Orioles BAL
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Orioles BALGM: Mike Elias · partial season
Ranks vs the 30 teams in 2026, or a custom range (defaults to every team-season since 1985, when our data starts).
Each position shows its top 3 by games (top = starter) — click "+more" for the rest. The letter is bats/throws; ⇄ marks a player traded mid-season. Starters are ranked by WAR, bullpen by holds; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.
| Player | fWAR |
|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | 3.9 |
| Shane Baz | 3.4 |
| Taylor Ward | 1.8 |
| Blaze Alexander | 1.4 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | 1.0 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.6 |
| Player | 2025 fWAR |
|---|---|
| Ryan O'Hearn | 2.5 |
| Ramón Laureano | 2.3 |
| Cedric Mullins | 1.1 |
| Alex Jackson | 1.1 |
| Ramón Urías | 0.9 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 0.6 |
WAR translated into tier-adjusted market value, then compared with what the player was paid by Orioles. Guaranteed contracts from the 2015-present contract-data period use the known contract period through 2026; everyone else is shown as a 2026 season snapshot.
| Player | Period | fWAR | Tier Market $M | Paid $M | Surplus $M | $ / WAR | Tier | Contract |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Baz | 2026 | +4.0 | +69.5 | 1.8 | +67.7 | $0.5M | 2.19× | Arb extension · 2026–2030 · $13.6M AAV |
| Trevor Rogers | 2026 | +3.2 | +49.7 | 6.2 | +43.5 | $2.0M | 1.96× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $6.2M AAV |
| Gunnar Henderson | 2026 | +3.5 | +37.0 | 8.5 | +28.5 | $2.4M | 1.32× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $8.5M AAV |
| Pete Alonso | 2026 | +4.6 | +43.8 | 21.0 | +22.8 | $4.6M | 1.20× | Free Agent · 2026–2030 · $31.0M AAV |
| Kyle Bradish | 2026 | +2.1 | +25.5 | 3.5 | +21.9 | $1.7M | 1.49× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.5M AAV |
| Brandon Young | 2026 | +1.8 | +21.1 | 0.7 | +20.5 | $0.4M | 1.49× | – |
| Adley Rutschman↔ | 2026 | +2.7 | +21.9 | 5.9 | +16.0 | $2.2M | 1.00× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $7.2M AAV |
| Colton Cowser | 2026 | +1.7 | +16.3 | 0.8 | +15.5 | $0.5M | 1.22× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Yennier Cano | 2026 | +1.2 | +12.6 | 1.6 | +11.0 | $1.4M | 1.34× | – |
| Blaze Alexander | 2026 | +1.7 | +11.3 | 0.8 | +10.5 | $0.5M | 0.85× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Taylor Ward↔ | 2026 | +2.1 | +20.4 | 10.3 | +10.1 | $4.9M | 1.22× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $12.2M AAV |
| Coby Mayo | 2026 | +1.5 | +6.8 | 0.8 | +6.0 | $0.5M | 0.58× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | 2026 | +1.1 | +5.2 | 0.8 | +4.4 | $0.7M | 0.58× | – |
| Rico Garcia | 2026 | +0.5 | +5.3 | 0.9 | +4.4 | $1.8M | 1.34× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.9M AAV |
| Grant Wolfram | 2026 | +0.8 | +4.4 | 0.8 | +3.6 | $1.0M | 0.67× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Tyler Wells↔ | 2026 | +1.0 | +5.4 | 2.0 | +3.4 | $2.0M | 0.67× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $2.5M AAV |
| Samuel Basallo | 2026 | +1.2 | +5.0 | 1.6 | +3.3 | $1.4M | 0.52× | Pre-arb extension · 2026–2034 · $8.4M AAV |
| Anthony Nunez | 2026 | +0.4 | +4.0 | 0.8 | +3.2 | $2.1M | 1.34× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Jackson Holliday | 2026 | +0.8 | +3.7 | 0.8 | +2.9 | $1.0M | 0.56× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Leody Taveras | 2026 | +0.6 | +4.2 | 2.0 | +2.2 | $3.1M | 0.83× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $2.0M AAV |
| Cam Sanders↔ | 2026 | +0.4 | +2.1 | 0.0 | +2.0 | $0.1M | 0.67× | – |
| Cade Povich | 2026 | +0.2 | +2.0 | 0.7 | +1.3 | $2.8M | 1.02× | – |
| Josh Walker | 2026 | +0.3 | +1.3 | 0.0 | +1.3 | $0.1M | 0.67× | – |
| Alex Hoppe↔ | 2026 | +0.3 | +1.4 | 0.2 | +1.2 | $0.8M | 0.67× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Dylan Beavers | 2026 | +0.2 | +1.4 | 0.8 | +0.6 | $3.8M | 0.83× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Albert Suárez | 2026 | +0.1 | +0.5 | 0.1 | +0.4 | $1.5M | 0.67× | – |
| Yohel Pozo↔ | 2026 | +0.1 | +0.5 | 0.3 | +0.2 | $2.8M | 0.52× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Cameron Foster | 2026 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 0.1 | -0.3 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Jake Rogers↔ | 2026 | -0.0 | -0.2 | 0.2 | -0.3 | – | 0.52× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.0M AAV |
| Luis Vázquez | 2026 | +0.0 | +0.0 | 0.9 | -0.9 | $4456.4M | 0.58× | – |
| Maverick Handley | 2026 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 0.8 | -0.9 | – | 0.52× | – |
| Johnathan Rodríguez | 2026 | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0.1 | -1.0 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Heston Kjerstad | 2026 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.8 | -1.1 | – | 0.83× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Nick Raquet | 2026 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 0.6 | -1.3 | – | 0.67× | – |
| Sam Huff | 2026 | -0.2 | -0.9 | 0.5 | -1.3 | – | 0.52× | – |
| Luis Robert Jr.↔ | 2026 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 0.3 | -1.4 | – | 0.83× | – |
| Jeremiah Jackson | 2026 | -0.2 | -0.7 | 0.8 | -1.5 | – | 0.56× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Weston Wilson↔ | 2026 | -0.3 | -1.2 | 0.3 | -1.5 | – | 0.58× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Carlos Narváez↔ | 2026 | -0.3 | -1.4 | 0.2 | -1.6 | – | 0.52× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Dietrich Enns | 2026 | +0.2 | +0.9 | 2.5 | -1.6 | $15.0M | 0.67× | – |
| Yaramil Hiraldo | 2026 | -0.1 | -0.8 | 0.8 | -1.6 | – | 0.67× | Pre-arbitration · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Chadwick Tromp↔ | 2026 | -0.4 | -1.8 | 0.3 | -2.0 | – | 0.52× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $0.8M AAV |
| Keegan Akin | 2026 | +0.2 | +0.8 | 3.0 | -2.1 | $18.8M | 0.67× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $3.0M AAV |
| Andrew Kittredge | 2025–2026 | +0.8 | +6.9 | 12.5 | -5.6 | $16.2M | 1.00× | Free Agent · 2025–2026 · $10.0M AAV |
| Dean Kremer↔ | 2026 | -0.4 | -3.1 | 3.1 | -6.2 | – | 1.02× | Arbitration · 2026–2026 · $5.8M AAV |
| Ryan Mountcastle | 2026 | +0.0 | +0.1 | 6.8 | -6.6 | $208.0M | 0.56× | Arbitration · 2026–2027 · $6.8M AAV |
| Zach Eflin | 2026 | +0.0 | +0.2 | 8.0 | -7.8 | $324.4M | 1.02× | Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $10.0M AAV |
| Chris Bassitt | 2026 | +0.6 | +4.9 | 18.5 | -13.6 | $30.6M | 1.02× | Free Agent · 2026–2026 · $18.5M AAV |
| Ryan Helsley | 2026 | -0.1 | -1.1 | 14.0 | -15.1 | – | 1.34× | Free Agent · 2026–2027 · $14.0M AAV |
| Tyler O'Neill | 2025–2026 | +0.2 | +1.2 | 33.0 | -31.8 | $180.7M | 0.83× | Free Agent · 2025–2027 · $16.5M AAV |
| Jose Espada | 2026 | +0.0 | +0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 | $3.2M | 0.67× | – |
| Lou Trivino III↔ | 2026 | +0.0 | +0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 | $164.3M | 0.67× | – |
| Michael Siani | 2026 | -0.0 | -0.2 | – | – | – | 0.83× | – |
| Total | — | +37.6 | +382.6 | 181.8 | +201.3 | — | ||
Every graded 2026 deal involving the Orioles — best expected value first. Surplus is realized value in $M; 24 total.
BOS · Craig Breslow
+$0.8M
BAL · Mike Elias
−$0.8M
TBR · Erik Neander
+$0.8M
BAL · Mike Elias
−$0.8M
BAL · Mike Elias
+$6.4M
ARI · Mike Hazen
−$6.4M
BAL · Mike Elias
+$4.0M
CIN · Nick Krall
−$4.0M
BAL · Mike Elias
+$6.4M
SEA · Jerry Dipoto
−$6.4M
BAL · Mike Elias
+$0.0M
BOS · Craig Breslow
+$0.0M
BAL · Mike Elias
+$0.0M
PHI · Dave Dombrowski
+$0.0M
BAL · Mike Elias
+$1.6M
PIT · Ben Cherington
−$1.6M
BAL · Mike Elias
+$0.0M
CIN · Nick Krall
+$0.0M
BAL · Mike Elias
+$0.0M
LAD · Andrew Friedman
+$0.0M
BAL · Mike Elias
+$0.0M
ANA · Perry Minasian
+$0.0M
BAL · Mike Elias
+$0.0M
MIL · Matt Arnold
+$0.0M
BAL · Mike Elias
+$0.0M
PIT · Ben Cherington
+$0.0M
BAL · Mike Elias
+$0.0M
WSN · Paul Toboni
+$0.0M
BAL · Mike Elias
+$0.0M
WSN · Paul Toboni
+$0.0M
BAL · Mike Elias
+$0.0M
MIN · Derek Falvey
+$0.0M
CLE · Chris Antonetti
+$0.8M
BAL · Mike Elias
−$0.8M
DET · Scott Harris
+$0.8M
BAL · Mike Elias
−$0.8M
STL · Chaim Bloom
+$0.8M
BAL · Mike Elias
−$0.8M
BAL · Mike Elias
+$0.0M
KCR · J.J. Picollo
+$0.0M
BAL · Mike Elias
+$0.0M
CHW · Chris Getz
+$0.0M
BAL · Mike Elias
+$0.0M
OAK · David Forst
+$0.0M
BAL · Mike Elias
+$0.0M
MIA · Peter Bendix
+$0.0M
MIN · Derek Falvey
+$1.6M
BAL · Mike Elias
−$1.6M
What the front office was committed to as of 2026, 2026–2032. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2026; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.
| 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tax threshold | $244M | $247M | $250M | $253M | $256M | $259M | $262M |
| Guaranteed contracts | $122M | $93M | $53M | $53M | $53M | $8M | |
| Proj. arbitration | $56M | ||||||
| Proj. pre-arbitration | $14M | $9M | |||||
| Player benefits | $18M | $18M | $18M | $18M | $18M | $18M | |
| Total CBT payroll | $211M | $121M | $71M | $71M | $71M | $26M | |
| Tax space | +$33M | +$126M | +$179M | +$182M | +$185M | +$233M | |
| Est. tax bill | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Luxury-tax (CBT) basis: contract AAV + ~$18M benefits/bonus-pool — distinct from the base-salary payroll above. Threshold is the CBA line. Tier-1 payor rates on the overage. Forward years show only guaranteed deals (arb/pre-arb not yet set). Figures are estimates.
| Player | Age | Svc | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | 31 | 7.000 | $21.0M | $33.5M | $33.5M | $33.5M | $33.5M | FREE AGENT | |
| Chris Bassitt | 37 | 9.130 | $18.5M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Tyler O'Neill | 31 | 7.059 | $16.5MOPT-OUT | $16.5M | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Ryan Helsley | 31 | 6.105 | $14.0M | $14.0MPLAYER | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Andrew Kittredge | 36 | 7.070 | $9.0MCLUB | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Zach Eflin | 32 | 9.018 | $8.0M | $25.0MMUTUAL | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Ryan Mountcastle | 29 | 5.105 | $6.8M | $7.5MCLUB | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Dietrich Enns | 35 | 0.162 | $2.5M | $3.5MCLUB | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Shane Baz | 27 | 3.158 | $1.8M | $7.8M | $10.8M | $21.8M | $25.8M | FREE AGENT | |
| Samuel Basallo | 21 | 0.043 | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $4.6M | $7.6M | $11.6M | $15.6M |
| Luis Robert Jr. | 28 | 6.000 | $339kCLUB | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Lou Trivino III | 34 | 7.163 | $10k | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Ward | 32 | 5.164 | $10.3M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Gunnar Henderson | 25 | 3.036 | $8.5M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Trevor Rogers | 28 | 5.047 | $6.2M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Adley Rutschman | 28 | 4.000 | $5.9M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Kyle Bradish | 29 | 3.160 | $3.5M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Dean Kremer | 30 | 4.112 | $3.1M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Keegan Akin | 31 | 5.083 | $3.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Leody Taveras | 27 | 4.031 | $2.0M | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Tyler Wells | 31 | 4.132 | $2.0M | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||||
| Yennier Cano | 32 | 3.065 | $1.6M | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Jake Rogers | 31 | 5.040 | $173k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Albert Suárez | 36 | 3.019 | $145k | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |||
| Michael Siani | 26 | 4.000 | — | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Player | Age | Svc | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Vázquez | 26 | 0.149 | $900k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Rico Garcia | 32 | 1.127 | $900k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | 26 | 2.012 | $820k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Jackson Holliday | 22 | 1.078 | $802k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Colton Cowser | 26 | 2.043 | $802k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Grant Wolfram | 29 | 0.084 | $800k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Blaze Alexander | 27 | 1.053 | $793k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Coby Mayo | 24 | 0.170 | $791k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Heston Kjerstad | 27 | 1.041 | $790k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Jeremiah Jackson | 26 | 0.061 | $789k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Dylan Beavers | 24 | 0.044 | $787k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Yaramil Hiraldo | 30 | 0.053 | $786k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Maverick Handley | 28 | 0.108 | $780k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Anthony Nunez | 24 | – | $780k | ||||||
| Brandon Young | 27 | 0.095 | $693k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Cade Povich | 26 | 1.080 | $688k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Nick Raquet | 30 | 0.021 | $556k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Sam Huff | 28 | 2.156 | $471k | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | ||
| Yohel Pozo | 29 | 1.052 | $335k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Weston Wilson | 31 | 1.097 | $257k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Chadwick Tromp | 31 | 2.120 | $255k | FREE AGENT | |||||
| Alex Hoppe | 27 | – | $221k | ||||||
| Carlos Narváez | 27 | 1.038 | $202k | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT | |
| Cameron Foster | 27 | – | $58k | ||||||
| Johnathan Rodríguez | 26 | 0.097 | $50k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Josh Walker | 31 | 0.122 | $25k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Cam Sanders | 29 | 0.037 | $24k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
| Jose Espada | 29 | 0.020 | $21k | Pre-Arb | Pre-Arb | ARB 1 | ARB 2 | ARB 3 | FREE AGENT |
How each 2026 acquisition stacked onto Orioles's playoff-odds curve. The side table is ranked by PPA.