RRosternomics

Diamondbacks ARI

GM: Joe Garagiola

Overview

CONTEND ↗ rising
expensive & winning · year 2 in this regime · payroll 1.58× league · TAB +8.8
+8.8TAB — talent above budget7th/30
+10.1WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)8th/30
8.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars9th/30
-3.8dead WAR — sub-replacement drag13th/30
46%dead money %26th/30
0.605win %5th/30
48.7roster fWAR4th/30
-22surplus $M (value vs cost)23rd/30
$104Mpayroll $M3rd/30

2002: made playoffs · 98–64. Ranks are vs the 30 teams that season.

Roster

CFSteve Finley 144GQuinton McCracken 31GMark Little 13G
LFLuis Gonzalez 146GMark Little 20GDavid Dellucci 20G
RFQuinton McCracken 68GDavid Dellucci 45GDanny Bautista 37G
SSTony Womack 149GCraig Counsell 22GAlex Cintron 8G
2BJunior Spivey 143GAlex Cintron 18GCraig Counsell 13G
3BCraig Counsell 94GMatt Williams 56GChris Donnels 26G
1BMark Grace 98GErubiel Durazo 56GGreg Colbrunn 40G
STARTERSCurt Schilling 9.3WARRandy Johnson 7.9WARMiguel Batista 3.2WARRick Helling 1.4WARBrian Anderson 1.4WAR
CDamian Miller 100GRod Barajas 69GChad Moeller 35G
DHErubiel Durazo 4GGreg Colbrunn 3GDavid Dellucci 1G
BULLPEN Byung-Hyun Kim 36svMike Myers 17hMike Fetters 15hMike Koplove 10hEddie Oropesa 7hGreg Swindell 2hMatt Mantei 2hMike Morgan 2h
CDamian Miller 100 · Rod Barajas 69 · Chad Moeller 35
1BMark Grace 98 · Erubiel Durazo 56 · Greg Colbrunn 40
2BJunior Spivey 143 · Alex Cintron 18 · Craig Counsell 13
3BCraig Counsell 94 · Matt Williams 56 · Chris Donnels 26
SSTony Womack 149 · Craig Counsell 22 · Alex Cintron 8
LFLuis Gonzalez 146 · Mark Little 20 · David Dellucci 20
CFSteve Finley 144 · Quinton McCracken 31 · Mark Little 13
RFQuinton McCracken 68 · David Dellucci 45 · Danny Bautista 37
DHErubiel Durazo 4 · Greg Colbrunn 3 · David Dellucci 1
SPCurt Schilling 9.3 · Randy Johnson 7.9 · Miguel Batista 3.2 · Rick Helling 1.4 · Brian Anderson 1.4
BP Byung-Hyun Kim 36 · Mike Myers 17 · Mike Fetters 15 · Mike Koplove 10 · Eddie Oropesa 7 · Greg Swindell 2 · Matt Mantei 2 · Mike Morgan 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2002 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Curt Schilling 35 FA-elig 369.3 10.0 +6.0
Randy Johnson 38 FA-elig 357.9 13.3 +0.2
Luis Gonzalez 34 FA-elig 1485.2 4.3 +4.6
Junior Spivey 27 pre-arb 1434.3 0.2 +7.2
Steve Finley 37 FA-elig 1504.2 5.4 +1.8
Miguel Batista 31 FA-elig 363.2 2.1 +3.4
Byung-Hyun Kim 23 arb 722.5 0.8 +3.6
Quinton McCracken 31 FA-elig 1232.3 0.5 +3.4
Craig Counsell 31 FA-elig 1121.9 1.5 +1.8
Erubiel Durazo 28 arb 761.7 0.4 +2.5
Damian Miller 32 arb 1011.6 2.6 +0.1
Brian Anderson 30 FA-elig 371.4 5.4 -2.9
Rick Helling 31 FA-elig 301.4 3.0 -0.7
Greg Colbrunn 32 FA-elig 721.4 1.8 +0.5
Mike Koplove 25 551.0
Chad Moeller 27 pre-arb 370.8 0.2 +1.2
Tony Womack 32 FA-elig 1530.7 4.5 -3.3
Matt Williams 36 FA-elig 600.4 9.5 -8.9
Danny Bautista 30 FA-elig 400.3 2.0 -1.6
Mike Myers 33 FA-elig 690.3 1.5 -1.1
John Patterson 24 70.2
Felix Jose 37 130.1
Matt Mantei 28 FA-elig 310.1 4.3 -4.1
Mike Fetters↔ PIT 37 FA-elig 330.1 1.2 -0.9
Mark Little↔ COL 29 arb 150.1 0.0 +0.1
Jose Parra 29 160.0
Armando Reynoso 36 FA-elig 20.0 4.1 -4.1
Alex Cintron 23 380.0
Todd Stottlemyre 37 FA-elig 5-0.0 8.0 -8.0
Danny Klassen 26 arb 4-0.0 0.2 -0.3
Bret Prinz 25 pre-arb 20-0.0 0.2 -0.3
Jay Bell 36 FA-elig 32-0.1 8.0 -8.1
Chris Donnels 36 FA-elig 74-0.1 0.3 -0.5
Duaner Sanchez↔ PIT 22 6-0.1
Lyle Overbay 25 10-0.2
Rod Barajas 26 arb 70-0.2 0.2 -0.5
Greg Swindell 37 FA-elig 34-0.3 2.8 -3.3
Mark Grace 38 FA-elig 124-0.3 3.0 -3.5
David Dellucci 28 arb 97-0.3 0.8 -1.4
Mike Morgan 42 FA-elig 29-0.4 0.8 -1.5
Eddie Oropesa 30 pre-arb 32-0.6 0.3 -1.4
Jose Guillen↔ CIN 26 arb 54-1.1 0.3 -2.2

Key additions (new vs 2001)

PlayerfWAR
Quinton McCracken2.3
Rick Helling1.4
Mike Myers0.3
John Patterson0.2
Felix Jose0.1
Mike Fetters0.1

Key subtractions (gone from 2001)

Player2001 fWAR
Reggie Sanders3.0
Albie Lopez1.4
Robert Ellis0.5
Nick Bierbrodt0.2
Eric Knott0.1
Bobby Witt0.1

Current & Historical Payroll

2002 payroll
$103.8M

What the front office was committed to as of 2002, 2002–2008. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (25)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Randy Johnson3814.000$13.3M$15.0M$16.0MFREE AGENT$9.1M$15.1M
Curt Schilling3514.000$10.0M$10.0MFREE AGENT
Matt Williams3615.000$9.5M$10.0MFREE AGENT
Todd Stottlemyre3714.000$8.0MFREE AGENT
Jay Bell3616.000$8.0MFREE AGENT
Brian Anderson309.000$5.4MFREE AGENT
Steve Finley3713.000$5.4M$4.2M$4.5MFREE AGENT
Tony Womack329.000$4.5M$3.6MFREE AGENT
Luis Gonzalez3412.000$4.3M$4.0M$8.2M$10.1M$10.7MFREE AGENT
Matt Mantei287.000$4.3M$7.1M$7.0MFREE AGENT
Armando Reynoso3611.000$4.1MFREE AGENT
Mark Grace3814.000$3.0M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Rick Helling318.000$3.0MFREE AGENT
Greg Swindell3716.000$2.8MFREE AGENT
Miguel Batista3110.000$2.1M$3.4MFREE AGENT$4.8M
Danny Bautista309.000$2.0M$3.0M$4.0MFREE AGENT
Greg Colbrunn3210.000$1.8MFREE AGENT$2.8M
Mike Myers337.000$1.5M$1.8MFREE AGENT
Craig Counsell317.000$1.5M$2.5MFREE AGENT$1.4M$1.8M
Mike Fetters3713.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Mike Morgan4224.000$750kFREE AGENT
Quinton McCracken317.000$500k$1.8M$1.3M$750kFREE AGENT
Chris Donnels3611.000$350kFREE AGENT
Felix Jose3714.000FREE AGENT
Jose Parra297.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (8)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Damian Miller325.000$2.6MFREE AGENT
David Dellucci285.000$775kFREE AGENT
Byung-Hyun Kim233.000$762kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erubiel Durazo283.000$375kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Guillen265.000$318kFREE AGENT
Danny Klassen264.000$228kARB 3FREE AGENT
Rod Barajas263.000$215kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mark Little294.000$47kARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2002200320042005200620072008
Eddie Oropesa301.000$350kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Bret Prinz251.000$235kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Junior Spivey271.000$215kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chad Moeller272.000$215kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
John Patterson240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alex Cintron231.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Duaner Sanchez220.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Koplove251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Lyle Overbay251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Diamondbacks 2002; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3