RRosternomics

Angels ANA

GM: Bill Stoneman

Overview

FORCED-SPEND → steady
expensive & losing · year 1 in this regime · payroll 1.1× league · TAB -6.2
-6.2TAB — talent above budget21st/30
+1.8WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)14th/30
4.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars24th/30
-5.6dead WAR — sub-replacement drag16th/30
23%dead money %5th/30
0.525win %11th/30
29.3roster fWAR18th/30
-42surplus $M (value vs cost)22nd/30
$134Mpayroll $M8th/30

Roster

CFMike Trout 156GDaniel Robertson 7GCollin Cowgill 4G
LFMatt Joyce 64GDavid DeJesus 63GDavid Murphy 53G
RFKole Calhoun 157GShane Victorino 34GDavid DeJesus 4G
SSErick Aybar 154GTaylor Featherston 22GRyan Jackson 3G
2BJohnny Giavotella 128GTaylor Featherston 33GRyan Jackson 17G
3BDavid Freese 113GConor Gillaspie 69GTaylor Featherston 39G
1BAlbert Pujols 95GC.J. Cron 58GEfren Navarro 29G
STARTERSGarrett Richards 2.8WARAndrew Heaney 1.6WARC.J. Wilson 1.6WARNick Tropeano 1.1WARJered Weaver 0.8WAR
CChris Iannetta 85GCarlos Pérez 80GJett Bandy 1G
DHAlbert Pujols 62GC.J. Cron 50GDavid Murphy 41G
BULLPEN Huston Street 40svJoe Smith 32hFernando Salas 18hTrevor Gott 14hJose Alvarez 7hCesár Ramos 5hMike Morin 5hCam Bedrosian 2h
CChris Iannetta 85 · Carlos Pérez 80 · Jett Bandy 1
1BAlbert Pujols 95 · C.J. Cron 58 · Efren Navarro 29
2BJohnny Giavotella 128 · Taylor Featherston 33 · Ryan Jackson 17
3BDavid Freese 113 · Conor Gillaspie 69 · Taylor Featherston 39
SSErick Aybar 154 · Taylor Featherston 22 · Ryan Jackson 3
LFMatt Joyce 64 · David DeJesus 63 · David Murphy 53
CFMike Trout 156 · Daniel Robertson 7 · Collin Cowgill 4
RFKole Calhoun 157 · Shane Victorino 34 · David DeJesus 4
DHAlbert Pujols 62 · C.J. Cron 50 · David Murphy 41
SPGarrett Richards 2.8 · Andrew Heaney 1.6 · C.J. Wilson 1.6 · Nick Tropeano 1.1 · Jered Weaver 0.8
BP Huston Street 40 · Joe Smith 32 · Fernando Salas 18 · Trevor Gott 14 · Jose Alvarez 7 · Cesár Ramos 5 · Mike Morin 5 · Cam Bedrosian 2

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2015 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
Mike Trout 23 arb 1599.3 6.1 +23.2
Kole Calhoun 27 arb 1593.2 0.5 +9.6
Garrett Richards 27 arb 322.8 3.2 +5.7
David Freese 32 FA-elig 1212.2 6.4 +0.5
Albert Pujols 35 FA-elig 1571.6 24.0 -18.9
Andrew Heaney 24 pre-arb 181.6 0.3 +4.7
C.J. Wilson 34 FA-elig 211.6 18.0 -13.1
Johnny Giavotella 27 arb 1291.5 0.5 +4.1
Chris Iannetta 32 FA-elig 921.4 5.5 -1.0
Nick Tropeano 24 pre-arb 81.1 0.1 +3.4
Joe Smith 31 FA-elig 700.9 5.2 -2.3
Erick Aybar 31 FA-elig 1560.9 8.5 -5.7
Jered Weaver 32 FA-elig 260.8 18.0 -15.5
Fernando Salas 30 arb 720.7 1.4 +1.0
Matt Shoemaker 28 pre-arb 250.7 0.5 +1.8
Héctor Santiago 27 arb 330.6 2.3 -0.3
Cesár Ramos 31 FA-elig 650.6 1.3 +0.6
Mike Morin 24 pre-arb 470.5 0.5 +1.2
Carlos Pérez 24 860.5 0.4 +1.3
C.J. Cron 25 pre-arb 1130.5 0.5 +0.9
Huston Street 31 FA-elig 620.4 7.0 -5.8
Jose Alvarez 26 pre-arb 640.4 0.5 +0.6
Daniel Robertson 29 pre-arb 370.2 0.5 +0.2
Collin Cowgill 29 arb 550.2 1.0 -0.3
Trevor Gott 22 480.2 0.3 +0.2
Alfredo Marte 26 pre-arb 50.1 0.0 +0.4
Jett Bandy 25 20.1 0.1 +0.3
Cory Rasmus 27 pre-arb 160.1 0.5 -0.3
Efren Navarro 29 arb 540.1 0.5 -0.3
Ryan Mattheus↔ CIN 31 10.0 0.0 +0.0
Jo-Jo Reyes 30 arb 10.0 0.0 -0.0
Edgar Ibarra 26 2-0.0 0.0 -0.0
Wesley Wright↔ BAL 30 FA-elig 9-0.1 1.4 -1.6
Cam Bedrosian 23 pre-arb 34-0.1 0.3 -0.5
Adam Wilk 27 pre-arb 1-0.1 0.0 -0.2
Conor Gillaspie↔ CHW 27 FA-elig 17-0.1 0.1 -0.4
Drew Butera↔ KCR 31 arb 10-0.1 0.2 -0.5
Mat Latos↔ LAD 27 FA-elig 2-0.1 0.8 -1.2
Kaleb Cowart 23 34-0.2 0.1 -0.7
Kirk Nieuwenhuis↔ NYM 27 arb 10-0.2 0.1 -0.6
Drew Rucinski 26 pre-arb 4-0.2 0.1 -0.7
David Murphy↔ CLE 33 FA-elig 48-0.2 2.2 -2.9
Taylor Featherston 25 101-0.2 0.5 -1.2
Vinnie Pestano 30 arb 19-0.3 1.1 -2.1
Shane Victorino↔ BOS 34 FA-elig 38-0.3 7.0 -8.0
Marc Krauss↔ DET 27 11-0.3 0.0 -1.1
Ryan Jackson 27 pre-arb 22-0.3 0.1 -1.2
Kyle Kubitza 24 pre-arb 19-0.4 0.1 -1.5
Grant Green 27 pre-arb 21-0.5 0.1 -1.7
David DeJesus↔ TBR 35 FA-elig 30-0.7 1.3 -3.6
Matt Joyce 30 FA-elig 93-1.2 4.8 -8.5

Key additions (new vs 2014)

PlayerfWAR
Andrew Heaney1.6
Johnny Giavotella1.5
Nick Tropeano1.1
Cesár Ramos0.6
Carlos Pérez0.5
Daniel Robertson0.2

Key subtractions (gone from 2014)

Player2014 fWAR
Howie Kendrick4.6
Hank Conger2.8
Kevin Jepsen0.9
Jason Grilli0.8
Wade LeBlanc0.3
Gordon Beckham0.2

Current & Historical Payroll

2015 payroll
$134.2M
2016 guaranteed
$0M

What the front office was committed to as of 2015, 2015–2021. Guaranteed $ are contract commitments signed by 2015; arbitration & free-agent years are projected from service time. Hover a figure for its luxury-tax (CBT) & actual-cash values.

current $ guaranteed $ arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent club option player option mutual option vesting option

Guaranteed / signed (10)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Albert Pujols3514.000$24.0MFREE AGENT
C.J. Wilson349.055$18.0MFREE AGENT
Jered Weaver328.129$18.0MFREE AGENT
Erick Aybar318.086$8.5MFREE AGENT
Huston Street3110.000$7.0MFREE AGENT
Shane Victorino349.092$7.0MFREE AGENT
Chris Iannetta328.013$5.5MFREE AGENT
Joe Smith317.091$5.2MFREE AGENT
David Murphy337.087$2.2MFREE AGENT
David DeJesus3510.146$1.3MFREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (12)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
David Freese325.028$6.4MFREE AGENT
Mike Trout233.070$6.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Joyce305.123$4.8MFREE AGENT
Héctor Santiago273.016$2.3MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Wesley Wright305.105$1.4MFREE AGENT
Fernando Salas304.048$1.4MARB 3FREE AGENT
Cesár Ramos314.003$1.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Vinnie Pestano303.054$1.1MARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mat Latos275.079$783kFREE AGENT
Drew Butera314.018$180kARB 3FREE AGENT
Jo-Jo Reyes303.007$11kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Mattheus313.123$7kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (29)

PlayerAgeSvc2015201620172018201920202021
Garrett Richards272.148$3.2MARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Collin Cowgill292.151$995kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kole Calhoun271.130$538kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Shoemaker280.166$518kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Johnny Giavotella272.055$516kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Morin240.155$514kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cory Rasmus271.155$513kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
C.J. Cron250.124$512kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Robertson291.000$511kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Efren Navarro290.141$511kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jose Alvarez260.059$509kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Taylor Featherston250.000$507kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Carlos Pérez240.000$424kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Trevor Gott220.000$319kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Heaney240.047$287kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Cam Bedrosian230.059$277kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Grant Green271.033$148kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kyle Kubitza240.052$139kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Jackson270.118$136kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kaleb Cowart230.000$130kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Conor Gillaspie272.069$125kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Nick Tropeano240.027$105kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jett Bandy250.000$92kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kirk Nieuwenhuis271.123$71kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Drew Rucinski260.013$55kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Marc Krauss272.108$32kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Alfredo Marte260.135$22kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Adam Wilk270.056$11kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Edgar Ibarra26$3k

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Angels 2015; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3