RRosternomics

White Sox CHW

GM: Ron Schueler

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.32× league · TAB -9.2
-9.2TAB — talent above budget25th/28
-5.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)18th/28
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars13th/28
-7.6dead WAR — sub-replacement drag25th/28
30%dead money %18th/28
0.497win %13th/28
28.3roster fWAR18th/28
-22surplus $M (value vs cost)28th/28
$52Mpayroll $M4th/28

Roster

CFMike Cameron 102GDave Martinez 45GChad Fonville 2G
LFAlbert Belle 154GLyle Mouton 16GJeff Abbott 5G
RFDave Martinez 75GLyle Mouton 55GMike Cameron 37G
SSOzzie Guillen 139GNorberto Martin 28GChris Snopek 4G
2BRay Durham 153GNorberto Martin 9GChad Fonville 5G
3BChris Snopek 82GRobin Ventura 54GNorberto Martin 17G
1BFrank Thomas 97GDave Martinez 52GMario Valdez 47G
STARTERSJaime Navarro 3.1WARJames Baldwin 2.8WARKeith Foulke 0.3WARJason Bere 0.0WARScott Eyre -0.1WAR
CJorge Fabregas 113GRon Karkovice 51GRobert Machado 10G
DHFrank Thomas 49GAlbert Belle 7GLyle Mouton 6G
BULLPEN Matt Karchner 15svTony Castillo 0hChuck McElroy 0hBill Simas 0hCarlos Castillo 0hAl Levine 0hNelson Cruz 0hJeff Darwin 0h
CJorge Fabregas 113 · Ron Karkovice 51 · Robert Machado 10
1BFrank Thomas 97 · Dave Martinez 52 · Mario Valdez 47
2BRay Durham 153 · Norberto Martin 9 · Chad Fonville 5
3BChris Snopek 82 · Robin Ventura 54 · Norberto Martin 17
SSOzzie Guillen 139 · Norberto Martin 28 · Chris Snopek 4
LFAlbert Belle 154 · Lyle Mouton 16 · Jeff Abbott 5
CFMike Cameron 102 · Dave Martinez 45 · Chad Fonville 2
RFDave Martinez 75 · Lyle Mouton 55 · Mike Cameron 37
DHFrank Thomas 49 · Albert Belle 7 · Lyle Mouton 6
SPJaime Navarro 3.1 · James Baldwin 2.8 · Keith Foulke 0.3 · Jason Bere 0.0 · Scott Eyre -0.1
BP Matt Karchner 15 · Tony Castillo 0 · Chuck McElroy 0 · Bill Simas 0 · Carlos Castillo 0 · Al Levine 0 · Nelson Cruz 0 · Jeff Darwin 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1997 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Frank Thomas 29 FA-elig 1467.2 7.2 +0.2
Mike Cameron 24 pre-arb 1164.3 0.2 +4.3
Wilson Alvarez↔ SFG 27 FA-elig 223.2 3.1 +0.1
Jaime Navarro 30 FA-elig 333.1 5.0 -1.8
James Baldwin 25 pre-arb 322.8 0.2 +2.6
Dave Martinez 32 FA-elig 1452.6 0.9 +1.7
Albert Belle 30 FA-elig 1611.9 10.0 -8.1
Robin Ventura 29 FA-elig 541.8 6.0 -4.2
Harold Baines↔ BAL 38 FA-elig 931.3 1.3 +0.1
Magglio Ordonez 23 pre-arb 211.3 0.1 +1.1
Chuck McElroy↔ ANA 29 FA-elig 491.0 0.6 +0.3
Tony Phillips↔ ANA 38 FA-elig 360.9 0.6 +0.4
Jorge Fabregas↔ ANA 27 arb 1000.8 0.2 +0.6
Darren Lewis↔ LAD 29 FA-elig 810.6 1.0 -0.4
Mike Sirotka 26 pre-arb 70.5 0.2 +0.4
Roberto Hernandez↔ SFG 32 FA-elig 460.4 2.9 -2.4
Tony Castillo 34 FA-elig 640.4 1.2 -0.8
Ray Durham 25 pre-arb 1550.3 0.3 +0.0
Danny Darwin↔ SFG 41 FA-elig 210.3 0.3 +0.0
Chad Kreuter↔ ANA 32 FA-elig 190.3 0.1 +0.2
Keith Foulke↔ SFG 24 pre-arb 160.3 0.1 +0.2
Matt Karchner 30 pre-arb 520.2 0.2 +0.0
Mike Bertotti 27 pre-arb 90.1 0.2 -0.1
Jeff Darwin 27 arb 140.1 0.2 -0.1
Jason Bere 26 arb 60.0 0.4 -0.4
Robert Machado 24 10-0.0
Mario Valdez 22 pre-arb 54-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Scott Eyre 25 pre-arb 11-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Doug Drabek 34 FA-elig 32-0.1 1.3 -1.4
Greg Norton 24 pre-arb 18-0.1 0.2 -0.3
Larry Thomas 27 5-0.1
Tom Fordham 23 7-0.1
Carlos Castillo 22 pre-arb 37-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Bill Simas 25 pre-arb 40-0.2 0.2 -0.4
Chad Fonville↔ LAD 26 pre-arb 9-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Ron Karkovice 33 FA-elig 51-0.2 1.5 -1.7
Nelson Cruz 24 19-0.2
Al Levine 29 pre-arb 25-0.2 0.2 -0.4
Jeff Abbott 24 19-0.2
Chris Clemons 24 5-0.3
Norberto Martin 30 arb 71-0.4 0.3 -0.7
Lyle Mouton 28 pre-arb 88-0.5 0.2 -0.7
Tony Peña Sr.↔ HOU 40 FA-elig 31-1.0 0.3 -1.3
Chris Snopek 26 pre-arb 86-1.5 0.2 -1.8
Ozzie Guillen 33 FA-elig 142-2.0 4.5 -6.5

Key additions (new vs 1996)

PlayerfWAR
Jaime Navarro3.1
Albert Belle1.9
Magglio Ordonez1.3
Chuck McElroy1.0
Jorge Fabregas0.8
Danny Darwin0.3

Key subtractions (gone from 1996)

Player1996 fWAR
Alex Fernandez4.7
Kevin Tapani2.7
Brian Keyser0.2
Pat Borders0.1
Danny Tartabull0.1
Marvin Freeman0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

1997 payroll
$52.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 1997, 1997–2003. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (18)

PlayerAgeSvc1997199819992000200120022003
Albert Belle308.000$10.0M$10.0MFREE AGENT
Frank Thomas297.000$7.2M$7.0M$7.0M$7.1M$9.9M$9.9M$5.0M
Robin Ventura298.000$6.0M$6.1MFREE AGENT
Jaime Navarro308.000$5.0M$5.0M$5.0MFREE AGENT
Ozzie Guillen3312.000$4.5MFREE AGENT
Wilson Alvarez278.000$3.1MFREE AGENT
Roberto Hernandez326.000$2.9MFREE AGENT
Ron Karkovice3311.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Harold Baines3817.000$1.3MFREE AGENT$1.5M$1.0M
Doug Drabek3411.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Tony Castillo349.000$1.2M$1.2MFREE AGENT
Darren Lewis297.000$1.0MFREE AGENT
Dave Martinez3211.000$950kFREE AGENT
Chuck McElroy298.000$646kFREE AGENT
Tony Phillips3815.000$562kFREE AGENT
Tony Peña Sr.4017.000$329kFREE AGENT
Danny Darwin4119.000$322kFREE AGENT
Chad Kreuter329.000$138k$688kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (4)

PlayerAgeSvc1997199819992000200120022003
Jason Bere264.000$420kARB 3FREE AGENT
Norberto Martin304.000$350kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jorge Fabregas273.000$227kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Darwin273.000$172kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (23)

PlayerAgeSvc1997199819992000200120022003
Ray Durham252.000$310kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Baldwin252.000$250kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lyle Mouton282.000$225kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bill Simas252.000$200kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Karchner302.000$200kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Snopek262.000$185kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Sirotka262.000$165kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Bertotti272.000$160kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Cameron242.000$160kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Al Levine291.000$158kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Norton241.000$155kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Castillo220.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Magglio Ordonez230.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Eyre250.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mario Valdez220.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Fonville262.000$120kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keith Foulke240.000$89kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Abbott240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Clemons24
Nelson Cruz240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tom Fordham230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Machado241.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Larry Thomas272.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = White Sox 1997; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3