RRosternomics
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Tigers DET

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GM: Al Avila

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 3 in this regime · payroll 0.78× league · TAB -12.7
-12.7TAB — talent above budget
-14.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)
0.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars20th/30
-5.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag25th/30
87%dead money %30th/30
0.397win %28th/30
6.6roster fWAR25th/30
-43surplus $M (value vs cost)20th/30
$92Mpayroll $M21st/30

Roster

CFVictor Reyes 30GJaCoby Jones 28GDerek Hill 10G
LFChristin Stewart 32GVictor Reyes 22GJorge Bonifacio 19G
RFVictor Reyes 18GDaz Cameron 16GTravis Demeritte 12G
SSNiko Goodrum 31GWilli Castro 27GHarold Castro 2G
2BJonathan Schoop 44GNiko Goodrum 11GSergio Alcántara 6G
3BIsaac Paredes 33GJeimer Candelario 10GWilli Castro 8G
1BJeimer Candelario 43GC.J. Cron 13GBrandon Dixon 4G
STARTERSSpencer Turnbull 1.3WARTarik Skubal -0.1WARMatthew Boyd -0.1WARCasey Mize -0.2WARMichael Fulmer -0.3WAR
CAustin Romine 37GGrayson Greiner 18GEric Haase 7G
DHMiguel Cabrera 56GDerek Hill 4GTravis Demeritte 2G
BULLPEN★ Bryan Garcia 4svJosé Cisnero 7hBuck Farmer 7hGregory Soto 4hJoe Jiménez 4hJohn Schreiber 1hRony García 0hTyler Alexander 0h
CAustin Romine 37 · Grayson Greiner 18 · Eric Haase 7
1BJeimer Candelario 43 · C.J. Cron 13 · Brandon Dixon 4
2BJonathan Schoop 44 · Niko Goodrum 11 · Sergio Alcántara 6
3BIsaac Paredes 33 · Jeimer Candelario 10 · Willi Castro 8
SSNiko Goodrum 31 · Willi Castro 27 · Harold Castro 2
LFChristin Stewart 32 · Victor Reyes 22 · Jorge Bonifacio 19
CFVictor Reyes 30 · JaCoby Jones 28 · Derek Hill 10
RFVictor Reyes 18 · Daz Cameron 16 · Travis Demeritte 12
DHMiguel Cabrera 56 · Derek Hill 4 · Travis Demeritte 2
SPSpencer Turnbull 1.3 · Tarik Skubal -0.1 · Matthew Boyd -0.1 · Casey Mize -0.2 · Michael Fulmer -0.3
BP★ Bryan Garcia 4 · José Cisnero 7 · Buck Farmer 7 · Gregory Soto 4 · Joe Jiménez 4 · John Schreiber 1 · Rony García 0 · Tyler Alexander 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2020 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Jeimer Candelario 26 pre-arb 521.8 0.2 +13.1
Jonathan Schoop 28 FA-elig 441.5 6.1 +5.0
Spencer Turnbull 27 pre-arb 111.3 0.2 +9.4
Willi Castro 23 pre-arb 361.2 0.1 +8.7
JaCoby Jones 28 arb 300.9 1.6 +5.0
José Cisnero 31 pre-arb 290.8 0.2 +5.7
Victor Reyes 25 pre-arb 570.8 0.2 +5.5
Niko Goodrum 28 pre-arb 430.7 0.3 +4.7
Daniel Norris 27 FA-elig 140.6 3.0 +1.2
C.J. Cron 30 FA-elig 130.4 6.1 -2.8
Bryan Garcia 25 pre-arb 260.4 0.2 +2.7
Harold Castro 26 pre-arb 220.4 0.2 +2.5
Miguel Cabrera 37 FA-elig 570.3 30.0 -28.0
Gregory Soto 25 pre-arb 270.2 0.2 +1.3
Jordan Zimmermann 34 FA-elig 30.2 25.0 -23.7
John Schreiber 26 pre-arb 150.1 0.2 +0.7
Buck Farmer 29 FA-elig 230.1 1.1 -0.4
Cameron Maybin↔ CHC 33 FA-elig 140.1 0.7 -0.3
Carson Fulmer↔ BAL 26 – 70.0 0.1 -0.1
Jordy Mercer↔ NYY 33 FA-elig 3-0.0 0.0 -0.3
Jorge Bonifacio 27 pre-arb 30-0.0 0.1 -0.4
Matthew Boyd 29 arb 12-0.1 5.3 -5.7
Dawel Lugo 25 pre-arb 9-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Anthony Castro 25 – 1-0.1 0.0 -0.5
David McKay 25 pre-arb 1-0.1 0.0 -0.6
Nick Ramirez 30 pre-arb 5-0.1 0.1 -0.9
Eric Haase 27 pre-arb 7-0.1 0.0 -0.9
Sergio Alcántara 23 – 10-0.1 0.1 -0.9
Tarik Skubal 23 – 8-0.1 0.1 -1.0
Derek Hill 24 – 15-0.1 0.1 -1.1
Iván Nova 33 FA-elig 4-0.2 1.5 -2.7
Tyler Alexander 25 pre-arb 14-0.2 0.2 -1.5
Kyle Funkhouser 26 – 13-0.2 0.2 -1.4
Brandon Dixon 28 pre-arb 5-0.2 0.0 -1.4
Beau Burrows 23 – 5-0.2 0.1 -1.5
Casey Mize 23 – 7-0.2 0.1 -1.6
Travis Demeritte 25 pre-arb 18-0.2 0.1 -1.8
Daz Cameron 23 – 17-0.2 0.1 -1.8
Grayson Greiner 27 pre-arb 18-0.3 0.2 -2.3
Isaac Paredes 21 – 34-0.3 0.1 -2.3
Michael Fulmer 27 arb 10-0.3 2.8 -5.1
Christin Stewart 26 pre-arb 36-0.3 0.2 -2.6
Austin Romine 31 FA-elig 37-0.4 4.1 -6.9
Rony García 22 – 15-0.4 0.2 -3.5
Joe Jiménez 25 pre-arb 25-0.6 0.2 -4.4

Key additions (new vs 2019)

PlayerfWAR
Jonathan Schoop1.5
C.J. Cron0.4
Cameron Maybin0.1
Carson Fulmer0.0
Jorge Bonifacio-0.0
Anthony Castro-0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2019)

Player2019 fWAR
Shane Greene0.7
Nick Castellanos0.5
Matt Moore0.5
Drew VerHagen0.2
Eduardo Jiménez0.1
Trevor Rosenthal0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2020 payroll
$91.6M
2021 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2020, 2020–2026. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2020; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
Miguel Cabrera3716.101$30.0MFREE AGENT
Jordan Zimmermann3410.154$25.0MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Schoop286.027$6.1MFREE AGENT
Austin Romine316.044$4.1MFREE AGENT
Iván Nova339.024$1.5MFREE AGENT
Cameron Maybin3310.059$656kFREE AGENT
Jordy Mercer337.095$33kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
C.J. Cron305.097$6.1MFREE AGENT
Matthew Boyd293.136$5.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Norris274.073$3.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Fulmer273.157$2.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Buck Farmer293.083$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (33)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
JaCoby Jones282.125$1.6MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Niko Goodrum282.031$259kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Jiménez252.077$217kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeimer Candelario262.038$216kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Victor Reyes251.084$213kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Spencer Turnbull271.020$212kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Cisnero312.012$212kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Harold Castro260.141$211kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gregory Soto250.102$210kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Alexander250.058$210kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan Garcia250.029$209kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rony García220.000$209kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Grayson Greiner271.102$171kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Funkhouser260.000$153kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Schreiber260.035$153kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Christin Stewart261.022$152kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Willi Castro230.037$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Isaac Paredes210.000$131kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tarik Skubal230.000$131kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Casey Mize230.000$131kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Bonifacio271.102$125kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Demeritte250.060$116kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Derek Hill240.000$81kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dawel Lugo250.130$79kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Beau Burrows230.000$65kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daz Cameron230.000$59kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carson Fulmer261.040$57kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Ramirez300.143$56kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sergio Alcántara230.000$56kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric Haase270.063$41kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Castro250.000$34kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Dixon281.125$19kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David McKay250.071$9kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Tigers 2020; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.