RRosternomics

Marlins MIA

GM: Dave Dombrowski

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.72× league · TAB +2.9
+2.9TAB — talent above budget11th/28
-1.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)17th/28
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars13th/28
-4.0dead WAR — sub-replacement drag7th/28
39%dead money %25th/28
0.469win %19th/28
29.2roster fWAR12th/28
+5surplus $M (value vs cost)5th/28
$24Mpayroll $M23rd/28

Roster

CFChuck Carr 103GJesus Tavarez 47GDarrell Whitmore 14G
LFJeff Conine 118GAndre Dawson 12GJerry Browne 11G
RFGary Sheffield 59GAndre Dawson 47GJesus Tavarez 32G
SSKurt Abbott 115GAlex Arias 36GMario Diaz 5G
2BQuilvio Veras 122GJerry Browne 27GMario Diaz 9G
3BTerry Pendleton 129GAlex Arias 21GJerry Browne 7G
1BGreg Colbrunn 134GJeff Conine 14GRuss Morman 3G
STARTERSChris Hammond 3.2WARJohn Burkett 1.9WARPat Rapp 1.8WARMark Gardner 0.4WARDavid Weathers 0.3WAR
CCharles Johnson 97GSteve Decker 46GRob Natal 13G
BULLPEN Robb Nen 23svYorkis Perez 0hTerry Mathews 0hRandy Veres 0hBuddy Groom 0hRichie Lewis 0hRich Garces 0hRob Murphy 0h
CCharles Johnson 97 · Steve Decker 46 · Rob Natal 13
1BGreg Colbrunn 134 · Jeff Conine 14 · Russ Morman 3
2BQuilvio Veras 122 · Jerry Browne 27 · Mario Diaz 9
3BTerry Pendleton 129 · Alex Arias 21 · Jerry Browne 7
SSKurt Abbott 115 · Alex Arias 36 · Mario Diaz 5
LFJeff Conine 118 · Andre Dawson 12 · Jerry Browne 11
CFChuck Carr 103 · Jesus Tavarez 47 · Darrell Whitmore 14
RFGary Sheffield 59 · Andre Dawson 47 · Jesus Tavarez 32
SPChris Hammond 3.2 · John Burkett 1.9 · Pat Rapp 1.8 · Mark Gardner 0.4 · David Weathers 0.3
BP Robb Nen 23 · Yorkis Perez 0 · Terry Mathews 0 · Randy Veres 0 · Buddy Groom 0 · Richie Lewis 0 · Rich Garces 0 · Rob Murphy 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1995 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Chris Hammond 29 arb 253.2 1.0 +2.1
Jeff Conine 29 arb 1333.2 0.5 +2.5
Charles Johnson 23 pre-arb 973.1 0.1 +2.8
Quilvio Veras 24 pre-arb 1243.1 0.1 +2.8
Gary Sheffield 26 FA-elig 632.5 5.6 -3.2
Terry Pendleton 34 FA-elig 1332.3 1.6 +0.6
John Burkett 30 FA-elig 311.9 3.4 -1.5
Pat Rapp 27 arb 281.8 0.2 +1.6
Bobby Witt↔ TEX 31 FA-elig 211.8 1.2 +0.5
Kurt Abbott 26 pre-arb 1201.8 0.1 +1.6
Greg Colbrunn 25 arb 1381.8 0.2 +1.5
Jesus Tavarez 24 pre-arb 631.0 0.1 +0.9
Robb Nen 25 pre-arb 621.0 0.2 +0.8
Terry Mathews 30 arb 571.0 0.1 +0.8
Alex Arias 27 arb 940.9 0.2 +0.6
Chuck Carr 27 arb 1050.5 0.3 +0.2
Alejandro Pena↔ ATL 36 FA-elig 130.4 0.1 +0.3
Mark Gardner 33 FA-elig 390.4 0.4 +0.0
Steve Decker 29 arb 510.3 0.2 +0.1
Jerry Browne 29 FA-elig 770.3 0.7 -0.4
David Weathers 25 arb 280.3 0.2 +0.1
Russ Morman 33 FA-elig 340.2 0.1 +0.1
Rob Natal 29 arb 160.2 0.2 +0.0
Rich Garces↔ CHC 24 arb 110.2 0.1 +0.1
Willie Banks↔ CHC 26 arb 120.1 0.1 +0.0
Bryan Harvey 32 FA-elig 10.0 4.9 -4.9
Buddy Groom↔ DET 29 arb 14-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Rich Scheid 30 6-0.0
Ryan Bowen 27 arb 4-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Mike Myers↔ DET 26 pre-arb 2-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Matt Mantei 21 pre-arb 12-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Jay Powell 23 pre-arb 9-0.0 0.1 -0.2
John Johnstone 26 pre-arb 4-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Rob Murphy↔ LAD 35 FA-elig 8-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Eddie Zosky 27 6-0.1
Aaron Small 23 7-0.2
Jeremy Hernandez 28 arb 7-0.2 0.2 -0.4
Yorkis Perez 27 arb 69-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Matt Dunbar 26 8-0.2
Marc Valdes 23 pre-arb 3-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Tommy Gregg 31 FA-elig 72-0.3 0.1 -0.4
Randy Veres 29 FA-elig 47-0.3 0.2 -0.5
Mario Diaz 33 FA-elig 49-0.4 0.2 -0.6
Darrell Whitmore 26 pre-arb 27-0.4 0.1 -0.5
Richie Lewis 29 21-0.5
Andre Dawson 40 FA-elig 79-0.7 0.5 -1.1

Key additions (new vs 1994)

PlayerfWAR
Quilvio Veras3.1
Terry Pendleton2.3
John Burkett1.9
Bobby Witt1.8
Alejandro Pena0.4
Steve Decker0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 1994)

Player1994 fWAR
Benito Santiago2.2
Bret Barberie1.8
Dave Magadan0.6
Carl Everett0.1
Luis Aquino0.0
Kurt Miller0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

1995 payroll
$24.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 1995, 1995–2001. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Gary Sheffield267.000$5.6M$6.1M$6.1M$10.3MFREE AGENT
Bryan Harvey328.000$4.9MFREE AGENT
John Burkett308.000$3.4M$2.5MFREE AGENT
Terry Pendleton3411.000$1.6M$1.2MFREE AGENT
Bobby Witt319.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Jerry Browne299.000$650kFREE AGENT
Andre Dawson4019.000$500k$500kFREE AGENT
Mark Gardner336.000$375kFREE AGENT
Mario Diaz338.000$225kFREE AGENT
Randy Veres296.000$160kFREE AGENT
Rob Murphy3510.000$143kFREE AGENT
Russ Morman339.000$140kFREE AGENT
Alejandro Pena3614.000$133k$750kFREE AGENT
Tommy Gregg318.000$125kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (18)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Chris Hammond295.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Jeff Conine295.000$510kFREE AGENT
Chuck Carr275.000$255kFREE AGENT
Greg Colbrunn253.000$225kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Hernandez284.000$207kARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Arias273.000$200kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Bowen274.000$185kARB 3FREE AGENT
Steve Decker295.000$175kFREE AGENT
Pat Rapp273.000$162kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Weathers254.000$158kARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Natal293.000$152kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yorkis Perez274.000$134kARB 3FREE AGENT
Terry Mathews304.000$134kARB 3FREE AGENT
Willie Banks264.000$103kARB 3FREE AGENT
Buddy Groom293.000$72kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rich Garces245.000$67kFREE AGENT
Richie Lewis293.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eddie Zosky274.000ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (14)

PlayerAgeSvc1995199619971998199920002001
Robb Nen252.000$180kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darrell Whitmore262.000$132kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kurt Abbott262.000$119kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Johnstone262.000$116kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesus Tavarez241.000$114kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charles Johnson231.000$114kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marc Valdes230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Quilvio Veras240.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Mantei210.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jay Powell230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Myers260.000$17kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Dunbar26
Rich Scheid30
Aaron Small231.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Marlins 1995; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3