RRosternomics
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Red Sox BOS

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President of baseball ops: Chaim Bloom · GM: Brian O'Halloran

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.88× league · TAB -13.8
-13.8TAB — talent above budget
-15.4WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)
0.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars20th/30
-6.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag27th/30
48%dead money %12th/30
0.400win %27th/30
7.0roster fWAR24th/30
-52surplus $M (value vs cost)21st/30
$103Mpayroll $M18th/30

Roster

CFJackie Bradley Jr. 55GTzu-Wei Lin 2GAlex Verdugo 1G
LFAlex Verdugo 22GAndrew Benintendi 13GMichael Chavis 12G
RFAlex Verdugo 31GYairo Muñoz 4GJ.D. Martinez 4G
SSXander Bogaerts 53GTzu-Wei Lin 12GJonathan Araúz 4G
2BJosé Peraza 27GJonathan Araúz 16GChristian Arroyo 13G
3BRafael Devers 57GJonathan Araúz 6GBobby Dalbec 2G
1BMichael Chavis 24GBobby Dalbec 21GKevin Plawecki 2G
STARTERSNathan Eovaldi 0.9WARMartín Pérez 0.4WARChris Mazza 0.4WARRyan Weber -0.0WARZack Godley -0.4WAR
CChristian Vázquez 42GKevin Plawecki 20GDeivy Grullón 1G
DHJ.D. Martinez 48GChristian Vázquez 4GKevin Plawecki 2G
BULLPEN★ Matt Barnes 9svRyan Brasier 10hPhillips Valdez 5hAustin Brice 5hMarcus Walden 2hJeffrey Springs 1hColten Brewer 1hRobert Stock 0h
CChristian Vázquez 42 · Kevin Plawecki 20 · Deivy Grullón 1
1BMichael Chavis 24 · Bobby Dalbec 21 · Kevin Plawecki 2
2BJosé Peraza 27 · Jonathan Araúz 16 · Christian Arroyo 13
3BRafael Devers 57 · Jonathan Araúz 6 · Bobby Dalbec 2
SSXander Bogaerts 53 · Tzu-Wei Lin 12 · Jonathan Araúz 4
LFAlex Verdugo 22 · Andrew Benintendi 13 · Michael Chavis 12
CFJackie Bradley Jr. 55 · Tzu-Wei Lin 2 · Alex Verdugo 1
RFAlex Verdugo 31 · Yairo Muñoz 4 · J.D. Martinez 4
DHJ.D. Martinez 48 · Christian Vázquez 4 · Kevin Plawecki 2
SPNathan Eovaldi 0.9 · Martín Pérez 0.4 · Chris Mazza 0.4 · Ryan Weber -0.0 · Zack Godley -0.4
BP★ Matt Barnes 9 · Ryan Brasier 10 · Phillips Valdez 5 · Austin Brice 5 · Marcus Walden 2 · Jeffrey Springs 1 · Colten Brewer 1 · Robert Stock 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2020 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Xander Bogaerts 27 FA-elig 561.6 20.0 -8.3
Jackie Bradley Jr. 30 FA-elig 551.6 11.0 +0.5
Alex Verdugo 24 pre-arb 531.6 0.2 +11.2
Christian Vázquez 29 FA-elig 471.3 4.2 +5.1
Mitch Moreland↔ SDP 34 FA-elig 221.1 1.3 +7.0
Nathan Eovaldi 30 FA-elig 90.9 17.0 -10.5
Rafael Devers 23 pre-arb 570.8 0.3 +5.4
Bobby Dalbec 25 – 230.7 0.1 +5.2
Ryan Brasier 32 pre-arb 250.5 0.2 +3.6
Martín Pérez 29 FA-elig 120.4 6.0 -2.7
Tanner Houck 24 – 30.4 0.0 +3.2
Kevin Pillar↔ COL 31 FA-elig 300.4 2.4 +0.7
Chris Mazza 30 pre-arb 90.4 0.1 +2.4
Kevin Plawecki 29 arb 240.3 0.9 +1.0
Yairo Muñoz 25 pre-arb 120.2 0.1 +1.7
Nick Pivetta↔ PHI 27 pre-arb 20.2 0.0 +1.6
Robert Stock 30 pre-arb 100.2 0.1 +1.2
Brandon Workman↔ PHI 31 FA-elig 70.1 1.2 -0.3
Darwinzon Hernández 23 pre-arb 70.1 0.2 +0.6
Dylan Covey 28 pre-arb 80.1 0.1 +0.6
Phillips Valdez 28 pre-arb 240.1 0.2 +0.4
César Puello 29 pre-arb 50.0 0.0 +0.3
Heath Hembree↔ PHI 31 FA-elig 110.0 0.8 -0.6
Christian Arroyo↔ CLE 25 pre-arb 140.0 0.1 -0.1
Deivy Grullón 24 pre-arb 10.0 0.0 +0.0
Jonathan Lucroy 34 FA-elig 10.0 0.1 -0.1
Domingo Tapia 28 – 5-0.0 0.0 -0.3
Ryan Weber 29 pre-arb 17-0.0 0.2 -0.5
Austin Brice 28 pre-arb 21-0.0 0.2 -0.6
Jeffrey Springs 27 pre-arb 16-0.1 0.2 -0.6
Matt Barnes 30 FA-elig 24-0.1 3.1 -3.7
José Peraza 26 arb 34-0.1 3.0 -3.7
Andrew Triggs↔ SFG 31 pre-arb 4-0.2 0.1 -1.2
Josh Taylor 27 pre-arb 8-0.2 0.2 -1.6
Colten Brewer 27 pre-arb 11-0.2 0.2 -2.0
Kyle Hart 27 – 4-0.2 0.1 -1.9
Matt Hall 26 pre-arb 4-0.2 0.1 -1.9
Jonathan Araúz 21 – 25-0.2 0.2 -2.0
Josh Osich↔ CHC 31 arb 13-0.3 0.6 -2.9
Andrew Benintendi 25 arb 14-0.3 3.4 -5.8
Mike Kickham 31 pre-arb 6-0.3 0.1 -2.6
Robinson Leyer 27 – 6-0.4 0.1 -2.7
Zack Godley 30 arb 8-0.4 0.5 -3.7
Marcus Walden 31 pre-arb 15-0.6 0.2 -4.3
J.D. Martinez 32 FA-elig 54-0.7 23.8 -28.6
Tzu-Wei Lin 26 pre-arb 26-0.7 0.2 -5.2
Michael Chavis 24 pre-arb 42-0.8 0.2 -6.1

Key additions (new vs 2019)

PlayerfWAR
Alex Verdugo1.6
Bobby Dalbec0.7
Martín Pérez0.4
Tanner Houck0.4
Kevin Pillar0.4
Chris Mazza0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2019)

Player2019 fWAR
Mookie Betts5.8
Rick Porcello1.7
Brock Holt1.2
Travis Lakins0.3
Hector Velázquez0.2
Bobby Poyner-0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2020 payroll
$103.4M
2021 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2020, 2020–2026. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2020; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
J.D. Martinez328.036$23.8MFREE AGENT
Xander Bogaerts276.041$20.0MFREE AGENT
Nathan Eovaldi308.013$17.0MFREE AGENT
Jackie Bradley Jr.307.000$11.0MFREE AGENT
Martín Pérez297.038$6.0MFREE AGENT
Mitch Moreland3410.000$1.3MFREE AGENT
Jonathan Lucroy3410.000$100kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
Christian Vázquez295.031$4.2MFREE AGENT
Andrew Benintendi253.062$3.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Barnes304.110$3.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
José Peraza263.141$3.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Pillar315.113$2.4MFREE AGENT
Brandon Workman315.051$1.2MFREE AGENT
Kevin Plawecki293.167$900kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Heath Hembree314.106$806kARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Osich313.119$650kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zack Godley303.103$531kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (30)

PlayerAgeSvc2020202120222023202420252026
Rafael Devers232.069$256kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Verdugo241.078$223kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Brasier322.109$216kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Taylor270.121$214kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Brice282.100$212kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Chavis240.164$211kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tzu-Wei Lin261.041$211kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Colten Brewer271.044$211kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darwinzon Hernández230.080$210kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Weber291.138$209kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Araúz210.000$209kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phillips Valdez280.040$209kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeffrey Springs271.058$171kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marcus Walden311.025$167kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Hart270.000$143kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Christian Arroyo251.064$137kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Mazza300.054$122kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robert Stock301.040$103kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Covey282.093$92kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Dalbec250.000$90kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Yairo Muñoz251.154$89kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Kickham310.087$87kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Triggs312.123$65kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robinson Leyer27–$59k
Matt Hall260.075$56kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Domingo Tapia280.000$50kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tanner Houck240.000$40kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
César Puello291.144$28kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Pivetta272.093$23kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Deivy Grullón240.029$3kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Red Sox 2020; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.