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Reds CIN

201179–83 (0.488)
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GM: Walt Jocketty

Overview

Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2011, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).

to

Front Office

PoorAverageGreat
Value
Payroll $M
$79M
Surplus $M
+9
Win %
0.488
TAB
+3.6
WAB
-0.5
Roster composition
Roster fWAR
35.6
Dead money %
43%
Depth Players
6.0
Dead WAR
-4.9

Offense

PoorAverageGreat

Pitching & Defense

PoorAverageGreat

Roster

2011 depth chart — stacked by playing time

C

RRyan Hanigan89
RRamon Hernandez82
RDevin Mesoraco16

1B

LJoey Votto160
RMiguel Cairo5
LYonder Alonso3
RRamon Hernandez1
RTodd Frazier1

2B

RBrandon Phillips148
RMiguel Cairo13
RPaul Janish5
REdgar Renteria4
RTodd Frazier2
RChris Valaika1

3B

RScott Rolen63
RMiguel Cairo58
RTodd Frazier27
LJuan Francisco24
RPaul Janish8
RChris Valaika4
LYonder Alonso1

SS

RPaul Janish103
REdgar Renteria86
RZack Cozart11
RChris Valaika2
RTodd Frazier2

LF

RChris Heisey88
LFred Lewis45
RDave Sappelt31
LYonder Alonso16
RTodd Frazier4
LJeremy Hermida⇄3

CF

RDrew Stubbs157
RChris Heisey18
RDave Sappelt4

RF

LJay Bruce155
RChris Heisey10
LFred Lewis4

DH

RJonny Gomes⇄8
LFred Lewis1

Starters

RJohnny Cueto2.6 WAR
RHomer Bailey1.7 WAR
LDontrelle Willis1.7 WAR
RMike Leake1.6 WAR
LTravis Wood0.9 WAR
RSam LeCure0.4 WAR
RChad Reineke-0.3 WAR
REdinson Volquez-0.4 WAR
LMatt Maloney-0.5 WAR
RBronson Arroyo-1.9 WAR

Bullpen

★ RFrancisco Cordero37 sv
LBill Bray20 h
RNick Masset14 h
RLogan Ondrusek14 h
LAroldis Chapman13 h
RSam LeCure5 h
RJose Arredondo4 h
RJordan Smith2 h

Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

Key additions (new vs 2010)

PlayerfWAR
Dontrelle Willis1.7
Todd Frazier0.7
Zack Cozart0.7
Edgar Renteria0.7
Dave Sappelt0.3
Fred Lewis0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2010)

Player2010 fWAR
Laynce Nix1.4
Arthur Rhodes0.8
Orlando Cabrera0.7
Corky Miller0.7
Drew Sutton0.2
Daniel Herrera0.1

Contract Value

WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Reds. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2011; everyone else is shown as a 2011 season snapshot.

PlayerPeriodfWARTier Market $MPaid $MSurplus $M$ / WARTierContract
Joey Votto 2011 +6.4 +70.1 7.4 +62.6 $1.2M 1.37× –
Brandon Phillips 2011 +5.4 +59.4 11.4 +47.9 $2.1M 1.38× –
Johnny Cueto 2011 +2.6 +41.0 3.4 +37.6 $1.3M 1.96× –
Jay Bruce 2011 +2.9 +37.4 2.8 +34.6 $1.0M 1.60× –
Ryan Hanigan 2011 +3.7 +33.2 0.6 +32.6 $0.1M 1.12× –
Drew Stubbs 2011 +2.2 +21.4 0.5 +20.9 $0.2M 1.22× –
Homer Bailey 2011 +1.7 +20.7 0.4 +20.3 $0.3M 1.49× –
Dontrelle Willis 2011 +1.7 +19.6 0.4 +19.2 $0.3M 1.49× –
Mike Leake 2011 +1.6 +18.5 0.4 +18.1 $0.3M 1.49× –
Chris Heisey 2011 +1.5 +14.7 0.4 +14.3 $0.3M 1.22× –
Miguel Cairo 2011 +1.7 +11.5 1.0 +10.5 $0.6M 0.85× –
Travis Wood 2011 +0.9 +7.4 0.4 +7.0 $0.5M 1.02× –
Jonny Gomes↔ 2011 +0.9 +4.8 1.1 +3.7 $1.3M 0.69× –
Zack Cozart 2011 +0.7 +3.4 0.4 +3.0 $0.6M 0.61× –
Todd Frazier 2011 +0.7 +3.3 0.4 +2.9 $0.6M 0.58× –
Yonder Alonso 2011 +0.5 +3.2 0.6 +2.6 $1.2M 0.83× –
Bill Bray 2011 +0.6 +3.1 0.6 +2.5 $1.1M 0.67× –
Nick Masset 2011 +0.4 +3.9 1.7 +2.2 $4.7M 1.34× –
Sam LeCure 2011 +0.4 +2.4 0.4 +1.9 $0.9M 0.67× –
Dave Sappelt 2011 +0.3 +1.9 0.1 +1.8 $0.4M 0.83× –
Edgar Renteria 2011 +0.7 +3.2 2.1 +1.2 $3.1M 0.61× –
Ramon Hernandez 2011 +0.9 +3.8 2.9 +0.9 $3.2M 0.52× –
Chris Valaika 2011 +0.3 +1.2 0.4 +0.8 $1.6M 0.58× –
Fred Lewis 2011 +0.2 +1.1 0.9 +0.2 $5.7M 0.83× –
Juan Francisco 2011 +0.1 +0.5 0.4 +0.1 $3.9M 0.58× –
Jose Arredondo 2011 -0.0 -0.2 0.5 -0.7 – 0.67× –
Carlos Fisher 2011 -0.1 -0.7 0.4 -1.1 – 0.67× –
Jared Burton 2011 -0.1 -0.4 0.8 -1.1 – 0.67× –
Aroldis Chapman 2011 +0.5 +2.5 3.8 -1.3 $8.2M 0.67× Extension · 2026–2027 · $13.3M AAV
Jeremy Hermida↔ 2011 -0.2 -1.3 0.1 -1.4 – 0.83× –
Logan Ondrusek 2011 -0.2 -1.2 0.4 -1.6 – 0.67× –
Jordan Smith 2011 -0.2 -1.2 0.4 -1.7 – 0.67× –
Devin Mesoraco 2011 -0.3 -1.4 0.4 -1.8 – 0.52× –
Matt Maloney 2011 -0.5 -2.4 0.4 -2.8 – 0.67× –
Scott Rolen 2011 +1.1 +5.0 8.2 -3.2 $7.6M 0.58× –
Paul Janish 2011 -0.6 -2.9 0.4 -3.4 – 0.61× –
Edinson Volquez 2011 -0.4 -3.5 1.6 -5.1 – 1.02× –
Francisco Cordero 2011 +0.1 +0.7 12.1 -11.5 $193.7M 1.34× –
Bronson Arroyo 2011 -1.9 -15.1 7.7 -22.7 – 1.02× –
Chad Reineke 2011 -0.3 -2.0 – – – 1.02× –
Daryl Thompson 2011 -0.1 -0.7 – – – 0.67× –
Jeremy Horst 2011 +0.0 +0.1 – – – 0.67× –
Total—+35.8+366.078.3+290.0—

Trades

Every graded 2011 deal involving the Reds — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 3 total.

2011 · CIN / SDP
CIN · Walt Jocketty +$53.6M
Mat Latos
SDP · Jed Hoyer −$53.6M
Yonder Alonso, Edinson Vólquez, Brad Boxberger, Yasmani Grandal
CIN came out ahead by $53.6M
2011 · CIN / WSN
CIN · Walt Jocketty +$0.8M
Bill Rhinehart, Chris Manno
WSN · Michael Rizzo −$0.8M
Jonny Gomes
CIN came out ahead by $0.8M
2011 · CHC / CIN
CHC · Randy Bush +$91.2M
Travis Wood, Dave Sappelt, Ronald Torreyes
CIN · Walt Jocketty −$91.2M
Sean Marshall
CHC came out ahead by $91.2M

Current & Historical Payroll

2011 payroll
$78.6M

What the front office was committed to as of 2011, 2011–2017. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Francisco Cordero3611.046$12.1MFREE AGENT
Brandon Phillips306.022$11.4M$12.0M$10.0M$11.0M$12.0M$13.0MFREE AGENT
Scott Rolen3614.060$8.2M$6.5MFREE AGENT
Bronson Arroyo348.150$7.7M$12.0M$16.4MFREE AGENT$535k
Ramon Hernandez3511.099$2.9MFREE AGENT
Edgar Renteria3414.143$2.1MFREE AGENT
Miguel Cairo3713.110$1.0M$1.0MFREE AGENT
Dontrelle Willis296.167$414kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Joey Votto273.027$7.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Johnny Cueto253.000$3.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Masset293.146$1.7MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edinson Volquez273.120$1.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonny Gomes305.097$1.1MFREE AGENT
Fred Lewis303.129$900kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jared Burton303.014$750kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bill Bray285.018$645kFREE AGENT
Jeremy Hermida275.016$103kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (25)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Aroldis Chapman230.034$3.8MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jay Bruce242.125$2.8MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yonder Alonso240.051$600kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Hanigan302.077$550kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Arredondo271.168$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Stubbs261.047$450kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Homer Bailey252.017$441kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Janish282.064$438kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Leake231.000$425kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Wood240.086$422kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Heisey260.157$419kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Logan Ondrusek260.144$418kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Smith251.146$416kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Maloney271.055$415kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Valaika250.089$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Francisco240.080$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Todd Frazier250.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zack Cozart250.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Fisher281.138$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Devin Mesoraco230.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam LeCure270.072$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dave Sappelt240.086$124kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daryl Thompson25–—
Chad Reineke29–—
Jeremy Horst250.160—Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

How each 2011 acquisition stacked onto Reds's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.

Rosternomics — front-office performance, roster value, and transaction history. Follow @rosternomics on X.
Decision-maker records extend to 1933; resource-controlled WAR and payroll metrics cover 1985–2026. Data sources include FanGraphs, Baseball-Reference, the Chadwick Bureau register, the Lahman Database, prospect rankings from Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs, and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0).
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