RRosternomics

Mets NYM

GM: Brodie Van Wagenen

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.92× league · TAB +10.2
+10.2TAB — talent above budget8th/30
+5.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)12th/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars10th/30
-5.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag17th/30
33%dead money %15th/30
0.531win %12th/30
43.4roster fWAR10th/30
+23surplus $M (value vs cost)6th/30
$120Mpayroll $M16th/30

Roster

CFJuan Lagares 125GBrandon Nimmo 43GMichael Conforto 39G
LFJ.D. Davis 79GJeff McNeil 71GBrandon Nimmo 38G
RFMichael Conforto 132GJeff McNeil 42GCarlos Gómez 7G
SSAmed Rosario 152GLuis Guillorme 8GRubén Tejada 2G
2BJoe Panik 118GRobinson Canó 99GJeff McNeil 37G
3BTodd Frazier 120GJ.D. Davis 31GJeff McNeil 31G
1BPete Alonso 156GDominic Smith 36GTodd Frazier 3G
STARTERSJacob deGrom 7.6WARZack Wheeler 5.2WARNoah Syndergaard 4.3WARSteven Matz 1.9WARMarcus Stroman 0.7WAR
CWilson Ramos 124GTomás Nido 48GRené Rivera 8G
DHTodd Frazier 3GWilson Ramos 2GRobinson Canó 2G
BULLPEN Edwin Díaz 26svSeth Lugo 21hJeurys Familia 14hJustin Wilson 9hRobert Gsellman 7hBrad Brach 6hLuis Avilán 3hTyler Bashlor 1h
CWilson Ramos 124 · Tomás Nido 48 · René Rivera 8
1BPete Alonso 156 · Dominic Smith 36 · Todd Frazier 3
2BJoe Panik 118 · Robinson Canó 99 · Jeff McNeil 37
3BTodd Frazier 120 · J.D. Davis 31 · Jeff McNeil 31
SSAmed Rosario 152 · Luis Guillorme 8 · Rubén Tejada 2
LFJ.D. Davis 79 · Jeff McNeil 71 · Brandon Nimmo 38
CFJuan Lagares 125 · Brandon Nimmo 43 · Michael Conforto 39
RFMichael Conforto 132 · Jeff McNeil 42 · Carlos Gómez 7
DHTodd Frazier 3 · Wilson Ramos 2 · Robinson Canó 2
SPJacob deGrom 7.6 · Zack Wheeler 5.2 · Noah Syndergaard 4.3 · Steven Matz 1.9 · Marcus Stroman 0.7
BP Edwin Díaz 26 · Seth Lugo 21 · Jeurys Familia 14 · Justin Wilson 9 · Robert Gsellman 7 · Brad Brach 6 · Luis Avilán 3 · Tyler Bashlor 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2019 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jacob deGrom 31 arb 337.6 9.0 +15.8
Zack Wheeler 29 FA-elig 315.2 6.0 +11.0
Jeff McNeil 27 pre-arb 1334.8 0.6 +15.1
Pete Alonso 24 pre-arb 1614.7 0.6 +14.9
Noah Syndergaard 26 arb 324.3 6.0 +8.2
Michael Conforto 26 arb 1514.1 4.0 +9.6
J.D. Davis 26 pre-arb 1402.6 0.6 +7.8
Seth Lugo 29 arb 612.3 0.6 +7.0
Amed Rosario 23 pre-arb 1571.9 0.6 +5.7
Steven Matz 28 arb 361.9 2.6 +3.6
Todd Frazier 33 FA-elig 1331.8 9.0 -3.2
Brandon Nimmo 26 arb 691.3 0.6 +3.5
Wilson Ramos 31 FA-elig 1411.2 7.2 -3.4
Robinson Canó 36 FA-elig 1071.1 24.0 -20.4
Jason Vargas↔ PHI 36 FA-elig 190.9 5.1 -2.0
Dominic Smith 24 pre-arb 890.8 0.6 +2.2
Marcus Stroman↔ TOR 28 arb 110.7 2.5 -0.3
Joe Panik↔ SFG 28 arb 390.5 1.0 +0.6
Brad Brach↔ CHC 33 FA-elig 160.5 0.5 +1.0
Robert Gsellman 25 arb 520.4 0.6 +0.8
Justin Wilson 31 FA-elig 450.3 5.0 -4.1
Paul Sewald 29 pre-arb 170.2 0.2 +0.7
Luis Guillorme 24 pre-arb 450.2 0.6 +0.0
Chris Mazza 29 90.1 0.1 +0.2
Edwin Díaz 25 arb 660.0 0.6 -0.5
Brooks Pounders 28 pre-arb 70.0 0.1 -0.0
René Rivera 35 FA-elig 90.0 0.1 -0.1
Héctor Santiago↔ CHW 31 FA-elig 8-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Donnie Hart↔ MIL 28 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.0 -0.0
Chris Flexen 24 pre-arb 9-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Sam Haggerty 25 11-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Ryan O'Rourke 31 2-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Daniel Zamora 26 pre-arb 17-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Rajai Davis 38 FA-elig 29-0.1 0.2 -0.4
Stephen Nogosek 24 7-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Carlos Gómez 33 FA-elig 34-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Walker Lockett 25 pre-arb 9-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Luis Avilán 29 FA-elig 45-0.1 1.6 -2.0
Juan Lagares 30 FA-elig 133-0.1 9.0 -9.4
Jed Lowrie 35 FA-elig 9-0.1 10.0 -10.5
Tim Peterson 28 pre-arb 6-0.2 0.6 -1.1
Corey Oswalt 25 pre-arb 2-0.2 0.0 -0.6
Jacob Rhame 26 pre-arb 5-0.2 0.0 -0.7
Jeurys Familia 29 FA-elig 66-0.2 6.7 -7.4
Aaron Altherr↔ PHI 28 arb 26-0.2 0.7 -1.5
Rubén Tejada 29 6-0.2 0.0 -0.9
Tomás Nido 25 pre-arb 50-0.4 0.6 -1.8
Wilmer Font↔ TBR 29 FA-elig 15-0.4 0.2 -1.6
Adeiny Hechavarría↔ ATL 30 FA-elig 60-0.4 0.2 -1.6
Keon Broxton↔ BAL 29 arb 34-0.4 0.2 -1.6
Travis d'Arnaud↔ LAD 30 FA-elig 10-0.4 0.3 -1.8
Tyler Bashlor 26 pre-arb 24-0.6 0.2 -2.2
Drew Gagnon 29 pre-arb 18-1.0 0.2 -3.5

Key additions (new vs 2018)

PlayerfWAR
Pete Alonso4.7
J.D. Davis2.6
Wilson Ramos1.2
Robinson Canó1.1
Marcus Stroman0.7
Joe Panik0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2018)

Player2018 fWAR
Asdrúbal Cabrera2.8
Wilmer Flores0.8
Kevin Plawecki0.5
José Bautista0.4
Scott Copeland0.0
Jack Reinheimer-0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2019 payroll
$119.6M
2020 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2019, 2019–2025. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2019; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2019202020212022202320242025
Robinson Canó3613.076$24.0MFREE AGENT
Jed Lowrie3510.111$10.0MFREE AGENT
Todd Frazier337.071$9.0MFREE AGENT
Wilson Ramos318.047$7.2MFREE AGENT
Jeurys Familia296.029$6.7MFREE AGENT
Jason Vargas3611.114$5.1MFREE AGENT
Justin Wilson316.035$5.0MFREE AGENT
Brad Brach336.063$475kFREE AGENT
Adeiny Hechavarría306.060$173kFREE AGENT
Rajai Davis3811.167$155kFREE AGENT
René Rivera357.070$100kFREE AGENT
Carlos Gómez3311.141$100kFREE AGENT
Héctor Santiago317.016$69kFREE AGENT
Rubén Tejada297.089$36kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2019202020212022202320242025
Juan Lagares305.160$9.0MFREE AGENT
Jacob deGrom314.139$9.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Noah Syndergaard263.149$6.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zack Wheeler295.098$6.0MFREE AGENT
Michael Conforto263.043$4.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steven Matz283.099$2.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marcus Stroman284.148$2.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Avilán295.146$1.6MFREE AGENT
Joe Panik284.100$1.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Altherr283.028$716kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis d'Arnaud305.044$341kFREE AGENT
Ryan O'Rourke313.006$15kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (27)

PlayerAgeSvc2019202020212022202320242025
Edwin Díaz252.121$607kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Nimmo262.042$598kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Seth Lugo292.082$592kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Gsellman252.042$582kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Amed Rosario231.062$576kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff McNeil270.069$568kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.D. Davis260.137$561kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dominic Smith240.146$559kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tomás Nido250.095$556kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Guillorme240.065$556kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Peterson280.094$555kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pete Alonso240.000$555kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Gagnon290.113$239kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Bashlor260.098$221kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Zamora260.045$212kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keon Broxton292.038$194kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilmer Font291.085$175kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Sewald291.160$161kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Mazza290.000$149kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Haggerty250.000$87kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stephen Nogosek240.000$84kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Flexen240.082$63kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brooks Pounders280.165$51kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Walker Lockett250.017$51kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jacob Rhame260.139$42kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Corey Oswalt250.100$21kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Donnie Hart281.112$12kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mets 2019; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3