RRosternomics
BW

Brodie Van Wagenen

Born Mar 9, 1974 · Encino, CA · age 52

General manager for the Mets (2019–2020).

2 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs0
Record112–110
Win %0.505
+2.2GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±7.832nd/195 execs
4.5Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)156th/195 execs
-4.4Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)46th/195 execs
39%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)132nd/195 execs
$61MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track9th/195 execs
$50MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)1st/195 execs
$7MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade57th/195 execs
$4MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees30th/195 execs
+10.2TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total51st/195 execs
+5.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)57th/195 execs
6.03Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)3rd/195 execs
+6Roster surplus $M37th/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Mets GM 2019–2020 1 +5.1 +5.08 +10.2 +4.6 +0.0 +3.9 -46.3 +0.0 6.03 0.505 +6
Career total (1985+ data) 2 +5.1 +10.2 +4.6 +0.0 +3.9 -46.3 +0.0 6.03 0.505 +6

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+0.0
Trade+3.9
Free agency-46.3
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.0
Sourcing mix: 0% draft · 61% FA · 39% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Brodie Van Wagenen's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 32 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Edwin Díaz P NYM Trade 2019 6 +9.0 +1.5 0.1
J. D. Davis 3B NYM Trade 2019 4 +4.6 +1.2 17.2
Marcus Stroman P NYM Free agency 2020 2 +3.6 +1.8 4.4
Robinson Canó 2B NYM Trade 2019 2 +2.1 +1.0 7.2
Rick Porcello P NYM Free agency 2019 1 +1.6 +1.6 24.8
Wilson Ramos C NYM Trade 2019 2 +1.2 +0.6 7.7
Justin Wilson P NYM Free agency 2019 2 +0.8 +0.4 1.8
Trevor May P NYM Free agency 2020 2 +0.6 +0.3 0.9
José Peraza 2B/SS NYM Free agency 2020 1 +0.6 +0.6 1.1
James McCann C NYM Free agency 2020 2 +0.5 +0.2 0.6
Joe Panik 2B NYM Trade 2019 1 +0.5 +0.5 3.3
Jake Marisnick OF NYM Trade 2019 1 +0.3 +0.3 4.7
Miguel Castro P NYM Trade 2020 2 +0.1 +0.1 0.5
Ariel Jurado P NYM Trade 2020 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.9
Erasmo Ramírez P NYM Free agency 2020 1 +0.1 +0.1 1.8
Hunter Strickland P NYM Free agency 2020 1 +0.1 +0.1 1.4
Guillermo Heredia OF NYM Trade 2020 1 +0.1 +0.1 2.1
Dellin Betances P NYM Free agency 2019 -0.0
Eduardo Núñez 3B/SS NYM Free agency 2020 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.5
Michael Wacha P NYM Free agency 2019 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.6
Brooks Pounders P NYM Trade 2019 1 +0.0 +0.0 0.1
Walker Lockett P NYM Trade 2020 1 -0.0 -0.0 1.0
Luis Avilán P NYM Free agency 2019 -0.1
Ryan Cordell OF NYM Free agency 2020 -0.1
Sam Haggerty OF NYM Trade 2019 -0.1
Trevor Hildenberger P NYM Free agency 2020 -0.1
Jared Hughes P NYM Free agency 2020 -0.1
Jed Lowrie 2B/SS NYM Free agency 2019 -0.1
Chasen Shreve P NYM Free agency 2019 1 -0.1 -0.1 2.1
Brian Dozier 2B NYM Free agency 2020 -0.2
Brad Brach P NYM Free agency 2019 1 -0.3 -0.3 2.9
Jerad Eickhoff P NYM Free agency 2020 -0.6

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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