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Reds CIN

201476–86 (0.469)
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GM: Walt Jocketty

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2014, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$110M
Surplus $M
-34
Win %
0.469
TAB
-6.4
WAB
-5.5
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
27.5
Dead money %
39%
Depth Players
6.0
Dead WAR
-6.1

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2014 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RDevin Mesoraco109
BBrayan Peña46
LTucker Barnhart20

1B

LJoey Votto61
BBrayan Peña53
RTodd Frazier43
LJack Hannahan13
RNeftali Soto7
LDonald Lutz6
LJay Bruce3
LRoger Bernadina⇄1

2B

RBrandon Phillips121
BRamon Santiago20
LSkip Schumaker19
RKristopher Negrón17
RJake Elmore2

3B

RTodd Frazier124
BRamon Santiago28
RKristopher Negrón25
RNeftali Soto2

SS

RZack Cozart147
BRamon Santiago20
RJake Elmore3
RKristopher Negrón2

LF

RRyan Ludwick92
RChris Heisey53
LSkip Schumaker33
RJason Bourgeois8
LDonald Lutz4
RYorman Rodriguez2
RKristopher Negrón1
BRamon Santiago1

CF

BBilly Hamilton144
RChris Heisey16
LSkip Schumaker8
LRoger Bernadina⇄7
RJason Bourgeois2
RYorman Rodriguez2

RF

LJay Bruce131
RChris Heisey14
LSkip Schumaker13
RYorman Rodriguez4
LDonald Lutz2
RJason Bourgeois1

DH

RRyan Ludwick5
BBrayan Peña1
BBilly Hamilton1
RDevin Mesoraco1
LDonald Lutz1
LJack Hannahan1
RNeftali Soto1

Starters

RJohnny Cueto4.3 WAR
RMike Leake2.8 WAR
RMat Latos1.7 WAR
RHomer Bailey1.7 WAR
RAlfredo Simon1.3 WAR
RDaniel Corcino0.3 WAR
LJeff Francis⇄0.0 WAR
RDylan Axelrod-0.1 WAR
LTony Cingrani-0.2 WAR
LDavid Holmberg-0.9 WAR

Bullpen

★ LAroldis Chapman36 sv
RSam LeCure17 h
LManny Parra16 h
RJumbo Diaz8 h
RLogan Ondrusek4 h
RJ.J. Hoover1 h
RJonathan Broxton⇄0 h
RCarlos Contreras0 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2013)

PlayerfWAR
Kristopher Negrón1.7
Ramon Santiago0.7
Jumbo Diaz0.3
Daniel Corcino0.3
Jeff Francis0.0
Tucker Barnhart-0.0

Key subtractions (gone from 2013)

Player2013 fWAR
Shin-Soo Choo6.4
Bronson Arroyo0.6
Ryan Hanigan0.4
Corky Miller0.3
Zach Duke0.2
Derrick Robinson0.1

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Reds. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2014; everyone else is shown as a 2014 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Johnny Cueto 2014 +4.3 +76.1 10.0 +66.1 $2.3M 2.19× –
Aroldis Chapman 2014 +2.8 +56.8 5.0 +51.8 $1.8M 2.57× Extension · 2026–2027 · $13.3M AAV
Todd Frazier 2014 +4.5 +45.4 0.6 +44.8 $0.1M 1.25× –
Mike Leake 2014 +2.8 +44.5 5.9 +38.6 $2.1M 1.96× –
Devin Mesoraco 2014 +3.9 +35.4 0.5 +34.9 $0.1M 1.12× –
Billy Hamilton 2014 +2.7 +34.7 0.5 +34.2 $0.2M 1.60× –
Mat Latos 2014 +1.7 +19.8 7.2 +12.6 $4.3M 1.49× –
Homer Bailey 2014 +1.7 +20.6 9.0 +11.6 $5.2M 1.49× –
Alfredo Simon 2014 +1.3 +10.2 1.5 +8.7 $1.2M 1.02× –
Zack Cozart 2014 +1.3 +6.6 0.6 +6.0 $0.4M 0.61× –
Chris Heisey 2014 +0.7 +4.5 1.8 +2.8 $2.6M 0.83× –
Daniel Corcino 2014 +0.3 +2.6 0.1 +2.5 $0.3M 1.02× –
Ramon Santiago 2014 +0.7 +3.3 1.1 +2.2 $1.5M 0.58× –
Jumbo Diaz 2014 +0.3 +1.8 0.5 +1.3 $1.5M 0.67× –
Pedro Villarreal 2014 +0.0 +0.3 0.1 +0.2 $2.1M 0.67× –
Tucker Barnhart 2014 -0.0 -0.1 0.2 -0.3 – 0.52× –
Jake Elmore 2014 -0.1 -0.5 0.1 -0.6 – 0.61× –
Jason Bourgeois 2014 -0.1 -0.5 0.1 -0.6 – 0.83× –
Dylan Axelrod 2014 -0.1 -0.7 0.1 -0.8 – 1.02× –
Trevor Bell 2014 -0.1 -0.3 0.5 -0.8 – 0.67× –
Carlos Contreras 2014 -0.2 -0.9 0.2 -1.1 – 0.67× –
Yorman Rodriguez 2014 -0.2 -1.0 0.1 -1.1 – 0.83× –
Brayan Peña 2014 -0.1 -0.3 0.9 -1.2 – 0.56× –
Ryan Dennick 2014 -0.2 -1.2 0.1 -1.3 – 0.67× –
Logan Ondrusek 2014 -0.0 -0.1 1.4 -1.5 – 0.67× –
Nick Christiani 2014 -0.2 -1.0 0.5 -1.5 – 0.67× –
Donald Lutz 2014 -0.3 -1.4 0.2 -1.6 – 0.56× –
Jack Hannahan 2014 -0.2 -1.1 1.0 -2.1 – 0.56× –
Sam LeCure 2014 -0.2 -0.9 1.2 -2.1 – 0.67× –
Manny Parra 2014 -0.1 -0.4 2.0 -2.4 – 0.67× –
Tony Cingrani 2014 -0.2 -1.9 0.5 -2.4 – 1.02× –
J.J. Hoover 2014 -0.4 -2.0 0.5 -2.6 – 0.67× –
Neftali Soto 2014 -0.5 -2.3 0.5 -2.8 – 0.56× –
Roger Bernadina↔ 2014 -0.4 -2.4 0.4 -2.8 – 0.83× –
Jonathan Broxton↔ 2014 +0.4 +2.2 5.8 -3.6 $14.0M 0.67× –
Brandon Phillips 2014 +1.4 +6.2 11.0 -4.8 $8.0M 0.56× –
Sean Marshall 2014 -0.2 -0.8 5.5 -6.3 – 0.67× –
David Holmberg 2014 -0.9 -7.3 0.1 -7.3 – 1.02× –
Skip Schumaker 2014 -0.8 -5.3 2.0 -7.3 – 0.83× –
Joey Votto 2014 +0.8 +3.6 12.0 -8.4 $15.0M 0.56× –
Ryan Ludwick 2014 -0.4 -2.5 8.5 -11.0 – 0.83× –
Jay Bruce 2014 -0.4 -2.6 10.0 -12.6 – 0.83× –
Curtis Partch 2014 -0.0 -0.0 – – – 0.67× –
Jeff Francis↔ 2014 +0.0 +0.2 – – – 1.02× –
Kristopher Negrón 2014 +1.7 +11.6 – – – 0.85× –
Total—+27.0+348.9109.8+227.4—

Trades

Every graded 2014 deal involving the Reds — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 6 total.

2014 · CIN / DET
CIN · Walt Jocketty +$134.4M
Eugenio Suárez, Jonathon Crawford
DET · Dave Dombrowski −$134.4M
Alfredo Simón
CIN came out ahead by $134.4M
2014 · CIN / MIL
CIN · Walt Jocketty +$2.4M
Kevin Shackelford, Barrett Astin
MIL · Douglas Melvin −$2.4M
Jonathan Broxton
CIN came out ahead by $2.4M
2014 · PHI / CIN
PHI · Ruben Amaro +$15.2M
Ben Lively
CIN · Walt Jocketty −$15.2M
Marlon Byrd
PHI came out ahead by $15.2M
2014 · CIN / COL
CIN · Walt Jocketty +$1.6M
Harold Riggins
COL · Daniel O'Dowd −$1.6M
Jair Jurrjens
CIN came out ahead by $1.6M
2014 · CIN / LAD
CIN · Walt Jocketty +$3.2M
Matt Magill
LAD · Ned Colletti −$3.2M
Chris Heisey
CIN came out ahead by $3.2M
2014 · CIN / MIA
CIN · Walt Jocketty +$82.4M
Anthony DeSclafani, Chad Wallach
MIA · Dan Jennings −$82.4M
Mat Latos
CIN came out ahead by $82.4M

Current & Historical Payroll

2014 payroll
$109.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 2014, 2014–2020. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
Joey Votto306.027$12.0M$14.0M$20.0M$22.0M$25.0M$25.0M$25.0M
Brandon Phillips339.022$11.0M$12.0M$13.0MFREE AGENT
Johnny Cueto286.000$10.0M$5.9MFREE AGENT
Ryan Ludwick358.109$8.5MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Broxton308.020$5.8MFREE AGENT
Sean Marshall317.088$5.5MFREE AGENT
Manny Parra316.063$2.0M$3.5MFREE AGENT
Skip Schumaker347.051$2.0M$2.5MFREE AGENT
Ramon Santiago349.095$1.1MFREE AGENT
Brayan Peña328.081$875k$1.4MFREE AGENT
Jeff Francis338.157—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
Jay Bruce275.125$10.0MFREE AGENT
Homer Bailey285.017$9.0MFREE AGENT
Mat Latos264.079$7.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Leake264.000$5.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Aroldis Chapman263.034$5.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Heisey293.157$1.8MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alfredo Simon334.142$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Logan Ondrusek293.125$1.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam LeCure303.072$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jack Hannahan345.065$1.0MFREE AGENT
Jumbo Diaz303.129$500kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Roger Bernadina304.146$404kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2014201520162017201820192020
Todd Frazier282.071$600kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zack Cozart282.084$600kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Devin Mesoraco262.028$525kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.J. Hoover261.102$520kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Cingrani240.163$512kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Christiani260.039$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Neftali Soto250.100$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Billy Hamilton230.028$500kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Bell271.124$500kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Contreras232.000$238kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Donald Lutz250.134$202kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tucker Barnhart230.000$197kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Elmore271.054$136kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Villarreal261.034$104kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Corcino230.034$90kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Axelrod281.143$90kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Holmberg220.002$79kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Bourgeois322.094$74kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yorman Rodriguez210.032$74kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Dennick270.027$74kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Curtis Partch271.130—Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kristopher Negrón282.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2014 acquisition stacked onto Reds's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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