RRosternomics
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Guardians CLE

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GM: Mark Shapiro

Overview

WINDOW → steady
cheap & winning · year 3 in this regime · payroll 0.63× league · TAB +9.1
+9.1TAB — talent above budget3rd/30
+2.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)13th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars16th/30
-4.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag17th/30
34%dead money %19th/30
0.481win %18th/30
37.7roster fWAR12th/30
+17surplus $M (value vs cost)2nd/30
$48Mpayroll $M26th/30

Roster

CFGrady Sizemore 160GFranklin Gutierrez 7GJoe Inglett 3G
LFJason Michaels 117GFranklin Gutierrez 10GShin-Soo Choo 9G
RFCasey Blake 93GShin-Soo Choo 30GFranklin Gutierrez 28G
SSJhonny Peralta 147GHector Luna 24GRamón Vázquez 7G
2BHector Luna 61GJoe Inglett 53GRamón Vázquez 7G
3BAaron Boone 101GAndy Marte 50GRamón Vázquez 14G
1BRyan Garko 45GVictor Martinez 22GCasey Blake 9G
STARTERSCC Sabathia 5.1WARJake Westbrook 3.7WARCliff Lee 2.3WARPaul Byrd 1.7WARJeremy Sowers 0.9WAR
CVictor Martinez 133GKelly Shoppach 40GTim Laker 4G
DHTravis Hafner 122GKevin Kouzmanoff 14GCasey Blake 8G
BULLPEN★ Tom Mastny 5svRafael Betancourt 7hFernando Cabrera 6hJason Davis 6hBrian Sikorski 2hRafael Perez 1hMatt Miller 1hDanny Graves 0h
CVictor Martinez 133 · Kelly Shoppach 40 · Tim Laker 4
1BRyan Garko 45 · Victor Martinez 22 · Casey Blake 9
2BHector Luna 61 · Joe Inglett 53 · Ramón Vázquez 7
3BAaron Boone 101 · Andy Marte 50 · Ramón Vázquez 14
SSJhonny Peralta 147 · Hector Luna 24 · Ramón Vázquez 7
LFJason Michaels 117 · Franklin Gutierrez 10 · Shin-Soo Choo 9
CFGrady Sizemore 160 · Franklin Gutierrez 7 · Joe Inglett 3
RFCasey Blake 93 · Shin-Soo Choo 30 · Franklin Gutierrez 28
DHTravis Hafner 122 · Kevin Kouzmanoff 14 · Casey Blake 8
SPCC Sabathia 5.1 · Jake Westbrook 3.7 · Cliff Lee 2.3 · Paul Byrd 1.7 · Jeremy Sowers 0.9
BP★ Tom Mastny 5 · Rafael Betancourt 7 · Fernando Cabrera 6 · Jason Davis 6 · Brian Sikorski 2 · Rafael Perez 1 · Matt Miller 1 · Danny Graves 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2006 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Grady Sizemore 23 pre-arb 1627.9 0.5 +15.2
Travis Hafner 29 arb 1296.0 2.7 +9.2
CC Sabathia 25 arb 285.1 7.0 +3.1
Jake Westbrook 28 FA-elig 323.7 4.2 +3.2
Victor Martinez 27 arb 1532.8 1.0 +4.6
Cliff Lee 27 arb 332.3 0.4 +4.3
Casey Blake 32 FA-elig 1091.8 3.0 +0.6
Paul Byrd 35 FA-elig 311.7 7.0 -3.5
Shin-Soo Choo↔ SEA 23 – 451.2 – –
Jason Davis 26 – 391.1 – –
Ben Broussard↔ SEA 29 arb 881.0 1.5 +0.4
Jeremy Sowers 23 – 140.9 – –
Rafael Betancourt 31 arb 500.8 0.4 +1.3
Jason Michaels 30 arb 1230.5 1.5 -0.4
Jason Johnson↔ BOS 32 FA-elig 140.5 2.0 -1.0
Joe Inglett 28 – 640.5 – –
Ronnie Belliard↔ STL 31 FA-elig 930.5 2.5 -1.6
Bob Wickman↔ ATL 37 FA-elig 290.5 2.5 -1.6
Edward Mujica 22 – 100.5 – –
Kelly Shoppach 26 pre-arb 410.4 0.3 +0.4
Roberto Hernandez 25 – 380.4 – –
Eduardo Perez↔ SEA 36 FA-elig 370.4 0.8 -0.1
Todd Hollandsworth↔ CIN 33 FA-elig 560.4 0.6 +0.1
Ryan Garko 25 – 500.3 – –
Andy Marte 22 – 500.3 – –
Brian Sikorski↔ SDP 31 – 170.2 – –
Tom Mastny 25 – 150.1 – –
Franklin Gutierrez 23 – 430.1 0.3 -0.2
Juan Lara 25 – 90.1 – –
Brian Slocum 25 – 80.1 – –
Jhonny Peralta 24 arb 1490.1 0.4 -0.3
Rafael Perez 24 – 180.0 – –
Andrew Brown 25 – 90.0 – –
Tim Laker 36 – 4-0.1 – –
Matt Miller 34 arb 14-0.1 0.3 -0.5
Jeremy Guthrie 27 – 9-0.1 0.6 -0.8
Scott Sauerbeck↔ OAK 34 FA-elig 24-0.1 0.6 -0.9
Lou Merloni 35 – 9-0.2 – –
Fernando Cabrera 24 pre-arb 51-0.2 0.3 -0.7
Kevin Kouzmanoff 24 – 16-0.3 – –
Danny Graves 32 FA-elig 13-0.3 0.6 -1.2
Guillermo Mota↔ NYM 32 FA-elig 34-0.6 2.0 -3.2
Aaron Boone 33 FA-elig 104-0.8 3.8 -5.3
Hector Luna↔ STL 26 pre-arb 37-0.9 0.1 -1.8
Ramón Vázquez 29 arb 34-0.9 0.7 -2.5

Key additions (new vs 2005)

PlayerfWAR
Paul Byrd1.7
Shin-Soo Choo1.2
Jeremy Sowers0.9
Jason Michaels0.5
Jason Johnson0.5
Joe Inglett0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2005)

Player2005 fWAR
Coco Crisp5.2
Kevin Millwood3.4
Bob Howry1.4
Arthur Rhodes1.2
Scott Elarton0.8
Alex Cora0.5

Current & Historical Payroll

2006 payroll
$47.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 2006, 2006–2012. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Paul Byrd3511.000$7.0M$7.0M$5.5MFREE AGENT
Jake Westbrook286.000$4.2M$6.1M$10.0MFREE AGENT$7.0M
Aaron Boone339.000$3.8MFREE AGENT
Casey Blake327.000$3.0M$3.8M$3.8MFREE AGENT
Bob Wickman3714.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Ronnie Belliard318.000$2.5MFREE AGENT
Jason Johnson329.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Guillermo Mota327.000$2.0MFREE AGENT
Eduardo Perez3613.000$809kFREE AGENT
Scott Sauerbeck347.000$626kFREE AGENT
Danny Graves3210.000$600kFREE AGENT
Todd Hollandsworth3311.000$560kFREE AGENT
Tim Laker3614.000—FREE AGENT
Lou Merloni358.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
CC Sabathia255.000$7.0MFREE AGENT
Travis Hafner294.000$2.7MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Broussard294.000$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Michaels305.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Victor Martinez274.000$1.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Ramón Vázquez295.000$700kFREE AGENT
Cliff Lee274.000$406kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jhonny Peralta243.000$377kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rafael Betancourt313.000$365kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Miller343.000$337kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Davis264.000—ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (20)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Jeremy Guthrie272.000$625kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Grady Sizemore232.000$500kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Fernando Cabrera242.000$331kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Franklin Gutierrez231.000$327kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kelly Shoppach261.000$327kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hector Luna262.000$111kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Sikorski31–—
Andrew Brown250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Shin-Soo Choo231.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andy Marte221.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roberto Hernandez250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Garko251.000—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Lara25–—
Joe Inglett280.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Kouzmanoff240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Slocum25–—
Tom Mastny250.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeremy Sowers230.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rafael Perez240.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edward Mujica220.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Guardians 2006; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.