RRosternomics
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Athletics OAK

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GM: Billy Beane

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.7× league · TAB -4.6
-4.6TAB — talent above budget23rd/30
-3.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)21st/30
3.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars29th/30
-5.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag17th/30
53%dead money %26th/30
0.457win %20th/30
25.2roster fWAR24th/30
-5surplus $M (value vs cost)13th/30
$67Mpayroll $M23rd/30

Roster

CFCoco Crisp 133GRyan Sweeney 34GDavid DeJesus 8G
LFJosh Willingham 96GRyan Sweeney 41GHideki Matsui 27G
RFDavid DeJesus 116GRyan Sweeney 23GMichael Taylor 8G
SSCliff Pennington 147GEric Sogard 14GAndy LaRoche 9G
2BJemile Weeks 96GScott Sizemore 18GAndy LaRoche 8G
3BScott Sizemore 91GAndy LaRoche 27GEric Sogard 10G
1BDaric Barton 65GBrandon Allen 51GChris Carter 11G
STARTERSBrandon McCarthy 4.5WARGio Gonzalez 3.3WARTrevor Cahill 2.0WARGuillermo Moscoso 1.5WARBrett Anderson 1.0WAR
CKurt Suzuki 129GLandon Powell 33GAnthony Recker 5G
DHHideki Matsui 109GJosh Willingham 36GChris Carter 4G
BULLPEN★ Andrew Bailey 24svGrant Balfour 26hBrian Fuentes 9hCraig Breslow 8hJoey Devine 7hMichael Wuertz 3hFautino De Los Santos 3hJerry Blevins 0h
CKurt Suzuki 129 · Landon Powell 33 · Anthony Recker 5
1BDaric Barton 65 · Brandon Allen 51 · Chris Carter 11
2BJemile Weeks 96 · Scott Sizemore 18 · Andy LaRoche 8
3BScott Sizemore 91 · Andy LaRoche 27 · Eric Sogard 10
SSCliff Pennington 147 · Eric Sogard 14 · Andy LaRoche 9
LFJosh Willingham 96 · Ryan Sweeney 41 · Hideki Matsui 27
CFCoco Crisp 133 · Ryan Sweeney 34 · David DeJesus 8
RFDavid DeJesus 116 · Ryan Sweeney 23 · Michael Taylor 8
DHHideki Matsui 109 · Josh Willingham 36 · Chris Carter 4
SPBrandon McCarthy 4.5 · Gio Gonzalez 3.3 · Trevor Cahill 2.0 · Guillermo Moscoso 1.5 · Brett Anderson 1.0
BP★ Andrew Bailey 24 · Grant Balfour 26 · Brian Fuentes 9 · Craig Breslow 8 · Joey Devine 7 · Michael Wuertz 3 · Fautino De Los Santos 3 · Jerry Blevins 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2011 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Brandon McCarthy 27 FA-elig 254.5 1.0 +10.1
Gio Gonzalez 25 arb 323.3 0.4 +7.6
Josh Willingham 32 FA-elig 1362.1 6.0 -0.9
Trevor Cahill 23 pre-arb 342.0 0.4 +4.4
Coco Crisp 31 FA-elig 1361.9 5.8 -1.0
Jemile Weeks 24 – 971.8 0.3 +4.2
David DeJesus 31 FA-elig 1311.7 6.0 -1.8
Scott Sizemore↔ DET 26 – 931.6 0.4 +3.6
Guillermo Moscoso 27 pre-arb 231.5 0.4 +3.2
Cliff Pennington 27 arb 1481.3 0.4 +2.8
Andrew Bailey 27 pre-arb 421.0 0.5 +2.0
Brett Anderson 23 pre-arb 131.0 1.2 +1.2
Kurt Suzuki 27 arb 1340.9 3.4 -1.1
Tyson Ross 24 pre-arb 90.8 0.4 +1.7
Brad Ziegler↔ ARI 31 arb 430.7 0.8 +0.9
Josh Outman 26 pre-arb 130.7 0.4 +1.2
Grant Balfour 33 FA-elig 620.5 3.8 -2.5
Rich Harden 29 FA-elig 150.4 1.5 -0.4
Craig Breslow 30 FA-elig 670.4 1.4 -0.4
Dallas Braden 27 arb 30.4 3.4 -2.4
Joey Devine 27 FA-elig 260.4 0.6 +0.3
Hideki Matsui 37 FA-elig 1410.2 4.2 -3.7
Brian Fuentes 35 FA-elig 670.2 5.0 -4.5
Jerry Blevins 27 arb 260.2 0.4 +0.0
Fautino De Los Santos 25 – 340.2 – –
Kevin Kouzmanoff↔ COL 29 arb 460.2 3.0 -2.6
Graham Godfrey 26 pre-arb 50.2 0.4 -0.0
David Purcey↔ DET 29 arb 90.1 0.1 +0.1
Bobby Cramer 31 pre-arb 50.1 0.4 -0.3
Ryan Sweeney 26 arb 1080.0 1.4 -1.3
Jai Miller 26 – 70.0 – –
Eric Sogard 25 pre-arb 270.0 0.4 -0.4
Andrew Carignan 24 – 60.0 0.4 -0.4
Anthony Recker 27 – 5-0.0 0.4 -0.5
Jordan Norberto 24 – 6-0.0 – –
Neil Wagner 27 – 6-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Bruce Billings↔ COL 25 – 3-0.1 – –
Trystan Magnuson 26 pre-arb 9-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Conor Jackson↔ BOS 29 FA-elig 102-0.1 2.9 -3.2
Mark Ellis↔ COL 34 FA-elig 62-0.2 2.8 -3.2
Brandon Allen↔ ARI 25 pre-arb 41-0.3 0.2 -0.8
Michael Taylor 25 pre-arb 11-0.3 0.4 -1.2
Daric Barton 25 arb 67-0.4 0.4 -1.4
Michael Wuertz 32 FA-elig 39-0.5 2.8 -4.1
Andy LaRoche 27 arb 40-0.6 0.6 -2.0
Chris Carter 24 pre-arb 15-0.7 0.4 -2.0
Landon Powell 29 pre-arb 36-0.7 0.4 -2.1
Adam Rosales 28 arb 24-1.1 0.4 -3.0

Key additions (new vs 2010)

PlayerfWAR
Brandon McCarthy4.5
Josh Willingham2.1
Jemile Weeks1.8
David DeJesus1.7
Scott Sizemore1.6
Guillermo Moscoso1.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2010)

Player2010 fWAR
Jack Cust2.2
Rajai Davis1.1
Ben Sheets0.8
Henry Alberto Rodriguez0.3
Boof Bonser0.2
Justin Duchscherer0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2011 payroll
$66.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 2011, 2011–2017. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
David DeJesus316.146$6.0MFREE AGENT
Coco Crisp317.158$5.8M$6.0M$7.0M$7.5M$11.0M$9.2MFREE AGENT
Brian Fuentes358.125$5.0M$4.1MFREE AGENT
Hideki Matsui378.000$4.2MFREE AGENT
Grant Balfour336.099$3.8M$4.0M$4.5MFREE AGENT
Mark Ellis348.136$2.8MFREE AGENT
Michael Wuertz327.000$2.8MFREE AGENT
Rich Harden297.074$1.5MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Josh Willingham325.123$6.0MFREE AGENT
Kurt Suzuki273.112$3.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dallas Braden273.039$3.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Kouzmanoff294.030$3.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Conor Jackson295.067$2.9MFREE AGENT
Ryan Sweeney263.053$1.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Breslow303.088$1.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon McCarthy274.122$1.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy LaRoche273.096$600kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Devine273.171$558kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Sizemore263.055$350kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Purcey293.000$119kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (28)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Brett Anderson232.000$1.2MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brad Ziegler312.122$814kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Bailey272.000$465kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Cahill232.000$440kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Rosales282.025$425kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daric Barton252.119$425kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Landon Powell291.153$420kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jerry Blevins271.162$420kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cliff Pennington271.114$420kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gio Gonzalez251.162$420kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Recker270.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Carter241.016$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Cramer311.000$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Graham Godfrey260.074$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Carignan240.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Taylor250.038$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Guillermo Moscoso271.097$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Neil Wagner270.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Sogard250.020$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trystan Magnuson260.076$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Outman262.027$414kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyson Ross240.095$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jemile Weeks240.000$262kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Allen250.141$210kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jai Miller26–—
Jordan Norberto241.132—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fautino De Los Santos250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bruce Billings25–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Athletics 2011; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.