RRosternomics
JM

Joe McDonald

Born Jul 5, 1929 · Staten Island, NY · age 97

General manager for the Mets, Cardinals, and Tigers (1975–1991).

2 seasons with salary-era data across 3 stints. All figures are franchise-level outcomes during the tenure, not solely attributable to one executive.

Overview

Titles0
Pennants1
Playoffs1
Record185–139
Win %0.571
+3.9GM WAR — wins above a replacement GM (org-adjusted, shrunk; per season) ±7.116th/195 execs
10.0Depth — 2+ WAR regulars per season (the breadth that drives TAB, not stars)2nd/195 execs
-3.9Dead WAR — WAR/yr bled by sub-replacement players (closer to 0 = better)21st/195 execs
23%Dead money — payroll on <0.5-WAR players (lower = better)19th/195 execs
$4MCheap-talent surplus — $/yr of value from cost-controlled (pre-arb/arb) players above their pay; the selection engine, and the stickiest GM skill we track144th/195 execs
$3MDrafted surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own draftees (the develop-from-the-draft engine)125th/195 execs
$1MTraded-for surplus — cheap-talent surplus from cost-controlled players he acquired via trade121st/195 execs
$0MInt'l surplus — cheap-talent surplus from his own international signees130th/195 execs
+21.1TAB — talent above budget — roster-construction alpha (talent your budget bought above expectation), tenure total36th/195 execs
+19.9WAB — realized wins (TAB + the non-repeatable luck of converting talent to wins)38th/195 execs
3.66Acquisition Leverage — playoff pts per acquired WAR, graded once in the year each deal's wins arrive (the repeatable decision skill)24th/195 execs
+3Roster surplus $M38th/195 execs

Tenure breakdown

TeamRoleYearsSzns WAB WAB/yr TAB WAR surp HG Trade FA R5 AcqLev W-L% POPenWS Surp $M
Tigers GM 1991–1991 1 +1.7 +1.75 +4.6 +0.9 +11.6 +18.8 -2.6 +0.0 3.76 0.519 +0
Cardinals GM 1983–1985 1 +18.2 +18.18 +16.4 +10.5 +45.1 +18.1 -5.3 +0.0 2.89 0.623 11 +3
Mets GM 1975–1980 0 +0.0 +0.0 +0.0 +50.2 +4.6 -5.4 +0.3
Career total (1985+ data) 2 +19.9 +21.1 +11.4 +106.9 +41.4 -13.4 +0.3 3.66 0.571 11 +3

Roster Construction

How the roster was sourced

Share of acquired fWAR by channel vs. league average.

Build channels — net fWAR

Acquired minus surrendered / signed minus walked.

Home-grown (draft/intl)+106.9
Trade+41.4
Free agency-13.4
Rule 5 / minor draft+0.3
Sourcing mix: 60% draft · 0% FA · 40% trade · 0% R5

Roster value distribution — career average — depth vs. stars

Every roster slot ranked best→worst by WAR, averaged across Joe McDonald's seasons. Bars = his rosters; the black line = the league-average player at each slot. Staying above the line deep into the roster is the depth edge.

Players acquired — 71 players, by realized fWAR for the franchise (scroll for more)

PlayerPosTeam How Year Szns fWAR WAR/yr Lev
Darryl Strawberry OF NYM Draft 1980 6 +29.7 +4.9
José Oquendo 2B/SS STL Trade 1985 10 +15.3 +1.5
Joe Magrane P STL Draft 1985 5 +14.7 +2.9
Mickey Tettleton C DET Trade 1991 4 +14.4 +3.6 20.6
Bernard Gilkey OF STL Intl FA 1984 6 +12.6 +2.1
John Tudor P STL Trade 1984 5 +12.0 +2.4
Justin Thompson P DET Draft 1991 4 +11.0 +2.8
Tom Pagnozzi C STL Draft 1983 9 +10.6 +1.2
Jack Clark 1B/OF STL Trade 1985 3 +10.1 +3.4
Mookie Wilson OF NYM Draft 1977 5 +9.9 +2.0
Wally Backman 2B NYM Draft 1977 4 +7.7 +1.9
Geronimo Pena 2B STL Intl FA 1984 5 +6.4 +1.3
Ken Dayley P STL Trade 1984 6 +6.1 +1.0
Rob Deer OF DET Trade 1991 3 +5.5 +1.8 3.8
Bill Gullickson P DET Trade 1991 4 +5.3 +1.3 12.8
Greg Mathews P STL Draft 1984 4 +3.8 +1.0
Mark Leiter P DET Trade 1991 3 +3.2 +1.1 5.1
Jesse Orosco P NYM Trade 1979 3 +3.0 +1.0
Kevin Mitchell OF NYM Intl FA 1980 1 +2.7 +2.7
Darrell Porter C STL Trade 1985 1 +2.1 +2.1
Ed Lynch P NYM Trade 1979 2 +1.6 +0.8
Tito Landrum OF STL Trade 1984 3 +1.5 +0.5
Dan Gladden OF DET Free agency 1991 2 +1.4 +0.7 1.8
César Cedeño OF STL Trade 1985 1 +1.4 +1.4 4.0
Skeeter Barnes 1B/3B/OF DET Free agency 1991 2 +1.3 +0.7 4.7
Sean Bergman P DET Draft 1991 2 +1.2 +0.6
John Gibbons C NYM Draft 1980 1 +0.6 +0.6
Tim Conroy P STL Trade 1985 2 +0.6 +0.3 0.1
Dan Gakeler P DET Trade 1991 1 +0.5 +0.5
Rick Anderson P NYM Draft 1978 1 +0.5 +0.5
John Morris OF STL Trade 1985 2 +0.5 +0.3
Andy Allanson C DET Trade 1991 1 +0.4 +0.4 1.4
Lonnie Smith OF STL Trade 1985 1 +0.4 +0.4 1.2
Bill Campbell P STL Trade 1985 1 +0.3 +0.3
Steve Braun 3B/OF STL Trade 1985 1 +0.2 +0.2
Tim Jones 2B/SS STL Draft 1985 3 +0.2 +0.1
Matt Keough P STL Trade 1985 1 +0.2 +0.2
Tom Lawless 2B/3B STL Trade 1985 2 +0.2 +0.1
Ronn Reynolds C NYM Draft 1980 1 +0.1 +0.1
Scott Arnold P STL Draft 1984 1 +0.1 +0.1
Rod Booker 2B/SS STL Trade 1983 2 +0.1 +0.0
John Costello P STL Draft 1983 2 +0.1 +0.0
Andy Hassler P STL Trade 1985 1 +0.1 +0.1
Mike Jorgensen 1B STL Trade 1984 1 +0.1 +0.1
Trever Miller P DET Draft 1991 -0.0
Billy Beane OF NYM Draft 1980 -0.0
Ron Gardenhire SS NYM Draft 1979 1 +0.0 +0.0
Doug Sisk P NYM Intl FA 1980 2 -0.0 -0.0
Neil Allen P STL Trade 1983 -0.0
Brian Harper C STL Trade 1984 -0.0
Howard Hilton P STL Draft 1985 -0.0
John Cerutti P DET Free agency 1991 -0.1
Mike Dalton P DET Trade 1991 -0.1
Art Howe 2B/3B STL Trade 1985 -0.1
Jeff Kaiser P DET Free agency 1991 -0.2
Phil Stidham P DET Draft 1991 -0.2
Lance Johnson OF STL Draft 1984 -0.2
Rick Ownbey P STL Trade 1983 -0.2
Mike Munoz P DET Trade 1991 2 -0.2 -0.1 0.1
Iván de Jesús SS STL Trade 1985 -0.3
Matt Kinzer P STL Draft 1984 -0.3
Ray Stephens C STL Draft 1985 -0.3
John Moses OF DET Free agency 1991 -0.4
Clint Sodowsky P DET Draft 1991 -0.4
Mike Fitzgerald 1B STL Draft 1984 -0.4
Jim Lindeman 1B/OF STL Draft 1983 1 -0.6 -0.6
Craig Wilson 3B STL Draft 1984 1 -0.7 -0.7
Kelvin Chapman 2B NYM Intl FA 1975 -0.9
Mike Walker P DET Free agency 1991 -1.0
Steve Peters P STL Draft 1985 1 -1.0 -1.0
Pete Incaviglia OF DET Free agency 1991 -1.1

WAB = wins above what the team's payroll predicted (resource-controlled). WAR surplus = era-neutral value (WAR minus payroll in win-equivalents). Roster surplus $M = dollar value of WAR over cost. Build channels (realized fWAR): HG = home-grown via amateur draft / international signing; Trade = acquired minus surrendered (incl. purchases/waivers); FA = signed minus walked; R5 = Rule-5 / minor-league-draft pickups. Credit follows the acquisition year — home-grown to the regime at the player's draft/signing (not whoever was in the chair when he peaked), trade/FA/R5 to the GM who made the move. Players acquired as prospects before debuting (e.g. Smoltz, Bagwell; Rule-5 picks like Uggla) are counted as trade/R5, not home-grown. All are franchise-level outcomes during the stint, not solely attributable to one executive.

Graphs

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