RRosternomics

Marlins MIA

GM: Dave Dombrowski

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.68× league · TAB -4.5
-4.5TAB — talent above budget15th/28
-3.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)16th/28
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars17th/28
-4.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag15th/28
43%dead money %26th/28
0.443win %24th/28
17.7roster fWAR23rd/28
-0surplus $M (value vs cost)9th/28
$22Mpayroll $M26th/28

Roster

CFChuck Carr 104GCarl Everett 8GMatias Carrillo Sr. 8G
LFJeff Conine 97GJerry Browne 23GMatias Carrillo Sr. 20G
RFGary Sheffield 87GMatias Carrillo Sr. 25GJesus Tavarez 8G
SSKurt Abbott 99GAlex Arias 20GMario Diaz 7G
2BBret Barberie 106GJerry Browne 15GMario Diaz 7G
3BJerry Browne 62GDave Magadan 48GAlex Arias 15G
1BJeff Conine 46GGreg Colbrunn 41GOrestes Destrade 37G
STARTERSChris Hammond 1.2WARDavid Weathers 0.7WARPat Rapp 0.4WARRyan Bowen 0.2WARMark Gardner 0.2WAR
CBenito Santiago 97GRob Natal 8GCharles Johnson 4G
BULLPEN Robb Nen 15svRichie Lewis 0hYorkis Perez 0hJeff Mutis 0hLuis Aquino 0hTerry Mathews 0hJeremy Hernandez 0hJohn Johnstone 0h
CBenito Santiago 97 · Rob Natal 8 · Charles Johnson 4
1BJeff Conine 46 · Greg Colbrunn 41 · Orestes Destrade 37
2BBret Barberie 106 · Jerry Browne 15 · Mario Diaz 7
3BJerry Browne 62 · Dave Magadan 48 · Alex Arias 15
SSKurt Abbott 99 · Alex Arias 20 · Mario Diaz 7
LFJeff Conine 97 · Jerry Browne 23 · Matias Carrillo Sr. 20
CFChuck Carr 104 · Carl Everett 8 · Matias Carrillo Sr. 8
RFGary Sheffield 87 · Matias Carrillo Sr. 25 · Jesus Tavarez 8
SPChris Hammond 1.2 · David Weathers 0.7 · Pat Rapp 0.4 · Ryan Bowen 0.2 · Mark Gardner 0.2
BP Robb Nen 15 · Richie Lewis 0 · Yorkis Perez 0 · Jeff Mutis 0 · Luis Aquino 0 · Terry Mathews 0 · Jeremy Hernandez 0 · John Johnstone 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1994 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jeff Conine 28 arb 1153.4 0.2 +3.7
Jerry Browne 28 FA-elig 1012.7 0.7 +2.4
Gary Sheffield 25 FA-elig 872.3 4.6 -2.0
Benito Santiago 29 FA-elig 1012.2 3.8 -1.3
Bret Barberie 26 arb 1071.8 0.3 +1.8
Chris Hammond 28 arb 131.2 0.9 +0.5
Greg Colbrunn 24 pre-arb 471.0 0.1 +1.0
Robb Nen 24 pre-arb 441.0 0.1 +1.0
Mario Diaz 32 FA-elig 320.8 0.1 +0.7
David Weathers 24 arb 260.7 0.1 +0.7
Dave Magadan 31 FA-elig 740.6 0.8 -0.1
Yorkis Perez 26 arb 440.6 0.1 +0.6
Chuck Carr 26 arb 1060.6 0.2 +0.4
Terry Mathews 29 arb 240.5 0.1 +0.4
Kurt Abbott 25 pre-arb 1010.5 0.1 +0.4
Pat Rapp 26 pre-arb 250.4 0.1 +0.4
Charles Johnson 22 pre-arb 40.3 0.1 +0.3
Ryan Bowen 26 arb 80.2 0.2 +0.1
Darrell Whitmore 25 pre-arb 90.2 0.1 +0.1
Mark Gardner 32 arb 200.2 0.4 -0.2
Carl Everett 23 pre-arb 160.1 0.1 +0.0
Jeremy Hernandez 27 arb 210.1 0.2 -0.0
Russ Morman 32 FA-elig 130.1 0.1 +0.0
Bryan Harvey 31 FA-elig 120.1 3.4 -3.3
Rob Natal 28 pre-arb 100.1 0.1 -0.0
Luis Aquino 30 FA-elig 290.0 0.6 -0.5
Kurt Miller 21 pre-arb 40.0 0.1 -0.1
Willie Fraser 30 FA-elig 9-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Brian Drahman 27 9-0.1
Rick Renteria 32 FA-elig 28-0.1 0.2 -0.3
Rich Scheid 29 8-0.1
Greg O'Halloran 26 12-0.1
Jeff Mutis 27 35-0.2
Alex Arias 26 pre-arb 59-0.2 0.2 -0.4
Mike Jeffcoat 34 4-0.2
Charlie Hough 46 FA-elig 21-0.3 0.8 -1.1
Orestes Destrade 32 FA-elig 39-0.3 1.5 -1.8
Ron Tingley↔ CHW 35 FA-elig 19-0.3 0.2 -0.6
John Johnstone 25 pre-arb 17-0.3 0.1 -0.5
Jesus Tavarez 23 pre-arb 17-0.3 0.1 -0.5
Richie Lewis 28 pre-arb 45-0.5 0.2 -0.7
Matias Carrillo Sr. 31 arb 80-1.0 0.1 -1.2

Key additions (new vs 1993)

PlayerfWAR
Jerry Browne2.7
Greg Colbrunn1.0
Mario Diaz0.8
Yorkis Perez0.6
Terry Mathews0.5
Kurt Abbott0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 1993)

Player1993 fWAR
Walt Weiss2.1
Henry Cotto0.5
Cris Carpenter0.4
Matt Turner0.4
Joe Klink0.2
Jack Armstrong0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

1994 payroll
$21.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 1994, 1994–2000. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Gary Sheffield256.000$4.6M$5.6M$6.1M$6.1M$10.3MFREE AGENT
Benito Santiago298.000$3.8MFREE AGENT
Bryan Harvey317.000$3.4M$4.9MFREE AGENT
Orestes Destrade327.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Dave Magadan318.000$850kFREE AGENT
Charlie Hough4624.000$800kFREE AGENT
Jerry Browne288.000$650k$650kFREE AGENT
Luis Aquino308.000$575kFREE AGENT
Ron Tingley3512.000$214kFREE AGENT
Rick Renteria328.000$160kFREE AGENT
Mario Diaz327.000$150k$225kFREE AGENT
Russ Morman328.000$125k$140kFREE AGENT
Willie Fraser308.000$120kFREE AGENT
Mike Jeffcoat3411.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Chris Hammond284.000$925kARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Gardner325.000$400kFREE AGENT
Bret Barberie263.000$302kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chuck Carr264.000$230kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Conine284.000$230kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Hernandez273.000$185kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Bowen263.000$185kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Weathers243.000$135kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yorkis Perez263.000$128kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matias Carrillo Sr.313.000$120kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Terry Mathews293.000$118kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Drahman273.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Mutis273.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (15)

PlayerAgeSvc1994199519961997199819992000
Alex Arias262.000$155kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Richie Lewis282.000$154kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Colbrunn242.000$150kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rob Natal282.000$148kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Rapp262.000$136kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darrell Whitmore251.000$131kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robb Nen241.000$130kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carl Everett231.000$118kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Johnstone251.000$118kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kurt Abbott251.000$109kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Charles Johnson220.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kurt Miller210.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jesus Tavarez230.000$109kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg O'Halloran26
Rich Scheid29

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Marlins 1994; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3