RRosternomics
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Red Sox BOS

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President of baseball ops: Dave Dombrowski

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 4 in this regime · payroll 1.69× league · TAB +3.6
+3.6TAB — talent above budget10th/30
-4.7WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)18th/30
9.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars7th/30
-6.1dead WAR — sub-replacement drag18th/30
29%dead money %13th/30
0.519win %14th/30
44.3roster fWAR8th/30
-72surplus $M (value vs cost)25th/30
$218Mpayroll $M2nd/30

Roster

CFJackie Bradley Jr. 144GMookie Betts 17GAndrew Benintendi 12G
LFAndrew Benintendi 131GSam Travis 18GJ.D. Martinez 15G
RFMookie Betts 132GJ.D. Martinez 24GGorkys Hernández 7G
SSXander Bogaerts 153GChris Owings 10GBrock Holt 6G
2BBrock Holt 60GMarco Hernández 48GMichael Chavis 45G
3BRafael Devers 152GChris Owings 13GEduardo Núñez 8G
1BMitch Moreland 85GMichael Chavis 49GSam Travis 29G
STARTERSEduardo Rodriguez 3.6WARChris Sale 3.6WARDavid Price 2.4WARRick Porcello 1.7WARHector Velázquez 0.2WAR
CChristian Vázquez 119GSandy León 65GBlake Swihart 8G
DHJ.D. Martinez 107GEduardo Núñez 12GChristian Vázquez 11G
BULLPEN★ Brandon Workman 16svMatt Barnes 26hRyan Brasier 10hMarcus Walden 8hColten Brewer 6hJosh Taylor 6hHeath Hembree 4hDarwinzon Hernández 4h
CChristian Vázquez 119 · Sandy León 65 · Blake Swihart 8
1BMitch Moreland 85 · Michael Chavis 49 · Sam Travis 29
2BBrock Holt 60 · Marco Hernández 48 · Michael Chavis 45
3BRafael Devers 152 · Chris Owings 13 · Eduardo Núñez 8
SSXander Bogaerts 153 · Chris Owings 10 · Brock Holt 6
LFAndrew Benintendi 131 · Sam Travis 18 · J.D. Martinez 15
CFJackie Bradley Jr. 144 · Mookie Betts 17 · Andrew Benintendi 12
RFMookie Betts 132 · J.D. Martinez 24 · Gorkys Hernández 7
DHJ.D. Martinez 107 · Eduardo Núñez 12 · Christian Vázquez 11
SPEduardo Rodriguez 3.6 · Chris Sale 3.6 · David Price 2.4 · Rick Porcello 1.7 · Hector Velázquez 0.2
BP★ Brandon Workman 16 · Matt Barnes 26 · Ryan Brasier 10 · Marcus Walden 8 · Colten Brewer 6 · Josh Taylor 6 · Heath Hembree 4 · Darwinzon Hernández 4

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2019 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Rafael Devers 22 pre-arb 1566.5 0.6 +20.6
Xander Bogaerts 26 FA-elig 1556.0 12.0 +7.6
Mookie Betts 26 arb 1505.8 20.0 -1.0
J.D. Martinez 31 FA-elig 1464.0 23.8 -10.8
Chris Sale 30 FA-elig 253.6 15.0 -3.2
Eduardo Rodriguez 26 arb 343.6 4.3 +7.5
Christian Vázquez 28 arb 1383.5 2.9 +8.5
David Price 33 FA-elig 222.4 31.0 -23.2
Brandon Workman 30 FA-elig 732.1 1.1 +5.8
Jackie Bradley Jr. 29 FA-elig 1472.0 8.6 -2.0
Rick Porcello 30 FA-elig 321.7 21.1 -15.5
Andrew Benintendi 24 arb 1381.4 0.7 +3.7
Matt Barnes 29 arb 701.3 1.6 +2.6
Brock Holt 31 FA-elig 871.2 3.6 +0.5
Marcus Walden 30 pre-arb 701.0 0.5 +2.6
Michael Chavis 23 – 950.9 0.5 +2.5
Mitch Moreland 33 FA-elig 910.9 6.5 -3.6
Josh Taylor 26 – 520.9 0.5 +2.4
Darwinzon Hernández 22 – 290.6 0.3 +1.6
Ryan Weber 28 pre-arb 180.3 0.3 +0.7
Ryan Brasier 31 FA-elig 620.3 0.6 +0.4
Travis Lakins 25 – 160.3 0.2 +0.8
Hector Velázquez 30 pre-arb 340.2 0.6 +0.2
Heath Hembree 30 FA-elig 450.1 1.3 -1.1
Bobby Poyner 26 pre-arb 13-0.0 0.2 -0.2
Blake Swihart↔ ARI 27 arb 12-0.0 0.3 -0.3
Colten Brewer 26 pre-arb 58-0.0 0.6 -0.7
Brian Johnson 28 arb 22-0.0 0.6 -0.7
Andrew Cashner↔ BAL 32 FA-elig 25-0.1 5.7 -5.8
Tyler Thornburg 30 FA-elig 16-0.1 1.8 -1.9
Tzu-Wei Lin 25 pre-arb 13-0.1 0.3 -0.5
Erasmo Ramírez 29 arb 1-0.1 0.0 -0.5
Jhoulys Chacín↔ MIL 31 FA-elig 6-0.2 1.6 -2.2
Juan Centeno 29 pre-arb 7-0.2 0.1 -0.7
Chris Owings↔ KCR 27 FA-elig 26-0.2 1.2 -1.8
Trevor Kelley 26 – 10-0.2 0.1 -0.8
Sandy León 30 FA-elig 65-0.2 2.5 -3.2
Mike Shawaryn 24 – 14-0.2 – –
Steven Wright 34 FA-elig 6-0.3 1.4 -2.2
Nathan Eovaldi 29 FA-elig 23-0.3 17.0 -17.9
Dustin Pedroia 35 FA-elig 6-0.4 15.0 -16.2
Gorkys Hernández 31 arb 20-0.4 0.2 -1.4
Josh A. Smith 31 – 18-0.4 0.1 -1.5
Sam Travis 25 pre-arb 59-0.4 0.6 -2.0
Marco Hernández 26 arb 61-0.6 0.6 -2.4
Eduardo Núñez 32 FA-elig 60-0.8 5.0 -7.7
Steve Pearce 36 FA-elig 29-0.9 6.2 -9.1

Key additions (new vs 2018)

PlayerfWAR
Michael Chavis0.9
Josh Taylor0.9
Darwinzon Hernández0.6
Ryan Weber0.3
Travis Lakins0.3
Colten Brewer-0.0

Key subtractions (gone from 2018)

Player2018 fWAR
Craig Kimbrel1.3
Joe Kelly0.6
Ian Kinsler0.1
Carson Smith0.1
Hanley Ramirez0.0
Tony Renda0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2019 payroll
$218.2M
2020 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2019, 2019–2025. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2019; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2019202020212022202320242025
David Price339.164$31.0MFREE AGENT
J.D. Martinez317.036$23.8MFREE AGENT
Rick Porcello309.170$21.1MFREE AGENT
Nathan Eovaldi297.013$17.0MFREE AGENT
Dustin Pedroia3514.041$15.0MFREE AGENT
Chris Sale308.061$15.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Jackie Bradley Jr.296.000$8.6MFREE AGENT
Mitch Moreland338.067$6.5MFREE AGENT
Steve Pearce3612.000$6.2MFREE AGENT
Andrew Cashner328.126$5.7MFREE AGENT
Eduardo Núñez329.000$5.0MFREE AGENT
Tyler Thornburg307.000$1.8MFREE AGENT
Jhoulys Chacín318.054$1.6MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2019202020212022202320242025
Mookie Betts264.070$20.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Xander Bogaerts265.041$12.0MFREE AGENT
Eduardo Rodriguez263.130$4.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brock Holt315.052$3.6MFREE AGENT
Christian Vázquez284.031$2.9MARB 3FREE AGENT
Sandy León304.149$2.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Barnes293.110$1.6MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Steven Wright344.088$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Heath Hembree303.106$1.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Owings275.012$1.2MFREE AGENT
Brandon Workman304.051$1.1MARB 3FREE AGENT
Gorkys Hernández313.013$156kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erasmo Ramírez295.157$32kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (21)

PlayerAgeSvc2019202020212022202320242025
Andrew Benintendi242.062$718kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rafael Devers221.070$614kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Brasier311.126$578kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brian Johnson281.043$575kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hector Velázquez301.048$568kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marco Hernández262.105$564kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sam Travis250.119$558kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Colten Brewer260.064$557kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marcus Walden300.025$529kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Chavis230.000$492kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Taylor260.000$459kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Weber281.063$317kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tzu-Wei Lin250.135$307kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darwinzon Hernández220.000$262kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Blake Swihart272.164$254kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Travis Lakins250.000$182kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bobby Poyner260.109$170kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Kelley260.000$99kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh A. Smith31–$90k
Juan Centeno292.008$88kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Shawaryn24–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Red Sox 2019; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.