RRosternomics
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Braves ATL

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GM: Frank Wren

Overview

REBUILD ↘ cooling
cheap & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.99× league · TAB -1.8
-1.8TAB — talent above budget17th/30
+7.2WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)7th/30
6.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars16th/30
-4.4dead WAR — sub-replacement drag9th/30
24%dead money %7th/30
0.549win %10th/30
32.3roster fWAR15th/30
-13surplus $M (value vs cost)15th/30
$94Mpayroll $M13th/30

Roster

CFMichael Bourn 156GNate McLouth 55GJose Constanza 4G
LFMartín Prado 100GEric Hinske 32GNate McLouth 26G
RFJason Heyward 122GMatt Diaz 54GJoe Mather 21G
SSÁlex González 149GJack Wilson 26GJulio Lugo 5G
2BDan Uggla 159GBrooks Conrad 10GJulio Lugo 2G
3BChipper Jones 116GMartín Prado 41GBrooks Conrad 8G
1BFreddie Freeman 156GEric Hinske 13GMartín Prado 2G
STARTERSTim Hudson 2.8WARBrandon Beachy 2.1WARDerek Lowe 1.9WARMike Minor 1.1WARTommy Hanson 0.8WAR
CBrian McCann 126GDavid Ross 49GJ.C. Boscan 3G
DHChipper Jones 3GBrian McCann 2GEric Hinske 1G
BULLPEN★ Craig Kimbrel 46svJonny Venters 35hEric O'Flaherty 32hScott Linebrink 7hGeorge Sherrill 7hCristhian Martinez 3hCory Gearrin 3hAnthony Varvaro 1h
CBrian McCann 126 · David Ross 49 · J.C. Boscan 3
1BFreddie Freeman 156 · Eric Hinske 13 · Martín Prado 2
2BDan Uggla 159 · Brooks Conrad 10 · Julio Lugo 2
3BChipper Jones 116 · Martín Prado 41 · Brooks Conrad 8
SSÁlex González 149 · Jack Wilson 26 · Julio Lugo 5
LFMartín Prado 100 · Eric Hinske 32 · Nate McLouth 26
CFMichael Bourn 156 · Nate McLouth 55 · Jose Constanza 4
RFJason Heyward 122 · Matt Diaz 54 · Joe Mather 21
DHChipper Jones 3 · Brian McCann 2 · Eric Hinske 1
SPTim Hudson 2.8 · Brandon Beachy 2.1 · Derek Lowe 1.9 · Mike Minor 1.1 · Tommy Hanson 0.8
BP★ Craig Kimbrel 46 · Jonny Venters 35 · Eric O'Flaherty 32 · Scott Linebrink 7 · George Sherrill 7 · Cristhian Martinez 3 · Cory Gearrin 3 · Anthony Varvaro 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; ★ marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2011 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Brian McCann 27 FA-elig 1286.5 6.7 +9.2
Craig Kimbrel 23 pre-arb 792.8 0.4 +6.5
Tim Hudson 35 FA-elig 332.8 9.0 -2.1
Dan Uggla 31 arb 1612.3 9.1 -3.5
David Ross 34 FA-elig 522.2 1.6 +3.8
Brandon Beachy 24 pre-arb 252.1 0.4 +4.6
Derek Lowe 38 FA-elig 341.9 15.0 -10.2
Jason Heyward 21 pre-arb 1281.9 0.5 +4.1
Chipper Jones Jr. 39 FA-elig 1261.8 14.0 -9.5
Eric O'Flaherty 26 arb 781.3 0.9 +2.2
Martín Prado 27 arb 1291.2 3.1 -0.2
Mike Minor 23 – 151.1 0.4 +2.4
Jonny Venters 26 pre-arb 851.1 0.4 +2.2
Michael Bourn↔ HOU 28 arb 531.1 1.5 +1.1
Eric Hinske 33 FA-elig 1170.8 1.4 +0.7
Tommy Hanson 24 pre-arb 220.8 0.5 +1.5
Jose Constanza 27 pre-arb 420.7 0.1 +1.7
Jair Jurrjens 25 arb 230.7 3.2 -1.6
Freddie Freeman 21 pre-arb 1570.6 0.4 +1.1
Brooks Conrad 31 arb 920.6 0.4 +1.0
Álex González 34 FA-elig 1490.5 2.5 -1.2
Jordan Schafer↔ HOU 24 pre-arb 520.5 0.3 +0.9
George Sherrill 34 FA-elig 510.3 1.2 -0.5
Cory Gearrin 25 – 180.2 0.4 +0.1
Kris Medlen 25 pre-arb 20.2 0.4 +0.1
Peter Moylan 32 arb 130.2 2.0 -1.5
Arodys Vizcaíno 20 – 170.1 0.1 +0.1
Antoan Richardson 27 – 90.1 0.1 +0.2
J.C. Boscan 31 pre-arb 40.1 0.4 -0.2
Nate McLouth 29 FA-elig 810.0 7.0 -6.9
Cristhian Martinez 29 pre-arb 460.0 0.4 -0.4
Jairo Asencio 28 pre-arb 6-0.1 0.4 -0.5
Matt Young 28 pre-arb 20-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Anthony Varvaro 26 pre-arb 18-0.1 0.4 -0.7
Jack Wilson↔ SEA 33 FA-elig 17-0.2 1.1 -1.5
Wilkin Ramirez 25 pre-arb 20-0.2 0.3 -0.7
Matt Diaz↔ PIT 33 FA-elig 16-0.2 0.3 -0.8
Diory Hernandez 27 – 22-0.2 – –
Julio Teheran 20 – 5-0.3 0.1 -0.8
Randall Delgado 21 – 7-0.3 0.4 -1.3
Brandon Hicks 25 pre-arb 17-0.4 0.4 -1.4
Joe Mather 28 – 36-0.4 – –
Scott Linebrink 34 FA-elig 64-0.5 5.5 -6.6
Julio Lugo 35 FA-elig 22-0.5 0.1 -1.2
Scott Proctor↔ NYY 34 FA-elig 31-0.9 0.6 -2.7

Key additions (new vs 2010)

PlayerfWAR
Dan Uggla2.3
Michael Bourn1.1
Jose Constanza0.7
Jordan Schafer0.5
George Sherrill0.3
Cory Gearrin0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2010)

Player2010 fWAR
Omar Infante2.0
Takashi Saito1.2
Yunel Escobar0.8
Grégor Blanco0.6
Derrek Lee0.5
Rick Ankiel0.4

Current & Historical Payroll

2011 payroll
$93.9M

What the front office was committed to as of 2011, 2011–2017. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (11)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Derek Lowe3813.100$15.0MFREE AGENT
Chipper Jones Jr.3918.000$14.0M$13.0MFREE AGENT
Tim Hudson3511.119$9.0M$9.0M$9.0MFREE AGENT
Scott Linebrink349.016$5.5MFREE AGENT
Álex González3412.034$2.5MFREE AGENT
David Ross3413.001$1.6M$1.6MFREE AGENT
Eric Hinske339.000$1.4M$1.5MFREE AGENT
George Sherrill347.174$1.2MFREE AGENT
Jack Wilson339.147$1.1M$1.0MFREE AGENT
Scott Proctor347.000$596kFREE AGENT
Julio Lugo3510.152$61kFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Dan Uggla315.000$9.1MFREE AGENT
Nate McLouth295.033$7.0MFREE AGENT
Brian McCann275.117$6.7MFREE AGENT
Jair Jurrjens253.047$3.2MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Martín Prado273.105$3.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Peter Moylan324.061$2.0MARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Bourn284.028$1.5MARB 3FREE AGENT
Eric O'Flaherty263.062$895kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Diaz335.157$293kFREE AGENT
Joe Mather283.000—ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (24)

PlayerAgeSvc2011201220132014201520162017
Jason Heyward211.000$496kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Hanson241.120$456kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jonny Venters261.000$430kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kris Medlen251.137$430kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brooks Conrad312.078$427kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Craig Kimbrel230.066$419kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cristhian Martinez290.167$419kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Beachy240.014$416kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
J.C. Boscan311.000$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Minor230.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Freddie Freeman210.033$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Hicks251.151$414kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Anthony Varvaro260.012$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jairo Asencio280.049$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cory Gearrin250.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Young280.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Randall Delgado210.000$414kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wilkin Ramirez251.084$296kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Schafer240.165$263kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Constanza271.039$140kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Arodys Vizcaíno200.000$114kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Julio Teheran200.000$86kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Antoan Richardson270.000$61kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Diory Hernandez272.000—ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Braves 2011; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3
Rosternomics — quantifying front-office skill, attribution-clean. Follow @rosternomics on X. Decision-makers on record back to 1933; resource-controlled metrics (WAR & payroll) cover 1985–2026.
Data: FanGraphs (WAR), Baseball-Reference & the Chadwick Bureau register (rosters, IDs), the Lahman Database, Baseball America prospect rankings (via The Baseball Cube), and public payroll records. Transaction and trade data was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Executive birth/death data via Wikidata (CC0); bios are original. Emoji graphics by OpenMoji (CC BY-SA 4.0).
All figures are franchise-level outcomes credited to the decision-maker in the acquisition year — not solely attributable to one executive.