RRosternomics

White Sox CHW

GM: Ron Schueler

Overview

CONTEND ↘ cooling
expensive & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.39× league · TAB +4.0
+4.0TAB — talent above budget10th/28
-1.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)19th/28
11.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars1st/28
-4.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag9th/28
30%dead money %22nd/28
0.525win %11th/28
42.4roster fWAR5th/28
-10surplus $M (value vs cost)20th/28
$46Mpayroll $M5th/28

Roster

CFDarren Lewis 137GDave Martinez 73GMike Cameron 4G
LFTony Phillips 150GLyle Mouton 21GDave Martinez 3G
RFDanny Tartabull 122GDave Martinez 73GLyle Mouton 29G
SSOzzie Guillen 146GNorberto Martin 24GChris Snopek 12G
2BRay Durham 150GDomingo Cedeño 64GNorberto Martin 10G
3BRobin Ventura 150GChris Snopek 27GNorberto Martin 3G
1BFrank Thomas 139GDave Martinez 23GRobin Ventura 13G
STARTERSAlex Fernandez 4.7WARWilson Alvarez 4.2WARKevin Tapani 2.7WARJames Baldwin 2.5WARMarvin Freeman 0.0WAR
CRon Karkovice 111GDon Slaught 71GPat Borders 66G
DHHarold Baines 128GLyle Mouton 22GDanny Tartabull 7G
BULLPEN Roberto Hernandez 38svBill Simas 0hLarry Thomas 0hTony Castillo 0hMatt Karchner 0hKirk McCaskill 0hBrian Keyser 0hJeff Darwin 0h
CRon Karkovice 111 · Don Slaught 71 · Pat Borders 66
1BFrank Thomas 139 · Dave Martinez 23 · Robin Ventura 13
2BRay Durham 150 · Domingo Cedeño 64 · Norberto Martin 10
3BRobin Ventura 150 · Chris Snopek 27 · Norberto Martin 3
SSOzzie Guillen 146 · Norberto Martin 24 · Chris Snopek 12
LFTony Phillips 150 · Lyle Mouton 21 · Dave Martinez 3
CFDarren Lewis 137 · Dave Martinez 73 · Mike Cameron 4
RFDanny Tartabull 122 · Dave Martinez 73 · Lyle Mouton 29
DHHarold Baines 128 · Lyle Mouton 22 · Danny Tartabull 7
SPAlex Fernandez 4.7 · Wilson Alvarez 4.2 · Kevin Tapani 2.7 · James Baldwin 2.5 · Marvin Freeman 0.0
BP Roberto Hernandez 38 · Bill Simas 0 · Larry Thomas 0 · Tony Castillo 0 · Matt Karchner 0 · Kirk McCaskill 0 · Brian Keyser 0 · Jeff Darwin 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

1996 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Frank Thomas 28 FA-elig 1416.1 7.2 -2.0
Robin Ventura 28 FA-elig 1585.0 6.0 -1.8
Dave Martinez 31 FA-elig 1464.9 0.9 +3.2
Alex Fernandez 26 FA-elig 354.7 4.5 -0.5
Wilson Alvarez 26 FA-elig 354.2 2.8 +0.7
Tony Phillips 37 FA-elig 1533.3 2.1 +0.7
Roberto Hernandez 31 arb 723.2 2.1 +0.5
Harold Baines 37 FA-elig 1432.9 1.9 +0.5
Kevin Tapani 32 FA-elig 342.7 1.5 +0.8
James Baldwin 24 pre-arb 282.5 0.1 +2.0
Ray Durham 24 pre-arb 1562.0 0.1 +1.5
Bill Simas 24 pre-arb 641.0 0.1 +0.7
Lyle Mouton 27 pre-arb 870.9 0.1 +0.6
Ron Karkovice 32 FA-elig 1110.8 2.2 -1.5
Norberto Martin 29 arb 700.5 0.2 +0.2
Tony Castillo↔ TOR 33 FA-elig 150.4 0.2 +0.2
Larry Thomas 26 pre-arb 570.4 0.1 +0.2
Chris Snopek 25 pre-arb 460.3 0.1 +0.1
Chad Kreuter 31 FA-elig 460.3 0.3 -0.1
Brian Keyser 29 pre-arb 280.2 0.1 +0.1
Al Levine 28 160.2
Robert Machado 23 40.2
Pat Borders↔ ANA 33 FA-elig 310.1 0.2 -0.0
Danny Tartabull 33 FA-elig 1320.1 5.3 -5.2
Mike Sirotka 25 150.1
Marvin Freeman↔ COL 33 FA-elig 10.0 0.1 -0.1
Stacy Jones 29 20.0
Scott Ruffcorn 26 3-0.1
Jason Bere 25 arb 5-0.1 0.2 -0.3
Jeff Darwin 26 22-0.1
Mike Robertson 25 6-0.1
Darren Lewis 28 FA-elig 141-0.1 1.6 -1.7
Mike Cameron 23 pre-arb 11-0.1 0.1 -0.2
Kirk McCaskill 35 FA-elig 29-0.1 0.8 -0.9
Greg Norton 23 11-0.1
Luis Andujar↔ TOR 23 5-0.2
Rich Sauveur 32 3-0.2
Joe Magrane 31 FA-elig 19-0.2 0.2 -0.3
Jose Munoz 28 17-0.2
Mike Bertotti 26 pre-arb 15-0.2 0.1 -0.3
Don Slaught↔ ANA 37 FA-elig 14-0.3 0.1 -0.3
Domingo Cedeno↔ TOR 27 arb 12-0.3 0.0 -0.3
Matt Karchner 29 pre-arb 50-0.7 0.1 -0.7
Ozzie Guillen 32 FA-elig 150-1.7 4.0 -5.4

Key additions (new vs 1995)

PlayerfWAR
Tony Phillips3.3
Harold Baines2.9
Kevin Tapani2.7
Tony Castillo0.4
Chad Kreuter0.3
Al Levine0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 1995)

Player1995 fWAR
Lance Johnson3.1
Mike Devereaux1.8
Jim Abbott1.6
Craig Grebeck1.2
Tim Raines Sr.1.1
Michael LaValliere0.6

Current & Historical Payroll

1996 payroll
$45.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 1996, 1996–2002. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (19)

PlayerAgeSvc1996199719981999200020012002
Frank Thomas286.000$7.2M$7.2M$7.0M$7.0M$7.1M$9.9M$9.9M
Robin Ventura287.000$6.0M$6.0M$6.1MFREE AGENT
Danny Tartabull3312.000$5.3MFREE AGENT
Alex Fernandez266.000$4.5MFREE AGENT
Ozzie Guillen3211.000$4.0M$4.5MFREE AGENT
Wilson Alvarez267.000$2.8M$3.1MFREE AGENT
Ron Karkovice3210.000$2.2M$1.5MFREE AGENT
Tony Phillips3714.000$2.1M$1.6MFREE AGENT
Harold Baines3716.000$1.9M$1.3MFREE AGENT$1.5M$1.0M
Darren Lewis286.000$1.6M$1.0MFREE AGENT
Kevin Tapani327.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Dave Martinez3110.000$930k$950kFREE AGENT
Kirk McCaskill3511.000$800kFREE AGENT
Chad Kreuter318.000$350k$509k$688kFREE AGENT
Tony Castillo338.000$180k$1.2M$1.2MFREE AGENT
Joe Magrane319.000$175kFREE AGENT
Pat Borders338.000$153kFREE AGENT
Marvin Freeman3310.000$93kFREE AGENT
Don Slaught3714.000$64kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (5)

PlayerAgeSvc1996199719981999200020012002
Roberto Hernandez315.000$2.1MFREE AGENT
Jason Bere253.000$230kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Norberto Martin293.000$160kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Domingo Cedeno273.000$31kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Ruffcorn263.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (20)

PlayerAgeSvc1996199719981999200020012002
Ray Durham241.000$150kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Keyser291.000$145kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Karchner291.000$135kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lyle Mouton271.000$135kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bill Simas241.000$130kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Larry Thomas261.000$130kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Snopek251.000$125kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Cameron231.000$115kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
James Baldwin241.000$115kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Bertotti261.000$110kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Andujar231.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Darwin262.000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stacy Jones29
Al Levine280.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Machado230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Munoz28
Greg Norton230.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Robertson250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rich Sauveur32
Mike Sirotka251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = White Sox 1996; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3