RRosternomics
MB

Mike Berger

General manager for the Marlins (2015–2015).

1 seasons with salary-era data across 1 stint. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants0
Playoffs0
Record71–91
Win %0.438
+0.1GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±7.876th/195 execs
6.0Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)105th/195 execs
-6.0Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)138th/195 execs
40%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)139th/195 execs
$43MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track24th/195 execs
$21MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)14th/195 execs
$18MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade19th/195 execs
$4MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees26th/195 execs
+0.5TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total78th/195 execs
-3.3WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)81st/195 execs
0.25Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)160th/195 execs
+21Roster surplus $M28th/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Marlins GM 2015–2015 1 -3.3 -3.34 +0.5 +6.8 +3.1 -4.2 -2.7 +0.0 0.25 0.438 +21
Career total (1985+ data) 1 -3.3 +0.5 +6.8 +3.1 -4.2 -2.7 +0.0 0.25 0.438 +21

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+3.1
Trade-4.2
Free agency-2.7
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.0
Sourcing mix: 52% draft · 8% FA · 40% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Mike Berger's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 22 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Miguel Rojas SS MIA Trade 2015 8 +9.4 +1.2 0.2
Dee Strange-Gordon 2B MIA Trade 2015 3 +8.1 +2.7 1.1
Martín Prado 3B MIA Trade 2015 3 +5.3 +1.8 0.8
Edward Cabrera P MIA Intl FA 2015 4 +3.8 +0.9
David Phelps P MIA Trade 2015 3 +3.5 +1.2 0.3
Kyle Barraclough P MIA Trade 2015 3 +2.3 +0.8
Mat Latos P MIA Trade 2015 1 +1.8 +1.8 0.5
Dan Haren P MIA Trade 2015 1 +1.0 +1.0 0.3
Jeff Mathis C MIA Free agency 2015 3 +0.6 +0.2 0.0
Ichiro Suzuki OF MIA Free agency 2015 1 +0.6 +0.6 5.5
Vin Mazzaro P MIA Free agency 2015 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Nick Masset P MIA Trade 2015 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.0
Cole Gillespie OF MIA Trade 2015 1 +0.1 +0.1 0.1
Jeff Brigham P MIA Trade 2015 2 -0.0 -0.0
Chris Reed P MIA Trade 2015 1 +0.0 +0.0
Erik Cordier P MIA Free agency 2015 -0.1
Don Kelly OF MIA Free agency 2015 -0.1
Cody Poteet P MIA Draft 2015 -0.1
Kyle Keller P MIA Draft 2015 -0.2
Xavier Scruggs 1B MIA Free agency 2015 -0.2
Ben Meyer P MIA Draft 2015 -0.3
Dustin McGowan P MIA Free agency 2015 -0.4

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

drag to zoom · double-click to reset