RRosternomics
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Braves ATL

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GM: Alex Anthopoulos

Overview

FORCED-SPEND ↘ cooling
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.23× league · TAB -6.0
-6.0TAB — talent above budget25th/30
-8.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)26th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars17th/30
-6.9dead WAR — sub-replacement drag25th/30
24%dead money %9th/30
0.469win %22nd/30
30.7roster fWAR20th/30
-82surplus $M (value vs cost)24th/30
$189Mpayroll $M8th/30

Roster

CFMichael Harris II 160GEli White 6GStuart Fairchild 1G
LFJurickson Profar 79GAlex Verdugo 54GEli White 36G
RFRonald Acuña Jr. 91GJake Fraley 62GEli White 48G
SSNick Allen 130GHa-Seong Kim 43GLuke Williams 25G
2BOzzie Albies 157GBrett Wisely 20GNick Allen 5G
3BAustin Riley 102GNacho Alvarez Jr. 58GVidal Bruján 17G
1BMatt Olson 162GEli White 4G
STARTERSChris Sale 3.6WARSpencer Schwellenbach 2.4WARJoey Wentz 1.3WARHurston Waldrep 1.2WARGrant Holmes 0.9WAR
CDrake Baldwin 97GSean Murphy 76GSandy León 5G
DHMarcell Ozuna 137GDrake Baldwin 12GSean Murphy 7G
BULLPEN★ Raisel Iglesias 29svDylan Lee 19hPierce Johnson 16hTyler Kinley 14hDaysbel Hernández 10hJoel Payamps 4hAaron Bummer 2hDylan Dodd 2h
CDrake Baldwin 97 · Sean Murphy 76 · Sandy León 5
1BMatt Olson 162 · Eli White 4
2BOzzie Albies 157 · Brett Wisely 20 · Nick Allen 5
3BAustin Riley 102 · Nacho Alvarez Jr. 58 · Vidal Bruján 17
SSNick Allen 130 · Ha-Seong Kim 43 · Luke Williams 25
LFJurickson Profar 79 · Alex Verdugo 54 · Eli White 36
CFMichael Harris II 160 · Eli White 6 · Stuart Fairchild 1
RFRonald Acuña Jr. 91 · Jake Fraley 62 · Eli White 48
DHMarcell Ozuna 137 · Drake Baldwin 12 · Sean Murphy 7
SPChris Sale 3.6 · Spencer Schwellenbach 2.4 · Joey Wentz 1.3 · Hurston Waldrep 1.2 · Grant Holmes 0.9
BP★ Raisel Iglesias 29 · Dylan Lee 19 · Pierce Johnson 16 · Tyler Kinley 14 · Daysbel Hernández 10 · Joel Payamps 4 · Aaron Bummer 2 · Dylan Dodd 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2025 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Matt Olson 31 FA-elig 1624.7 22.0 -3.4
Chris Sale 36 FA-elig 213.6 22.0 -7.7
Ronald Acuña Jr. 27 – 953.5 – –
Drake Baldwin 24 – 1243.1 0.8 +11.7
Spencer Schwellenbach 25 pre-arb 172.4 0.8 +8.7
Sean Murphy 30 arb 942.0 15.0 -7.0
Austin Riley 28 arb 1021.7 22.0 -15.4
Michael Harris II 24 – 1601.4 8.0 -2.6
Ozzie Albies 28 FA-elig 1571.3 7.0 -1.7
Joey Wentz↔ MIN 27 pre-arb 141.3 0.2 +4.8
Jurickson Profar 32 FA-elig 801.3 6.2 -1.2
Marcell Ozuna 34 FA-elig 1451.2 16.0 -11.2
Hurston Waldrep 23 pre-arb 101.2 0.2 +4.5
Raisel Iglesias 35 FA-elig 701.0 16.0 -12.0
Spencer Strider 26 arb 230.9 4.0 -0.3
Bryce Elder 26 pre-arb 280.9 0.7 +2.8
Grant Holmes 29 pre-arb 220.9 0.8 +2.7
Eli White 31 pre-arb 1050.8 0.8 +2.2
Nick Allen 26 pre-arb 1350.7 0.8 +2.1
Tyler Kinley↔ COL 34 FA-elig 240.6 0.9 +1.7
AJ Smith-Shawver 22 pre-arb 90.6 0.7 +1.5
Enyel De Los Santos↔ HOU 29 – 430.5 0.9 +1.1
Aaron Bummer 31 FA-elig 420.4 3.5 -1.8
Dylan Lee 30 pre-arb 740.3 1.0 +0.2
Pierce Johnson 34 arb 650.3 7.0 -5.9
José Suarez 27 arb 70.2 0.2 +0.5
Ha-Seong Kim↔ TBR 29 arb 240.2 5.6 -4.8
Nacho Alvarez Jr. 22 – 580.2 – –
Vidal Bruján↔ BAL 27 pre-arb 240.2 0.2 +0.4
Dylan Dodd 27 pre-arb 280.2 0.4 +0.2
Hunter Stratton↔ PIT 28 pre-arb 120.1 0.2 +0.1
Jonathan Ornelas↔ TEX 25 pre-arb 20.1 0.0 +0.2
Zach Thompson 31 – 20.1 0.1 +0.1
Nathan Wiles 26 – 10.0 0.1 +0.0
Charlie Morton↔ BAL 41 FA-elig 10.0 0.4 -0.3
Davis Daniel 28 pre-arb 30.0 0.2 -0.1
Rafael Montero↔ DET 34 – 360.0 5.2 -5.2
Stuart Fairchild 29 – 280.0 0.5 -0.4
Craig Kimbrel↔ HOU 37 – 1-0.0 0.0 -0.0
José Ruiz↔ PHI 30 – 2-0.0 0.1 -0.1
Michael Petersen↔ MIA 31 – 4-0.0 0.0 -0.1
Hayden Harris 26 – 3-0.0 0.1 -0.2
Kevin Herget↔ NYM 34 – 1-0.0 0.0 -0.1
José Azócar↔ NYM 29 pre-arb 2-0.0 0.0 -0.2
Alexis Díaz↔ CIN 28 arb 3-0.0 0.4 -0.6
Dane Dunning↔ TEX 30 arb 7-0.0 1.0 -1.1
Jake Fraley↔ CIN 30 arb 9-0.0 0.3 -0.5
Eddie Rosario↔ LAD 33 FA-elig 3-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Connor Seabold↔ TBR 29 pre-arb 4-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Joel Payamps↔ MIL 31 arb 2-0.1 0.2 -0.5
Reynaldo López 31 FA-elig 1-0.1 8.0 -8.3
Carlos Carrasco↔ NYY 38 – 3-0.1 0.4 -0.8
Chadwick Tromp↔ BAL 30 – 2-0.1 0.0 -0.4
Erick Fedde↔ MIL 32 – 5-0.1 1.1 -1.5
Sandy León 36 FA-elig 5-0.1 0.3 -0.7
Brett Wisely↔ SFG 26 pre-arb 4-0.1 0.1 -0.5
Héctor Neris↔ ANA 36 – 2-0.1 0.0 -0.5
John Brebbia↔ DET 35 FA-elig 3-0.2 0.4 -1.1
Rolddy Muñoz 25 – 3-0.2 0.1 -0.9
Wander Suero 33 – 5-0.2 0.1 -1.0
Orlando Arcia↔ COL 30 – 14-0.3 0.4 -1.5
Jesse Chavez 41 – 4-0.3 0.1 -1.3
Daysbel Hernández 28 pre-arb 39-0.4 0.6 -2.0
Bryan De La Cruz 28 – 16-0.4 0.1 -1.8
Luke Williams 28 pre-arb 45-0.4 0.6 -2.3
Scott Blewett↔ BAL 29 – 11-0.5 0.2 -2.0
Didier Fuentes 20 – 4-0.5 0.1 -2.0
Cal Quantrill↔ MIA 30 – 2-0.5 0.2 -2.1
Jarred Kelenic 25 pre-arb 24-0.5 2.3 -4.2
Austin Cox 28 pre-arb 13-0.6 0.2 -2.4
Alex Verdugo 29 – 56-0.9 1.5 -5.2

Key additions (new vs 2024)

PlayerfWAR
Drake Baldwin3.1
Joey Wentz1.3
Jurickson Profar1.3
Nick Allen0.7
Tyler Kinley0.6
Enyel De Los Santos0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2024)

Player2024 fWAR
Max Fried3.4
Travis d'Arnaud1.8
Ramón Laureano1.1
Whit Merrifield0.8
Gio Urshela0.8
Jorge Soler0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2025 payroll
$189.3M
2026 guaranteed
$115.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2025, 2025–2031. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2025; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (25)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Chris Sale3614.061$22.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Olson317.103$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M$20.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Austin Riley285.138$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M
Raisel Iglesias359.154$16.0MFREE AGENT
Marcell Ozuna3411.124$16.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Sean Murphy305.029$15.0M$15.0M$15.0M$15.0MFREE AGENT
Reynaldo López317.004$8.0M$14.0M$8.0MFREE AGENT
Ozzie Albies287.062$7.0M$7.0MCLUB$7.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Jurickson Profar3210.165$6.2M$15.0M$15.0MFREE AGENT
Rafael Montero348.095$5.2MFREE AGENT
Spencer Strider263.003$4.0M$20.0M$22.0M$22.0M$22.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Aaron Bummer316.150$3.5MFREE AGENT
Alex Verdugo296.078$1.5MFREE AGENT
Enyel De Los Santos297.000$926kFREE AGENT
Tyler Kinley346.014$891kFREE AGENT
Carlos Carrasco3813.147$409kFREE AGENT
Charlie Morton4116.010$394kFREE AGENT
John Brebbia357.078$368kFREE AGENT
Orlando Arcia307.114$354kFREE AGENT
Sandy León368.108$253kFREE AGENT
Jesse Chavez4114.038$134kFREE AGENT
Eddie Rosario339.080$45kFREE AGENT
Craig Kimbrel3713.161$29kFREE AGENT
Héctor Neris3611.000$26kFREE AGENT
Ronald Acuña Jr.277.000—FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (14)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Michael Harris II243.000$8.0MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Pierce Johnson345.137$7.0MFREE AGENT
Ha-Seong Kim294.000$5.6MARB 3FREE AGENT
Erick Fedde325.099$1.1MFREE AGENT
Dane Dunning304.078$951kARB 3FREE AGENT
Alexis Díaz283.000$448kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Fraley304.097$290kARB 3FREE AGENT
José Suarez274.022$247kARB 3FREE AGENT
Cal Quantrill305.132$243kFREE AGENT
Joel Payamps314.027$193kARB 3FREE AGENT
Wander Suero333.157$131kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryan De La Cruz284.000$111kARB 3FREE AGENT
José Ruiz304.148$83kARB 3FREE AGENT
Zach Thompson313.121$77kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (32)

PlayerAgeSvc2025202620272028202920302031
Jarred Kelenic252.169$2.3MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Lee302.150$1.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eli White312.140$790kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Allen261.164$780kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Grant Holmes290.106$770kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Spencer Schwellenbach250.124$770kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drake Baldwin240.000$760kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryce Elder261.075$714kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
AJ Smith-Shawver220.099$704kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daysbel Hernández280.111$646kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Williams282.101$560kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Stuart Fairchild292.114$474kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Dodd270.039$376kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vidal Bruján272.014$215kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hurston Waldrep230.051$212kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Scott Blewett290.102$203kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Austin Cox280.104$184kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hunter Stratton281.028$181kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Davis Daniel281.029$178kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Joey Wentz271.166$159kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Rolddy Muñoz250.000$114kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hayden Harris260.000$110kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Connor Seabold291.013$79kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Didier Fuentes200.000$78kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nathan Wiles26–$74k
Brett Wisely261.035$55kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chadwick Tromp302.066$42kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Petersen310.053$39kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonathan Ornelas250.092$33kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Herget340.102$27kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
José Azócar292.002$27kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nacho Alvarez Jr.22–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Braves 2025; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.