Rosternomics
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Orioles BAL

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GM: Mike Elias (since 2019)

2023 roster — every player, value & surplus

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+26.8
WAB — wins above budget
+16.0
TAB — roster Talent above budget
101–61 (0.623)
record · made playoffs
+86M
surplus $M (value/$)
42.9
roster fWAR
$84.4M
payroll
PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Adley Rutschman 25 pre-arb 154 5.5 0.7 +21.1
Gunnar Henderson 22 pre-arb 150 4.7 0.7 +17.8
Kyle Bradish 26 pre-arb 30 3.9 0.7 +14.6
Félix Bautista 28 pre-arb 56 2.8 0.7 +10.4
Austin Hays 27 FA-elig 144 2.7 3.2 +7.6
Kyle Gibson 35 FA-elig 33 2.7 10.0 +0.5
Anthony Santander 28 FA-elig 153 2.5 7.4 +2.6
Grayson Rodriguez 23 – 23 1.9 0.5 +7.0
Cedric Mullins 28 arb 116 1.9 4.1 +3.4
Yennier Cano 29 pre-arb 72 1.7 0.7 +6.2
Ryan Mountcastle 26 arb 115 1.6 0.7 +5.6
Dean Kremer 27 arb 32 1.6 0.7 +5.6
Ryan O'Hearn 29 arb 112 1.6 1.4 +4.7
Danny Coulombe 33 FA-elig 61 1.4 1.0 +4.6
Aaron Hicks↔ NYY 33 FA-elig 65 1.4 7.5 -2.0
Jordan Westburg 24 – 68 1.0 0.4 +3.7
Tyler Wells 28 pre-arb 25 0.7 0.7 +2.0
Ramón Urías 29 arb 116 0.7 0.7 +1.9
Jorge Mateo 28 arb 116 0.6 2.0 +0.5
Cole Irvin 29 arb 24 0.6 0.7 +1.5
Cionel Pérez 27 arb 65 0.4 0.7 +0.9
Keegan Akin 28 arb 24 0.4 0.7 +0.9
Bryan Baker 28 pre-arb 46 0.4 0.7 +0.9
DL Hall 24 pre-arb 18 0.4 0.1 +1.5
Adam Frazier 31 FA-elig 141 0.4 8.0 -6.4
Jacob Webb↔ ANA 29 pre-arb 25 0.4 0.1 +1.4
Ryan McKenna 26 pre-arb 89 0.3 0.7 +0.5
James McCann 33 FA-elig 70 0.3 12.2 -11.1
John Means 30 arb 4 0.2 3.0 -2.3
Jack Flaherty↔ STL 27 FA-elig 9 0.2 1.7 -1.1
Shintaro Fujinami↔ OAK 29 pre-arb 30 0.1 1.5 -1.1
Heston Kjerstad 24 – 13 0.1 0.1 +0.3
Mike Baumann 27 pre-arb 60 0.1 0.7 -0.5
Eduard Bazardo↔ SEA 27 – 3 0.0 0.0 +0.1
Chris Vallimont 26 – 1 0.0 0.0 +0.1
Nick Vespi 27 pre-arb 9 0.0 0.1 -0.1
Mark Kolozsvary 27 – 1 0.0 0.0 +0.0
Reed Garrett↔ NYM 30 – 2 -0.0 0.0 -0.0
Anthony Bemboom 33 arb 6 -0.0 0.9 -0.9
Bruce Zimmermann 28 pre-arb 7 -0.0 0.1 -0.1
Joey Krehbiel 30 pre-arb 6 -0.0 0.1 -0.2
Joey Ortiz 24 – 15 -0.1 0.1 -0.5
Mychal Givens 33 FA-elig 6 -0.1 3.0 -3.5
Josh Lester 28 pre-arb 11 -0.2 0.1 -0.8
Jorge López↔ MIA 30 FA-elig 12 -0.2 0.7 -1.4
Logan Gillaspie 26 pre-arb 11 -0.2 0.7 -1.6
Austin Voth 31 arb 25 -0.2 1.9 -2.8
Terrin Vavra 26 pre-arb 27 -0.3 0.7 -1.7
Colton Cowser 23 – 26 -0.4 0.2 -1.6
Kyle Stowers 25 pre-arb 14 -0.4 0.7 -2.3

WAR = FanGraphs (fWAR). Green = produced more value than paid (bargain); red = paid more than produced. Service: pre-arb (<3 yr) / arb (3–6) / FA-eligible (6+). Click headers to sort.

History: front-office performance & develop-vs-buy (1985–2024)

Trade ledger (realized WAR, all-time)

Best acquisitions
PlayerYearWAR for BAL
Brady Anderson198833.0
Adam Jones200829.6
Melvin Mora200026.9
Chris Hoiles198824.8
Scott Erickson199516.4
J. J. Hardy201014.3
Randy Milligan198811.9
Mike Devereaux198911.7
Ones that got away
PlayerYear tradedWAR elsewhere
Dennis Martínez198622.5
Jake Arrieta201319.6
Bryn Smith197716.4
Mickey Tettleton199114.4
Eduardo Rodríguez201414.3
Mike Yastrzemski201911.3
Eddie Murray198810.8
José Mesa19929.1
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.