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Reds CIN

201297–65 (0.599)Made Playoffs
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GM: Walt Jocketty

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2012, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$77M
Surplus $M
+33
Win %
0.599
TAB
+11.0
WAB
+18.4
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
42.1
Dead money %
13%
Depth Players
12.0
Dead WAR
-5.0

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2012 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RRyan Hanigan110
RDevin Mesoraco53
BDioner Navarro21

1B

LJoey Votto109
RTodd Frazier39
RMiguel Cairo24
LMike Costanzo2

2B

RBrandon Phillips146
RWilson Valdez22
RMiguel Cairo8
LWillie Harris7
BHenry Alejandro Rodriguez2

3B

RScott Rolen87
RTodd Frazier73
RWilson Valdez14
RMiguel Cairo13
LWillie Harris1

SS

RZack Cozart138
RWilson Valdez33
LDidi Gregorius6

LF

RRyan Ludwick108
RChris Heisey63
LXavier Paul17
RTodd Frazier7
LWillie Harris1

CF

RDrew Stubbs135
RChris Heisey36
RWilson Valdez5
RDenis Phipps1
RKristopher Negrón1

RF

LJay Bruce154
RChris Heisey13
RDenis Phipps1
RTodd Frazier1
LXavier Paul1

DH

RRyan Ludwick2
RMiguel Cairo1
LMike Costanzo1
RTodd Frazier1
LWillie Harris1

Starters

RJohnny Cueto3.8 WAR
RMat Latos3.1 WAR
RBronson Arroyo2.3 WAR
RHomer Bailey2.2 WAR
RMike Leake2.2 WAR
RTodd Redmond-0.1 WAR

Bullpen

★ LAroldis Chapman38 sv
LSean Marshall22 h
RLogan Ondrusek13 h
RJose Arredondo12 h
RJonathan Broxton⇄10 h
RSam LeCure7 h
RAlfredo Simon1 h
RJ.J. Hoover1 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2011)

PlayerfWAR
Mat Latos3.1
Ryan Ludwick2.6
Sean Marshall1.6
Jonathan Broxton0.6
Alfredo Simon0.5
Xavier Paul0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2011)

Player2011 fWAR
Dontrelle Willis1.7
Ramon Hernandez0.9
Travis Wood0.9
Jonny Gomes0.9
Edgar Renteria0.7
Yonder Alonso0.5

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Reds. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2012; everyone else is shown as a 2012 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Aroldis Chapman 2012 +3.2 +65.2 2.0 +63.2 $0.6M 2.57× Extension · 2026–2027 · $13.3M AAV
Johnny Cueto 2012 +3.8 +67.0 5.4 +61.6 $1.4M 2.19× –
Joey Votto 2012 +5.3 +58.5 9.5 +49.0 $1.8M 1.37× –
Mat Latos 2012 +3.1 +49.2 0.6 +48.6 $0.2M 1.96× –
Ryan Ludwick 2012 +2.6 +33.7 2.0 +31.7 $0.8M 1.60× –
Ryan Hanigan 2012 +3.7 +32.7 1.2 +31.5 $0.3M 1.12× –
Mike Leake 2012 +2.2 +26.0 0.5 +25.5 $0.2M 1.49× –
Homer Bailey 2012 +2.2 +26.4 2.4 +23.9 $1.1M 1.49× –
Sean Marshall 2012 +1.6 +24.6 3.1 +21.5 $2.0M 1.95× –
Jay Bruce 2012 +2.4 +23.4 5.0 +18.4 $2.1M 1.22× –
Brandon Phillips 2012 +3.3 +28.5 12.0 +16.5 $3.6M 1.07× –
Todd Frazier 2012 +2.5 +16.9 0.5 +16.4 $0.2M 0.85× –
Bronson Arroyo 2012 +2.3 +26.9 12.0 +14.9 $5.3M 1.49× –
Zack Cozart 2012 +1.9 +13.6 0.5 +13.1 $0.3M 0.89× –
Drew Stubbs 2012 +1.3 +8.6 0.5 +8.1 $0.4M 0.83× –
Jonathan Broxton↔ 2012 +0.6 +6.8 1.7 +5.2 $2.6M 1.34× –
Chris Heisey 2012 +0.8 +5.5 0.5 +5.0 $0.6M 0.83× –
Sam LeCure 2012 +1.0 +5.2 0.5 +4.7 $0.5M 0.67× –
Xavier Paul 2012 +0.5 +3.3 0.4 +2.9 $0.8M 0.83× –
Alfredo Simon 2012 +0.5 +2.7 0.5 +2.2 $1.0M 0.67× –
J.J. Hoover 2012 +0.5 +2.6 0.5 +2.2 $1.0M 0.67× –
Dioner Navarro 2012 +0.5 +1.9 0.8 +1.1 $1.8M 0.52× –
Devin Mesoraco 2012 +0.3 +1.1 0.5 +0.6 $1.8M 0.52× –
Didi Gregorius 2012 +0.1 +0.4 0.5 -0.1 $5.8M 0.61× –
Pedro Villarreal 2012 +0.0 +0.1 0.5 -0.4 $28.4M 0.67× –
Tony Cingrani 2012 +0.0 +0.1 0.5 -0.4 $22.6M 0.67× –
Jose Arredondo 2012 -0.1 -0.5 0.8 -1.3 – 0.67× –
Todd Redmond 2012 -0.1 -1.2 0.5 -1.7 – 1.02× –
Scott Rolen 2012 +0.8 +3.6 6.5 -2.9 $8.3M 0.58× –
Willie Harris 2012 -0.5 -2.2 0.8 -3.0 – 0.56× –
Logan Ondrusek 2012 -0.8 -4.4 0.5 -4.9 – 0.67× –
Bill Bray 2012 -0.7 -3.5 1.4 -5.0 – 0.67× –
Miguel Cairo 2012 -1.1 -4.8 1.0 -5.8 – 0.56× –
Wilson Valdez 2012 -1.2 -5.9 0.9 -6.9 – 0.61× –
Denis Phipps 2012 +0.1 +0.5 0.5 +0.0 $6.1M 0.83× –
Henry Alejandro Rodriguez 2012 -0.1 -0.5 – – – 0.56× –
Kristopher Negrón 2012 +0.0 +0.3 – – – 0.83× –
Mike Costanzo 2012 -0.4 -1.8 – – – 0.56× –
Total—+42.1+510.577.0+435.4—

Trades

Every graded 2012 deal involving the Reds — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 5 total.

2012 · CIN / ATL
CIN · Walt Jocketty +$4.8M
Todd Redmond
ATL · Frank Wren −$4.8M
Paul Janish
CIN came out ahead by $4.8M
2012 · KCR / CIN
KCR · Dayton Moore +$3.2M
Donnie Joseph, Juan Carlos Sulbaran
CIN · Walt Jocketty −$3.2M
Jonathan Broxton
KCR came out ahead by $3.2M
2012 · PHI / CIN
PHI · Ruben Amaro +$8.8M
Jeremy Horst
CIN · Walt Jocketty −$8.8M
Wilson Valdez
PHI came out ahead by $8.8M
2012 · ATL / CIN
ATL · Frank Wren +$8.0M
Juan Francisco
CIN · Walt Jocketty −$8.0M
J. J. Hoover
ATL came out ahead by $8.0M
2012 · CIN / CLE / ARI
CIN · Walt Jocketty +$88.8M
Shin-Soo Choo, Jason Donald
CLE · Mark Shapiro +$76.8M
Trevor Bauer, Matt Albers, Bryan Shaw, Drew Stubbs
ARI · Kevin Towers −$165.6M
Didi Gregorius, Tony Sipp, Lars Anderson
CIN came out ahead by $88.8M 3-team

Current & Historical Payroll

2012 payroll
$76.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 2012, 2012–2018. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Bronson Arroyo359.150$12.0M$16.4MFREE AGENT$535k
Brandon Phillips317.022$12.0M$10.0M$11.0M$12.0M$13.0MFREE AGENT
Scott Rolen3715.060$6.5MFREE AGENT
Ryan Ludwick336.109$2.0M$2.0M$8.5MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Broxton286.020$1.7M$4.0M$5.8MFREE AGENT
Miguel Cairo3813.110$1.0MFREE AGENT
Dioner Navarro286.027$800kFREE AGENT
Willie Harris348.140$800kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Joey Votto284.027$9.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Johnny Cueto264.000$5.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jay Bruce253.125$5.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sean Marshall295.088$3.1MFREE AGENT
Homer Bailey263.017$2.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bill Bray295.018$1.4MFREE AGENT
Ryan Hanigan313.077$1.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilson Valdez343.096$930kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Redmond273.005$480kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Aroldis Chapman241.034$2.0MPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Arredondo282.168$800kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mat Latos242.079$550kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Stubbs272.047$528kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Leake242.000$507kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Heisey271.157$495kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Logan Ondrusek271.144$492kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam LeCure281.072$488kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alfredo Simon312.142$487kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zack Cozart260.084$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.J. Hoover240.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Frazier260.071$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Denis Phipps260.033$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Devin Mesoraco240.028$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Didi Gregorius220.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pedro Villarreal241.034$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Cingrani220.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Xavier Paul272.119$414kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Costanzo28–—
Kristopher Negrón260.000—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Henry Alejandro Rodriguez22–—

Graphs

How each 2012 acquisition stacked onto Reds's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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