RRosternomics

Diamondbacks ARI

GM: Dave Stewart

Overview

WINDOW ↗ rising
cheap & winning · year 1 in this regime · payroll 0.53× league · TAB +5.7
+5.7TAB — talent above budget10th/30
+5.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)9th/30
5.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars23rd/30
-6.7dead WAR — sub-replacement drag21st/30
60%dead money %28th/30
0.488win %18th/30
32.1roster fWAR16th/30
+37surplus $M (value vs cost)3rd/30
$64Mpayroll $M30th/30

Roster

CFAJ Pollock 151GEnder Inciarte 22GDavid Peralta 1G
LFDavid Peralta 124GEnder Inciarte 47GYasmany Tomás 6G
RFEnder Inciarte 77GYasmany Tomás 57GDavid Peralta 9G
SSNick Ahmed 129GChris Owings 35GBrandon Drury 1G
2BChris Owings 115GAaron Hill 47GPhil Gosselin 16G
3BJake Lamb 95GAaron Hill 38GYasmany Tomás 31G
1BPaul Goldschmidt 157GJake Lamb 8GJarrod Saltalamacchia 4G
STARTERSRobbie Ray 2.2WARPatrick Corbin 1.7WARChase Anderson 1.5WARJeremy Hellickson 1.3WARJosh Collmenter 0.5WAR
CWelington Castillo 88GJarrod Saltalamacchia 47GTuffy Gosewisch 37G
DHYasmany Tomás 3GWelington Castillo 2GPaul Goldschmidt 2G
BULLPEN Brad Ziegler 30svDaniel Hudson 21hAndrew Chafin 16hRandall Delgado 12hDavid Hernandez 7hMatt Reynolds 3hEnrique Burgos 2hKeith Hessler 1h
CWelington Castillo 88 · Jarrod Saltalamacchia 47 · Tuffy Gosewisch 37
1BPaul Goldschmidt 157 · Jake Lamb 8 · Jarrod Saltalamacchia 4
2BChris Owings 115 · Aaron Hill 47 · Phil Gosselin 16
3BJake Lamb 95 · Aaron Hill 38 · Yasmany Tomás 31
SSNick Ahmed 129 · Chris Owings 35 · Brandon Drury 1
LFDavid Peralta 124 · Ender Inciarte 47 · Yasmany Tomás 6
CFAJ Pollock 151 · Ender Inciarte 22 · David Peralta 1
RFEnder Inciarte 77 · Yasmany Tomás 57 · David Peralta 9
DHYasmany Tomás 3 · Welington Castillo 2 · Paul Goldschmidt 2
SPRobbie Ray 2.2 · Patrick Corbin 1.7 · Chase Anderson 1.5 · Jeremy Hellickson 1.3 · Josh Collmenter 0.5
BP Brad Ziegler 30 · Daniel Hudson 21 · Andrew Chafin 16 · Randall Delgado 12 · David Hernandez 7 · Matt Reynolds 3 · Enrique Burgos 2 · Keith Hessler 1

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2015 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Paul Goldschmidt 27 arb 1597.2 3.1 +19.7
AJ Pollock 27 arb 1576.8 0.5 +20.8
David Peralta 27 pre-arb 1493.9 1.0 +11.4
Ender Inciarte 24 pre-arb 1322.4 0.5 +7.1
Robbie Ray 23 pre-arb 232.2 0.3 +6.5
Patrick Corbin 25 arb 161.7 0.5 +4.8
Chase Anderson 27 pre-arb 281.5 0.5 +4.3
Jake Lamb 24 pre-arb 1071.4 0.5 +4.0
Jeremy Hellickson 28 arb 291.3 4.3 -0.1
Welington Castillo↔ CHC 28 arb 801.1 1.5 +2.0
Nick Ahmed 25 pre-arb 1341.0 0.5 +2.5
Daniel Hudson 28 FA-elig 640.8 0.8 +1.7
Andrew Chafin 25 pre-arb 660.8 0.5 +2.0
Phil Gosselin↔ ATL 26 pre-arb 240.7 0.3 +2.0
Brad Ziegler 35 FA-elig 660.7 5.0 -2.8
Addison Reed↔ NYM 26 arb 380.7 3.4 -1.3
Mark Trumbo↔ SEA 29 arb 460.6 2.2 -0.4
Randall Delgado 25 arb 640.6 0.5 +1.2
Josh Collmenter 29 arb 440.5 1.4 +0.2
Sócrates Brito 22 180.5 0.1 +1.4
Enrique Burgos 24 300.5 0.2 +1.3
Jarrod Saltalamacchia↔ MIA 30 FA-elig 700.4 6.2 -4.8
Oliver Pérez↔ HOU 33 FA-elig 480.4 1.7 -0.5
Vidal Nuño↔ SEA 27 30.3 0.0 +0.8
JC Ramírez↔ SEA 26 120.2 0.1 +0.5
Rubby De La Rosa 26 arb 320.2 0.5 -0.0
Zack Godley 25 90.1 0.1 +0.3
Peter O'Brien 24 80.1 0.1 +0.4
Silvino Bracho 22 130.1 0.1 +0.2
Jamie Romak 29 pre-arb 120.1 0.1 +0.2
Jhoulys Chacín 27 arb 50.1 0.1 +0.2
Matt Stites 25 pre-arb 11-0.0 0.5 -0.6
Gerald Laird 35 FA-elig 1-0.1 1.0 -1.2
Archie Bradley 22 8-0.1 0.4 -0.6
Dominic Leone↔ SEA 23 pre-arb 3-0.1 0.0 -0.3
Aaron Hill 33 FA-elig 116-0.1 12.0 -12.4
David Hernandez 30 FA-elig 40-0.1 2.0 -2.4
A.J. Schugel 26 5-0.2 0.1 -0.6
Tuffy Gosewisch 31 pre-arb 38-0.2 0.5 -1.1
Óscar Hernández 21 18-0.2 0.5 -1.2
Keith Hessler 26 pre-arb 18-0.2 0.1 -0.9
Brandon Drury 22 20-0.2 0.1 -0.9
Jordan Pacheco 29 arb 29-0.3 0.9 -1.8
Danny Dorn 30 23-0.3 0.1 -1.0
Evan Marshall 25 pre-arb 13-0.3 0.5 -1.6
Cliff Pennington↔ TOR 31 FA-elig 72-0.4 2.2 -3.5
Matt Reynolds 30 arb 18-0.7 0.6 -2.9
Allen Webster 25 pre-arb 9-1.0 0.1 -3.2
Yasmany Tomás 24 pre-arb 118-1.1 5.5 -8.9
Chris Owings 23 pre-arb 147-1.1 0.5 -3.9

Key additions (new vs 2014)

PlayerfWAR
Robbie Ray2.2
Patrick Corbin1.7
Jeremy Hellickson1.3
Welington Castillo1.1
Phil Gosselin0.7
Sócrates Brito0.5

Key subtractions (gone from 2014)

Player2014 fWAR
Miguel Montero3.3
Wade Miley1.4
Brandon McCarthy0.9
Zeke Spruill0.5
Eric Chavez0.4
Martín Prado0.3

Current & Historical Payroll

2015 payroll
$64.4M
2016 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2015, 2015–2021. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2015; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (5)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Aaron Hill339.136$12.0MFREE AGENT
Jarrod Saltalamacchia307.043$6.2MFREE AGENT
Brad Ziegler356.122$5.0MFREE AGENT
Oliver Pérez3310.144$1.7MFREE AGENT
Gerald Laird3512.000$1.0MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (13)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Jeremy Hellickson284.045$4.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Addison Reed263.027$3.4MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Paul Goldschmidt273.059$3.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cliff Pennington315.114$2.2MFREE AGENT
Mark Trumbo294.027$2.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
David Hernandez305.095$2.0MFREE AGENT
Welington Castillo283.009$1.5MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Josh Collmenter294.000$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Jordan Pacheco293.073$900kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Hudson284.117$800kARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Reynolds305.000$600kFREE AGENT
Rubby De La Rosa264.000$516kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jhoulys Chacín275.012$89kFREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (32)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Yasmany Tomás240.000$5.5MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
David Peralta270.120$1.0MPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Randall Delgado252.100$526kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Patrick Corbin252.105$524kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
AJ Pollock272.052$520kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tuffy Gosewisch311.060$514kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ender Inciarte240.157$513kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chase Anderson270.146$512kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Owings231.027$512kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Evan Marshall250.146$512kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Stites251.030$510kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jake Lamb240.053$508kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Ahmed250.054$508kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Óscar Hernández210.000$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Chafin250.020$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Archie Bradley220.000$391kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Robbie Ray230.055$345kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Phil Gosselin262.000$277kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Enrique Burgos240.000$150kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Allen Webster250.109$136kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Zack Godley250.000$133kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Keith Hessler260.058$130kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
A.J. Schugel260.000$105kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Silvino Bracho220.000$97kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jamie Romak290.032$94kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Brandon Drury220.000$92kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Peter O'Brien240.000$72kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sócrates Brito220.000$72kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Danny Dorn30$58k
JC Ramírez260.080$53kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Vidal Nuño271.055$29kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dominic Leone231.000$18kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Diamondbacks 2015; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3