RRosternomics
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Marlins MIA

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President of baseball ops: Peter Bendix

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 3 in this regime · payroll 0.46× league · TAB -9.0
-9.0TAB — talent above budget26th/30
-9.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)25th/30
2.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars29th/30
-9.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag27th/30
66%dead money %27th/30
0.383win %28th/30
15.7roster fWAR27th/30
-9surplus $M (value vs cost)16th/30
$75Mpayroll $M29th/30

Roster

CFCristian Pache 60GDerek Hill 28GNick Gordon 16G
LFNick Gordon 61GKyle Stowers 43GDerek Hill 19G
RFJesús Sánchez 114GDane Myers 22GGriffin Conine 17G
SSXavier Edwards 69GTim Anderson 63GVidal Bruján 28G
2BOtto Lopez 103GVidal Bruján 31GConnor Norby 12G
3BJake Burger 59GConnor Norby 30GVidal Bruján 14G
1BJake Burger 69GJonah Bride 38GDavid Hensley 4G
STARTERSRyan Weathers 1.1WARJesús Luzardo 0.7WAREdward Cabrera 0.6WARBraxton Garrett 0.6WARXzavion Curry 0.1WAR
CNick Fortes 109GAli Sánchez 30GJhonny Pereda 18G
DHBryan De La Cruz 50GJake Burger 26GJonah Bride 19G
BULLPEN★ Calvin Faucher 6svAnthony Bender 15hAndrew Nardi 15hMike Baumann 9hDeclan Cronin 8hJesus Tinoco 6hGeorge Soriano 2hMichael Petersen 1h
CNick Fortes 109 · Ali Sánchez 30 · Jhonny Pereda 18
1BJake Burger 69 · Jonah Bride 38 · David Hensley 4
2BOtto Lopez 103 · Vidal Bruján 31 · Connor Norby 12
3BJake Burger 59 · Connor Norby 30 · Vidal Bruján 14
SSXavier Edwards 69 · Tim Anderson 63 · Vidal Bruján 28
LFNick Gordon 61 · Kyle Stowers 43 · Derek Hill 19
CFCristian Pache 60 · Derek Hill 28 · Nick Gordon 16
RFJesús Sánchez 114 · Dane Myers 22 · Griffin Conine 17
DHBryan De La Cruz 50 · Jake Burger 26 · Jonah Bride 19
SPRyan Weathers 1.1 · Jesús Luzardo 0.7 · Edward Cabrera 0.6 · Braxton Garrett 0.6 · Xzavion Curry 0.1
BP★ Calvin Faucher 6 · Anthony Bender 15 · Andrew Nardi 15 · Mike Baumann 9 · Declan Cronin 8 · Jesus Tinoco 6 · George Soriano 2 · Michael Petersen 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2024 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Otto Lopez 25 arb 1172.5 0.7 +9.7
Xavier Edwards 24 pre-arb 702.2 0.7 +8.5
Jazz Chisholm Jr.↔ NYY 26 arb 1011.7 1.8 +5.3
Jesús Sánchez 26 arb 1491.6 2.1 +4.6
Jake Burger 28 arb 1371.4 0.8 +5.0
Calvin Faucher 28 pre-arb 531.3 0.7 +4.8
Declan Cronin 26 pre-arb 561.3 0.7 +4.7
Ryan Weathers 24 arb 161.1 0.8 +3.7
Jonah Bride 28 pre-arb 711.1 0.7 +3.7
Tanner Scott↔ SDP 29 FA-elig 440.9 3.5 +0.4
Trevor Rogers↔ BAL 26 arb 210.9 1.3 +2.5
Anthony Bender 29 arb 590.9 0.8 +2.9
Jesus Tinoco↔ CHC 29 arb 210.8 0.5 +2.8
Andrew Nardi 25 pre-arb 590.7 0.8 +2.2
Jesús Luzardo 26 arb 120.7 5.5 -2.6
A.J. Puk↔ ARI 29 arb 320.7 0.9 +1.9
Huascar Brazobán↔ NYM 34 pre-arb 200.7 0.4 +2.4
Dane Myers 28 pre-arb 440.7 0.7 +2.0
Braxton Garrett 26 arb 70.6 0.8 +1.7
Nick Fortes 27 arb 1100.6 0.8 +1.6
Edward Cabrera 26 arb 200.6 0.8 +1.6
Griffin Conine 26 – 300.4 0.1 +1.4
Bryan Hoeing↔ SDP 27 pre-arb 160.4 0.4 +1.1
Burch Smith↔ BAL 34 – 250.3 0.3 +0.9
Anthony Maldonado 26 pre-arb 160.2 0.7 +0.1
Connor Norby↔ BAL 24 pre-arb 360.2 0.6 +0.2
Mike Baumann↔ ANA 28 arb 110.2 0.1 +0.5
Xzavion Curry↔ CLE 25 pre-arb 90.1 0.4 +0.2
Anthony Veneziano↔ KCR 26 pre-arb 100.1 0.6 -0.0
Sixto Sánchez 25 arb 140.1 0.7 -0.3
John McMillon 26 pre-arb 100.1 0.2 +0.3
Michael Petersen↔ LAD 30 – 50.1 0.0 +0.2
Brett de Geus↔ SEA 26 arb 70.0 0.4 -0.2
Kyle Tyler 27 – 80.0 0.2 -0.0
Derek Hill↔ SFG 28 pre-arb 320.0 0.1 -0.1
Adam Oller 29 pre-arb 80.0 0.2 -0.1
Avisaíl García 33 FA-elig 180.0 12.0 -12.0
Forrest Wall↔ ATL 28 pre-arb 3-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Shaun Anderson↔ TEX 29 pre-arb 4-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Jhonny Pereda 28 pre-arb 20-0.0 0.7 -0.8
José Devers 24 pre-arb 3-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Bryan De La Cruz↔ PIT 27 arb 105-0.0 0.5 -0.7
Lake Bachar 29 – 10-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Emmanuel Ramirez 29 pre-arb 15-0.0 0.7 -0.9
Luis Arraez↔ SDP 27 arb 33-0.0 2.3 -2.5
Eli Villalobos 27 – 3-0.0 0.0 -0.2
Vladimir Gutierrez 28 – 1-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Austin Kitchen 27 – 4-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Matt Andriese 34 FA-elig 4-0.1 0.2 -0.6
Valente Bellozo 24 – 13-0.1 0.3 -0.6
JT Chargois↔ SEA 33 FA-elig 15-0.1 0.5 -1.0
Tristan Gray↔ OAK 28 pre-arb 7-0.1 0.3 -0.9
Cristian Pache↔ BAL 25 arb 35-0.1 0.3 -0.9
Yonny Chirinos 30 arb 6-0.2 0.2 -1.0
Javier Sanoja 21 – 15-0.2 0.1 -0.8
Darren McCaughan↔ CLE 28 arb 10-0.2 0.6 -1.3
Jonathan Bermúdez 28 – 3-0.2 0.0 -0.8
Emmanuel Rivera↔ BAL 28 arb 97-0.2 0.6 -1.4
Ali Sánchez 27 pre-arb 31-0.2 0.3 -1.2
David Hensley 28 pre-arb 23-0.3 0.2 -1.4
Max Meyer 25 pre-arb 11-0.3 0.7 -2.0
Josh Bell↔ ARI 31 FA-elig 104-0.4 11.8 -13.4
Christian Bethancourt↔ CHC 32 FA-elig 38-0.4 1.3 -3.0
Kent Emanuel 32 arb 12-0.4 0.7 -2.5
Vidal Bruján 26 arb 102-0.4 0.7 -2.6
George Soriano 25 pre-arb 22-0.5 0.7 -3.0
Nick Gordon 28 arb 95-0.7 0.9 -3.7
Kyle Stowers↔ BAL 26 pre-arb 50-0.9 0.5 -4.2
Tim Anderson 31 FA-elig 65-1.4 5.0 -10.9
Roddery Muñoz 24 pre-arb 18-1.6 0.7 -7.6

Key additions (new vs 2023)

PlayerfWAR
Otto Lopez2.5
Calvin Faucher1.3
Declan Cronin1.3
Jonah Bride1.1
Anthony Bender0.9
Jesus Tinoco0.8

Key subtractions (gone from 2023)

Player2023 fWAR
Jon Berti2.2
Dylan Floro1.0
Garrett Hampson0.6
Steven Okert0.5
David Robertson0.4
Garrett Cooper0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2024 payroll
$74.7M
2025 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2024, 2024–2030. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2024; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (4)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Avisaíl García3312.000$12.0MFREE AGENT
Josh Bell317.053$11.8MPLAYERFREE AGENT
Tim Anderson318.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Andriese346.071$208kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Jesús Luzardo263.165$5.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Scott295.059$3.5MFREE AGENT
Luis Arraez274.121$2.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jazz Chisholm Jr.264.000$1.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Rogers263.093$1.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Christian Bethancourt324.038$1.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Puk293.124$929kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan De La Cruz273.000$541kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
JT Chargois334.101$535kARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett de Geus263.000$398kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Burch Smith344.092$339kARB 3FREE AGENT
Yonny Chirinos305.114$235kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (54)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Jesús Sánchez262.118$2.1MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Gordon282.136$900kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Bender292.153$770kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Braxton Garrett261.168$764kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edward Cabrera261.147$761kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Burger281.127$760kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Fortes271.149$759kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Nardi251.053$754kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Weathers241.066$753kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
George Soriano250.112$746kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vidal Bruján261.014$746kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Calvin Faucher280.156$746kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonah Bride281.039$745kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Xavier Edwards240.052$743kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Max Meyer251.082$743kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Declan Cronin260.052$742kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sixto Sánchez250.103$742kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dane Myers280.054$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kent Emanuel321.107$740kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Otto Lopez250.109$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jhonny Pereda280.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Emmanuel Ramirez290.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roddery Muñoz240.003$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Maldonado260.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darren McCaughan280.017$617kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Veneziano260.013$617kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Emmanuel Rivera282.026$599kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Connor Norby240.000$592kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Stowers260.077$536kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesus Tinoco291.010$486kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Xzavion Curry251.003$419kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Huascar Brazobán341.074$386kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan Hoeing271.015$353kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tristan Gray281.000$345kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cristian Pache252.031$302kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ali Sánchez270.092$294kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Valente Bellozo240.000$259kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Hensley280.131$207kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John McMillon260.047$203kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Tyler270.047$175kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Oller290.160$163kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Baumann281.072$145kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Forrest Wall280.076$141kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Griffin Conine260.000$135kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Derek Hill281.095$132kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lake Bachar290.000$88kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Javier Sanoja210.000$88kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Devers241.018$80kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Kitchen27–$60k
Shaun Anderson292.014$50kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Petersen300.000$36kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Bermúdez28–$32k
Eli Villalobos27–$31k
Vladimir Gutierrez282.127$27kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Marlins 2024; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.