RRosternomics

Tigers DET

GM: Randy Smith

Overview

REBUILD ↗ rising
cheap & losing · year 2 in this regime · payroll 0.43× league · TAB -0.0
-0.0TAB — talent above budget13th/28
+7.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)5th/28
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars7th/28
-6.2dead WAR — sub-replacement drag21st/28
35%dead money %19th/28
0.488win %14th/28
23.9roster fWAR22nd/28
+6surplus $M (value vs cost)6th/28
$17Mpayroll $M27th/28

Roster

CFBrian L. Hunter 162GKimera Bartee 3GJuan Encarnacion 2G
LFBobby Higginson 104GPhil Nevin 40GCurtis Pride 34G
RFMelvin Nieves 100GBobby Higginson 56GBubba Trammell 16G
SSDeivi Cruz 147GOrlando Miller 31GDamion Easley 21G
2BDamion Easley 137GJody Reed 41GFrank Catalanotto 6G
3BTravis Fryman 153GPhil Nevin 17GOrlando Miller 4G
1BTony Clark 158GBob Hamelin 7GPhil Nevin 7G
STARTERSJustin Thompson 4.8WARWillie Blair 2.9WARBrian Moehler 2.0WARScott Sanders 0.7WARGreg Keagle 0.1WAR
CRaul Casanova 92GMatt Walbeck 44GMarcus Jensen 36G
DHBob Hamelin 87GPhil Nevin 18GCurtis Pride 18G
BULLPEN Todd Jones 31svMike Myers 0hDan Miceli 0hDoug Brocail 0hA.J. Sager 0hJohn Cummings 0hEddie Gaillard 0hRoberto Duran 0h
CRaul Casanova 92 · Matt Walbeck 44 · Marcus Jensen 36
1BTony Clark 158 · Bob Hamelin 7 · Phil Nevin 7
2BDamion Easley 137 · Jody Reed 41 · Frank Catalanotto 6
3BTravis Fryman 153 · Phil Nevin 17 · Orlando Miller 4
SSDeivi Cruz 147 · Orlando Miller 31 · Damion Easley 21
LFBobby Higginson 104 · Phil Nevin 40 · Curtis Pride 34
CFBrian L. Hunter 162 · Kimera Bartee 3 · Juan Encarnacion 2
RFMelvin Nieves 100 · Bobby Higginson 56 · Bubba Trammell 16
DHBob Hamelin 87 · Phil Nevin 18 · Curtis Pride 18
SPJustin Thompson 4.8 · Willie Blair 2.9 · Brian Moehler 2.0 · Scott Sanders 0.7 · Greg Keagle 0.1
BP Todd Jones 31 · Mike Myers 0 · Dan Miceli 0 · Doug Brocail 0 · A.J. Sager 0 · John Cummings 0 · Eddie Gaillard 0 · Roberto Duran 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1997 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Justin Thompson 24 pre-arb 324.8 0.2 +4.8
Travis Fryman 28 FA-elig 1543.1 6.4 -3.3
Tony Clark 25 pre-arb 1593.0 0.3 +2.8
Willie Blair 31 FA-elig 292.9 0.8 +2.2
Bobby Higginson 26 pre-arb 1462.6 0.4 +2.3
Damion Easley 27 arb 1512.4 0.7 +1.7
Brian Moehler 25 pre-arb 312.0 0.1 +1.9
Omar Olivares↔ SEA 29 FA-elig 222.0 0.7 +1.4
Todd Jones 29 arb 681.8 1.0 +0.8
Bob Hamelin 29 1101.2
A.J. Sager 32 arb 380.9 0.2 +0.7
Scott Sanders↔ SEA 28 arb 140.7 0.4 +0.3
Felipe Lira↔ SEA 25 pre-arb 200.5 0.2 +0.3
Doug Brocail 30 arb 610.4 0.4 +0.0
Brian L. Hunter 26 arb 1620.4 0.3 +0.1
Glenn Dishman 26 70.3
Dan Miceli 26 arb 710.3 0.5 -0.2
Orlando Miller 28 arb 500.3 0.3 -0.1
Tim Pugh 30 20.2
Matt Walbeck 27 arb 470.2 0.6 -0.4
Joe Hall 31 20.1
Raul Casanova 24 pre-arb 1010.1 0.2 -0.1
Greg Keagle 26 pre-arb 110.1 0.2 -0.1
Eddie Gaillard 26 160.0
Jimmy Hurst 25 13-0.0
Fernando Hernandez 26 pre-arb 2-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Kevin Jarvis↔ CIN 27 arb 17-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Juan Encarnacion 21 11-0.1
Kimera Bartee 24 12-0.1
Marcus Jensen↔ SFG 24 pre-arb 8-0.1 0.0 -0.1
Jose Bautista↔ STL 32 FA-elig 21-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Roberto Duran 24 13-0.1
Frank Catalanotto 23 13-0.2
John Cummings 28 arb 19-0.2 0.2 -0.5
Vince Coleman 35 FA-elig 6-0.2 0.5 -0.8
Bubba Trammell 25 pre-arb 44-0.3 0.1 -0.5
Brian Johnson↔ SFG 29 arb 45-0.4 0.3 -0.7
Jody Reed 34 FA-elig 52-0.5 0.7 -1.2
Mike Myers 28 pre-arb 88-0.5 0.2 -0.7
Phil Nevin 26 pre-arb 93-0.5 0.2 -0.7
Melvin Nieves 25 arb 116-0.7 0.3 -1.0
Curtis Pride↔ BOS 28 arb 79-0.9 0.2 -1.1
Deivi Cruz 24 pre-arb 147-1.3 0.1 -1.5

Key additions (new vs 1996)

PlayerfWAR
Willie Blair2.9
Todd Jones1.8
Bob Hamelin1.2
Scott Sanders0.7
Doug Brocail0.4
Brian L. Hunter0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 1996)

Player1996 fWAR
Cecil Fielder1.0
Jose Lima0.6
Brad Ausmus0.6
Chad Curtis0.4
Richie Lewis0.3
Mark Parent0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

1997 payroll
$17.1M

What the front office was committed to as of 1997, 1997–2003. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (6)

PlayerAgeSvc1997199819992000200120022003
Travis Fryman287.000$6.4MFREE AGENT
Willie Blair317.000$800kFREE AGENT$3.8M$4.5M
Omar Olivares297.000$707kFREE AGENT
Jody Reed3410.000$675kFREE AGENT
Vince Coleman3512.000$500kFREE AGENT
Jose Bautista329.000$98kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (17)

PlayerAgeSvc1997199819992000200120022003
Todd Jones294.000$975kARB 3FREE AGENT
Damion Easley275.000$675kFREE AGENT
Matt Walbeck274.000$550kARB 3FREE AGENT
Dan Miceli264.000$475kARB 3FREE AGENT
Doug Brocail305.000$425kFREE AGENT
Scott Sanders284.000$387kARB 3FREE AGENT
Orlando Miller283.000$338kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Melvin Nieves255.000$335kFREE AGENT
Brian L. Hunter263.000$310kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Johnson293.000$267kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Cummings284.000$215kARB 3FREE AGENT
Curtis Pride284.000$211kARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Sager323.000$200kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Jarvis273.000$105kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joe Hall313.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bob Hamelin294.000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tim Pugh305.000FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (20)

PlayerAgeSvc1997199819992000200120022003
Bobby Higginson262.000$375kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Clark252.000$260kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Myers282.000$235kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Felipe Lira252.000$204kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Thompson241.000$198kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phil Nevin262.000$178kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Keagle261.000$170kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Raul Casanova241.000$158kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Moehler251.000$150kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Hernandez260.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Deivi Cruz240.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bubba Trammell250.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marcus Jensen241.000$32kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kimera Bartee241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Frank Catalanotto230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Glenn Dishman262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roberto Duran240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Encarnacion210.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eddie Gaillard26
Jimmy Hurst25

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Tigers 1997; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3