RRosternomics
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Royals KCR

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GM: Dayton Moore

Overview

WINDOW ↘ cooling
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.77× league · TAB +5.4
+5.4TAB — talent above budget11th/30
+7.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)9th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars18th/30
-2.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag2nd/30
19%dead money %4th/30
0.531win %12th/30
36.5roster fWAR12th/30
+18surplus $M (value vs cost)8th/30
$80Mpayroll $M19th/30

Roster

CFLorenzo Cain 92GJarrod Dyson 73GJustin Maxwell 27G
LFAlex Gordon 155GDavid Lough 15G
RFDavid Lough 74GJustin Maxwell 47GLorenzo Cain 32G
SSAlcides Escobar 158GPedro Ciriaco 29G
2BEmilio Bonifácio 90GChris Getz 68GMiguel Tejada 26G
3BMike Moustakas 134GJamey Carroll 47GMiguel Tejada 22G
1BEric Hosmer 158GCarlos Pena 46GBilly Butler 7G
STARTERSJames Shields 4.1WARErvin Santana 2.6WARWade Davis 1.4WARBruce Chen 1.3WARJeremy Guthrie 0.7WAR
CSalvador Perez 137GGeorge Kottaras 39GBrett Hayes 5G
DHBilly Butler 150GJarrod Dyson 7GPedro Ciriaco 5G
BULLPEN★ Greg Holland 47svTim Collins 21hKelvin Herrera 20hAaron Crow 19hLuke Hochevar 9hWill Smith 6hLouis Coleman 4hFrancisley Bueno 1h
CSalvador Perez 137 · George Kottaras 39 · Brett Hayes 5
1BEric Hosmer 158 · Carlos Pena 46 · Billy Butler 7
2BEmilio Bonifácio 90 · Chris Getz 68 · Miguel Tejada 26
3BMike Moustakas 134 · Jamey Carroll 47 · Miguel Tejada 22
SSAlcides Escobar 158 · Pedro Ciriaco 29
LFAlex Gordon 155 · David Lough 15
CFLorenzo Cain 92 · Jarrod Dyson 73 · Justin Maxwell 27
RFDavid Lough 74 · Justin Maxwell 47 · Lorenzo Cain 32
DHBilly Butler 150 · Jarrod Dyson 7 · Pedro Ciriaco 5
SPJames Shields 4.1 · Ervin Santana 2.6 · Wade Davis 1.4 · Bruce Chen 1.3 · Jeremy Guthrie 0.7
BP★ Greg Holland 47 · Tim Collins 21 · Kelvin Herrera 20 · Aaron Crow 19 · Luke Hochevar 9 · Will Smith 6 · Louis Coleman 4 · Francisley Bueno 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2013 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Alex Gordon 29 FA-elig 1564.4 9.0 +2.8
James Shields 31 FA-elig 344.1 9.0 +2.1
Salvador Perez 23 pre-arb 1383.2 1.0 +7.6
Eric Hosmer 23 pre-arb 1593.1 0.5 +7.9
Greg Holland 27 arb 683.1 0.5 +7.8
Ervin Santana 30 FA-elig 322.6 13.0 -6.1
Lorenzo Cain 27 arb 1152.0 0.5 +4.9
David Lough 27 pre-arb 961.8 0.5 +4.2
Wade Davis 27 arb 311.4 2.8 +1.0
Jarrod Dyson 28 arb 871.4 0.5 +3.3
Bruce Chen 36 FA-elig 341.3 4.5 -0.9
Luke Hochevar 29 FA-elig 581.1 4.6 -1.6
Emilio Bonifácio↔ TOR 28 FA-elig 421.1 0.8 +2.1
Billy Butler 27 FA-elig 1621.0 8.0 -5.2
Alcides Escobar 26 arb 1580.9 3.0 -0.5
Louis Coleman 27 pre-arb 270.7 0.3 +1.6
Jeremy Guthrie 34 FA-elig 330.7 5.0 -3.2
Tim Collins 23 pre-arb 660.7 0.5 +1.3
Justin Maxwell↔ HOU 29 FA-elig 350.7 0.2 +1.5
Danny Duffy 24 pre-arb 50.5 0.5 +1.0
Kelvin Herrera 23 pre-arb 590.5 0.5 +0.9
Will Smith 23 pre-arb 190.4 0.2 +1.0
Mike Moustakas 24 pre-arb 1360.4 0.5 +0.5
Miguel Tejada 39 FA-elig 530.3 1.1 -0.4
Luis Mendoza 29 FA-elig 220.3 0.5 +0.1
Francisley Bueno 32 pre-arb 70.2 0.1 +0.4
Johnny Giavotella 25 pre-arb 140.2 0.1 +0.3
George Kottaras 30 arb 460.1 1.0 -0.6
Juan Gutierrez↔ ANA 29 FA-elig 250.1 0.4 -0.1
Donnie Joseph 25 pre-arb 60.1 0.5 -0.2
Adam Moore 29 pre-arb 50.1 0.0 +0.2
Chris Dwyer 25 – 20.0 0.0 +0.0
Everett Teaford 29 pre-arb 10.0 0.5 -0.5
Irving Falu 30 pre-arb 1-0.0 0.5 -0.5
Pedro Ciriaco↔ BOS 27 arb 5-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Yordano Ventura 22 – 3-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Brett Hayes 29 arb 5-0.1 0.6 -0.8
Carlos Pena↔ HOU 35 FA-elig 4-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Elliot Johnson↔ ATL 29 arb 79-0.2 0.4 -0.8
Aaron Crow 26 pre-arb 57-0.2 1.3 -1.9
Chris Getz 29 arb 78-0.3 1.1 -1.9
Jamey Carroll↔ MIN 39 FA-elig 14-0.4 0.7 -1.7
Jeff Francoeur↔ SFG 29 FA-elig 59-0.7 5.5 -7.4

Key additions (new vs 2012)

PlayerfWAR
James Shields4.1
Ervin Santana2.6
Wade Davis1.4
Emilio Bonifácio1.1
Justin Maxwell0.7
Miguel Tejada0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 2012)

Player2012 fWAR
Jose Mijares0.5
Jonathan Broxton0.5
Vin Mazzaro0.4
Roman Colon0.0
Jeremy Jeffress0.0
Jake Odorizzi-0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2013 payroll
$80.4M

What the front office was committed to as of 2013, 2013–2019. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Ervin Santana307.104$13.0MFREE AGENT
James Shields316.125$9.0M$13.5MFREE AGENT
Jeff Francoeur298.000$5.5MFREE AGENT
Jeremy Guthrie346.130$5.0M$8.0M$9.0MFREE AGENT
Bruce Chen369.171$4.5M$3.0MFREE AGENT
Miguel Tejada3914.023$1.1MFREE AGENT
Jamey Carroll3910.020$719kFREE AGENT
Juan Gutierrez296.000$354kFREE AGENT
Carlos Pena359.133$130kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Alex Gordon295.092$9.0MFREE AGENT
Billy Butler275.120$8.0MFREE AGENT
Luke Hochevar294.151$4.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Alcides Escobar263.082$3.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wade Davis273.032$2.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Getz294.050$1.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
George Kottaras303.149$1.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Emilio Bonifácio284.066$803kARB 3FREE AGENT
Elliot Johnson293.068$370kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (25)

PlayerAgeSvc2013201420152016201720182019
Aaron Crow262.000$1.3MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Salvador Perez231.050$1.0MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brett Hayes292.148$600kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Holland272.028$540kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Collins232.000$534kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Mendoza292.063$532kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Hosmer231.146$528kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Moustakas241.111$524kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kelvin Herrera231.008$508kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Everett Teaford291.093$507kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jarrod Dyson281.088$506kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Duffy241.134$505kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lorenzo Cain271.074$503kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Irving Falu300.120$492kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Lough270.033$492kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Donnie Joseph250.032$490kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Louis Coleman271.133$254kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Maxwell292.066$230kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Will Smith231.000$163kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Johnny Giavotella252.055$127kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Francisley Bueno321.111$89kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Ciriaco271.036$45kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yordano Ventura220.000$37kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Dwyer250.000$35kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Moore292.028$24kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Royals 2013; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.