RRosternomics

Angels ANA

GM: Bill Stoneman

Overview

CONTEND ↘ cooling
expensive & winning · year 3 in this regime · payroll 1.27× league · TAB +1.1
+1.1TAB — talent above budget14th/30
+3.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + luck)8th/30
9.0depth — 2+ WAR regulars6th/30
-2.6dead WAR — sub-replacement drag2nd/30
49%dead money %27th/30
0.549win %7th/30
38.3roster fWAR11th/30
-31surplus $M (value vs cost)24th/30
$97Mpayroll $M6th/30

Roster

CFChone Figgins 96GTommy Murphy 29GDarin Erstad 27G
LFGarret Anderson 94GJuan Rivera 56GChone Figgins 16G
RFVladimir Guerrero 126GJuan Rivera 33GTommy Murphy 12G
SSOrlando Cabrera 152GErick Aybar 19GMaicer Izturis 10G
2BAdam Kennedy 133GHowie Kendrick 28GChone Figgins 9G
3BMaicer Izturis 87GChone Figgins 34GDallas McPherson 31G
1BKendrys Morales 56GRobb Quinlan 54GHowie Kendrick 44G
STARTERSJohn Lackey 5.2WARKelvim Escobar 3.9WARErvin Santana 3.0WARJered Weaver 2.5WARJoe Saunders 1.0WAR
CMike Napoli 94GJosé Molina 76GJeff Mathis 20G
DHTim Salmon 54GGarret Anderson 45GVladimir Guerrero 30G
BULLPEN Francisco Rodríguez 47svScot Shields 31hBrendan Donnelly 11hJ.C. Romero 7hHector Carrasco 1hKevin Gregg 0hChris Bootcheck 0hGreg Jones 0h
CMike Napoli 94 · José Molina 76 · Jeff Mathis 20
1BKendrys Morales 56 · Robb Quinlan 54 · Howie Kendrick 44
2BAdam Kennedy 133 · Howie Kendrick 28 · Chone Figgins 9
3BMaicer Izturis 87 · Chone Figgins 34 · Dallas McPherson 31
SSOrlando Cabrera 152 · Erick Aybar 19 · Maicer Izturis 10
LFGarret Anderson 94 · Juan Rivera 56 · Chone Figgins 16
CFChone Figgins 96 · Tommy Murphy 29 · Darin Erstad 27
RFVladimir Guerrero 126 · Juan Rivera 33 · Tommy Murphy 12
DHTim Salmon 54 · Garret Anderson 45 · Vladimir Guerrero 30
SPJohn Lackey 5.2 · Kelvim Escobar 3.9 · Ervin Santana 3.0 · Jered Weaver 2.5 · Joe Saunders 1.0
BP Francisco Rodríguez 47 · Scot Shields 31 · Brendan Donnelly 11 · J.C. Romero 7 · Hector Carrasco 1 · Kevin Gregg 0 · Chris Bootcheck 0 · Greg Jones 0

Each position lists its starter then backups by games (so platoons & bench show). Starters (mound) & bullpen (left, foul territory) are ranked by WAR; marks the closer (most save chances). MLB Stats API.

2006 roster — value & surplus

PlayerAgeServiceGfWARSalary $MSurplus $M
John Lackey 27 arb 335.2 3.3 +7.1
Kelvim Escobar 30 FA-elig 303.9 6.8 +1.0
Vladimir Guerrero 31 FA-elig 1563.5 13.5 -6.4
Ervin Santana 23 pre-arb 333.0 0.3 +5.6
Orlando Cabrera 31 FA-elig 1532.7 7.5 -2.2
Jered Weaver 23 192.5 0.3 +4.8
Mike Napoli 24 992.5
Francisco Rodríguez 24 arb 692.4 3.8 +1.1
Juan Rivera 27 arb 1242.4 1.2 +3.5
Maicer Izturis 25 pre-arb 1041.8 0.3 +3.3
Scot Shields 30 arb 741.6 2.1 +1.1
Joe Saunders 25 131.0
Robb Quinlan 29 arb 861.0 0.4 +1.7
Adam Kennedy 30 FA-elig 1391.0 3.4 -1.4
Hector Carrasco 36 FA-elig 560.7 2.6 -1.3
Kevin Gregg 28 320.6
Chone Figgins 28 arb 1550.6 2.2 -1.0
Howie Kendrick 22 720.6 0.3 +0.9
José Molina 31 FA-elig 780.6 0.8 +0.3
Tim Salmon 37 FA-elig 760.6 0.4 +0.7
Dallas McPherson 25 400.4
Reggie Willits 25 280.4
Curtis Pride 37 220.4
Jeff Weaver↔ STL 29 FA-elig 160.3 4.0 -3.4
Tommy Murphy 26 480.3
Bartolo Colon 33 FA-elig 100.3 14.0 -13.5
Brendan Donnelly 34 arb 620.2 0.9 -0.6
Garret Anderson 34 FA-elig 1410.1 10.6 -10.4
J.C. Romero 30 FA-elig 650.0 2.2 -2.1
Jason Bulger 27 2-0.0
Kendrys Morales 23 57-0.1 0.3 -0.5
Darin Erstad 32 FA-elig 40-0.1 8.8 -8.9
Greg Jones 29 5-0.1
Erick Aybar 22 34-0.1 0.3 -0.6
Dustin Moseley 24 3-0.2
Esteban Yan↔ CIN 31 FA-elig 13-0.2 0.6 -1.1
Jeff Mathis 23 pre-arb 23-0.3 0.3 -0.9
Chris Bootcheck 27 7-0.3
Casey Kotchman 23 pre-arb 29-0.6 0.3 -1.5
Edgardo Alfonzo↔ TOR 32 FA-elig 18-0.6 4.8 -6.1

Key additions (new vs 2005)

PlayerfWAR
Jered Weaver2.5
Mike Napoli2.5
Hector Carrasco0.7
Howie Kendrick0.6
Tim Salmon0.6
Reggie Willits0.4

Key subtractions (gone from 2005)

Player2005 fWAR
Paul Byrd3.3
Jarrod Washburn2.0
Bengie Molina1.7
Jeff DaVanon0.3
Jason Christiansen0.1
Josh Paul0.0

Current & Historical Payroll

2006 payroll
$96.7M

What the front office was committed to as of 2006, 2006–2012. Pre-2015 has no contract-terms data — forward italic $ are realized actuals (hindsight, not commitments known then). Control labels (ARB/FA) are point-in-time.

current $ guaranteed $ actual $ (hindsight) arbitration (proj) pre-arb (proj) free agent

Guaranteed / signed (15)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Bartolo Colon339.000$14.0M$16.0MFREE AGENT
Vladimir Guerrero3110.000$13.5M$14.5M$15.5M$15.0MFREE AGENT
Garret Anderson3412.000$10.6M$11.6M$12.6MFREE AGENT
Darin Erstad3210.000$8.8MFREE AGENT
Orlando Cabrera319.000$7.5M$8.5MFREE AGENT
Kelvim Escobar309.000$6.8M$9.0MFREE AGENT$10.0M
Edgardo Alfonzo3211.000$4.8MFREE AGENT
Jeff Weaver297.000$4.0MFREE AGENT
Adam Kennedy307.000$3.4MFREE AGENT
Hector Carrasco3612.000$2.6M$3.0MFREE AGENT
J.C. Romero307.000$2.2MFREE AGENT
José Molina317.000$850k$783kFREE AGENT
Esteban Yan3110.000$602kFREE AGENT
Tim Salmon3714.000$400kFREE AGENT
Curtis Pride3713.000FREE AGENT

Arbitration-eligible (9)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Francisco Rodríguez244.000$3.8MARB 3FREE AGENT
John Lackey274.000$3.3MARB 3FREE AGENT
Chone Figgins284.000$2.2MARB 3FREE AGENT
Scot Shields305.000$2.1MFREE AGENT
Juan Rivera275.000$1.2MFREE AGENT
Brendan Donnelly344.000$950kARB 3FREE AGENT
Robb Quinlan293.000$365kARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kevin Gregg283.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Chris Bootcheck273.000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Pre-arbitration (16)

PlayerAgeSvc2006200720082009201020112012
Maicer Izturis252.000$350kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ervin Santana231.000$350kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Kendrys Morales230.000$350kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Casey Kotchman232.000$340kARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Howie Kendrick220.000$328kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Erick Aybar220.000$328kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jered Weaver230.000$328kPre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jeff Mathis231.000$327kPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dustin Moseley240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Jason Bulger271.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tommy Murphy260.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dallas McPherson250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Greg Jones29
Joe Saunders251.000Pre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Mike Napoli240.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Reggie Willits250.000Pre-ArbPre-ArbARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Graphs

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR. Bars = Angels 2006; the black line = the league-average player at each slot that season. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge; dropping below it = holes & dead weight.

What each regime is worth — every settled team-season since 1985

RegimeSeasonsWin %Playoff %Pennant %WS %
WINDOW 28152.131.05.01.1
CONTEND 30056.964.719.710.3
FORCED-SPEND 25648.09.81.61.6
REBUILD 32143.31.20.30.3