RRosternomics
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Mets NYM

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GM: Sandy Alderson

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.99× league · TAB -3.9
-3.9TAB — talent above budget21st/30
-7.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)23rd/30
3.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars26th/30
-4.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag13th/30
39%dead money %20th/30
0.457win %21st/30
30.3roster fWAR18th/30
-20surplus $M (value vs cost)20th/30
$99Mpayroll $M12th/30

Roster

CFAndres Torres 124GKirk Nieuwenhuis 50GScott Hairston 14G
LFJason Bay 65GScott Hairston 59GLucas Duda 24G
RFLucas Duda 81GScott Hairston 48GMike Baxter 45G
SSRubén Tejada 112GRonny Cedeno 27GJustin Turner 10G
2BDaniel Murphy 138GRonny Cedeno 28GJordany Valdespin 16G
3BDavid Wright 155GJustin Turner 11GRonny Cedeno 3G
1BIke Davis 148GDaniel Murphy 12GJustin Turner 11G
STARTERSR.A. Dickey 4.7WARJonathon Niese 3.1WARDillon Gee 1.7WARMatt Harvey 1.6WARJohan Santana 1.3WAR
CJosh Thole 100GKelly Shoppach 73GMike Nickeas 45G
DHLucas Duda 5GJordany Valdespin 2GMike Baxter 1G
BULLPEN★ Frank Francisco 23svBobby Parnell 18hTim Byrdak 17hJon Rauch 16hJosh Edgin 5hManny Acosta 4hRamon E Ramirez 1hElvin Ramirez 1h
CJosh Thole 100 · Kelly Shoppach 73 · Mike Nickeas 45
1BIke Davis 148 · Daniel Murphy 12 · Justin Turner 11
2BDaniel Murphy 138 · Ronny Cedeno 28 · Jordany Valdespin 16
3BDavid Wright 155 · Justin Turner 11 · Ronny Cedeno 3
SSRubén Tejada 112 · Ronny Cedeno 27 · Justin Turner 10
LFJason Bay 65 · Scott Hairston 59 · Lucas Duda 24
CFAndres Torres 124 · Kirk Nieuwenhuis 50 · Scott Hairston 14
RFLucas Duda 81 · Scott Hairston 48 · Mike Baxter 45
DHLucas Duda 5 · Jordany Valdespin 2 · Mike Baxter 1
SPR.A. Dickey 4.7 · Jonathon Niese 3.1 · Dillon Gee 1.7 · Matt Harvey 1.6 · Johan Santana 1.3
BP★ Frank Francisco 23 · Bobby Parnell 18 · Tim Byrdak 17 · Jon Rauch 16 · Josh Edgin 5 · Manny Acosta 4 · Ramon E Ramirez 1 · Elvin Ramirez 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2012 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
David Wright 29 FA-elig 1566.6 15.0 +2.0
R.A. Dickey 37 FA-elig 344.7 4.2 +7.9
Jonathon Niese 25 arb 303.1 0.8 +7.2
Dillon Gee 26 pre-arb 171.7 0.5 +4.0
Rubén Tejada 22 pre-arb 1141.7 0.5 +3.9
Matt Harvey 23 – 101.6 0.5 +3.8
Daniel Murphy 27 arb 1561.6 0.5 +3.7
Scott Hairston 32 FA-elig 1341.6 1.1 +3.1
Andres Torres 34 FA-elig 1321.5 2.7 +1.1
Johan Santana 33 FA-elig 211.3 24.0 -20.6
Jeremy Hefner 26 – 261.2 0.5 +2.7
Chris Young 33 arb 201.1 0.5 +2.3
Ike Davis 25 pre-arb 1561.0 0.5 +2.0
Mike Baxter 27 pre-arb 891.0 0.5 +2.0
Bobby Parnell 27 arb 740.9 0.5 +1.8
Josh Thole 25 arb 1040.8 0.5 +1.5
Mike Pelfrey 28 FA-elig 30.6 5.7 -4.1
Ronny Cedeno 29 FA-elig 780.5 1.2 +0.1
Kirk Nieuwenhuis 24 – 910.5 0.5 +0.9
Omar Quintanilla↔ BAL 30 – 290.5 – –
Jon Rauch 33 FA-elig 730.3 3.5 -2.7
Justin Turner 27 arb 940.3 0.5 +0.3
Jordany Valdespin 24 pre-arb 940.3 0.5 +0.3
Vinny Rottino↔ CLE 32 – 180.2 0.2 +0.4
Frank Francisco 32 FA-elig 480.2 5.5 -5.0
Tim Byrdak 38 FA-elig 560.2 1.0 -0.6
Ramon E Ramirez 30 FA-elig 580.1 2.6 -2.3
Jeurys Familia 22 – 80.0 0.1 -0.0
Justin Hampson 32 – 130.0 0.5 -0.4
Jack Egbert 29 – 10.0 – –
Garrett Olson 28 – 1-0.0 – –
Josh Satin 27 – 1-0.0 – –
Kelly Shoppach↔ BOS 32 FA-elig 28-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Pedro Beato↔ BOS 25 pre-arb 7-0.1 0.3 -0.5
Elvin Ramirez 24 pre-arb 20-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Robert Carson 23 – 17-0.1 0.5 -0.8
D.J. Carrasco 35 FA-elig 4-0.1 1.2 -1.6
Jenrry Mejia 22 pre-arb 5-0.2 0.5 -0.9
Zach Lutz 26 – 7-0.2 – –
Fred Lewis 31 – 18-0.2 0.9 -1.3
Collin McHugh 25 – 8-0.2 0.5 -1.0
Josh Edgin 25 – 34-0.2 0.5 -1.1
Mike Nickeas 29 pre-arb 47-0.3 0.5 -1.3
Chris Schwinden 25 – 3-0.4 – –
Miguel Batista↔ ATL 41 FA-elig 30-0.4 0.6 -1.7
Manny Acosta 31 arb 45-0.4 0.9 -2.0
Rob Johnson 29 arb 17-0.4 0.5 -1.6
Lucas Duda 26 pre-arb 121-0.7 0.5 -2.2
Jason Bay 33 FA-elig 70-0.9 16.0 -18.3

Key additions (new vs 2011)

PlayerfWAR
Matt Harvey1.6
Andres Torres1.5
Johan Santana1.3
Jeremy Hefner1.2
Ronny Cedeno0.5
Kirk Nieuwenhuis0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2011)

Player2011 fWAR
José Reyes5.8
Carlos Beltrán3.3
Chris Capuano1.7
Ángel Pagán0.9
Jason Pridie0.7
Nick Evans0.5

Current & Historical Payroll

2012 payroll
$98.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 2012, 2012–2018. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Johan Santana3311.122$24.0MFREE AGENT
Jason Bay338.080$16.0MFREE AGENT
David Wright2913.075$15.0M$11.0M$20.0M$20.0M$20.0MFREE AGENT$20.0M
Frank Francisco327.053$5.5M$6.5MFREE AGENT
R.A. Dickey377.007$4.2MFREE AGENT
Jon Rauch337.126$3.5MFREE AGENT
Ramon E Ramirez306.000$2.6MFREE AGENT
Ronny Cedeno296.029$1.2MFREE AGENT
Scott Hairston326.102$1.1MFREE AGENT
Tim Byrdak386.150$1.0M$366kFREE AGENT
Miguel Batista4113.163$643kFREE AGENT
Chris Young338.000$546kFREE AGENT
Justin Hampson326.000$480kFREE AGENT
Kelly Shoppach326.021$418kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Mike Pelfrey284.122$5.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Andres Torres344.115$2.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
D.J. Carrasco355.103$1.2MFREE AGENT
Fred Lewis314.129$900kARB 3FREE AGENT
Manny Acosta314.024$875kARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Johnson293.007$480kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Omar Quintanilla303.164—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Egbert293.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Olson285.000—FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (26)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Jonathon Niese252.107$770kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Murphy272.109$512kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ike Davis251.168$507kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Parnell272.132$504kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dillon Gee261.028$502kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Thole251.142$499kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lucas Duda260.158$497kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Turner271.045$491kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rubén Tejada221.053$491kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Nickeas292.000$481kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Collin McHugh250.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordany Valdespin241.148$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elvin Ramirez241.069$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Hefner260.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jenrry Mejia220.110$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Baxter271.015$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Edgin250.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kirk Nieuwenhuis240.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Carson230.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Harvey230.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Beato251.000$310kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vinny Rottino320.112$240kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeurys Familia220.000$79kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Schwinden25–—
Zach Lutz260.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Satin271.145—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Mets 2012; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.