RRosternomics
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Rockies COL

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GM: Jeff Bridich

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.73× league · TAB +4.1
+4.1TAB — talent above budget9th/30
-2.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)19th/30
9.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars4th/30
-5.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag22nd/30
54%dead money %27th/30
0.463win %20th/30
34.5roster fWAR15th/30
+20surplus $M (value vs cost)5th/30
$92Mpayroll $M20th/30

Roster

CFCharlie Blackmon 138GBrandon Barnes 13GGerardo Parra 11G
LFGerardo Parra 60GDavid Dahl 54GRyan Raburn 47G
RFCarlos González 148GGerardo Parra 16GJordan Patterson 5G
SSTrevor Story 96GCristhian Adames 47GDaniel Descalso 31G
2BDJ LeMahieu 146GDaniel Descalso 14GCristhian Adames 11G
3BNolan Arenado 160GCristhian Adames 11GPat Valaika 6G
1BMark Reynolds 115GBen Paulsen 23GGerardo Parra 19G
STARTERSJon Gray 3.5WARTyler Anderson 2.4WARTyler Chatwood 2.1WARChad Bettis 2.0WARChris Rusin 1.5WAR
CNick Hundley 79GTony Wolters 59GDustin Garneau 23G
DHRyan Raburn 6GDaniel Descalso 4G
BULLPEN★ Jake McGee 15svBoone Logan 27hCarlos Estévez 11hJason Motte 6hChad Qualls 4hAdam Ottavino 4hJustin Miller 1hGonzalez Germen 0h
CNick Hundley 79 · Tony Wolters 59 · Dustin Garneau 23
1BMark Reynolds 115 · Ben Paulsen 23 · Gerardo Parra 19
2BDJ LeMahieu 146 · Daniel Descalso 14 · Cristhian Adames 11
3BNolan Arenado 160 · Cristhian Adames 11 · Pat Valaika 6
SSTrevor Story 96 · Cristhian Adames 47 · Daniel Descalso 31
LFGerardo Parra 60 · David Dahl 54 · Ryan Raburn 47
CFCharlie Blackmon 138 · Brandon Barnes 13 · Gerardo Parra 11
RFCarlos González 148 · Gerardo Parra 16 · Jordan Patterson 5
DHRyan Raburn 6 · Daniel Descalso 4
SPJon Gray 3.5 · Tyler Anderson 2.4 · Tyler Chatwood 2.1 · Chad Bettis 2.0 · Chris Rusin 1.5
BP★ Jake McGee 15 · Boone Logan 27 · Carlos Estévez 11 · Jason Motte 6 · Chad Qualls 4 · Adam Ottavino 4 · Justin Miller 1 · Gonzalez Germen 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2016 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Nolan Arenado 25 arb 1606.0 5.0 +14.6
DJ LeMahieu 27 arb 1465.0 3.0 +13.3
Charlie Blackmon 29 arb 1434.5 3.5 +11.2
Jon Gray 24 pre-arb 293.5 0.5 +10.9
Trevor Story 23 pre-arb 973.5 0.5 +10.8
Tyler Anderson 26 pre-arb 202.4 0.3 +7.5
Carlos González 30 FA-elig 1502.2 17.0 -10.0
Tyler Chatwood 26 arb 272.1 1.0 +5.7
Chad Bettis 27 arb 322.0 0.5 +6.0
Tony Wolters 24 pre-arb 711.8 0.5 +5.3
Chris Rusin 29 arb 291.5 0.5 +4.4
David Dahl 22 – 631.4 0.2 +4.4
Boone Logan 31 FA-elig 660.8 6.2 -3.6
Adam Ottavino 30 FA-elig 340.6 1.3 +0.7
Tom Murphy 25 pre-arb 210.6 0.1 +1.9
Daniel Descalso 29 FA-elig 990.5 2.1 -0.4
Mark Reynolds 32 FA-elig 1180.5 2.6 -1.0
Jorge De La Rosa 35 FA-elig 270.4 12.5 -11.2
Carlos Estévez 23 – 630.4 0.4 +0.7
Germán Márquez 21 – 60.1 0.1 +0.3
Jason Gurka 28 pre-arb 60.1 0.7 -0.4
Jordan Lyles 25 arb 400.1 3.0 -2.8
Jordan Patterson 24 – 100.1 0.1 +0.1
Justin Miller 29 pre-arb 400.1 0.5 -0.3
Matt Carasiti 24 – 190.0 0.1 -0.0
Scott Oberg 26 pre-arb 240.0 0.3 -0.2
Chad Qualls 37 FA-elig 44-0.0 2.2 -2.3
Yohan Flande 30 – 2-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Nick Hundley 32 FA-elig 83-0.1 3.1 -3.4
David Hale 28 – 2-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Miguel Castro 21 pre-arb 19-0.1 0.5 -0.9
Raimel Tapia 22 – 22-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Pat Valaika 23 – 13-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Dustin Garneau 28 pre-arb 24-0.2 0.2 -0.9
Christian Bergman 28 pre-arb 15-0.2 0.5 -1.2
Eddie Butler 25 pre-arb 17-0.2 0.3 -1.0
Rafael Ynoa 28 pre-arb 3-0.2 0.0 -0.7
Gonzalez Germen 28 pre-arb 40-0.2 0.3 -1.1
Cristhian Adames 24 pre-arb 121-0.3 0.5 -1.3
Stephen Cardullo 28 pre-arb 27-0.3 0.1 -1.0
Brandon Barnes 30 arb 48-0.3 1.0 -1.9
Jason Motte 34 FA-elig 30-0.3 5.0 -5.9
Jake McGee 29 FA-elig 57-0.3 4.8 -5.8
Ryan Raburn 35 FA-elig 113-0.3 1.5 -2.6
Jeff Hoffman 23 – 8-0.4 0.1 -1.4
Ben Paulsen 28 pre-arb 39-0.9 0.5 -3.4
Gerardo Parra 29 FA-elig 102-1.0 8.0 -11.3

Key additions (new vs 2015)

PlayerfWAR
Trevor Story3.5
Tyler Anderson2.4
Tyler Chatwood2.1
Tony Wolters1.8
David Dahl1.4
Mark Reynolds0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2015)

Player2015 fWAR
Troy Tulowitzki1.2
John Axford0.8
Corey Dickerson0.6
Rafael Betancourt0.6
Christian Friedrich0.2
LaTroy Hawkins0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2016 payroll
$91.5M
2017 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2016, 2016–2022. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2016; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Carlos González307.059$17.0MFREE AGENT
Jorge De La Rosa3512.000$12.5MFREE AGENT
Gerardo Parra296.145$8.0MFREE AGENT
Boone Logan318.140$6.2MFREE AGENT
Jason Motte347.027$5.0MFREE AGENT
Nick Hundley327.059$3.1MFREE AGENT
Mark Reynolds328.138$2.6MFREE AGENT
Chad Qualls3711.058$2.2MFREE AGENT
Ryan Raburn358.109$1.5MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Jake McGee294.127$4.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Charlie Blackmon293.102$3.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
DJ LeMahieu273.128$3.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Lyles254.059$3.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Descalso295.016$2.1MFREE AGENT
Adam Ottavino304.087$1.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Chatwood264.039$1.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Barnes303.024$1.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (30)

PlayerAgeSvc2016201720182019202020212022
Nolan Arenado252.155$5.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Gurka281.000$660kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Christian Bergman281.112$512kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Paulsen281.012$512kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Bettis271.096$512kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Rusin291.092$512kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jon Gray240.062$509kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Castro210.062$509kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cristhian Adames240.052$509kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Justin Miller290.171$509kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Story230.000$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Wolters240.000$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Estévez230.000$449kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Anderson260.087$317kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gonzalez Germen281.135$311kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Oberg260.154$273kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eddie Butler250.149$269kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dustin Garneau280.047$211kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Dahl220.000$194kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Carasiti240.000$144kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Hoffman230.000$122kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stephen Cardullo280.038$108kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Murphy250.024$86kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Raimel Tapia220.000$86kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Patterson240.000$75kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Germán Márquez210.000$75kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pat Valaika230.000$75kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yohan Flande302.008$22kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Hale281.158$17kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rafael Ynoa280.147$14kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Rockies 2016; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.