RRosternomics
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Braves ATL

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GM: Alex Anthopoulos

Overview

CONTEND ↘ cooling
expensive & winning · year 5 in this regime · payroll 1.53× league · TAB +3.0
+3.0TAB — talent above budget14th/30
+1.5WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)15th/30
7.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars13th/30
-4.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag14th/30
17%dead money %2nd/30
0.549win %8th/30
42.4roster fWAR7th/30
-68surplus $M (value vs cost)22nd/30
$246Mpayroll $M6th/30

2024: made playoffs · 89–73. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFMichael Harris II 110GJarred Kelenic 50GRamón Laureano 14G
LFJarred Kelenic 75GAdam Duvall 49GEddie Rosario 48G
RFRamón Laureano 67GRonald Acuña Jr. 48GAdam Duvall 46G
SSOrlando Arcia 157GZack Short 11GLuke Williams 1G
2BOzzie Albies 99GWhit Merrifield 54GCavan Biggio 30G
3BGio Urshela 110GAustin Riley 109GZack Short 21G
1BMatt Olson 162G
STARTERSChris Sale 6.4WARReynaldo López 3.5WARMax Fried 3.4WARSpencer Schwellenbach 2.7WARGrant Holmes 1.2WAR
CTravis d'Arnaud 89GSean Murphy 69GChadwick Tromp 19G
DHMarcell Ozuna 162GAdam Duvall 4GLuke Williams 4G
BULLPEN★ Raisel Iglesias 34svJoe Jiménez 27hJohn Brebbia 14hPierce Johnson 12hDylan Lee 9hLuke Jackson 3hAaron Bummer 2hJesse Chavez 1h
CTravis d'Arnaud 89 · Sean Murphy 69 · Chadwick Tromp 19
1BMatt Olson 162
2BOzzie Albies 99 · Whit Merrifield 54 · Cavan Biggio 30
3BGio Urshela 110 · Austin Riley 109 · Zack Short 21
SSOrlando Arcia 157 · Zack Short 11 · Luke Williams 1
LFJarred Kelenic 75 · Adam Duvall 49 · Eddie Rosario 48
CFMichael Harris II 110 · Jarred Kelenic 50 · Ramón Laureano 14
RFRamón Laureano 67 · Ronald Acuña Jr. 48 · Adam Duvall 46
DHMarcell Ozuna 162 · Adam Duvall 4 · Luke Williams 4
SPChris Sale 6.4 · Reynaldo López 3.5 · Max Fried 3.4 · Spencer Schwellenbach 2.7 · Grant Holmes 1.2
BP★ Raisel Iglesias 34 · Joe Jiménez 27 · John Brebbia 14 · Pierce Johnson 12 · Dylan Lee 9 · Luke Jackson 3 · Aaron Bummer 2 · Jesse Chavez 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2024 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Chris Sale 35 FA-elig 296.4 16.0 +10.8
Marcell Ozuna 33 FA-elig 1624.7 18.0 +1.7
Reynaldo López 30 FA-elig 263.5 4.0 +10.7
Max Fried 30 FA-elig 293.4 15.0 -1.0
Spencer Schwellenbach 24 pre-arb 212.7 0.7 +10.3
Matt Olson 30 FA-elig 1622.6 22.0 -11.0
Austin Riley 27 arb 1102.4 21.0 -10.9
Michael Harris II 23 pre-arb 1102.0 5.0 +3.3
Travis d'Arnaud 35 FA-elig 991.8 8.0 -0.3
Joe Jiménez 29 FA-elig 691.8 8.0 -0.4
Raisel Iglesias 34 FA-elig 661.6 16.0 -9.4
Ozzie Albies 27 FA-elig 991.3 7.0 -1.5
Grant Holmes 28 pre-arb 261.2 0.7 +4.2
Charlie Morton 40 FA-elig 301.1 20.0 -15.3
Aaron Bummer 30 FA-elig 561.1 5.5 -0.9
Ramón Laureano↔ CLE 29 FA-elig 671.1 3.5 +1.0
Ronald Acuña Jr. 26 FA-elig 490.9 17.0 -13.1
Sean Murphy 29 arb 720.8 9.0 -5.5
Orlando Arcia 29 FA-elig 1570.8 2.0 +1.5
Dylan Lee 29 arb 520.8 0.8 +2.5
Whit Merrifield↔ PHI 35 FA-elig 420.8 3.1 +0.1
Gio Urshela↔ DET 32 FA-elig 360.8 0.4 +2.8
Jarred Kelenic 24 arb 1310.5 0.8 +1.4
Daysbel Hernández 27 pre-arb 160.5 0.7 +1.3
Pierce Johnson 33 FA-elig 580.5 7.0 -5.1
Jorge Soler↔ SFG 32 FA-elig 490.4 3.5 -1.7
Chadwick Tromp 29 arb 190.3 0.7 +0.4
Eli White 30 pre-arb 350.3 0.2 +0.9
Bryce Elder 25 pre-arb 100.2 0.7 +0.3
AJ Smith-Shawver 21 pre-arb 10.2 0.7 -0.1
Ray Kerr 29 pre-arb 100.1 0.7 -0.3
Jimmy Herget 30 – 80.1 0.3 +0.0
Luke Jackson↔ SFG 32 FA-elig 160.1 2.0 -1.8
Dylan Dodd 26 pre-arb 10.0 0.7 -0.6
Spencer Strider 25 arb 20.0 1.0 -0.9
J.P. Martínez 28 pre-arb 7-0.0 0.7 -0.8
David Fletcher 30 FA-elig 5-0.0 6.0 -6.1
Luis Guillorme↔ ANA 29 FA-elig 10-0.0 0.1 -0.3
Jackson Stephens 30 – 3-0.0 0.1 -0.3
A.J. Minter 30 FA-elig 39-0.0 6.2 -6.4
John Brebbia↔ CHW 34 FA-elig 5-0.1 0.3 -0.6
Brian Anderson 31 – 3-0.1 0.5 -0.9
Cavan Biggio↔ LAD 29 arb 4-0.1 0.2 -0.8
Parker Dunshee 29 – 1-0.1 0.0 -0.6
Zack Short↔ BOS 29 arb 30-0.1 0.5 -1.1
Darius Vines 26 pre-arb 4-0.2 0.7 -1.4
Luke Williams 27 arb 37-0.2 0.7 -1.5
Forrest Wall↔ MIA 28 pre-arb 13-0.2 0.6 -1.3
Tyler Matzek 33 FA-elig 11-0.2 1.9 -2.7
Jesse Chavez 40 FA-elig 46-0.2 0.7 -1.6
Allan Winans 28 pre-arb 2-0.3 0.7 -1.9
Hurston Waldrep 22 pre-arb 2-0.4 0.7 -2.5
Nacho Alvarez Jr. 21 – 8-0.5 – –
Eddie Rosario↔ WSN 32 FA-elig 24-0.7 0.5 -3.3
Adam Duvall 35 FA-elig 104-1.0 3.0 -7.3

Key additions (new vs 2023)

PlayerfWAR
Chris Sale6.4
Reynaldo López3.5
Spencer Schwellenbach2.7
Grant Holmes1.2
Aaron Bummer1.1
Ramón Laureano1.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2023)

Player2023 fWAR
Nicky Lopez0.4
Kevin Pillar0.3
Kolby Allard0.2
Danny Young0.1
Sam Hilliard0.1
Yonny Chirinos0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2024 payroll
$246.4M
2025 guaranteed
$92.0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2024, 2024–2030. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2024; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (24)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Matt Olson306.103$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M$20.0MCLUB
Austin Riley274.138$21.0M$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M$22.0M
Charlie Morton4015.010$20.0MFREE AGENT
Marcell Ozuna3310.124$18.0MFREE AGENT
Ronald Acuña Jr.266.000$17.0MFREE AGENT
Chris Sale3513.061$16.0MFREE AGENT
Raisel Iglesias348.154$16.0MFREE AGENT
Sean Murphy294.029$9.0M$15.0M$15.0M$15.0M$15.0MFREE AGENT
Joe Jiménez296.061$8.0M$9.0M$9.0MFREE AGENT
Travis d'Arnaud3510.044$8.0MFREE AGENT
Ozzie Albies276.062$7.0M$7.0M$7.0MCLUB$7.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Reynaldo López306.004$4.0MFREE AGENT
Jorge Soler328.143$3.5M$13.0M$13.0MFREE AGENT
Whit Merrifield357.101$3.1MFREE AGENT
Adam Duvall357.151$3.0MFREE AGENT
Luke Jackson327.019$2.0MFREE AGENT
Orlando Arcia296.114$2.0MFREE AGENT
Tyler Matzek3310.000$1.9MFREE AGENT
Spencer Strider252.003$1.0M$4.0M$20.0M$22.0M$22.0M$22.0MCLUBFREE AGENT
Jesse Chavez4013.038$740kFREE AGENT
Eddie Rosario328.120$527kFREE AGENT
Brian Anderson317.000$452kFREE AGENT
Gio Urshela329.000$422kFREE AGENT
John Brebbia346.078$339kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Max Fried305.148$15.0MFREE AGENT
Pierce Johnson334.137$7.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Minter305.154$6.2MFREE AGENT
David Fletcher304.166$6.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Aaron Bummer305.150$5.5MFREE AGENT
Ramón Laureano294.165$3.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Cavan Biggio294.129$216kARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Guillorme294.159$139kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jackson Stephens303.000$60kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (22)

PlayerAgeSvc2024202520262027202820292030
Michael Harris II232.000$5.0MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Lee291.150$760kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jarred Kelenic241.169$760kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daysbel Hernández270.071$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dylan Dodd260.035$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bryce Elder251.040$740kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.P. Martínez280.052$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luke Williams271.095$740kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chadwick Tromp291.152$740kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Darius Vines260.031$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Allan Winans280.025$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Grant Holmes280.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Hurston Waldrep220.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
AJ Smith-Shawver210.050$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Spencer Schwellenbach240.000$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ray Kerr290.109$740kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Forrest Wall280.076$609kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zack Short291.086$534kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jimmy Herget302.152$282kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Eli White302.087$203kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Parker Dunshee29–$4k
Nacho Alvarez Jr.21–—

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Braves 2024; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.