.2 -0.5
Desi Relaford 25 arb 65-0.3 0.3 -0.6
Gary Bennett 27 arb 36-0.4 0.2 -0.7
Marlon Anderson 25 pre-arb 129-0.4 0.2 -0.7
Domingo Cedeno↔ SEA 30 32-0.4
Joel Bennett 29 5-0.8
Chad Ogea 28 arb 36-0.8 1.8 -2.8

Key additions (new vs 1998)

PlayerfWAR
Ron Gant2.5
Rob Ducey1.5
Randy Wolf1.0
Robert Person0.7
Scott Aldred0.4
Joe Grahe0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 1998)

Player1998 fWAR
Mark Portugal2.1
Gregg Jefferies1.1
Jerry Spradlin0.9
Matt Beech0.3
Mark Leiter0.2
Tyler Green0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

1999 payroll
$31.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 1999, 1999–2005. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1999200020012002200320042005
Ron Gant3412.000$6.0M$3.7MFREE AGENT
Curt Schilling3211.000$5.2M$3.1MFREE AGENT
Rico Brogna297.000$3.2M$2.2MFREE AGENT
Jeff Brantley3511.000$2.8M$500kFREE AGENT
Alex Arias317.000$625k$550kFREE AGENT
Ken Ryan307.000$600kFREE AGENT
Yorkis Perez318.000$475kFREE AGENT
Jim Poole339.000$472kFREE AGENT
Rob Ducey3412.000$400k$479k$263kFREE AGENT
Billy Brewer316.000$320kFREE AGENT
Tom Prince3412.000$300k$300kFREE AGENT
Scott Aldred319.000$239k$600kFREE AGENT
Joe Grahe319.000$200kFREE AGENT
Domingo Cedeno306.000FREE AGENT
Torey Lovullo3311.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (18)

PlayerAgeSvc1999200020012002200320042005
Mike Lieberthal275.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
Chad Ogea285.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Scott Rolen243.000$1.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Jordan294.000$550kARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Glanville283.000$542kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Sefcik284.000$425kARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Abreu253.000$400kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Byrd284.000$298kARB 3FREE AGENT
Amaury Telemaco253.000$292kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Person294.000$280kARB 3FREE AGENT
Desi Relaford253.000$260kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Grace294.000$240kARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Estalella243.000$210kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wendell Magee263.000$205kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gary Bennett274.000$200kARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Montgomery283.000$200kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Doster283.000$200kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Spoljaric285.000$54kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (8)

PlayerAgeSvc1999200020012002200320042005
Wayne Gomes262.000$260kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlton Loewer251.000$215kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Schrenk300.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marlon Anderson251.000$200kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Randy Wolf220.000$200kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cliff Politte251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joel Bennett29
Anthony Shumaker26

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Phillies 1999; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3