RRosternomics
𝕏

Braves ATL

‹ ›

GM: Frank Wren

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.89× league · TAB +5.8
+5.8TAB — talent above budget11th/30
+13.6WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)4th/30
10.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars4th/30
-6.5dead WAR — sub-replacement drag24th/30
28%dead money %8th/30
0.580win %4th/30
38.5roster fWAR13th/30
+11surplus $M (value vs cost)7th/30
$88Mpayroll $M15th/30

2012: made playoffs · 94–68. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFMichael Bourn 153GReed Johnson 32GJose Constanza 5G
LFMartín Prado 119GReed Johnson 37GJose Constanza 21G
RFJason Heyward 154GReed Johnson 29GJeff Baker 26G
SSPaul Janish 55GAndrelton Simmons 49GTyler Pastornicky 47G
2BDan Uggla 152GMartín Prado 10GJeff Baker 9G
3BChipper Jones 103GJuan Francisco 49GMartín Prado 25G
1BFreddie Freeman 146GLyle Overbay 23GEric Hinske 15G
STARTERSKris Medlen 3.3WARTim Hudson 2.0WARBrandon Beachy 1.3WARRandall Delgado 0.7WARMike Minor 0.4WAR
CBrian McCann 114GDavid Ross 54GJ.C. Boscan 6G
DHEric Hinske 4GBrian McCann 3GMatt Diaz 2G
BULLPEN★ Craig Kimbrel 42svEric O'Flaherty 28hJonny Venters 20hChad Durbin 15hLuis Avilán 5hCory Gearrin 4hCristhian Martinez 1hAnthony Varvaro 0h
CBrian McCann 114 · David Ross 54 · J.C. Boscan 6
1BFreddie Freeman 146 · Lyle Overbay 23 · Eric Hinske 15
2BDan Uggla 152 · Martín Prado 10 · Jeff Baker 9
3BChipper Jones 103 · Juan Francisco 49 · Martín Prado 25
SSPaul Janish 55 · Andrelton Simmons 49 · Tyler Pastornicky 47
LFMartín Prado 119 · Reed Johnson 37 · Jose Constanza 21
CFMichael Bourn 153 · Reed Johnson 32 · Jose Constanza 5
RFJason Heyward 154 · Reed Johnson 29 · Jeff Baker 26
DHEric Hinske 4 · Brian McCann 3 · Matt Diaz 2
SPKris Medlen 3.3 · Tim Hudson 2.0 · Brandon Beachy 1.3 · Randall Delgado 0.7 · Mike Minor 0.4
BP★ Craig Kimbrel 42 · Eric O'Flaherty 28 · Jonny Venters 20 · Chad Durbin 15 · Luis Avilán 5 · Cory Gearrin 4 · Cristhian Martinez 1 · Anthony Varvaro 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2012 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Michael Bourn 29 FA-elig 1555.3 6.8 +6.9
Jason Heyward 22 pre-arb 1585.3 0.6 +13.0
Martín Prado 28 FA-elig 1564.5 4.8 +7.0
Brian McCann 28 FA-elig 1213.9 11.5 -1.5
Kris Medlen 26 arb 503.3 0.5 +8.0
Dan Uggla 32 FA-elig 1543.3 13.0 -4.6
Craig Kimbrel 24 pre-arb 633.1 0.6 +7.4
David Ross 35 FA-elig 622.7 1.6 +5.3
Chipper Jones Jr. 40 FA-elig 1122.6 13.0 -6.4
Tim Hudson 36 FA-elig 292.0 9.0 -3.7
Andrelton Simmons 22 – 491.8 0.1 +4.6
Freddie Freeman 22 pre-arb 1471.7 0.5 +3.9
Brandon Beachy 25 pre-arb 141.3 0.5 +2.7
Randall Delgado 22 pre-arb 180.7 0.5 +1.4
Luis Avilán 22 – 310.6 0.5 +1.2
Juan Francisco 25 arb 930.5 0.5 +0.9
Cristhian Martinez 30 arb 540.4 0.5 +0.7
Eric O'Flaherty 27 FA-elig 640.4 2.5 -1.4
Mike Minor 24 pre-arb 300.4 0.5 +0.5
Paul Maholm↔ CHC 30 FA-elig 110.4 1.6 -0.7
Julio Teheran 21 pre-arb 20.2 0.5 +0.1
Cory Gearrin 26 pre-arb 220.2 0.5 +0.0
Ben Sheets 33 FA-elig 90.2 1.1 -0.7
Jose Constanza 28 pre-arb 370.1 0.5 -0.2
J.C. Boscan 32 pre-arb 6-0.0 0.5 -0.5
Anthony Varvaro 27 pre-arb 12-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Miguel Batista↔ NYM 41 FA-elig 5-0.1 0.1 -0.3
Jonny Venters 27 pre-arb 66-0.1 0.5 -0.7
Peter Moylan 33 arb 8-0.1 1.0 -1.4
Reed Johnson↔ CHC 35 FA-elig 43-0.2 0.4 -0.9
Lyle Overbay↔ ARI 35 FA-elig 20-0.3 0.3 -1.0
Livan Hernandez↔ MIL 37 FA-elig 18-0.3 0.3 -1.1
Tommy Hanson 25 arb 31-0.4 0.5 -1.5
Jeff Baker↔ CHC 31 FA-elig 14-0.4 0.2 -1.2
Paul Janish 29 – 55-0.5 0.8 -2.1
Matt Diaz 34 FA-elig 51-0.5 2.0 -3.2
Jair Jurrjens 26 arb 11-0.6 5.5 -6.9
Jack Wilson 34 FA-elig 40-0.7 1.0 -2.8
Chad Durbin 34 FA-elig 76-0.7 0.9 -2.7
Tyler Pastornicky 22 pre-arb 76-0.8 0.5 -2.5
Eric Hinske 34 FA-elig 91-1.0 1.5 -4.0

Key additions (new vs 2011)

PlayerfWAR
Andrelton Simmons1.8
Luis Avilán0.6
Juan Francisco0.5
Paul Maholm0.4
Ben Sheets0.2
Miguel Batista-0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2011)

Player2011 fWAR
Brooks Conrad0.6
Álex González0.5
Jordan Schafer0.5
George Sherrill0.3
Arodys Vizcaíno0.1
Antoan Richardson0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2012 payroll
$88.3M

What the front office was committed to as of 2012, 2012–2018. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Chipper Jones Jr.4019.000$13.0MFREE AGENT
Dan Uggla326.000$13.0M$13.0M$12.2MFREE AGENT
Brian McCann286.117$11.5M$12.0MFREE AGENT
Tim Hudson3612.119$9.0M$9.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Diaz346.157$2.0MFREE AGENT
Paul Maholm306.037$1.6M$6.5MFREE AGENT
David Ross3513.001$1.6MFREE AGENT
Eric Hinske3410.000$1.5MFREE AGENT
Ben Sheets339.000$1.1MFREE AGENT
Jack Wilson3410.147$1.0MFREE AGENT
Chad Durbin347.102$900kFREE AGENT
Reed Johnson358.145$416k$1.6MFREE AGENT
Lyle Overbay359.026$308kFREE AGENT
Livan Hernandez3714.097$307kFREE AGENT
Miguel Batista4113.163$107kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (7)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Michael Bourn295.028$6.8MFREE AGENT
Jair Jurrjens264.047$5.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Martín Prado284.105$4.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric O'Flaherty274.062$2.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Peter Moylan335.061$1.0MFREE AGENT
Paul Janish293.064$850kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Baker315.049$232kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (19)

PlayerAgeSvc2012201320142015201620172018
Craig Kimbrel241.066$590kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Heyward222.000$565kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Freddie Freeman221.033$535kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Hanson252.120$535kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonny Venters272.000$533kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Beachy251.014$495kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cristhian Martinez301.158$491kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kris Medlen262.137$490kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Minor240.138$482kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Varvaro270.058$481kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.C. Boscan321.000$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Julio Teheran210.030$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cory Gearrin260.062$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Randall Delgado220.030$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Juan Francisco250.156$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Luis Avilán220.000$480kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tyler Pastornicky221.134$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Constanza281.039$480kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrelton Simmons220.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Braves 2012; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.