RRosternomics

Brewers MIL

GM: Sal Bando

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 5 in this regime · payroll 0.65× league · TAB -1.3
-1.3TAB — talent above budget17th/28
+2.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)14th/28
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars22nd/28
-6.3dead WAR — sub-replacement drag22nd/28
22%dead money %9th/28
0.484win %16th/28
27.4roster fWAR20th/28
+4surplus $M (value vs cost)7th/28
$25Mpayroll $M24th/28

Roster

CFGerald Williams 129GDarrin Jackson 53GJeromy Burnitz 26G
LFGerald Williams 39GJack Voigt 35GMarc Newfield 28G
RFJeromy Burnitz 124GMatt Mieske 52GTodd Dunn 7G
SSJose Valentin 134GMark Loretta 44GEddy Diaz 1G
2BFernando Viña 77GMark Loretta 63GJeff Huson 32G
3BJeff Cirillo 150GMark Loretta 15GJack Voigt 6G
1BDave Nilsson 74GJohn Jaha 27GTim Unroe 23G
STARTERSBen McDonald 3.0WARScott Karl 2.4WARJose Mercedes 0.9WARBryce Florie 0.9WARCal Eldred 0.8WAR
CMike Matheny 121GJesse Levis 78GKelly Stinnett 25G
DHJulio Franco 70GDave Nilsson 59GJohn Jaha 19G
BULLPEN Doug Jones 36svBob Wickman 0hMike Fetters 0hRon Villone 0hAl Reyes 0hMark Davis 0hPaul Wagner 0hAngel Miranda 0h
CMike Matheny 121 · Jesse Levis 78 · Kelly Stinnett 25
1BDave Nilsson 74 · John Jaha 27 · Tim Unroe 23
2BFernando Viña 77 · Mark Loretta 63 · Jeff Huson 32
3BJeff Cirillo 150 · Mark Loretta 15 · Jack Voigt 6
SSJose Valentin 134 · Mark Loretta 44 · Eddy Diaz 1
LFGerald Williams 39 · Jack Voigt 35 · Marc Newfield 28
CFGerald Williams 129 · Darrin Jackson 53 · Jeromy Burnitz 26
RFJeromy Burnitz 124 · Matt Mieske 52 · Todd Dunn 7
DHJulio Franco 70 · Dave Nilsson 59 · John Jaha 19
SPBen McDonald 3.0 · Scott Karl 2.4 · Jose Mercedes 0.9 · Bryce Florie 0.9 · Cal Eldred 0.8
BP Doug Jones 36 · Bob Wickman 0 · Mike Fetters 0 · Ron Villone 0 · Al Reyes 0 · Mark Davis 0 · Paul Wagner 0 · Angel Miranda 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1997 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jeff Cirillo 27 arb 1545.0 0.3 +4.7
Jeromy Burnitz 28 arb 1534.9 0.2 +4.7
Ben McDonald 29 FA-elig 213.0 5.0 -2.0
Doug Jones 40 FA-elig 752.8 0.6 +2.3
Scott Karl 25 pre-arb 322.4 0.2 +2.2
Jose Valentin 27 arb 1361.5 1.4 +0.0
Dave Nilsson 27 arb 1561.4 2.7 -1.3
Mike Fetters 32 FA-elig 511.2 1.7 -0.5
Bob Wickman 28 arb 741.1 1.2 -0.0
John Jaha 31 arb 460.9 3.4 -2.4
Bryce Florie 27 arb 320.9 0.2 +0.7
Jose Mercedes 26 arb 290.9 0.2 +0.7
Cal Eldred 29 FA-elig 340.8 0.8 +0.0
Steve Woodard 22 pre-arb 70.8 0.1 +0.6
Mike Matheny 26 arb 1230.7 0.2 +0.6
Jesse Levis 29 arb 990.7 0.2 +0.5
Fernando Viña 28 arb 790.7 0.8 -0.1
Mark Loretta 25 pre-arb 1320.7 0.2 +0.5
Darrin Jackson↔ MIN 34 FA-elig 260.6 0.1 +0.6
Jeff D'Amico 21 pre-arb 230.6 0.2 +0.5
Jack Voigt 31 arb 720.5 0.1 +0.3
Gerald Williams 30 arb 1550.4 0.7 -0.3
Julio Franco↔ CLE 38 FA-elig 420.4 1.2 -0.8
Tim Unroe 26 320.3
Joel Adamson 25 pre-arb 300.3 0.2 +0.1
Al Reyes 27 pre-arb 190.2 0.2 +0.0
Kelly Stinnett 27 300.2
Pete Harnisch↔ NYM 30 FA-elig 40.1 1.3 -1.2
Ron Villone 27 pre-arb 500.0 0.2 -0.2
Greg Hansell 26 3-0.0
Sean Maloney 26 3-0.0
Todd Dunn 26 44-0.1
Angel Miranda 27 arb 10-0.1 0.3 -0.5
Paul Wagner↔ PIT 29 arb 2-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Mark Davis 36 19-0.2
Jamie McAndrew 29 pre-arb 5-0.2 0.2 -0.4
Brian Banks 26 pre-arb 28-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Mike Misuraca 28 5-0.4
Eddy Diaz 25 16-0.4
Chuck Carr↔ HOU 29 FA-elig 26-0.5 0.1 -0.6
Matt Mieske 29 arb 84-0.6 0.5 -1.2
Antone Williamson 23 24-0.7
Marc Newfield 24 arb 50-1.2 0.2 -1.4
Jeff Huson 32 FA-elig 84-1.4 0.2 -1.7

Key additions (new vs 1996)

PlayerfWAR
Steve Woodard0.8
Darrin Jackson0.6
Jack Voigt0.5
Julio Franco0.4
Joel Adamson0.3
Pete Harnisch0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 1996)

Player1996 fWAR
Kevin Seitzer2.7
Greg Vaughn2.3
Graeme Lloyd0.8
Tim Van Egmond0.7
Kevin Wickander0.1
Brian Givens0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

1997 payroll
$25.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 1997, 1997–2003. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc1997199819992000200120022003
Ben McDonald298.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Mike Fetters328.000$1.7MFREE AGENT
Pete Harnisch309.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Julio Franco3815.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Cal Eldred296.000$767k$3.3M$4.8MFREE AGENT
Doug Jones4015.000$600k$1.7MFREE AGENT
Jeff Huson329.000$240kFREE AGENT
Darrin Jackson3412.000$95k$550kFREE AGENT
Chuck Carr297.000$95kFREE AGENT
Mark Davis3617.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (18)

PlayerAgeSvc1997199819992000200120022003
John Jaha315.000$3.4MFREE AGENT
Dave Nilsson275.000$2.7MFREE AGENT
Jose Valentin275.000$1.4MFREE AGENT
Bob Wickman285.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Fernando Viña284.000$810kARB 3FREE AGENT
Gerald Williams305.000$700kFREE AGENT
Matt Mieske294.000$500kARB 3FREE AGENT
Angel Miranda274.000$350kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Cirillo273.000$350kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeromy Burnitz284.000$225kARB 3FREE AGENT
Marc Newfield244.000$225kARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryce Florie273.000$215kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Matheny263.000$210kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesse Levis295.000$208kFREE AGENT
Jose Mercedes263.000$153kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Voigt315.000$150kFREE AGENT
Paul Wagner295.000$38kFREE AGENT
Kelly Stinnett273.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (16)

PlayerAgeSvc1997199819992000200120022003
Scott Karl252.000$250kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ron Villone272.000$205kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff D'Amico211.000$172kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Loretta252.000$168kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jamie McAndrew292.000$155kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Al Reyes272.000$153kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joel Adamson251.000$151kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Banks261.000$150kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Woodard220.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eddy Diaz25
Todd Dunn26
Greg Hansell262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Maloney260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Misuraca28
Tim Unroe262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Antone Williamson23

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Brewers 1997; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3