RRosternomics
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Twins MIN

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GM: Terry Ryan

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.83× league · TAB -4.2
-4.2TAB — talent above budget21st/30
-0.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)18th/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars6th/30
-6.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag26th/30
19%dead money %5th/30
0.488win %17th/30
27.8roster fWAR20th/30
-3surplus $M (value vs cost)13th/30
$68Mpayroll $M17th/30

Roster

CFTorii Hunter 155GJason Tyner 17GLew Ford 14G
LFJason Kubel 84GJason Tyner 47GLew Ford 35G
RFMichael Cuddyer 140GJason Tyner 18GDarnell McDonald 3G
SSJason Bartlett 138GNick Punto 27GAlexi Casilla 5G
2BAlexi Casilla 52GNick Punto 25GLuis Antonio Rodriguez 21G
3BNick Punto 108GLuis Antonio Rodriguez 38GBrian Buscher 27G
1BJustin Morneau 143GGarrett Jones 8GMichael Cuddyer 4G
STARTERSJohan Santana 4.2WARScott Baker 2.6WARCarlos Silva 2.5WARMatt Garza 1.1WARBoof Bonser 0.9WAR
CJoe Mauer 91GMike Redmond 56GChris Heintz 21G
DHJason Kubel 35GJeff Cirillo 24GJason Tyner 22G
BULLPEN★ Joe Nathan 37svPat Neshek 15hMatt Guerrier 14hJuan Rincon 14hDennys Reyes 8hJesse Crain 6hGlen Perkins 3hCarmen Cali 2h
CJoe Mauer 91 · Mike Redmond 56 · Chris Heintz 21
1BJustin Morneau 143 · Garrett Jones 8 · Michael Cuddyer 4
2BAlexi Casilla 52 · Nick Punto 25 · Luis Antonio Rodriguez 21
3BNick Punto 108 · Luis Antonio Rodriguez 38 · Brian Buscher 27
SSJason Bartlett 138 · Nick Punto 27 · Alexi Casilla 5
LFJason Kubel 84 · Jason Tyner 47 · Lew Ford 35
CFTorii Hunter 155 · Jason Tyner 17 · Lew Ford 14
RFMichael Cuddyer 140 · Jason Tyner 18 · Darnell McDonald 3
DHJason Kubel 35 · Jeff Cirillo 24 · Jason Tyner 22
SPJohan Santana 4.2 · Scott Baker 2.6 · Carlos Silva 2.5 · Matt Garza 1.1 · Boof Bonser 0.9
BP★ Joe Nathan 37 · Pat Neshek 15 · Matt Guerrier 14 · Juan Rincon 14 · Dennys Reyes 8 · Jesse Crain 6 · Glen Perkins 3 · Carmen Cali 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2007 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Johan Santana 28 FA-elig 334.2 13.0 -4.0
Jason Bartlett 27 arb 1403.3 0.4 +6.8
Joe Mauer 24 arb 1093.3 3.8 +3.4
Torii Hunter 31 FA-elig 1603.2 12.0 -5.1
Scott Baker 25 – 242.6 0.4 +5.2
Carlos Silva 28 arb 332.5 4.3 +1.1
Michael Cuddyer 28 FA-elig 1442.3 3.6 +1.3
Justin Morneau 26 arb 1572.2 4.5 +0.3
Joe Nathan 32 FA-elig 682.0 5.2 -1.0
Luis Castillo↔ NYM 31 FA-elig 851.4 3.6 -0.6
Matt Garza 23 – 161.1 0.4 +2.0
Pat Neshek 26 pre-arb 740.9 0.4 +1.6
Boof Bonser 25 pre-arb 310.9 0.4 +1.6
Nick Punto 29 FA-elig 1500.7 1.8 -0.2
Matt Guerrier 28 arb 730.7 0.4 +1.0
Jason Tyner 30 FA-elig 1140.6 0.4 +1.0
Mike Redmond 36 FA-elig 820.5 0.9 +0.1
Jason Kubel 25 arb 1280.5 0.4 +0.7
Jeff Cirillo↔ ARI 37 FA-elig 500.5 1.0 +0.1
Ramon Ortiz↔ COL 34 FA-elig 280.3 2.3 -1.6
Tommy Watkins 27 – 90.3 – –
Jose Morales 24 – 10.2 – –
Kevin Slowey 23 – 130.2 – –
Glen Perkins 24 – 190.1 – –
Nick Blackburn 25 – 6-0.0 – –
Dennys Reyes 30 FA-elig 50-0.1 1.0 -1.1
Lew Ford 30 arb 55-0.1 1.0 -1.3
Jason Miller 24 – 4-0.2 – –
Darnell McDonald 28 – 4-0.2 – –
Sidney Ponson 30 FA-elig 7-0.2 1.0 -1.5
Carmen Cali 28 – 24-0.2 – –
Josh Rabe 28 – 14-0.3 – –
Jesse Crain 25 arb 18-0.3 0.5 -1.2
Luis Antonio Rodriguez 27 pre-arb 68-0.3 0.4 -1.1
Juan Rincon 28 FA-elig 63-0.4 2.0 -2.8
Matthew LeCroy 31 – 7-0.4 – –
Chris Heintz 32 pre-arb 24-0.4 0.4 -1.3
Julio DePaula 24 – 16-0.5 – –
Brian Buscher 26 – 33-0.5 – –
Garrett Jones 26 – 31-0.6 0.4 -1.6
Rondell White 35 FA-elig 38-0.8 2.5 -4.2
Alexi Casilla 22 – 56-1.1 – –

Key additions (new vs 2006)

PlayerfWAR
Jeff Cirillo0.5
Ramon Ortiz0.3
Tommy Watkins0.3
Jose Morales0.2
Kevin Slowey0.2
Nick Blackburn-0.0

Key subtractions (gone from 2006)

Player2006 fWAR
Francisco Liriano3.7
Brad Radke1.6
Kyle Lohse0.2
Shannon Stewart0.1
Terry Tiffee-0.0
Phil Nevin-0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2007 payroll
$68.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 2007, 2007–2013. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Johan Santana287.000$13.0MFREE AGENT
Torii Hunter3110.000$12.0MFREE AGENT
Joe Nathan328.000$5.2M$6.0M$11.2MFREE AGENT$11.2M
Luis Castillo3111.000$3.6MFREE AGENT
Michael Cuddyer286.000$3.6M$5.9M$7.7M$9.4M$10.5MFREE AGENT
Rondell White3514.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Ramon Ortiz348.000$2.3MFREE AGENT
Juan Rincon286.000$2.0M$1.3MFREE AGENT
Nick Punto296.000$1.8M$2.4M$4.0M$4.0MFREE AGENT
Sidney Ponson309.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Dennys Reyes3010.000$1.0M$1.0MFREE AGENT
Jeff Cirillo3713.000$962kFREE AGENT
Mike Redmond369.000$950k$950k$950kFREE AGENT
Jason Tyner307.000$400kFREE AGENT
Matthew LeCroy317.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Justin Morneau264.000$4.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Silva285.000$4.3MFREE AGENT
Joe Mauer243.000$3.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lew Ford304.000$985kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesse Crain253.000$500kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Guerrier283.000$408kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Bartlett273.000$405kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Kubel253.000$388kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2007200820092010201120122013
Boof Bonser251.000$398kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Neshek261.000$395kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Antonio Rodriguez272.000$392kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Heintz322.000$380kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Baker252.000$380kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Garza231.000$380kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Garrett Jones260.000$370kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darnell McDonald280.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Buscher260.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carmen Cali28–—
Josh Rabe28–—
Tommy Watkins27–—
Nick Blackburn250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Glen Perkins241.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Julio DePaula24–—
Alexi Casilla221.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Morales240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Slowey230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Miller24–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Twins 2007; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.